Gold taking a breakAfter PPI data gold is taking break and we have seen a good correction from the buy move : In previous posts I was expecting more strength before a pullback, but gold price faced big resistance at 2715-21 zone.
Now if we draw the fib levels for this current correction that started form yesterday the zone 2700-06 is resistance area for bulls and bull need to claim this zone first to see higher levels and under this we can expect more decline.
In lower side the previous day close (2680) is the level that we have to watch on Intra day.
If price close H1 or H4 under this level then we can expect more decline in lower side.
The first support is PDL (2675) and next support as per Fib is 2669 (50%) and 2656 (60% retracement Level).
For Intra day we can watch these levels and can plan our trade accordingly and for Swing we have to wait for confirmation of possible low on weekly close (Or most probably in mid of next week).
Commodities
Gold claimed 2720 level now time to make a HHAs discussed in last two days posts gold is now claiming the 2715-21 area and reversed the correction phase completely, after CPI gold printed a good bullish candle and the day closed Just under this zone , now a breakout on this zone can push the price towards next resistance area with high volume (area at 2738-55) and can make a pullback from there , on pullback we can plan buy as marked on chart.
2715-20 area is good resistance and we have seen good rejection from this level today in Asian opening session, and breakout from this area can provide opportunity on Intraday Buy scalping , and next level for Intra day sell in scalping is 2738.
I am still watching and waiting for swing opportunity and expecting a swing buy in next week (around Dec. 17 to dec 20) till then scalping on Intra day levels is good.
Gold breakout from the ConsolidationGold price breakout from consolidation and now trying to move higher ,for the correction phase (2721 to 2606) price now successfully claimed the 50% pullback as per Fibonacci (2663) and now trading above this level , next major Fibonacci level is 60% pullback which is at 2677, if price claim this level on Higher TF (daily or H4) then price can extend this bullish rally towards psychological resistance at 2700, above 2700 we have the swing high at 2721 , so to reverse and to confirm the low in December bulls need to claim this level on HTF.
For Intra day we can use these levels for buying or selling as plotted on chart , and for swing we have to wait for confirmation of cycle low or have to wait for breakout from 2715-21 , till then it's better to wait and watch for suitable entry. Personally I am without any entry as of now, will update you my position once I get confirmation as per current PA.
Lloyds metals & energy getting ready - Commodity energy themeLloyds metals & energy has stellar fundamentals of more than 50% ROE over last 1,3,5,10Y and excellent double digits sales & profit growth as well. Double digit ROCE, high operating cash flow with improved and sustained profit margins since 2022. Power generation is a theme that's in progress and lloyds is part of this energy theme.
Volume isn't shown. Price breakout not happened yet but RSI broke out. Price would follow. Today gapup opening of 20 rupees visible in 15 min chart has also been filled.
Gold View On CPI weekGold price opened with a positive gap today due to geopolitical scenario but still trading under range (2620-50) , to get clear direction price need to breakout this range , we have some major data this week that going to add volatility on Intra day and can decide the next move for short term, as updated last week I am holding sell trade (Already closed multiple entries in profit last week) but still expecting more decline (technically) ; my average sell price is at 2652 and considering my SL at 2670-75(Exact stop level shared with golden Circle) range and want to book profit 2600 and below (2580,2530).
GOLD TRADING POINT UPDATE >READ THE CAPTAINBuddy'S dear friend 👋
Gold Trading Signals 🗺️ 🗾 Update Gold Trader's Today NFP High Impact of USD Technical Analysis Update Gold NFP open 2650 big up trand 2667 +2678
Trader's FVG back Down trand 😱 My Target 2540 Open New York sessions Gold Down trand
Resistance level 2665 2678
Support level 2621 2604 2540
Support 💫 My hard analysis Setup like And Following Me 🤝 that star ✨ game 🎯
CRUDEOIL 4HR ORDER BLOCK | LONG TRADEHi Trader,
This is crudeoil 4hr POI (point of interset) according to SMC (Smart Money Concept)
Buyers will come at this level. so i expect Buying from this level. 5636-26 After CHoCH (change of character) i will take trade with small SL..
Thank You..
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Note- Only for education purpose..
Gold Weakens Further as Market Awaits Fresh CatalystsGood morning, traders! In the early hours of Friday's trading session, gold continues to weaken, losing over 12 pips.
This decline reflects a temporary pause from bullish investors as they seek new drivers for upward momentum. From a technical perspective, the chart shows that while long-term bullish momentum remains intact, the current pullback appears to be nearing its conclusion. Support is forming around the $2,566 zone, followed by $2,630.
In the short term, gold may experience further declines as the market awaits directional clarity from news expected later in the day. On the other hand, the long-term bullish trend remains a favored bet, with key upside targets marked clearly on the chart.
Happy trading, and may your trades be profitable! Don’t forget to leave a like and share your thoughts about the outlook for this precious metal. Cheers!
Gold resuming the decline As discussed in last week posts and weekly analysis video also, price is resuming the decline cycle and seems like breaking down the rising wedge pattern, On Friday gold price tested the fib 50% level and now moving down , 2650-65 is the main resistance zone now and under this we can look for sell opportunities , today we have extreme narrow CPR which can add a very good one sided move, as I am holding sell trade from last week I am expecting a test near 2600 area first where I am planning to book profit partially from some positions because under 2600 we have weekly S1(2596) where we can expect a short bounce (but I do not want to buy as of now) and I want to hold rest of the sell entries towards 2530.
