XAUUSD is looking for DOWN.Gold is seeking for Big Players to short and to trap buyers from here. Retailers are trying to push gold above 1980 and even above 2000 but they(MM) have some other plans. Retailers did not come out from the mindset of buying, but there is still a chance for buyers if war escalates.
Fundamentally and Technically gold is down.
Stay updated!!
Commodities
Gold price recovery appears elusive below $1,975Gold price braces for the first weekly gain in three while defending the week-start rebound despite the previous day’s retreat from a convergence of the 100-SMA and a two-week-long falling resistance line, currently around $1,973-75 by the press time. It’s worth noting that a one-month-old horizontal area joins upbeat RSI (14) and bullish MACD signals to keep the XAUUSD buyers hopeful of crossing the aforementioned resistance confluence. Following that, the metal’s run-up to the $2,000 psychological magnet and then to the previous monthly high of around $2,010 will be imminent. However, the yearly high marked in May around $2,067 and the previous year’s peak of near $2,071 could challenge the bullion buyers afterward.
Meanwhile, a horizontal area comprising levels marked since early October joins the 200-SMA to highlight $1,931-30 as a short-term key challenge for the Gold sellers. In a case where the precious metal drops below $1,930, the 50% Fibonacci retracement of its October-November upside, close to $1,910, will precede the $1,900 round figure to act as the final defense of the buyers. It’s worth noting that 61.8% and 78.6% Fibonacci ratios, respectively near $1,885 and $1,850 could test the XAUUSD bears past $1,900 and before October’s bottom of $1,810.
Overall, the Gold price appears in recovery mode but the upside needs validation from $1,975 and the US data.
#USOIL intraday long trade setup Greetings Folks,
today I have prepared a setup of USOIL on TVC
the analysis is as follows-
-the price currently broke out of a range of equal highs, this is a good sign of bullish momentum
- the price is retracing right now, either it can take support from the 50% of retracement or respect the support zone i mentioned in chart
- the safer trade would be the latter one, i have marked the take profits also or you can also use pivot point indicator for exit
don't play with fire, always use a predefined stoploss
New week yellow: The trend of reducing the gameSamson greets everyone!
The downward trend in prices continues at the beginning of the new week. Currently, at the opening of the week, precious metals are trading around $1938. There are no new developments in the tense situation in the Middle East, and the USD continues to strengthen. The Federal Reserve has not clearly determined the possibility of an interest rate hike, which negatively affects the price of gold.
On the 4-hour chart, Gold is showing signs of a reversal and is trading below two downward trend channels. Therefore, the downward trend is playing a favorable role in the market this week. The expected support level for this decline is $1915.
Gold prioritizes short sellingSamson greets everyone!
Gold prices today are still being negatively impacted in the market as the US Dollar Index, which measures the fluctuation of the greenback against six major currencies, is at 105.685 points (a decrease of 0.09%). The "hawkish" signals from Federal Reserve Chairman Powell on Friday have weighed down gold, as this precious metal is currently lacking supportive factors.
The downward trend continues to serve as an opportunity for short-selling traders. There may be a slight recovery, but it will only play a role as a corrective trend because selling gold remains the top priority strategy in the current situation.
XAUUSD-Gold analysis-The Gold is not able to hold the 2000 mark, and after making the triple top, which is the bearish sign, now lands below the 1950 psychological level
-The LTP is 1937, which means again it will touch the previous week's low, which is near 1900-1880
-There is a slight bounce change near 1911-1905 for 1940-1950, but this is a short opportunity if the price remains intact at that level.
-The Fibonacci, 50 % of the uptrend, is near 1910-1908, so the chance is a slight dead cat bounce for the selling opportunity
- For long trade will near 1900-1980 with good risk reward
-Every rise is a short opportunity for sale if the price does not break the 1960 close.
Gold continues to decline?In the short term and based on the 4-hour XAU/USD chart, we can observe that the bullish side is once again testing the level of 1954 USD. However, a retreat at the level of 1953 USD would push the gold price to seek the resistance level of 1960 USD once again before further decline is expected at the level of 1945 USD.
Gold left 2000 USD again. What happens next?Today, the price of gold continues to move away from the $2,000 range, which it has been trading around since the beginning of the week. Currently, the precious metal is trading around $1,951. Here are some important pieces of information:
Factors contributing to the decline in gold prices:
- The current operating interest rate in the US is at its highest level in 22 years, at 5.25% - 5.5%.
- Another reason for the decrease in gold prices is the sharp drop in oil, which is closely related to gold. The price of WTI crude oil has fallen to $77 per barrel.
Despite the increase in the value of the US dollar, precious metals still attract the attention of major investors.
Technical analysis:
As predicted by Samson yesterday, gold has dropped below the key support level of $1,950 and has shown slight signs of recovery from this level at the start of today's trading session. However, the overall trend is still unclear. Gold needs to maintain its current support level in order to potentially return to $1,975. On the other hand, breaking the current support level could lead to a further decline towards the next support level at $1,933.
Gold price consolidated near the lowest level in three weeksSamson, hello everyone!
Currently, Gold (XAU/USD) continues its efforts to achieve any meaningful recovery in European trading session, currently trading at $1949. Some officials from the Federal Reserve this week have given mixed signals about the future path of interest rate hikes, which has led to money flowing out of the yellow metal, resulting in no profit since the beginning of this week. Furthermore, investors now seem less concerned about further escalation in the Israel-Hamas conflict. This is considered another factor contributing to the erosion of demand for safe-haven precious metals.
