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Silver at a Critical Inflection Point [25% DOWNSIDE EXPECTED]Silver has delivered a powerful rally this year , but key Technical Milestones will now complete. in the 72-75 zone 🔹 Multiple Cup & Handle targets achieved on the log chart 🔹 ~300% Fibonacci extension of the post-COVID move reached 🔹 Decades-long $50 resistance broken — a major structural event 🔹 Using price symmetry, $75 now stands out as a heavy resistance zone 🔹Possible Retracement zone: 46 to 54 📉 With pattern completion and long-term resistance converging, risk-reward strongly favors caution at current levels. Markets move in cycles — and Silver may be entering the next phase. NOT SEBI REGISTERED. ⏐ ALL VIEWS ARE PERSONAL⏐ NOT AN INVESTMENT ADVICE
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by RaoBros
Silver Intraday: Exhaustion Sell Near Upper Bollinger BandTrading Day - Monday (22nd Dec 2025) Entry : Sell Entry Zone: 208,000 – 208,200 Stop Loss: 208,760 Targets: MCX:SILVER1! T1: 207,000 T2: 206,000 Reason: * Upper BB rejection candle → momentum exhaustion * PSAR dots compressing → trend strength weakening * Vertical rally without pullback → correction likely * Red candle after strong green → profit booking sign * Price far above BB mid → mean reversion risk Risk: • Risk per trade < 2% • Avoid trade if SL hit or Wait for next Entry confirmation #Silver #Intraday #Commodities #RSI #PSAR #RiskManagement
MCX:SILVER1!
by saurabhf7
1
Gold 1H – CPI Ambiguity Sets Liquidity Traps Near 4400🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (22/12) 📈 Market Context Gold is trading near the upper boundary of a well-defined bullish channel as markets react to renewed uncertainty surrounding U.S. inflation data and the Fed’s policy outlook. Recent CPI-related commentary has reignited debate over whether inflation is cooling fast enough to justify near-term easing, keeping USD flows unstable and risk sentiment mixed. This macro backdrop favors liquidity engineering over clean continuation, with Smart Money likely targeting both premium and discount extremes to induce breakout traders before the next directional expansion. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Bullish structure approaching premium exhaustion Key Idea: Expect liquidity interaction at 4400–4402 (premium) or 4340–4338 (discount) before meaningful displacement Structural Notes: • Higher-timeframe bullish BOS remains valid • Price is pressing into buy-side liquidity near channel highs • Clear impulsive leg up created an unmitigated FVG above 4370 • Rising structure shows signs of short-term distribution, not confirmed reversal • Liquidity rests clearly above 4400 and below 4340 Liquidity Zones & Triggers: • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4400 – 4402 | SL 4410 • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4340 – 4338 | SL 4330 🧠 Institutional Flow Expectation: Liquidity sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG / OB retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4400 – 4402 | SL 4410 Rules: ✔ Sweep above psychological 4400 buy-side liquidity ✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15 ✔ Clear downside BOS with impulsive displacement ✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or refined supply OB Targets: 1. 4370 2. 4350 3. 4340 – extension if USD strengthens on CPI reassessment 🟢 BUY GOLD 4340 – 4338 | SL 4330 Rules: ✔ Liquidity grab into discount and channel support ✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirms demand control ✔ Upside BOS with strong bullish displacement ✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest Targets: 1. 4360 2. 4385 3. 4400 – extension if USD weakens amid CPI doubt ⚠️ Risk Notes • CPI-driven uncertainty increases fake breakouts • No entry without MSS + BOS confirmation • Expect volatility during U.S. session • Reduce risk around unexpected Fed or inflation headlines 📍 Summary Gold is trading at a decisive premium within a bullish structure, but CPI ambiguity keeps conviction fragile. Smart Money is likely to engineer liquidity at the extremes before committing: • A sweep above 4400 may fade toward 4350–4340, or • A liquidity grab near 4340 could reload bullish flow toward 4385–4400+ Let structure confirm — Smart Money reacts, retail anticipates. ⚡️ 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Why Gold Spikes Right When Everyone Gives Up!Hello Traders! Over the years, one thing I’ve noticed again and again is this, gold rarely moves when everyone is confident about it. In fact, the strongest gold spikes I’ve seen came at moments when traders were tired, bored, and emotionally done with gold. No excitement, no news, no hype. just silence and frustration. That is usually when gold decides to move. This post is about that exact moment most people miss. 1. The Phase Where