If bears managed to close the day under 2600 then this can add another confirmation for more decline.
Gold is in Range : Sell is still favourable Gold price is consolidating within the 2,620-2,650 range for the last five trading days, we have seen multiple attempts by gold on 2650 Level but failed to sustain above this level. Today also gold trading in a narrow range of 2634-2644,remaining near yesterday's closing price, On the hourly chart we can see that price is forming a tringle structure and breakout from this structure in any side can generate good move, as we are in correction so Probably, the main scenario is a continuation of the downward movement to 2620 and if breakdown from there then we can see price under 2600 soon.
XAUUSD todayHello dear friends, it's Samson here!
Gold prices continue to consolidate within a familiar range, as the market awaits a fresh catalyst to drive the next decisive move. What’s in store for gold, and what scenarios could unfold?
At the moment, sellers have hit the pause button, keeping an eye on key events like Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks, U.S. employment data, and the all-important CPI report. These indicators will shape expectations for the Fed's policy outlook. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, traders are currently pricing in a 74% chance of a 25-basis-point rate cut at the upcoming Fed meeting. However, nothing is set in stone, and until clear signals emerge, the market may remain locked in consolidation mode.
On the technical front, gold could build bullish momentum to test significant resistance levels amid favorable news. However, if prices break below the critical support at 2636 and sustain that position, a bearish wave could gain traction sooner than anticipated.
This is a pivotal moment for XAUUSD, as the market balances between anticipation and action. What’s your take on the current setup? Let’s discuss your thoughts, forecasts, or any questions you have—together, we can navigate these shifting dynamics!
Update XAUUSDSpot gold prices continue to rise as the US dollar weakens, making it more affordable for holders of other currencies to purchase gold.
Meanwhile, crude oil prices unexpectedly surged to $70 per barrel, adding upward momentum to gold’s price trend.
Another contributing factor is the announcement of martial law in South Korea. This has sparked concerns among financial investors about potential instability in the country, which could impact commodity prices and international currency markets. Consequently, many have increased their gold purchases as a safe-haven asset. These factors are fueling gold prices to climb further today.
EURUSD LONGFOREXCOM:EURUSD
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
Keep trading
Hustle hard
Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading.
Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!
GOLD--> The bears are gaining strength! Next target: 2600OANDA:XAUUSD is declining after a false breakout of the resistance range. The fundamental backdrop is mixed and still does not allow for a clear medium- and long-term strategy to be formed. But!...
Trump's tariff policy and rising geopolitical tensions are influencing metal prices. Against the backdrop of a strengthening dollar and expectations of a Fed rate cut, gold prices are declining and confirming the market's structure.
Looking ahead, all eyes will be on U.S. employment data as the country will release multiple job-related figures ahead of the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report on Friday.
From a technical standpoint, we have a trend to watch after leaving the rising channel support and the 2636 area, reflecting the prevailing bearish sentiment.
A breakout below 2636 could trigger aggressive selling against the backdrop of a newly strengthened dollar. However, the possibility of a retest of the area of interest before continuing the downward trend cannot be ruled out. Gold prices are expected to decline and reach levels of 2610 and 2596, respectively.
#Naturalgas important levelsMCX:NATURALGAS1!
This chart shows an analysis of Natural Gas Futures and gives us an idea of
where the price might go next:
1. Resistance Zones: There are areas around 283 and 287.5 where the price
struggled to go higher in the past. These are levels where sellers might
come in again.
2. Support Zones: The price has strong support at 271 and 267.4, which are
areas where buyers stepped in before to stop the price from falling
further.
3. Downward Trendline: The price is generally moving downward, shown by
the slanted line. If it can break above this line, it might signal the start of
an upward move.
4. Two Possible Scenarios:
Upward Move: If the price goes above the resistance and breaks the
trendline, it might head toward 287.5.
• Downward Move: If the price doesn't hold above support, it might
drop back to 267.4 or low
In simple terms, traders are waiting to see jf the price breaks above the
resistance (good for buyers) or falls below support (good for sellers) to decide
the next move.
Gold --> Interest in this metal is growingGold continues to hold strong as the dollar faces a correction, with liquidity gradually diminishing. Friday’s trading in the US could play a pivotal role in shaping market dynamics.
On the H1 timeframe, gold remains firmly within the boundaries of a local bullish channel, driven by the dollar's weakness, which stems largely from the ongoing inflationary environment. Adding to this momentum, the Federal Reserve's dovish stance on interest rate policy continues to act as a tailwind for gold prices. However, this factor appears to be taking a backseat for now.
Meanwhile, the market spotlight is shifting toward the policies of the new US administration, which are expected to bring significant changes to the global economic landscape. These shifts could push central banks to bolster their gold reserves, potentially igniting a surge in central bank gold trading activity.
With the fundamentals aligning for a bullish trend—supported by an ascending channel and strong macroeconomic factors—buying opportunities dominate the strategy. Ideal entries lie around the support zone (aligned with FVG levels) or upon a confirmed breakout above the resistance level. Price targets? Gold's climb toward 2678 and 2694 is drawing closer, signaling an exciting rally ahead!