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Gold 1H – Can 4265 Breakout or Trap Into 4185?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (02/12) 📈 Market Context Gold continues its impressive rally as markets price in a potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December. Spot gold recently surged — reflecting multi-week highs — as the US Dollar Index (DXY) weakened. The backdrop is increasingly dovish: fading USD strength and rate-cut odds have kept gold bid. From a technical perspective, price sits compressed at the channel top, signaling liquidity plays before the next institutional leg. Macro tone from Powell’s opening remarks on ForexFactory adds volatility fuel. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (H1) Current state = Accumulation / Distribution within rising channel Liquidity zones & key triggers • Premium liquidity zone (sell-opportunity): ~4265–4267 (upper-edge pool of liquidity) • Discount liquidity zone (buy-origin / re-entry zone): ~4186–4184 (demand liquidity near prior displacement base) • Equilibrium / chop zone: mid-channel compression → no blind trading unless structure validates direction Expected Smart Money sequence Sweep → CHoCH/MSS → BOS → Displacement → FVG/OB Retest → Expansion Gold remains primed for a directional move only after structure confirms intent. 🎯 Trade Plans for Today 🔴 SELL GOLD 4265 – 4267 | SL 4275 • Thesis: Liquidity sweep above equal highs at premium edge, followed by engineered bearish BOS confirming institutional selling intent. • Entry rules (must wait for confirmation): ✔ Price pokes 4266 zone → bearish CHoCH/MSS + BOS down (M5–M15) ✔ Entry on FVG fill or OB retest after BOS validation • Targets: 1. 4245 – 4240 (first reaction) 2. 4225 – 4215 (channel EQ retest) 3. 4186 – 4184 (full delivery into discount) 🟢 BUY GOLD 4186 – 4184 | SL 4176 • Thesis: Discount liquidity tap at institutional base, buy absorption after sweep + bullish BOS signaling new intraday demand. • Entry rules (must wait for confirmation): ✔ Price sweeps 4185 → bullish CHoCH/MSS + BOS up (M5–M15) ✔ Entry on rejection wick + FVG fill or OB retest confirmation • Targets: 4. 4215 5. 4240 6. 4265+ ⚠️ Risk Management & Notes • Avoid trading inside mid-range without CHoCH/BOS validation — sweeps are traps until proven by MSS + BOS. • Use SL for structure invalidation only — no averaging in compression. • Reduce lot size during Powell’s delivery window; macro impulses can run both sides of liquidity fast. 📍 Summary Gold is coiling at highs for liquidity. Either Powell triggers a 4266 sweep → bearish BOS → delivery, or price hunts 4185 discount → bullish BOS → continuation. Trade the structure, not the narrative — wait for CHoCH & BOS + retest to unlock expansion. 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD (Gold Spot) – Daily & H4 Update | 03 Dec 2025Yesterday’s session delivered exactly the kind of two-way volatility we often see when a strong trend starts to lose momentum. Gold opened with early selling pressure, dropped sharply, and filled the bullish Fair Value Gap (between roughly 4170–4200 before finding buyers. The 4200 psychological round number held firm as dynamic support, and more importantly, yesterday’s daily candle closed comfortably above it, a clear sign that bulls are still defending this zone aggressively for now.However, the broader context remains cautionary. As highlighted yesterday, we printed a very narrow Central Pivot Range positioned near the top of the recent range. Price ultimately closed below this CPR, which is typically a bearish development and suggests the aggressive bullish momentum we saw through November is fading, at least in the short term.Current Technical Structure Immediate resistance cluster sits at 4245-50. A convincing H4 close above 4230 (Fib level for recent drop) would be the first meaningful sign of renewed bullish strength. The real confirmation of trend continuation comes only with a decisive break and daily close above 4245–4250 (R1 and the recent range high). Until that happens, the path of least resistance leans lower within this ascending channel. Key Levels to Watch TodayBullish scenario Hold above 4230 → potential retest of 4250–60 H4 close > 4230 → opens 4245–4250 and possibly 4280 (R2) Daily close > 4245 → resumes the broader uptrend targeting 4300+ Bearish scenario Failure to sustain today’s CPR (4198–4203) on an intraday basis increases downside risk Break and close below 4198–4200 → high-probability move toward Previous Day Low ~4165 Loss of 4165 exposes S2 ~4130 and potentially the lower levels Summary & Bias As long as 4200 hold, the structural uptrend remains valid . That said, the narrow-top CPR, repeated failure at 4245–4250, and yesterday’s close below CPR all point to waning momentum. base case for the next 24–48 hours is continued range-bound/two-way action between 4165–4250 unless we get a clear daily close outside of this zone. A sustained break below 4198–4200 would shift near-term bias to bearish with 4165 and 4130 as logical downside targets. Conversely, bulls need to reclaim and hold 4230+ quickly to keep the November uptrend alive.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheGoldenCircle
Gold Breaks Trendline – Bulls Back in Control!Hello Everyone let's analyse Gold as it has broken above its falling trendline resistance, signaling a possible shift from short-term weakness to bullish momentum. After several attempts, the price finally managed to close above the trendline with increasing volume, showing that buyers are stepping in again. Currently, Gold is retesting the previous resistance turned support zone around $4200–$4205. As long as price holds above this level, the structure remains positive, and the next upside targets could be seen toward $4260–$4270. Short-term traders can look for confirmation candles near support before entering. A clean retest followed by bullish continuation can offer a good risk–reward setup. On the other hand, if the price breaks back below $4190, momentum could slow down again. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing. Analysis By @TraderRahulPal | More analysis & educational content on my profile. If you found this helpful, don’t forget to like and follow for regular updates.