Traders Emotionally Disconnect After a long consolidation or slow decline, gold starts testing patience more than levels. Daily candles become small, nothing seems to work, and traders slowly stop caring. People say things like “gold is not moving” or “nothing is happening here” and shift their attention elsewhere. I’ve personally learned to be very alert during this phase. When traders disconnect emotionally, the market often prepares its next move. 2. Giving Up Is Not Random, It Is a Signal When traders finally give up, they close positions without a plan, just to feel relief. This creates a wave of selling from weak hands. That selling provides clean liquidity for stronger participants to step in quietly. Gold does not spike because something suddenly improves. It spikes because selling pressure gets exhausted. 3. Why Gold Loves Emotional Extremes Gold is not driven only by fundamentals, it is heavily driven by emotion and sentiment. Fear pushes people into gold, boredom pushes them out. When boredom and frustration peak, price often stops falling even though sentiment stays negative. Whenever I see gold refusing to go lower despite bad sentiment, I know the story is changing under the surface. 4. What Retail Traders Usually Do at This Point Most retail traders stop watching gold charts completely. They move to faster markets or trending assets. They tell themselves they will come back “once gold starts moving again”. Ironically, by the time gold starts moving, it is already far from the level where patience was required. 5. How I Personally Read These Gold Spikes I focus more on behavior than prediction. I look for long periods where price goes nowhere but also refuses to break down. I pay close attention when volatility compresses and volume dries up. When price holds steady while emotions collapse, I don’t rush, I observe. That calm observation has helped me catch moves that looked sudden to everyone else. 6. The Spike Feels Sudden Only If You Were Not Prepared By the time gold spikes, accumulation is usually already complete. To emotional traders, the move feels random and unfair. To prepared traders, it feels logical and almost expected. Big moves never announce themselves loudly. They quietly prepare while most people lose interest. Rahul’s Tip Whenever I feel bored or frustrated watching gold, I pause instead of walking away. That emotional discomfort is often a signal, not a problem. If you can stay present when others disconnect, you automatically gain an edge. Conclusion Gold rarely spikes when belief is strong. It spikes when patience is gone and hope feels weak. If you understand this emotional timing, you stop chasing gold and start positioning before it moves. If this post felt relatable, like it, share your experience in the comments, and follow for more market psychology insights.
TICKMILL:XAUUSDEducation
by TraderRahulPal
4
How Emotions Destroy Profitable TradersHow Emotions Destroy Profitable Traders 🧠 How Emotions Destroy Profitable Traders | Trading Psychology Explained Most traders don’t fail because of strategy. They fail because they can’t control emotions. Even a profitable system becomes useless when emotions take control of decision-making. Let’s break it down 👇 😨 Fear: The Profit Killer Fear appears after losses or during volatility. What fear causes: Closing trades too early Missing high-probability setups Moving stop losses emotionally 📉 Result: Small wins, big regrets. Fear stops traders from letting probabilities play out. 😤 Greed: The Account Destroyer Greed appears after wins. What greed causes: Overleveraging Ignoring risk management Holding trades too long 📈 Traders want “more” and end up losing everything. Greed turns discipline into gambling. 😡 Revenge Trading: The Fastest Way to Blow an Account After a loss, many traders try to win it back quickly. Revenge trading leads to: Random entries No confirmations Breaking trading rules 🔥 One emotional trade often leads to many bad trades. 🤯 Overconfidence After Wins Winning streaks create false confidence. Overconfidence causes: Larger position sizes Ignoring market context Believing losses “won’t happen” Markets punish ego — always. 😴 Impatience: Silent Consistency Killer Good trades require waiting. Impatience leads to: Forcing setups Trading low-quality zones Entering without confirmation ⏳ The market rewards patience, not speed. 🧘‍♂️ How Profitable Traders Control Emotions Professional traders don’t eliminate emotions — they manage them. Key habits: Fixed risk per trade Pre-planned entries & exits Accepting losses as part of business Waiting for confirmation Trading less, not more 🧠 Discipline > Emotion 📊 Process > Outcome 📌 Final Thought If emotions control your trades, the market will control your money. Master your psychology, and your strategy will finally work. Trade the plan. Respect risk. Stay patient.
