Gold Seems BullishGold is currently in consolidation range which seems to be 2668.00 to 2677.100 if it breaks the level of 2677.100 then we can see the levels of 2685 which was the last high and if it hovers there then it will break the resistance level , if price comes to support zone of 2668 to 2666 then we have to wait for the price action confirmation.
Commodities
Is VEDL Ready to Soar? Elliott Wave Analysis Suggests YesTechnical Analysis of VEDANTA LTD. (VEDL) Based on Elliott Waves
This analysis is based on Elliott Wave theory and is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice.
Elliott Wave Analysis:
The provided chart of VEDANTA LTD. (VEDL) suggests a bullish trend based on Elliott Wave principles. The analysis identifies a potential impulse wave structure, which typically consists of five waves.
Elliott Wave Analysis Update
We're currently within Wave (3) in blue intermediate degree, with subdivisions marked as Red 1 to 5 Minor degree, Having completed Red 1 to 3, we're nearing the end of Red 4.
Key Takeaways:
1. Post-Red 4 completion, we expect an upward move to complete Red 5, targeting 1.618 Fibonacci extension (measured from Blue Wave (1).
2. Wave 5 (Red) is the final leg of Wave (3) in Blue which is of intermediate degree.
3. Overall, the outlook remains bullish.
Important Principle:
As per Elliott Wave Theory, Wave 4 cannot overlap Wave 1. This means Red 4 cannot enter the territory of Red Wave 1.
Nearest or current Invalidation Level:
If the price enters 471 (Wave 1 high), our labelled view will be negated, and we'll need to reassess the chart.
Expected Outcome:
If the invalidation level holds, our view remains intact, targeting 537 or nearby.
Actionable Insights:
- Monitor Red 4 completion
- Watch for Wave 5 unfolding
- Keep 471 as the critical invalidation level
Right Direction:
The annotation "Right Direction ↑" suggests that the overall trend is expected to be upward.
Invalidation Level:
The level of 424 is identified as an invalidation level. A break below this level would negate the bullish outlook and suggest a potential reversal.
Target:
While a specific target is not provided in the chart, a potential target for wave 3 could be around the 1.618 extension level (537.55) based on the length of wave 1. However, this is a rough estimate and subject to change based on market conditions.
Overall Outlook:
Based on the Elliott Wave analysis, VEDANTA LTD. (VEDL) appears to be in a bullish uptrend. The market is expected to continue rising, with a potential target around the 537.55 level. However, it's crucial to monitor the price action closely and be prepared to adjust the analysis if the market's behavior deviates from the expected pattern.
Remember: Elliott Wave analysis is a complex tool that requires practice and experience. It's essential to approach it with caution and always consider the potential risks involved in trading.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com/u/RK_Charts/ is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Graphite India for 100%+ upsideDate: 21 Sep’24
Timeframe: Weekly chart
Graphite India currently seems to be in Wave III of 3 which is heading towards 1400 levels (130% growth from current price) as seen in the chart. Even if it attains its previous all time high of August 2018, that’s almost double its current price. If one can handle the fluctuations that operators inject from time to time and hold tight, this one is a no brainer.
This is not a trade recommendation. Please do your own analysis.
Navigating Change: The Impact of SEBI's F&O PolicySEBI's new rules for F&O traders will take effect on November 20. The changes include increasing the contract size for index derivatives from Rs 5-10 lakh to Rs 15-20 lakh, which i believe is not a good idea. They are also reducing the number of weekly expiry options for index derivatives, which i see as a positive change. However, the decision to eliminate weekly expiry for Bank Nifty options is viewed negatively.
It's hard to understand what SEBI is trying to achieve. i think the chairman believes she is making smart decisions, but it feels quite the opposite. It seems like they want to take more money from retail investors while claiming to act in their best interest. Increasing taxes, raising contract sizes, and removing Bank Nifty weekly expiration's doesn’t seem helpful for the stock market or retail traders. Retail investors and traders play a crucial role in providing liquidity for institutional investors, generating tax revenue for the government, and maintaining market vitality. However, it appears that SEBI primarily favors large traders and investors, which may seem unfair to the retail segment.
Instead of educating retailers, there appears to be a focus on restricting their earning opportunities in the stock market. In the future, this may leave only major players able to trade in India's stock market. SEBI should realize that there are many stock markets in different countries, and if retail investors and traders face restrictions here, they will move on to Forex or US stocks, which often offer higher leverage and lower brokerage fees. Retail traders will trade regardless.