TVC:GOLDLong
by TraderRahulPal
1
Gold Faces Critical Resistance: Will Bulls Break Through or FadeGold is currently trading around 4,217, , as bulls continue to struggle with a persistent resistance zone that has proven difficult to crack. . The $4,240-4,250 level has emerged as a significant ceiling for gold price, repeatedly rejecting bullish advances over recent sessions. Multiple attempts by buyers to establish a foothold above this area have been met with aggressive selling pressure, creating major resistance for the current rally. The repeated failures at this level suggest strong conviction from bears defending this zone. Today's Central Pivot Range (CPR) formation presents a narrow range, which historically signals an imminent volatility expansion. A narrow CPR often acts as a coiled spring the tighter the compression, the more explosive the eventual breakout. This technical setup demands heightened attention to risk management and position sizing. Key Technical Levels to Watch The ascending trendline (black diagonal) provides dynamic support Bullish Order Block: $4,170-4,200 zone Bullish Case: A convincing breakout and close above 4,250 would invalidate the recent resistance and likely trigger stops from short sellers, potentially fueling a rapid move toward the R2 level at $4,290. The key word here is "sustain" we need to see buyers hold gains above resistance, not just spike through momentarily. Bearish/Consolidation Case: Failure to breach 4,250 could lead to profit-taking and a drift back toward the $4,200 level. A break below the ascending trendline would be a more significant warning sign, potentially opening the door to a test of the $4,170-4,200 order block. Loss of this support zone could accelerate selling toward $4,150. Breakout traders: Wait for a decisive close above $4,250 with strong volume before entering long positions, targeting $4,275-4,300 Range traders: Look for mean reversion plays within the $4,200-4,240 range Trend followers: Watch for trendline support holds for continuation long entries
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheGoldenCircle
MCX CRUDE OIL (DEC-25) — Bullish Trend Setup IdentifiedA fresh Bullish Trend Entry Zone has been detected on MCX Crude Oil DEC-25, indicating a potential upside continuation from the demand zone. 📈 Trade Setup 🟢 Entry Range: 5370 – 5390 🔴 Stop Loss: 5430 🎯 Target 1: 5270 🎯 Target 2: 5170 📊 Chart Explanation Crude Oil has recently shown strong accumulation behavior near the lower demand band. Price is now entering a bullish reversal range, supported by: Prior demand zone retest Higher-low structure Increasing bullish momentum Buyers absorbing supply near 5370–5390 This setup indicates a possible swing move towards the 5270 and 5170 zones. ⚠️ Risk Management Keep SL strictly at 5430 Position sizing is crucial as volatility remains high This analysis is for educational purposes—trade with discipline 📌 Summary Crude Oil DEC-25 is showing a clean bullish continuation structure. If price sustains above the entry zone, we may see a strong move toward the mentioned targets.
MCX:CRUDEOIL1!Short
by Adijohn
XAUUSD Positional Long with SL#Gold Positional Trade Outlook Gold is currently pulling back after a sharp rally, offering #positional traders an opportunity to build entries gradually with the target upto prev ATH or rejection. Price is approaching key demand zones, so follow a scaled stop-loss (SL) structure to manage risk effectively. Consider building positions in phases as price reacts to each support level: SL1: 4,008 – Early protective stop for light entries SL2: 3,930 – Medium-risk level for second build-up SL3: 3,886 – Deep stop for long-term positional holds Stick to disciplined risk management, add positions only on confirmations, and allow the trend structure to guide your exposure.