BINANCE:BTCUSDEducation
by XAU_EMPIRE
1
Gold 1H – Fed Chair Speculation Drives Smart Money Flow🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (16/12) 📈 Market Context Gold is trading in a liquidity-driven range as markets focus on today’s hot topic: NFP expectations and Fed rate-path uncertainty. Recent NFP previews highlight divergence between slowing headline job growth and still-sticky wage components, keeping DXY flows unstable. This environment typically favors stop-hunts and liquidity sweeps rather than clean directional moves ahead of confirmation. As a result, Smart Money is likely to engineer price into clear premium and discount zones before committing to expansion. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Post-expansion, consolidating after a CHoCH within a broader bullish context Key Idea: Expect a sweep into premium (4352–4354) or discount (4272–4270) before the next impulsive move Structural Notes: • Higher-timeframe BOS keeps bullish bias intact • Recent pullback reflects distribution/profit-taking, not a confirmed reversal • Equal highs above 4350 and sell-side liquidity below 4270 are clearly exposed Liquidity Zones & Triggers: • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4352 – 4354 | SL 4362 • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4272 – 4270 | SL 4262 Institutional Flow Expectation: sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG / OB retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4352 – 4354 | SL 4362 Rules: ✔ Liquidity sweep above recent highs into premium ✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15 ✔ Downside BOS with strong bearish displacement ✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or refined supply OB Targets: 1. 4325 2. 4300 3. 4285 – extension if momentum accelerates 🟢 BUY GOLD 4272 – 4270 | SL 4262 Rules: ✔ Liquidity grab below equal lows / dynamic support ✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirms demand takeover ✔ Upside BOS with impulsive displacement ✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest Targets: 1. 4285 2. 4310 3. 4350 – extension if USD weakens post-data ⚠️ Risk Notes • NFP-related positioning can cause false breaks — wait for structure, not the first spike • Avoid trades without clear MSS + BOS confirmation • Expect higher spreads and volatility during the U.S. session • Reduce risk if entering close to major data releases 📍 Summary Today’s gold setup is defined by NFP-driven rate uncertainty: • A sweep into 4354 may invite bearish structure back toward 4300–4285 or • A liquidity grab near 4270 could reload bullish flow toward 4310–4350 Let structure confirm — Smart Money reacts, retail anticipates. ⚡️ 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
1
Gold Bulls Eye Major Resistance – Can They Break Through?Gold continues to trade in an upward trend, recovering strongly from recent lows. On the 4-hour chart, price is moving closer to a falling resistance trendline, which has acted as a major barrier in the past. This makes the upcoming resistance zone very important for short-term traders. The next key resistance lies between $4250–$4265, where profit booking can be expected. This area has multiple technical confluences, and traders should monitor how price reacts here. A successful breakout and close above this zone could lead to an extended rally toward $4320–$4350. However, if price faces rejection from this trendline, a short-term pullback toward the $4120–$4080 support zone would be normal and healthy for the trend. Despite the short-term caution, the overall market structure for Gold remains bullish as long as the price stays above support. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing. Analysis By @TraderRahulPal | More analysis & educational content on my profile. If you found this helpful, don’t forget to like and follow for regular updates.
