Commodities
Saudi Aramco Short Term ViewTADAWUL:2222
SAUDI ARAMCO breaks out of parallel channel after completing wave 3 extension.
Now I think it's in wave 4 the ideal correction measure for wave 4 is 38.2% of wave 3. maximum is 50% of wave 3. In this case it's possible that stock will correct to near 50%.
Now why 50% I'm saying is because there is strong support created on 14 jul 2022 at near 31.20 which will act as support.
See my next analysis for LONG TERM view.
Gold buyers attack 50-SMA with eyes on Fed MinutesGold price remains firmer for the fifth consecutive day while extending the previous week’s rebound from the 100-SMA within a nine-week-old bearish trend channel. In doing so, the XAUUSD buyers prod the 50-SMA upside hurdle while keeping eyes on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting Minutes, up for publishing late Wednesday. Given the quote’s sustained rebound from the key SMA, backed by the upbeat RSI (14) line and the bullish MACD signals, the price is more likely to cross the immediate hurdle surrounding $2,030, which in turn will allow buyers to aim for the aforementioned channel’s top line of near $2,052. However, a clear rejection of the bearish chart pattern, via sustained trading past $2,052, will open doors for the metal’s run-up toward the monthly high of near $2,066 and then the late December peak of around $2,088.
Meanwhile, hawkish Fed Minutes could derail the latest recovery momentum of the Gold price and drag it back toward the $2,000 psychological magnet. Though, the 100-SMA and bottom line of the previously stated channel, respectively near $1,997 and $1,986, would challenge the XAUUSD bears afterward. Should the quote remain bearish past $1,986, the late December swing low of around $1,973 will act as the final defense for the buyers before directing prices toward the November 2023 bottom surrounding $1,931.
Overall, the Gold price is likely to remain firmer but the bearish chart pattern and looming threat to the commodity bulls from the FOMC Minutes challenges the hopes of witnessing more upside.
XAUUSD SHORTFirst up all Thank you to everyone..,
now i fully completed SMC course with successful strategy...
We done a back test on that almost97% SUCCESS RATE...
Upcoming analysis based on that...
In GOLD we got weekly BUY CHOCH @01dec2023 (in Daily we got buy BOS)
And we got a HEAD AND SHOULDER formation @28dec2023(Daily)
1st buy correction 4H- sell CHOCH @17jan2024
2nd 4H-sell BOS @13feb2024
now the market @ 50% fibo of weekly of that sub-swing
In here we got 2 entry
2029(flip entry)
2031-2035 is the main sell entry
We took this entry bcz of our strategy works here..
IF THIS CROSS 2044
Next strong zone will be 2054(Flip entry)-2064(main entry)
i think it will RED ROSE soon
bcz 2044.5 is the H&S -trendline retracement
so this 2029-2032-2035 entry will be more strong one for sell
Targets based H&S (head top to neckline)
1st target 1986
2nd 38% target 1975
3rd 50% target 1950
4th 100% target 1860
BECARE FUL
DAILY sell CHOCH will be 1973 if cross and close down then only sell trend will be confirm in daily
Sweetness is about to get even sweeter with this sugar stockHello Traders and investors,
All sugar sector is in limelight since few years, but this stock has performed with an average in rally. But it seems consolidation has been over now and this is now ready to fly in blue sky. In this week volumes are high for delivery, it seems smart money has taken entry and i am expecting this rally should exceed from here. And guy's this is one of the very old company in India. EID Parry is engaged in Sugar, Nutraceuticals and ethanol production. It also has a significant presence in the Farm Inputs business including Bio pesticides through its subsidiary, Coromandel International Limited.
Market Cap
₹ 9,535 Cr.
Current Price
₹ 537
High / Low
₹ 628 / 433
Stock P/E
9.62
Book Value
₹ 375
Dividend Yield
1.77 %
ROCE
27.4 %
ROE
16.2 %
Face Value
₹ 1.00
Debt
₹ 878 Cr.
EPS
₹ 55.8
PEG Ratio
0.35
Promoter holding
44.5 %
Intrinsic Value
₹ 836
Pledged percentage
0.03 %
EVEBITDA
2.23
Change in Prom Hold
0.00 %
Profit Var 5Yrs
27.2 %
Sales growth 5Years
18.0 %
Return over 5years
19.8 %
PROS
Company has reduced debt.
Company has delivered good profit growth of 27.2% CAGR over last 5 years.
Disclaimer:- Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades.
Dear traders, If you like my work then do not forget to hit like and follow me, and guy's let me know what do you think about this idea in comment box, i would be love to reply all of you guy's.