CFI:XAUUSDLong
by earnwhileulearn
XAUUSD is skyrocketing after the Adam & Eve pattern!OANDA:XAUUSD is really interesting right now. The price seems likely to rise further after the formation of the Adam & Eve pattern. With such an easy-to-remember name, the Adam & Eve pattern is one of the most memorable. Below, I’ll explain the reasons and how to easily recognize it. The Adam pattern is characterized by a sharp drop, followed by a quick recovery, forming a "V" on the chart. High, sharp, and aggressive! You could say it's more "masculine." On the other hand, the Eve pattern develops more slowly. The price becomes more rounded, forming a wider and smoother base before rising again, creating a shape similar to the letter "U." Softer, more curved, and more "feminine." Combining these two elements gives us the Adam & Eve pattern, which often signals a potential trend reversal. Especially when accompanied by fundamental analysis or other strong technical indicators. This pattern will stick in your mind when you connect its shapes to the male and female aspects. A pattern that's truly hard to forget.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LauraCharts
XAUUSD - GOLD - Trying to catch TOP is like chasing your crush# Here are the key factors currently supporting gold: Momentum remains bullish: #GOLD has gained as markets increasingly price in a potential Federal Reserve interest rate cut. Gold continues to be regarded as a safe-haven and hedge asset. Amid economic uncertainty, inflation concerns, geopolitical risks, and sustained demand from central banks and investors, gold retains its primary drivers. # Here are the key technical levels to watch over the next month: According to recent chart data: The immediate support region is approximately $4,110–$4,010, which serves as a pivot zone. A break below this level could lead to further downside toward $3,817–$3,683. On the upside, a breakout above $4,282–$4,325 could pave the way for a move toward $4,450–$4,550. Target-6 If the current bullish momentum persists and supportive fundamental conditions remain in place, gold may target the level marked as 6 on the chart. #Here are the factors most likely to influence the movement of XAU/USD in the near future: 1. U.S. interest rates and Federal Reserve policy. 2. U.S. economic data and inflation figures. 3. Strength or weakness of the U.S. dollar: Since gold is priced in U.S. dollars, a weaker dollar typically supports higher gold prices. 4. Geopolitical risk and global uncertainty: Global instability, trade tensions, or major macroeconomic concerns often drive investors toward gold as a safe-haven asset. Conclusion Gold will remain strong as long as key support levels hold and market sentiment remains favorable. With momentum in its favor, any dips are likely to present buying opportunities, while a clean breakout could initiate the next leg higher. ~ Disclaimer ~ High Risk Investment Trading or investing in assets like crypto, equity, or commodities carries high risk and may not suit all investors. Analysis on this channel uses recent technical data and market sentiment from web sources for informational and educational purposes only, not financial advice. Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing or trading. This channel, Render With Me, is not responsible for any financial loss arising directly or indirectly from using or relying on this information.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by renderwithme
1
Gold 4H – Can XAUUSD reject 4245 before diving into 4140?📈 Market Context Gold rallied as the U.S. dollar closed softer on repriced Fed rate-cut expectations, with market headline flow confirming USD finishes lower and gold rallies on renewed cuts timing debates — a setup that encourages external liquidity raiding before weekly direction is revealed. Forex Factory 4H conditions are classic for liquidity engineering: price trades near balanced mid-range flows, institutions exploit USD weakness into weekly open, and both buyer/seller pools are vulnerable to strategic sweeping before expansion. Expect volatility spikes around U.S. session opens and PMI headline catalysts. 🔎 Technical Analysis (4H / SMC View) 🟢 Buy Zone: 4140–4138 SL: 4130 TP targets: 4175 → 4200 → 4220 → 4250 → 4280+ Rationale: • Discount zone beneath 4H liquidity shelf • Demand mitigation + accumulation narrative after sweep 🔴 Sell Zone: 4245–4247 SL: 4255 TP targets: 4220 → 4200 → 4175 → 4150 → 4140 Rationale: • Premium supply above equal-high liquidity • 4H imbalance magnet below waiting to be filled ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Wait for M15 ChoCH / BOS confirmation before entries — avoid blind positioning. • Expect wider spreads and wick manipulation on USD headline releases. • Avoid trading 10–20 minutes before high-impact USD news (PMI, Fed speakers). • Scale partials at each TP level, let runners work only after confirmation is printed. Summary Gold remains in 4H rangebound engineering territory where Smart Money is likely to sweep premium above 4245, deliver a correction to 4140, then seek a validated bullish reaction from discount demand on confirmed USD volatility. Patience and confirmation first. Liquidity always wins. 🚀 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more weekly SMC setups