TVC:GOLD
by TraderRahulPal
4
Gold 1H – NFP in Control: 4355 Cap or 4260 Hold?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (16/12) 📈 Market Context Gold is trading inside a high-volatility liquidity environment as markets digest the NFP Preview: Rate Path Divergence & Implications for DXY and Gold. With the upcoming U.S. labor data set to shape expectations for the Fed’s 2026 rate path, USD flows remain unstable. Any surprise in employment or wage components could trigger sharp repricing in rate-cut expectations, directly impacting gold through DXY volatility. In this context, institutions are unlikely to commit direction early. Instead, liquidity engineering and stop-hunts around key premium/discount zones are favored ahead of true displacement. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Post-expansion, now rotating inside a rising channel and pausing near equilibrium Key Idea: Expect a liquidity sweep into premium (4353–4355) or discount (4262–4260) before the next impulsive move Structural Notes: • Prior BOS confirms bullish higher-timeframe context • Recent pullback signals profit-taking, not full reversal • Equal highs above 4350 and sell-side liquidity below 4260 are clearly exposed Liquidity Zones & Triggers: • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4353 – 4355 | SL 4363 • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4262 – 4260 | SL 4272 Institutional Flow Expectation: sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG / OB retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4353 – 4355 | SL 4363 Rules: ✔ Liquidity sweep above recent highs into premium ✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15 ✔ Downside BOS with strong bearish displacement ✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or refined supply OB Targets: 1. 4325 2. 4300 3. 4285 – extension if momentum accelerates 🟢 BUY GOLD 4262 – 4260 | SL 4272 Rules: ✔ Liquidity grab below equal lows / channel support ✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirms demand takeover ✔ Upside BOS with impulsive displacement ✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest Targets: 1. 4280 2. 4310 3. 4350 – extension if USD weakens post-data ⚠️ Risk Notes • NFP-related positioning can cause false breaks — wait for structure, not the first spike • Avoid trades without clear MSS + BOS confirmation • Expect spreads and volatility to expand during U.S. sessions • Reduce risk if entering close to news releases 📍 Summary Today’s gold narrative is driven by NFP-led rate path uncertainty: • A sweep into 4355 may invite bearish structure back toward 4300–4285 or • A liquidity grab near 4260 could reload bullish flow toward 4310–4350 Let structure confirm — Smart Money reacts, retail anticipates. ⚡️ 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Gold Strengthening as Bullish Structure FormsOANDA:XAUUSD is beginning to present a noticeably stronger bullish tone as the underlying price structure shifts upward. The most recent market interaction is particularly noteworthy as an early recovery phase has emerged, bearish momentum has weakened, and a series of low-volume candles highlights clear seller exhaustion. These characteristics often signal the early stages of a new bullish movement. From the current structure, my upside target remains the 4,330 region, a logical and well-aligned level within this developing trend. If price continues to build on this momentum, the next leg could become a clean and convincing extension of the broader bullish narrative we have been following on Gold. This setup stands out as highly compelling. The story is unfolding, yet it still requires patience and a confirmed signal to validate the upward potential. Although a deeper pullback cannot be completely ruled out due to the defined support zone below, I continue to favor bullish continuation as the forming structure clearly supports the upside scenario. Wishing you a strong and profitable trading session.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Luiss_Miguel
1
Gold’s Next Move: 4,350 Within Reach – Are You Ready?Hello everyone, it's Luiss_Miguel here! Gold is looking pretty interesting right now. As mentioned in the previous analysis, the price has shot up. But guess what? Right now, it's slightly pulling back, moving in the opposite direction to the previous uptrend, which looks like a familiar bullish flag pattern. In this case, there’s only one scenario that could play out, and when the price breaks out from the top of the bullish flag, it’s usually a buy signal, and the price could continue to rise. My target is 4,350. Do you agree? Leave a comment below. Joining the TradingView community is always helpful to improve and develop your trading skills.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Luiss_Miguel
Gold Weekly Trend: XAU/USD Ready to SurgeGold Weekly Trend: XAU/USD Ready to Surge Gold closes the week with a steady bullish profile, maintaining a structure that reflects strong positioning from larger market participants. The weekly flow shows a market that continues to rotate upward through liquidity pockets while holding firm during corrective phases. This week’s behavior indicates that buyers remain active on every controlled retracement, keeping the overall structure balanced and directional. The price continues to move in a sequence of expansion → stabilisation → renewed expansion, which is a common pattern when the market is preparing for sustained upside development. Underlying order flow suggests that Gold is still within a broad accumulation cycle at higher levels, where the market repeatedly absorbs sell-side attempts and transitions back into bullish pressure. The consistency of this pattern signals confidence from long-term participants and reduces the probability of a structural shift at this stage. As the week closes, the overall environment remains favorable for continued appreciation. Price is advancing in a measured, orderly fashion rather than showing signs of exhaustion. This steady progression typically precedes multi-week continuation phases, especially when liquidity objectives remain active above current trading levels.