The solution should be to educate investors and give them the freedom to make their own choices. I hope that in the future, SEBI will have a knowledgeable chairman who understands these issues better.
All eyes on GoldAs discussed in yesterday's update gold is still looking good to more higher and gold is following that statement perfectly , as you can see on hourly chart after a small pullback in yesterday trading session gold price took support at weekly pivot (2640) and after that price moving in higher side, for today also the CPR relation is positive and gold price is taking support on CPR area and we can expect continuation in higher side , weekly R1 is at 2677 and at that level we can expect another small pullback and then price can continue in higher side towards 2685 or higher level, there is no sign of good reversal so we have to wait for higher levels for any selling opportunities , the only limiting factor that currently stopping the gold bulls is strong dollar Index chart, but I think DXY is also due for correction which can help gold bulls to make a good move in higher side : overall the scenario is still favourable for buying on Intraday .
BTC & Gold Price Action Analysis | Key Levels and Trade SetupsIn today’s video, I dive into the latest price action analysis for Bitcoin (BTC) and Gold. We’ll be breaking down key support and resistance levels, identifying potential breakout zones, and discussing trade setups you can keep an eye on.
Thank you for watching! If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to like the video and subscribe to the channel for more in-depth market analysis and swing trade ideas. Your support helps me continue bringing you high-quality content every week!
Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments below and let me know which asset you’re keeping an eye on this week.
Happy trading!
#BTC #Gold #PriceAction #TradingAnalysis #Forex #SwingTrading
Gold : Still looking goodDespite the strong Dollar Index gold doing good and currently trading near to All time high and still looking good to go higher, on technical basis also, If we watch the daily CPR formation , CPR is ascending for today also + gold price trading above weekly pivot (2640),So technically the price is still favourable for bulls and we can expect continuation in higher side as per this formation, yesterdays decline/ correction was not convincing enough for bears and I think it is normal corrective structure after a bullish structure and this correction can add more fuel for incoming bullish structure at least towards 2685.
In Lower side we have to watch weekly Pivot as major Level for continuation or reversal point .
Gold loses momentum: Will it drop further?Hello everyone. Today, let’s join Alisa in predicting gold prices!
Gold prices have plunged under pressure from several unfavorable factors. The strengthening U.S. dollar has made gold less attractive compared to other assets, prompting investors to exit the gold market. At the same time, the strong recovery of the U.S. stock market, with significant gains in major indices such as the Dow Jones, Nasdaq, and S&P 500, has attracted investment flows, adding further pressure on gold prices.
Gold is facing downward pressure at the $2,650 per ounce level on the 4-hour chart, dropping $15 per ounce compared to the previous session's peak. The strong resistance level at $2,660 per ounce is limiting the rise of this precious metal. If it fails to break through this resistance, gold prices may reverse and retest the support area around $2,607 per ounce.
What about you? Do you think gold will go up or down?
Gold Price: Will It Continue to Soar or Plateau?Hello everyone, it's Alisa here. Today, let's analyze the gold price together! Will it rise or fall?
The gold market has experienced a highly volatile week with unpredictable developments. Pressure from geopolitical tensions and U.S. economic data caused gold prices to fluctuate. However, a wave of hope regarding the Fed adjusting its monetary policy helped gold recover strongly by the end of the week. The upward momentum has continued into the start of this week and is expected to maintain its stability in the new week.
Looking at the technical chart, gold is hovering around the 2,664 level. The price of this metal remains in an uptrend. With support at 2,645, gold is expected to be supported and rise, breaking through the key resistance level of 2,663 and aiming for a new target.
This is my thought, what about you? What do you think?
XAUUSD’s Final Wave Completion – What’s Next?XAUUSD has formed a corrective pattern on the hourly chart, offering a potential breakout setup. The correction has spanned over two weeks, during which the price has frequently crossed the EMAs (50/100/200 ) on the hourly timeframe. Meanwhile, the 20 EMA has consistently acted as solid support on the daily timeframe.