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Gold 4H – Liquidity Plays Ahead of Fed Minutes & PMI Data🥇 XAUUSD – Weekly Smart Money Outlook | by Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold continues to trade inside a controlled 4H consolidation as markets brace for a highly event-driven week: U.S. PMI releases, updated Fed guidance, and renewed debates over the timing of future rate cuts. Recent data has shown mixed momentum — softer employment trends but steady business activity — keeping the dollar volatile and gold reactive near mid-range liquidity. Institutional flows remain cautious, reducing aggressive positioning ahead of major macro catalysts. This environment typically leads to engineered sweeps on both sides of the range as Smart Money hunts liquidity before revealing direction. Expect short-term volatility spikes, especially around U.S. session opens and PMI releases. 🔎 Technical Analysis (4H / SMC View) • Price is navigating a minor bearish structure, forming lower highs while protecting deeper liquidity beneath 4020. • The recent 4H BOS + corrective pullback suggests the market may generate a liquidity grab toward the discount zone before any strong bullish leg develops. • A Premium Sell Zone at 4225–4227 sits above resting liquidity, making it an ideal region for stop hunts and short-term distribution. • The Discount Buy Zone at 4010–4008 aligns with structural reaction points, unmitigated demand, and a liquidity shelf — ideal for accumulation. • Mid-range liquidity around 4060–4080 may be swept before the market chooses a larger weekly direction. 🟢 Buy Zone: 4010–4008 SL: 4000 TP targets: 4085 → 4120 → 4175 → 4220 Rationale: • Deep discount zone beneath 4H liquidity • Confluence of demand + structural mitigation • High probability of engineered sweep before bullish expansion 🔴 Sell Zone: 4225–4227 SL: 4235 TP targets: 4175 → 4120 → 4060 → 4015 Rationale: • Premium supply above equal-high liquidity • Favors stop hunt + distribution before correction • Aligns with previous 4H rejection and imbalance fill ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Wait for M15 ChoCH / BOS inside each zone before entering — avoid blind entries. • Expect spreads and liquidity manipulation around news: US PMI, Fed speeches, and data surprises. • Avoid trading 10–20 minutes before high-impact events. • Scale partial profits at each structural target to secure gains and let runners develop. ✅ Summary Gold remains trapped in a structured 4H range where Smart Money is likely to sweep one side before delivering a decisive expansion. Discounted buys at 4010–4008 and premium sells at 4225–4227 remain the highest-probability weekly setups. Stay patient, respect liquidity, and follow confirmation. 🔔 FOLLOW @Ryan_TitanTrader for more weekly SMC setups 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Gold (XAUUSD)15-Min Chart Update | Support Zone Holding StronglyHello guys, Gold continues to respect its rising channel structure, moving between the rising support and resistance trendlines. After a minor correction, the price has once again bounced from the rising support trendline, showing strong buying interest near the lower boundary of the channel. This area around $4145–$4150 is acting as a short-term support zone, and as long as price stays above it, the bias remains bullish. A continuation of this move could push Gold higher toward the upper channel resistance near $4180–$4185. On the other hand, a clear breakdown below this support zone may trigger a quick pullback toward $4130–$4120, where fresh buying could appear again. Overall, the structure remains positive, and buyers are defending the support well. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing. Analysis By @TraderRahulPal | More analysis & educational content on my profile. If you found this helpful, don’t forget to like and follow for regular updates.
TVC:GOLDLong
by TraderRahulPal
Gold H1 – Will 4212 Hold and Drop to 4160 Today?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (27/11) 📈 Market Context Gold is currently trading within a rising institutional channel after strong H1 displacement. The market is compressing into a liquidity-rich consolidation phase — a classic Smart Money trap environment before engineered expansion. What Smart Money desks are targeting today: • Expectation of USD strength shaping bearish bias • Liquidity sweeps above internal range highs • Consolidation fakeouts to induce retail mis-positioning • CHoCH/BOS confirmation required before real directional move The chart shows equal liquidity zones positioned at premium (sell opportunity) and discount (re-entry buy region). 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (H1) Current state = Accumulation / Redistribution phase Liquidity map highlighted zones: • Premium liquidity zone: 4212 – 4214 (target for short trap) • Discount liquidity origin zone: 4165 – 4163 (higher timeframe demand re-entry) • Equilibrium / Chop zone: 4180 – 4195 (no trade unless displaced) • Trendline support: ~4173 region (must break for downside continuation) Expected sequence: Sweep → CHoCH/MSS → BOS → Displacement → Retest (FVG/OB) → Expansion 🎯 Trade Plans for Today 🔴 SELL GOLD 4212 – 4214 | SL 4222 Thesis: Liquidity sweep at premium highs before bearish displacement Entry activation rules (must wait): • Price taps 4214 liquidity pocket • Bearish CHoCH/MSS + BOS down on M5–M15 • Entry taken at FVG fill or order block retest after BOS Targets: 1. 4200 (first reaction) 2. 4187 – 4185 (BOS retest zone) 3. 4170 (channel mid-equilibrium) 4. 