TVC:GOLDLong
by XAU_EMPIRE
2
Gold 1H - Will 4287 Liquidity Cap Price or 4248 Reload Demand?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (12/12) 📈 Market Context Gold remains highly sensitive to political and inflation narratives after former U.S. President Donald Trump stated he “inherited the worst inflation in history” but now sees prices cooling rapidly. This rhetoric adds uncertainty to inflation expectations and future rate paths, keeping USD flows unstable intraday. For gold, this environment favors engineered liquidity sweeps rather than clean directional continuation, as institutions exploit both inflation hedging demand and short-term USD strength. On H1, price is trading inside a rising structure with clear liquidity resting above recent highs and demand stacked below the mid-range — a textbook Smart Money setup. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Expansion after BOS, now pausing into premium Key Idea: Expect a liquidity sweep into premium (4285–4287) or discount (4250–4248) before true displacement Structural Notes: • Prior BOS + CHoCH confirms bullish context • Price currently reacting inside a rising channel • Liquidity is clearly defined on both edges Liquidity Zones & Triggers: • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4285 – 4287 | SL 4295 • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4250 – 4248 | SL 4240 Institutional Flow Expectation: sweep → MSS/CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG/OB retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4285 – 4287 | SL 4295 Rules: ✔ Liquidity sweep above recent highs into premium ✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15 ✔ Downside BOS with strong bearish displacement ✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or refined supply OB Targets: 1. 4270 2. 4258 3. 4250 – 4248 🟢 BUY GOLD 4250 – 4248 | SL 4240 Rules: ✔ Liquidity grab below channel support / equal lows ✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirms demand takeover ✔ Upside BOS + impulsive displacement from discount ✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest Targets: 1. 4265 2. 4280 3. 4287 – extension if momentum holds ⚠️ Risk Notes • Trump’s inflation comments can trigger sharp sentiment flips → wait for structure, not headlines • Avoid entries without clear BOS + displacement • Don’t trade mid-range noise inside compression • Reduce size if volatility spikes during U.S. news hours 📍 Summary Today’s gold setup is pure liquidity engineering: • A 4287 sweep may trigger bearish structure back into 4250 or • A 4248 liquidity grab could reload bullish flow toward 4280–4287 Let structure confirm — Smart Money reacts, retail predicts. ⚡️ 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
2
Gold Breaks Key Resistance Bulls Take ControlGold has finally punched through the critical $4,240-4,250 resistance zone, now trading comfortably above this level. The breakout comes after a period of consolidation, which typically signals strong underlying momentum. This is a textbook technical setup where previous resistance should now flip to support. Key Levels to Watch: The path forward looks clear toward the psychological $4,300 level, followed by the all-time high at $4,380. As long as price holds above the $4,240 area, the bias remains bullish. A breakdown and close below this zone would be needed to invalidate the bullish structure and signal a potential reversal. Outlook: The technical picture favors continuation to the upside. Bulls are in control here, and any pullbacks toward the $4,240-4,250 zone could offer buying opportunities for those looking to join the trend.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by TheGoldenCircle
Bullish Structure Locked In — Gold Eyes 4,405Hello everyone, this is Luiss_Miguel! At the moment, XAUUSD is a textbook example of a market moving within a well-defined ascending channel, with price consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries of the structure. Recently, we observed a clear breakout above a key resistance zone, followed by a high-quality retest. This area aligns perfectly with the Golden Pocket of the previous bullish leg, making it a highly significant level to watch. If this zone continues to hold as support, it would provide a strong structural confirmation of the bullish trend, increasing the likelihood of price extending toward 4,405, which represents the upper boundary of the channel. As long as price remains above this supportive region, the bullish scenario remains intact. However, if price dips below it, short-term bullish momentum could weaken, potentially opening the door to a deeper corrective move. Always remember to apply strict risk management to protect your capital. Wishing you all the best — and trade wisely.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Luiss_Miguel