The pair has completed its final wave 5 of wave (C) at 2604 and has since started to rise sharply. Currently, XAUUSD faces a strong resistance level at 2670 , which marks the high of wave (B). If the price breaks above 2670 , traders can target the following levels: 2685 - 2715 - 2735 +. If the breakout fails, the correction may continue, as 2670 is the key hurdle for the bulls to overcome.
Further updates will follow soon.
"Gold's Danger Zones: Are You Prepared for the Next Move?"Gold Trading Analysis: Key Levels for Your Strategy
In this analysis, we focus on two critical levels for gold trading: 2665.624 and 2670.240. These levels are your danger zones, and you should only use them on the 15-minute timeframe.
Here’s how to approach it:
1. Breakout and Retest: Whenever you see a breakout at these levels on the 15-minute chart, wait for a retest before entering. This increases your chances of a successful trade.
2. Set Your Targets: After entry, aim for the next level as your profit target and enjoy the gains!
3. Avoid Large Candle Breakouts: If there’s a breakout with a large candle on the 15-minute timeframe, exercise caution. Such breakouts can lead to bigger stop-losses, increasing the risk of getting stopped out.
Your feedback is crucial! If you find my analysis helpful and are making profits by following these levels, please comment and let me know. Your support motivates me to provide more insights, so share how much profit you’ve made using these strategies!
Gold Prices Surge: A Boost from U.S. InflationHello everyone. Today is Saturday. Let’s join me in predicting today’s gold prices!
Gold prices continue to rise and are currently hovering at $2,657. This marks the second consecutive session of gains, pushing the total increase of the precious metal to $50 in just two days. The main driving force behind this rise comes from the latest U.S. inflation data, strengthening expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will lower interest rates in the near future. Additionally, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have also contributed to the increased demand for gold as a safe haven.
Observing the technical chart, the gold price is drawing a very positive picture. With strong support at $2,638, the precious metal is showing a robust uptrend. If gold successfully breaks through the resistance level of $2,660, we can fully expect a powerful new price rally, opening up attractive opportunities for investors.
This is my analysis. What about you? Do you agree with me?
TATA STEEL - When Waves are Messi don't try to be a GOAT. Tata Steel is in this Upward sloping Channel since June 2022 all the rise looks messy means all pullbacks have over lapped with previous rise so instead of forcing Elliott Wave we will try to study it with simple technical approach.
We have drawn a trendline connecting lows which has held 4 times & which was also 50 Week Moving Average so buyers are happy to go long at 50 WMA & this trend line support.
Supply comes from parallel channel of this trendline so looking at his chart risk reward looks attractive for buyers as of now.
Weekly close below 147 will be sign of bulls losing control as of now longs looks good for short term to medium term view.
I find people marking everything as impulsive or corrective but when you cannot spot a clear wave structure better to avoid the stock if its low volume or KISS (Keep It Simple Stupid) strategy works best.
Oil India Cmp 584.55 by Daily Chart views*Oil India Cmp 584.55 by Daily Chart views
- Support Zone 535 to 545 Price Band
- Resistance Zone 615 to 625 Price Band
- Volumes are flattish need to increase for a fresh upside
- Daily basis Support at 545 > 498 > 455 with Resistance at 625 > 668 > 704
- Breakout from the Falling Price Channel and attempts to cross the Falling Resistance Trendline
Gold Price Surges UnexpectedlyHello everyone, this is Alisa. Today, let's join me in updating the latest developments in gold!
The gold price surged significantly, reaching 2,644.18 USD/ounce. The main driving force came from the U.S. inflation data released this morning. Specifically, the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 0.2% in September, which was lower than expected. This eased inflationary pressure and prompted investors to pour money into gold as a safe-haven asset.
Observing the 1-hour technical chart, Alisa noticed that the price within the channel had gained strong upward momentum. This was truly a rebound after a brief period of decline for the metal. With support at 2,628, gold’s upward trend has resumed. Additionally, technical indicators like RSI and Stochastic are also giving buy signals.
What a volatile day! How about you all? Do you think gold will rise or fall?
Gold: Bulls seek $2,647 breakout and US data validationGold prices continue to recover after the US inflation data, despite staying within a two-week bearish trend. Early Friday, buyers look forward to the first readings of the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index and Consumer Inflation Expectations for October, along with the September Producer Price Index (PPI).