Thankyou.
FOMC: driving force to help Gold prices increase!GOLDEN INFORMATION: In Wednesday's Asian trading session, the price of gold (XAU/USD) experienced a slight decrease and moved away from its two-week high of around $2,048-$2,049 reached the previous day. This decline is attributed to investors adjusting their expectations regarding the pace and extent of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve due to strong economic data from the United States.
As a result, the US Dollar (USD) remains strong, reaching its highest level since December 13 earlier this week, putting pressure on the value of gold. However, the recent decline in US Treasury bond yields may hinder strong betting on the USD by investors. This, along with concerns about geopolitical risks arising from tensions in the Middle East, could continue to support the demand for gold as a safe haven asset.
Investors may also choose to be cautious and wait for the highly anticipated monetary policy meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) before taking any significant actions related to gold, which currently lacks yield.
Personal opinion: The price chart according to technical analysis is supporting the Uptrend, the H1 frame is trading above the stable EMA, economic experts at today's FOMC meeting also support keeping or reducing interest rates and support gold's rise.
ADANIENERGYSOLUTION STOCKADANIENERGYSOLUTION stock is forming a bullish symmetrical triangle pattern in daily time frame and its previous volume also good for a up move. All the given targets are in chart and SL also.
Note : All the given ideas are educational purpose only do invest wisely.
@Nifty_50_ #adaniensol #energy #greenenergy #nifty #banknifty #stockmarket #nifty50
Gold / xauusd (Neowave Update)Degree full forms-
L1 stand for Long term wave 1 and so on
L1 stand for Medium term wave 1 and so on
s1 stand for short term wave 1 and so on
Hello Everyone
Welcome to Trading Idea, This is Short Term Forecast
Time Frame- 4hrs
# Gold has completed first cycle and we are in ending of wave 2
# Stoploss level for this or SC3 cycle will be 2059, till than we will have bearish cycles
I hope you are enjoying my forecast, if you love the content than kindly like and share it with your friends . Also keep following us for more neowave trading ideas.
Thank You
Medium Term Forecast
Long Term Forecast-
OIL | Investment Pick📊 DETAILS
Sector: Oil Exploration and Production
Mkt Cap: 38,539 cr
Oil India Ltd is engaged in exploration, development and production of crude oil and natural gas, transportation of crude oil and production of LPG. It also provides various E&P related services for oil blocks.
TTM PE : 6.56 (High PE)
Sector PE : 7.62
Beta : 0.77
📚 INSIGHTS
Strong Performer
Stock with consistent financial performance, quality management, and strong technical momentum indicating good investor enthusiasm. Currently valued at Good to expensive valuation
1.51% away from 52 week high
Outperformer - Oil India up by 9.75% v/s NIFTY 50 up by 9.39% in last 1 month
📈 FINANCIALS
Piotroski Score of 8/9 indicates Strong Financials
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only, and I'm not a SEBI registered analyst.
If you found this analysis helpful, I encourage you to like and share it. Your observations and comments are also welcomed below. Your support, likes, follows, and comments motivate me to consistently share valuable insights with you.
🔍 More Analysis & Trade Setups 🔍
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#NATURALGASNatural Gas started its impulsive wave from 22 june 2020 and complete a 5 wave stucture on 6june 2022.
After that it form a flat correction from june - October and then after form a X wave and now it continues in a zigzag correction whose A & B wave are complete.
Now it in C wave that has same corrector as a impulsive wave .
So go on short on every rise with stoploss of end of 2 nd wave (3.03)
This view is on weekly basis.
Gold breakout and followed history pattern.As we have talked in past post
#DXY is high and after CPI result it has break up side.
same for #USDINR #US10Y
Till it has chance to more fall and here i have added some supports in this post.
you can find your levels and analysis then take trades.
More to indian market has looks fall to come soon as it making pattern like that but all game of news and data which can changed anytime.
Best of luck. Have a great day.
Gold Price Action#DXY is going up
#CrudeOil is going up
#USDINR becoming weak
Vs #Gold in Indian rupee should be weak or might be seen correction or fall
Though on chart looks head and solder type pattern but also looks triangle patter which might give up side breakout. So do you homework before take trade in gold
Have a great day!!!