4165 – 4163 (H1 demand retest / profit core) 🟢 BUY GOLD 4165 – 4163 | SL 4143 Thesis: Discount origin tap for impulse continuation buy Entry activation rules (must wait): • Price sweeps into 4163 pool • Bullish CHoCH/MSS + BOS up on M5–M15 • Strong bullish rejection wick + FVG fill confirmation Targets: 1. 4185 – 4187 reclaim zone 2. 4200+ institutional expansion target 3. 4212+ premium revisit ⚠️ Risk Management • Avoid trading inside 4180 – 4195 unless displaced • Do NOT interpret sweeps as trend entries — they are traps • SL = structure invalidation, no averaging in consolidation • Reduce size during monetary headlines unless MSS confirms 📝 Summary Gold is currently in engineered liquidity mode. Expect either: • Sweep 4214 → MSS/BOS down → drop into 4163 discount retest, or • Tap 4163 → bullish MSS/BOS up → expand toward 4200 – 4212+ Today = confirmation-based execution only, not trend chasing. 📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD – Ascending Channel in Play, Upside Target Towards 4,240 Brian – Focusing on buying the dip, watching for short setups near upper resistance Market overview & structure On the H4 chart, gold is moving neatly inside a well-defined ascending channel, with higher highs and higher lows. The current leg is pointing towards the 4,237–4,240 region, which aligns with: The upper boundary of the channel. A key resistance zone. The 1.618 Fibonacci extension and resting liquidity above recent highs. This keeps the broader bias bullish, but as price approaches 4,240, the probability of profit-taking and short-term selling pressure naturally increases. Wave & technical context The current move is an extension of the previous bullish structure after price broke out of the old bearish channel and started to consolidate in a new bullish one. Liquidity levels around 4,193 and above suggest that the market has been building positions and has room to drive price into higher resistance. The buy zone highlighted near the lower boundary of the channel, around 4,154–4,157, is where buyers are likely to step back in to defend the trend. As long as price holds above 4,150–4,154, the scenario of a continuation towards 4,240 remains the higher-probability path. Key zones & trading plan Primary scenario – Buy with the trend inside the channel Buy zone: 4,154–4,157 (channel support + marked buy zone). Idea: Wait for a pullback towards the lower boundary of the channel, or a brief liquidity sweep into this zone, followed by a clear rejection candle on H1/H4 before entering long. Targets: Short-term: 4,190–4,200 (mid-channel / interim liquidity). Extended: 4,237–4,240 (major resistance + 1.618 Fibonacci extension). This is a trend-following “buy the dip” setup suitable for swing or short-term positional traders. Secondary scenario – Short-term sell from 4,237–4,240 Sell zone: 4,237–4,240 – the confluence of strong resistance and the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. Idea: If price tags this zone and shows clear rejection (long wicks, bearish reversal pattern on H1/M15), it may offer a counter-trend short back towards the mid-channel or 4,190–4,200 support. This is a short-term, counter-trend idea, so: Position size should be smaller than the main long setup. Stop loss should be kept tight above 4,240 and not dragged wider out of emotion. News & broader context Liquidity conditions may thin out towards the end of the day due to the ongoing Thanksgiving holiday period in the US, which can lead to sudden spikes and stop hunts, especially around obvious liquidity pools. On the political side, headlines such as Mr. Trump’s comments about “permanently suspending immigration from third-world countries” add to general policy uncertainty, but the impact on gold is mostly indirect through broader risk sentiment. Another interesting point: silver has been rallying strongly, supported by solar-energy demand and supply concerns. It is acting like a “silent workhorse”, attracting fresh capital. This does not remove gold’s role, but shows that precious metals as a whole are gaining attention. Strategy & risk management For now, my focus remains on buying dips around 4,154–4,157 in line with the ascending channel, and only looking for short, tactical sell setups if price clearly rejects 4,237–4,240. I prefer to avoid entering fresh trades when US liquidity is very thin or right into major holiday sessions, as spreads can widen and price action can become erratic. Once price closes decisively below the buy zone and breaks the channel structure, this bullish plan loses validity, and it is better to step aside and reassess rather than forcing trades. What do you think – does this channel still favour the bulls, or are you expecting a deeper correction from the 4,240 region? Feel free to share your view in the comments.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
GOLD XAU/USD – Testing Supply Zone! Possible Pullback SetupGold extended its bullish momentum but is now showing signs of exhaustion as it tests the 4190–4200 supply zone, where price has reacted previously. I’ll be watching for potential short opportunities near 4185, as long as 4194 remains a protective upside barrier. If sellers step in, possible downside targets are: 🔽 4178 🔽 4172 🔽 4168 Structure remains valid as long as the 4194 zone holds. A breakout above may invalidate the pullback idea and open the door for further bullish continuation. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a technical analysis idea for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Always manage risk and follow your own trading plan. Your feedback drives our content and keeps everyone trading smarter. Let’s make those pips together! 🚀 Happy Trading, – The InvestPro Team