2
XAUUSD – Brian | After the rate cutXAUUSD – Brian | After the rate cut, Volume Profile still favours further downside 1. Market snapshot After the rate cut, gold saw a bounce but failed to sustain the upside and is still hovering below last week’s highs. In the Asian session, price only ticked up slightly before being sold off again – a sign that buying pressure is not particularly strong at these levels. Risk-on sentiment has returned and the USD is seeing a modest recovery, which is weighing on XAU/USD. That said, expectations for the Fed to maintain a dovish tone could still cap USD strength in the medium term. Overall, in the short term Brian still leans towards a downside move, preferring to sell into liquidity above rather than chase buys. 2. Volume Profile view – Key levels to watch On the H1 chart, Volume Profile highlights three main areas: VAL – Buy scalping zone: around 4,207 → Current lower value area, where a short technical bounce may appear. Liquidity / Sell zone: around 4,222 → Liquidity pocket above, lining up with VAH and a volume cluster – an attractive area to look for sells if price is pushed back up for a retest. Deeper buy zone: around 4,166 → Broader demand area below; if price flushes lower after sweeping liquidity, this is where dip-buying interest may show up. 3. Trade scenarios (for reference) Scenario 1 – Sell at the 4,222 liquidity zone (primary idea) Idea: Wait for price to retrace into the 4,222 liquidity zone and then look for rejection signals on H1/M15. Sell zone: 4,220–4,223 Suggested SL: Above 4,230 Targets: TP1: 4,207 (VAL) TP2: 4,190–4,185 TP3: 4,170–4,166 (deeper buy zone) This setup follows the current bearish bias, using the logic of “sell the rally into high-volume + liquidity zones”. Scenario 2 – Light buys at VAL 4,207 & buy zone 4,166 Scalp buy at VAL: Entry zone: 4,204–4,207 Target: bounce back towards 4,217–4,220 and then exit, not a long hold. Buy at the deeper 4,166 zone (cleaner level): Entry zone: 4,164–4,168 SL: Below 4,158 TP: 4,190 → 4,210 if a clear bullish candle reaction forms and the Fed does not turn overly hawkish. Both buy scenarios are purely short-term corrective plays, so position size should be kept modest as the main bias remains to the downside. Be patient and only start thinking about sells once price tags the 4,222 area – avoid forcing entries when price is stuck in the middle of the range. In summary: Selling around 4,222 is the primary plan, while buys at 4,207 and 4,166 are secondary strategies that only come into play if there is a clear reaction from Volume Profile and price action.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
Gold 1H – Will 4232 Liquidity Trigger Reversal or 4188 Hold Flow🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (10/12) 📈 Market Context Gold trades inside a politically-driven liquidity landscape after former U.S. President Donald Trump signaled that rate-cut willingness will be his litmus test for selecting a new Fed Chair. This comment injects uncertainty into interest-rate expectations, making markets sensitive to any shifts in forward guidance. Higher-for-longer fears remain intact intraday, keeping gold capped below premium zones while liquidity builds on both edges. On H1, price is compressing around mid-range with clean liquidity resting at 4232 above and 4188–4190 below—ideal sweep conditions before institutions commit to direction. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Sideways compression after BOS + CHoCH sequence Key Idea: Expect a sweep above 4230–4232 or below 4190–4188 before true displacement Liquidity Zones & Triggers: • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4230 – 4232 | SL 4240 • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4190 – 4188 | SL 4180 Institutional Flow Expectation: sweep → MSS/CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG/OB retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4230 – 4232 | SL 4240 Rules: ✔ Price sweeps the liquidity cluster above 4230 ✔ Bearish MSS/CHoCH on M5–M15 ✔ Downside BOS + clean bearish displacement ✔ Entry via FVG refill or refined OB retest Targets: 1. 