Bulls brace for fresh record high
Whether it's the US Dollar's muted reaction to better-than-forecast Consumer Price Index (CPI), optimism around potential stimulus from China, or expectations of softer US data, gold prices aim for a fresh all-time high. Technically, the recent breakout above the 100-SMA, bullish MACD signals, and a positive RSI (14) reinforce the upward momentum.
Technical levels to watch
Among the key technical levels, $2,647 gains immediate attention as it comprises the top of the bearish channel, a break of which will defy the fortnight-long bearish chart pattern. Following that, the precious metal’s quick jump toward the all-time high surrounding $2,685 can’t be ruled out. Moreover, a clear breakout past $2,685 would signal strong momentum for gold buyers, potentially paving the way for a rise beyond the $2,700 mark.
On the downside, the 100-SMA at $2,636 provides immediate support for gold prices, alongside an upward-sloping trend line from early August near the $2,600 mark. If XAUUSD falls below $2,600, the focus will shift to the bottom of the bearish channel and the 200-SMA, which are near $2,595 and $2,580, respectively. Notably, if prices break below $2,580, gold could enter a short-term bearish trend, potentially targeting the $2,540-$2,530 range.
Upside looks promising
With expectations of lower Fed rates and potential softness in upcoming US data, combined with bullish technical indicators, gold prices seem poised for upward movement. This bullish outlook could change only if the US statistics challenge the likelihood of two more rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, which would negatively impact the US Dollar—an outcome that appears unlikely.
Gold : Ready for another rallyAs discussed since the beginning of this week that every Dip is a buying opportunity on gold, gold seems to following that and yesterday trading session after CPI numbers gold printed a good positive day closing and now trading above weekly S1 , Weekly S1 was acting as resistance on Intra day.
For today the daily CPR relation is positive and price opened with a little gap on CPR (Virgin CPR) this is indication that price is in good bullish momentum right now and if price hold above weekly S1 (2626) then bulls can target weekly pivot on Intra day (2650). .
GOLD & BTC Price Action Analysis | Key Levels & Breakout InsightIn this video, we analyze the price action of Gold and Bitcoin, focusing on key levels and potential breakout opportunities. Using weekly time frame analysis, we'll discuss significant trends, support, resistance levels, and market behavior. Stay tuned for valuable insights that can help guide your trading decisions.
#GoldPriceAction #BitcoinAnalysis #BTC #XAUUSD #ForexTrading #CryptoTrading #PriceActionTrading #BreakoutStrategy #AlzubairFX #TechnicalAnalysis #SwingTrading #TradingInsights #HindiTrading
EURJPY LONGFOREXCOM:EURJPY
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
Keep trading
Hustle hard
Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading.
Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!!
Gold after FOMC and before CPIYesterday, Gold traded Sideways to bearish and closed the day in the red zone near the price of 2610. On Hourly chart price seems to be forming a new sideways range near to psychological support. On the hourly chart, gold is still trading below the weekly pivot and bulls need to claim this level to see higher price .
The FOMC’s Minutes published yesterday showed that some officials would’ve preferred a 25 bps cut, though all participants favored lowering interest rates. Regarding the Fed’s dual mandate in both cases, almost all officials saw inflation risks tilted to the downside, while risks to the labor market were on the upside. Following the data, the CME FedWatch Tool shows odds for a 25 bps interest rate cut were lowered from 85.2% a day ago to 75.9%. This means that some market participants positioned themselves toward the Fed holding rates unchanged, with odds at 24.1%, up from 14.8% on Tuesday. and for fundamentals now we have to shift focus to release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI).
For Intra day price is trading near to weekly pivot( Watch weekly S2 and S3 for possible reversal )and it is a good idea to look for buy for a swing trade with calculated risks.
Gold Prices Decline for 6 Consecutive Sessions, Facing ResistancGold prices fell for the sixth consecutive session on Wednesday (October 9), driven by a stronger USD and diminished expectations for a more aggressive rate cut in November 2024.
Gold is currently hovering around $2,608.880, after hitting a key support level at $2,575.921. This is a crucial support zone that buyers need to defend to prevent further declines.
At present, gold is facing strong resistance at $2,648.815 and $2,624.834. If these levels cannot be surpassed, gold is likely to continue correcting down to the nearest support at $2,575.985. However, if buyers manage to push prices past the current resistance, the market could see a short-term rally.
The RSI indicator is currently at 36.19, suggesting that bearish momentum still dominates and warning of a potential deeper correction.