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by InvestPro_India
1
XAUUSD Outlook: Recent Gains Have Been Quite Steady!The market outlook for XAUUSD remains clearly optimistic. The latest price movement has shown a steady recovery, pushing towards the upper boundary of the newly forecasted price channel. This presents another excellent opportunity to get involved. The market may be in the early stages of a strong new bullish leg. We could also see some consolidation or a short-term pullback before continuing towards the upper boundary, but I believe the second scenario is more likely. My target would be 4,350.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LauraCharts
Gold H1 - Can Gold reject 4167 and fall to 4133 today?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (27/11) 📈 Market Context Gold is trading inside an intraday consolidation after a strong H1 displacement. The session is now primed for liquidity engineering before the next leg. Key narrative drivers traders must respect today: • Stronger USD expectations continue to shape risk sentiment • Institutional desks frequently exploit sweep zones during consolidation • Range-bound conditions favor fakeouts → displacement → expansion mechanics • Headlines around U.S. monetary tone amplify intraday volatility The current chart highlights balanced liquidity both above and below structure, supporting a two-way SMC playbook. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (H1) Market is holding a rising channel, but internally ranging — a typical liquidity map scenario: • Buy-side liquidity pocket: 4180 → 4182 (premium extreme) • Sell-side liquidity pool: 4110 → 4133 (discount extreme / origin zone) • Internal equilibrium zone: 4150–4170 chop region (no-trade area) We expect this sequence: Sweep → CHoCH/BOS → Displacement → Retest → Expansion. 🎯 Trade Plans for Today 🔴SELL GOLD 4180–4182 | SL 4190 Thesis: Premium liquidity sweep above local highs before downside displacement. Activation rules: • Price sweeps 4182 liquidity • Bearish CHoCH/MSS + BOS down on M5–M15 • Imbalance retest / FVG entry after structure break Targets: • 4167 (nearest reaction) • 4150 (equilibrium raid) • 4135–4133 (discount retest) 🟢 BUY GOLD 4135–4133 | SL 4125 Thesis: Sell-side liquidity sweep into the origin zone before upside impulse. Activation rules: • Price taps 4133 pool (sweep below structure) • Bullish CHoCH/MSS + BOS up on M5–M15 • FVG fill / bullish rejection wick confirmation Targets: • 4155+ • 4167 (reclaim zone) • 4180+ (premium raid target) ⚠️ Risk Management • Do NOT trade inside 4150–4170 without clear displacement • Wait for CHoCH + BOS before execution • Treat the upper and lower zones as liquidity traps, not trend entries • Reduce size during news spikes unless structure confirms • SL = wave invalidation, no averaging in chop 📝 Summary Gold is in accumulation/redistribution mode. Desks may: • Run buy-side liquidity at 4182, then displace down → retest discount or • Sweep sell-side liquidity at 4133, confirm CHoCH up → expand with impulse Today is a liquidity session, not early trend chasing. Execute only after confirmation. 📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD – H1 uptrend channel, short-term downside risk increasingXAUUSD – H1 uptrend channel, short-term downside risk increasing Brian – Prioritize short selling at the channel peak, wait to buy back at lower support I. Strategy Summary Gold is trading in an uptrend channel on H1, but the rise around 4.160 shows signs of weakening, increasing short-term correction risk. Preferred Scenario: Short sell at the channel peak 4.162–4.164, targeting support areas 4.145 – 4.130 – 4.115 – 4.100. After the correction, the 4.100–4.080 area may become the foundation for the next rise in the larger trend. Important price areas to watch: 4.139 – 4.127 – 4.110 – 4.088. II. Macro Context & News 27/11 02:00 – Fed releases Beige Book This document updates the Fed branches' assessment of the US economic situation. Describing slower growth, cooling price pressures will further reinforce expectations that the Fed will soon cut interest rates → supporting gold. Conversely, if the Beige Book describes the economy as still “resilient,” the market may temporarily slow down pricing in rate cuts → causing a short-term adjustment for gold. 19:30 – ECB releases October meeting minutes If the minutes lean towards the scenario of keeping high interest rates longer, the EUR may be supported, indirectly affecting the USD and gold inflows. However, the impact is usually not as strong as US data, mainly affecting the overall risk-on/risk-off sentiment. General Context: Gold has surpassed 4.160 USD/oz as the market increasingly expects the Fed to cut interest rates as early as December, reducing the appeal of interest-bearing assets and increasing the allure of gold – a non-yielding asset. This creates a support foundation for the medium-term uptrend, but after a hot rise, technical adjustments on H1 are normal. III. Technical Structure – H1 uptrend channel The price is within the H1 uptrend channel, with rising peaks and troughs, but