Gold teases sellers above $2,000 as US inflation loomsGold price stays pressured for the fifth consecutive day, licking its wounds around $2,018 early Tuesday, as traders brace for the all-important US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for January, scheduled for release later in the day. In doing so, the XAUUSD justifies the previous day’s downside break of a two-month-old rising support line, now immediate resistance surrounding $2,021. Also keeping the bullion sellers hopeful is the impending bear cross on the MACD. It’s worth noting, however, that the pre-data anxiety joins the nearly oversold RSI to challenge the precious metal bears. That said, January’s low of around $2,000 appears immediate support to watch for the metal sellers during the further downside. However, a downward-sloping trend line from December 15, 2023, forming part of a broad bearish channel, will challenge the bears near $1,990 afterward.
On the flip side, a surprise recovery of the Gold Price needs to stay beyond the support-turned-resistance line of nearly $2,021 to convince the intraday buyers. Even so, the 200-SMA surrounding $2,037 could test the XAUUSD bulls before giving them control. In a case where the precious metal remains firmer past the key SMA hurdle, the top line of an aforementioned channel, close to $2,058 at the latest, will precede a six-week-old horizontal resistance of $2,066 to gain the market’s attention.
Overall, the Gold Price is likely to extend the latest fall but the downside room appears limited. Also, the US inflation numbers need to defend the Fed’s efforts to push back the rate cut bias to keep the XAUUSD bears hopeful.
Gold (Neowave Cycles)Degree full forms-
L1 stand for Long term wave 1 and so on
L1 stand for Medium term wave 1 and so on
s1 stand for short term wave 1 and so on
Hello Everyone,
Welcome to Trading Idea, This is a short term forecast but trade always in direction of bigger cycles.
Any last minute update will be done on our tradingview live links.
I hope you are enjoying my forecast, if you love the content than kindly like and share it with your friends. Also keep following us for more neowave trading ideas.
Thank You
Short Term view-
Medium Term Forecast
Long Term Forecast
US OIL BULLISH MOMENTUM DETECTEDUS OIL faceing a trendline support on week chat
Hence a good opportunity for all forex and CFD user to grab this one
It will be bullish for more than 1 mongth
Due to week chat analysis
Hence analyse yourself for short-term trade
just buy side only
Market is bullish
So trade only buy side on your trade setup
Oil India Limited - Long Setup, Move is ON...#OIL trading above Resistance of 502
Next Resistance is at 774
Support is at 334
Here are previous charts:
Chart is self explanatory. Levels of breakout, possible up-moves (where stock may find resistances) and support (close below which, setup will be invalidated) are clearly defined.
Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. I am not SEBI registered. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
Gold ( Complete Neowave Update)Degree full forms-
L1 stand for Long term wave 1 and so on
L1 stand for Medium term wave 1 and so on
s1 stand for short term wave 1 and so on
Hello Everone,
Welcome to Trading Idea, today we are going to talk about gold in details and with this you will also learn how to trade neowave.
First this as you seen the above one is the medium term forecast or you can see them as map. This should be your trading idea for the next week or 2.
Why should we follow this, because long term forecast is suggesting this. As you can see gold price is still showing some space for correction. See Below
Long Term Forecast-
Apart from this you must be wondering is the below down cycle of S3 is started. so the answer is no. See below short term chart which is suggesting that cycles is still up with the key level of 2009.5
Short Term Forecast-
Also see the intraday cycles of gold-
Note- Explaining video will be updated in an hour.
I hope you are enjoying my forecast, if you love content kindly like and share it and also keep following us for more neowave trading ideas.
Thank you
09 Feb ’24 — BankNifty retraces and defends the Support LevelNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️
Recap from yesterday: “Nifty is by no means bearish, unlike BankNifty which slipped into the RED today. If BN continues the southward journey tomorrow, most likely N50 will have to follow suit.”
4mts chart
Nifty creates a double bottom (W pattern) in the 4-minute time frame. Although we did not retest the 21913 support/resistance level which we broke yesterday, the entire price action today showed no intent of bearishness. The interesting part of the opening 2 hours today was that Nifty gave a false impression of bearishness. We fell to a swing low of 21629 by 11.03 and then reversed today. The reversal from that point was approx 175pts - it did not come in a fast and furious manner, rather it was a steady climb.
What would have happened yesterday would just be a blip, the price action of BankNifty today makes us think so. Or else why would it rally 622 points ~ 1.38% and reclaim the support level today? NiftyIT on the other hand was looking weak today and was contradicting the other index heavyweights. CNXPSE, Metals, Smallcaps, Midcaps, and Energy traded in the RED today.
63mts chart
For Monday, we wish to maintain our stance of neutrality. To go long the resistance of 21913 has to be taken out and to go short 21615 has to be broken first and then 21491. Wish you a happy weekend.
XAUUSD ShortFOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
Keep trading
Hustle hard
Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading.
Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!!