4212 2. 4200 3. 4190 🟢 BUY GOLD 4190 – 4188 | SL 4180 Rules: ✔ Liquidity grab under 4190–4188 ✔ Bullish MSS/CHoCH confirms demand takeover ✔ Upside BOS + impulsive displacement from discount ✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest Targets: 1. 4205 2. 4220 3. 4230–4232 ⚠️ Risk Notes • Trump’s remarks may spark abrupt shifts in expectations → avoid entries without BOS + displacement • Don’t chase candles inside the compression channel • SL placement must respect structural invalidation • Reduce exposure if volatility spikes during Fed-related headlines 📍 Summary Today’s play revolves around two liquidity-driven scenarios: • A 4232 sweep triggers bearish structure, delivering into 4200 → 4190 or • A 4188 liquidity grab forms bullish MSS, expanding toward 4220 → 4232 Let structure confirm—SMC is reaction, not prediction. ⚡️ 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more Smart Money breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD – Brian | Volume Profile before FedXAUUSD – Brian | Volume Profile before Fed: watch for a rebound to sell down Market snapshot Ahead of the Fed's interest rate announcement, gold is moving sideways within a fairly wide range, not yet choosing a clear direction. In the H1 timeframe, the price fluctuates around the value area, making it very suitable for short-term trading according to the Volume Profile instead of trying to predict the meeting outcome. Volume Profile – Key price areas Nearest VAL: around 4.197 – the bottom of the current value area, where there was previous buying support. Above, the FVG area + VAH/POC cluster is around 4.210 – this is an "air pocket" area where selling pressure can easily appear when the price fills the liquidity gap. Below, the target for a downward wave if the Fed is not too dovish is around 4.13x (area 4.130–4.135) – coinciding with the old buy zone on the chart. Trading scenario according to Volume Profile Watch for a light Buy reaction at VAL 4.197 If the price slides to 4.197 and a nice rejection candle appears on H1/M15, a short scalp buy can be considered: Idea: capture the rebound from VAL back to the middle/top of the value area, do not hold the position long. Sell when the price fills FVG around 4.210 (priority scenario) After the rebound from VAL, the FVG area 4.210 will be where Brian prioritizes watching for a Sell: Reference sell entry: around 4.208–4.212 TP1: 4.185–4.180 TP2: 4.165–4.160 TP3: area 4.13x (4.130–4.135) if a strong sell-off occurs after the Fed SL should be placed neatly above the FVG/VAH area (e.g., 4.218–4.220), avoid setting it too far. Fed context – Why trade cautiously? The focus this week is the FOMC meeting: The market is waiting to see if Chairman Powell can create enough consensus to continue cutting interest rates with very few members opposing, similar to the previous 25 bps cut. If the Fed maintains a dovish tone → USD weakens, yields cool down, gold is likely to bounce back after the sweep. If Powell signals a "hawkish rate cut" (concern about inflation, cut less – talk tough) → yields rise, gold may complete a deep decline to the 4.13x area before stabilizing again.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
XAUUSD/GOLD JOLTS Job Openings News Projection 09.12.25Main Idea Gold is currently ranging between 4,191 – 4,210 zones. During JOLTS news volatility, price may either break upward or break downward from this zone. Your plan is a breakout + retest entry with a 1:3 Risk–Reward Ratio. 🟢 Bullish Scenario (Buy Setup) Conditions to Buy: Price breaks above 4,210 zone Retests the same zone and holds as support Enter after bullish confirmation Target: 4,250 zone Stoploss: Below 4,191 zone 🔴 Bearish Scenario (Sell Setup) Conditions to Sell: Price breaks below 4,191 zone Retests the level as resistance Enter after bearish confirmation Target: 4,163 zone Stoploss: Above 4,210 zone 🎯 Risk–Reward Ratio: 1:3 Both setups aim for a low-risk and high-reward breakout trade using news momentum.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by kripsonfx97
3