the upper area near 4.160 coincides with: The upper boundary of the price channel. The “Sell POC” area on the chart – where liquidity and sell orders are concentrated. Preferred scenario on the chart: The price may slightly rebound to the POC area 4.162–4.164, then be rejected and slide to the important support area around 4.110 before extending the adjustment down to 4.100–4.080. The lower trendline of the uptrend channel also acts as a short-term buy area if a clear candle reaction appears. Notable price areas on H1: Resistance: 4.162–4.164 (channel peak + POC). Intermediate support: 4.139 – 4.127 – 4.110. Deep support: 4.088 – 4.080 – 4.100 (area that may form the bottom for the next rise). IV. Trading Plan 1. Preferred Scenario – Short sell at the channel peak Idea: Short sell when the price rebounds to the upper boundary of the H1 uptrend channel and POC 4.162–4.164, expecting a correction to support. Sell: 4.162–4.164 SL: 4.168 TP targets: TP1: 4.145 TP2: 4.130 TP3: 4.115 TP4: 4.100 This is a counter-move order in the uptrend channel, only targeting a short-term correction, not a major trend reversal scenario. 2. Supplementary Scenario – Short buy at support trendline Idea: When the price hits the lower trendline of the H1 uptrend channel and a nice candle reaction appears, consider a short-term buy according to the channel, prioritizing areas: 4.139 – 4.127 – 4.110 – 4.088 Specific Entry/SL levels will depend on the actual price reaction at the trendline, but the general principle: Buy close to the trendline, SL placed below the immediate support area, TP aimed at the middle of the channel or the nearest resistance. V. Risk Management & Notes Do not open new positions right before or at the time of the Beige Book and ECB minutes release, as volatility may suddenly increase, widening spreads. The sell order at 4.162–4.164 is a short-term counter-trend order in the uptrend channel, requiring moderate volume and strict adherence to SL 4.168. If the price clearly breaks and holds above the 4.170 area, the H1 correction scenario weakens – in that case, stay out, wait for a new structure instead of trying to maintain a sell view.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
Gold H1 – Liquidity Plays as Hassett Leads Fed Chair Race🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (26/11) 📈 Market Context Gold opens the week reacting to fresh political headlines as Kevin Hassett emerges as the frontrunner for Trump’s next Fed Chair. This matters for gold because: • A hawkish-leaning Fed Chair pick typically strengthens USD and weighs on gold. • Markets may price in tighter policy expectations, increasing short-term bearish pressure. • Political volatility ahead of the official announcement often triggers liquidity grabs on both sides. With sentiment shifting toward a stronger USD, gold is positioned for classic SMC-style sweeps around key premium and discount zones. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H – Smart Money Structure) • Market Structure Price has tapped into a minor premium zone and is showing early rejection signs. Below, the 4140–4138 area aligns with intraday demand and the origin of recent displacement. • Premium Sell Zone (1H Supply) 4210 – 4212 • Sits above current buy-side liquidity • Clear premium relative to intraday structure • High-probability sweep zone before any downside displacement • SL region: 4220 liquidity pocket • Discount Buy Zone (1H Demand) 4140 – 4138 • Previous CHoCH origin • Aligns with discount retracement • Confluence with unmitigated internal demand block • SL region: 4130 sell-side liquidity • Liquidity Map • Buy-side: 4212 → 4220 • Sell-side: 4138 → 4130 Expect the typical SMC sequence: Sweep → CHoCH → Displacement → Retest → Expansion. 🔴 Sell Setup – Premium Reaction Entry: 4210 – 4212 Stop-Loss: 4220 Take-Profit: → 4160 (reaction level) → 4145 (mid-range liquidity) → 4140–4138 (discount zone retest) 📌 Only activate after a liquidity sweep + bearish CHoCH on M5–M15. 🟢 Buy Setup – Discount Reaction Entry: 4140 – 4138 Stop-Loss: 4130 Take-Profit: → 4160 (intraday reaction) → 4185 (premium edge) → 4210 (liquidity sweep target) 📌 Valid only after sell-side sweep + bullish CHoCH. ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Headlines around the Fed Chair nomination may create sudden USD strength spikes—wait for structure shifts. • Avoid trading inside the chop zone 4150–4180 without clear displacement. • Treat today as a liquidity-driven session, not a directional trend day. 📝 Summary Gold is rotating between premium and discount zones as markets digest news of Kevin Hassett leading the Fed Chair race, a development that could tilt expectations toward firmer policy. Institutional players are likely to hunt liquidity above 4210 or below 4140 before committing to direction. Key Levels Today (26/11) 🔴 Sell Zone: 4210–4212 🟢 Buy Zone: 4140–4138 Prepare for: Accumulation → Sweep → Displacement → Retest → Target. 📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
U.S. data storm ahead – Gold awaits its next breakout🟡 XAU/USD – Timing Reversal at 4188, FVG Retest Expected 🔍 Market Context Gold is approaching a key timing zone near 4188–4190, which aligns with previous supply and structural rejection. After a strong impulsive leg, liquidity resting above recent highs may be targeted before a deeper pullback into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone. The structure remains bullish in the medium term, but short-term corrective moves are expected before continuation toward the 4212 liquidity objective. 📈 Key Trading Zones 🔻 SELL Setup Entry: 4188 – 4190 Stop Loss: 4192 Target 1: 4090 Target 2: 4020 Expect rejection at timing zone — short-term bearish retracement into FVG. 🟢 BUY Setups BUY GOLD 4090 – 4088 | SL 4085 → Scalp long targeting 4140–4160 if price reacts strongly within FVG. BUY GOLD 4022 – 4020 | SL 4017 → Ideal deeper retracement buy zone aligning with structural liquidity & prior demand. 🧠 Trading Plan Logic Wait for price sweep & rejection at 4188–4190 before confirming short. Monitor FVG zone (~4090) for reaction to flip back long. The higher-timeframe target sits near 4212, aligning with liquidity above prior highs. ⚙️ Bias Short-term: Bearish correction from 4190 toward 4090. Medium-term: Bullish continuation toward 4212 after retracement.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Linda_OneShotTrader
Gold Awaits PPI & GDP – Buy Dips, Sell Rallies🟡 XAU/USD – PPI & GDP Data to Define Range Expansion 🔍 Market Context Gold remains range-bound between $4000–$4100, consolidating after last week’s liquidity sweep. This week’s key U.S. data — Core PPI, Retail Sales, GDP, and Core PCE — will likely dictate the next major move. Slight improvement in inflation and consumption data could strengthen the USD temporarily, but overall bias remains bullish mid-term as the Fed is expected to maintain a dovish stance into Q1. 📊 Technical Outlook (4H Chart) Main Sell Zone (Super OB): 4170–4200 → potential reversal supply zone. Fair Value Gap (FVG): 4130–4160 → short-term reaction zone if price retraces. Sell Zone: 4090–4095 → short opportunity aligned with intraday bearish structure. Buy Zone 1: 4024–4025 → minor demand, expecting internal liquidity sweep. Buy Zone 2 (Main OB): 4003–4001 → strong order block with multiple rejections; key liquidity pool. Structure: H4 BOS (Bullish) intact, suggesting a liquidity sweep before next expansion upward. 🎯 Trade Plan 1️⃣ SELL Setup – Short-term reaction from FVG Entry: 4090–4095 Stop Loss: 4100 Take Profit 1: 4055 Take Profit 2: 4040 Take Profit 3: 4025 ➡️ Reasoning: Price is likely to tap the lower edge of FVG and sweep local liquidity before a downside reaction toward internal range demand. 2️⃣ BUY Setup – First demand zone test Entry: 4024–4025 Stop Loss: 4022 Take Profit 1: 4065 Take Profit 2: 4080 ➡️ Reasoning: Expecting a short-term liquidity grab below the mid-range before bullish continuation. 3️⃣ BUY Setup – Main OB accumulation zone Entry: 4003–4001 Stop Loss: 3998 Take Profit 1: 4045 Take Profit 2: 4075 Take Profit 3: 4090 ➡️ Reasoning: Deep liquidity zone aligning with higher-timeframe OB. If macro data disappoints, this area can trigger the next impulsive leg to retest 4170+. 🧭 Overall Bias → Ranging bias before Core PCE → Buy dips – Sell rallies within 4000–4100 until a clear breakout post-GDP/PCE data. → Watch for false breakouts around FVG and maintain risk control before U.S. session releases.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Linda_OneShotTrader
Strong news chain could push gold to retest 4300🟡 XAU/USD – Weekly Trading Plan (Nov 23–29) SMC – FVG – Supply/Demand – High-Impact News Week 1. Market Context Gold is sideways in the H4 accumulation structure, forming higher lows along the trendline. Above are 3 important supply layers: OLD FVG 1 OLD FVG 2 Large FVG 4220–4300 the price needs to sweep liquidity & hit the supply zone before creating a new direction. 2. Strong News Schedule for the Week This week has a lot of USD news directly affecting gold: Tuesday (Nov 25) Core PPI – Retail Sales – PPI (4 consecutive red news) → strong volatility. Wednesday (Nov 26) Unemployment Claims Durable Goods → Core Durable Goods GDP q/q – GDP Price Index Core PCE (most important inflation news of the week) ➡️ This is the decisive day for the trend for the rest of the week. Friday (Nov 28) German CPI (affects EUR → USD indirectly) 🎯 News Conclusion: → Gold likely to fake move – sweep liquidity before running correctly. → Thin SL zones will be continuously hunted. 3. Key Levels (from the chart you sent) 🔻 SELL Zone (Supply – FVG) 4189 – 4191 (Main Sell) SL: 4195 This is a strong reaction zone for the week. 4132 – 4134 (Sell scalp) SL: 4138 🔵 BUY Zone (Demand – Trendline – SMC) 4906 – 4904 (main BUY scalp zone in the chart) SL: 3999 → This is the only zone clearly marked as BUY in the chart. Psychological level: 4000 – 3985 If the price falls → strong reaction to form the weekly low. 4. Weekly Trading Scenarios 🅰️ Scenario 1 – Price retraces to supply zone before dropping (most likely) Price is forecasted to retest 4132–4134 → 4189–4191 After hitting 4190 ± → potential appearance of: Bearish BOS H1/H4 Strong reversal to 4050 – 4000 🔻 SELL Plan Sell 4132–4134 (scalp) SL 4138 Main Sell 4189–4191 SL 4195 TP targets: TP1: 4090 TP2: 4050 TP3: 4000 🅱️ Scenario 2 – Price dips before news then surges (kill liquidity) If gold is pushed down before PPI/GDP news: Best BUY zone: 4000 – 3985 Form a low → surge back up to test supply. 🔵 BUY Plan BUY 4000–3985 SL: 3975 TP: 4050 4100 4130 🅾️ Scenario 3 – If 4200 breaks If 4200 is broken by a large-bodied H4 candle: ➡️ High probability gold will move up to test large FVG 4250–4300 → At that point, only look for BUY pullbacks, no more SELL.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Linda_OneShotTrader