Expectations of continued decrease in US Treasury bond yields have weakened the US Dollar (USD). Additionally, market caution, along with China's economic difficulties, is believed to have somewhat supported precious metals and limited their downside. Traders are now awaiting the release of the US Weekly Initial Jobless Claims data for further motivation ahead of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's speech.
What is the last gold price of the week's trading session?Dear friends, Gold has put an end to its three-day downward trend. The escalating political tensions in the Middle East have increased the demand for safe haven assets like gold, despite the higher interest rates on US Treasury bonds. The XAU/USD price is currently trading around $1,958, showing a 0.03% increase for the day.
According to previous analysis, the current price of the precious metal is hovering around $1,960 and receiving support from the key level of $1,950. This next recovery phase, also known as the corrective wave in Dow Theory.
Support levels: $1,945.20, $1,933.20, $1,923.10
Resistance levels: $1,965.30, $1,978.30, $1,989.00
Copper trading idea (best for swing)copper is in side ways on the major time frame
for smaller time frame we can opt to trade buy low sell high tactics
on the lower time frame
we had a long upside trend then price went to small sideways days as a buildup it looks good
and on the contary there will be chance price creating a pullback
on the breakout from upside we will avoid as there will be bearish fair value zone to for short makers and only long can played on pullback with the help of fib we can figure out the right zone to go long
for further updates
ill post them in comments
Gold price tries to keep on the lowest level in two weeksHello everyone, Gold (XAU/USD) continues to decline for the third consecutive day on Wednesday, currently trading at $1966 and losing 0.12% for the day. However, the precious metal is trying to hold above the two-week low around the $1957-$1956 area touched on Tuesday as traders await clearer guidance on the Federal Reserve's interest rate path before making new bets.
Amid the risk of significant events, the US Dollar (USD) is trying to maintain a recovery from its lowest level since September 20 reached on Monday, which is believed to be putting some pressure on the price of Gold. This indicates that the overall trend in the stock market is more subdued, along with increasing concerns about worsening economic conditions in China, which may act as a favorable driving force and limit losses for XAU/USD as a safe haven.
Silver MCX: Downtrend Presents Potential Shorting Opportunity
Silver MCX is in a downtrend and could be sold around 70,555. Targets are 68,750 and 67,500. Place a stop-loss above the recent swing high.
Please note that this is just a trading idea and not a financial recommendation. It is crucial to conduct your own research and consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions.
Gold MCX Short Opportunity: Key Levels to WatchPotential Gold MCX Short Setup: A short position may be considered in Gold MCX if the price falls below 60620, with a stop loss set at 61150. Please note that this trade setup is only valid if the price does not breach 61120 before activating the short.
Disclaimer: Trading involves risks, and this is not financial advice. Always perform your own analysis and risk assessment before making any trading decisions.
XAUUSD Key Level for Intraday As per price action we can see that price is falling from the weekly open and printed 3 big bearish candles and bulls not able to push it above the pivot level, today also price trading under the daily pivot which is in bears favour.
For bulls watch current price zone (1945-52) it is support zone as per VP.
Next support level is at 1933 (Fib retracement Level).
on HTF there is no confirmation of buy and bulls have to wait for rejection/confirmation from lower levels and bears can keep selling till pivot level is safe on daily close
silver value buying levels the 3rd oct uptrend is more likely a pullback from the previous downtrend that we had analysed and played well
currently the price has reached to the fib golden zone of 0.6 and 0.7 and there is another confluence of previous rejection zone
price started making lower high and lower low
68000 - 67000 will be area of order blocks
lets wait for the price to react on this
Gold price today: Reduce shock?Samson, Hello every one!
The gold price did not surpass the resistance level of $1,990/ounce last night and had to decline. As of 6:00 AM on November 7th, today's gold price was trading at $1,977, a decrease of $8 compared to the previous opening price, and it has continued to decline to $1,970 at the time of writing.
In this context, the unexpected increase in the USD Index from 104 points to 105 points has caused the gold price to decline. This has led to the strengthening of the USD against six other major currencies, including the Euro, JPY, GBP, CAD, SEK, and CHF.
The rise in the 10-year US bond yield to 4.64% per year has motivated many people to invest in bonds. As a result, the flow of money into precious metals has been restricted, making them less attractive and causing a sudden decrease in their prices.
Outlook and trend analysis:
Gold is expected to continue declining with a projected decrease to $1,953 before any motivating factors drive the price back up.
What are your thoughts on this matter?
Gold price recovers slightly after the shock reduction!The price of gold is currently experiencing a gentle recovery after receiving support at the $1965 USD level, and is now trading at $1970 USD at the start of the morning session.
In terms of news impacting gold:
The new influx of US dollars has caused XAU/USD to drop to $1,956.65 per troy ounce on Tuesday, with the precious metal trading in the red at around $1,965 USD.
The US dollar is rebounding as the market becomes more uncertain, with Federal Reserve officials warning that tightening monetary policy due to speculative interest rates may not be over.
Speaking at various events, members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) agreed that inflation has eased but may require additional measures to bring it back to 2%. The financial market remains cautious despite the looming risks to economic growth at a record pace, putting pressure on gold and causing its price to decline!
In terms of technical analysis on the 4-hour chart:
Gold quickly dropped from the support level of $1980 and swiftly reached $1965 USD. Currently, the precious metal is bouncing back from the $1965 support level after forming a new bottom in that area, limiting the possibility of further price declines.
Latest gold update todayGold continues to decline, moving further away from the 2005 USD level since yesterday's trading session. At the time of writing, the price is trading at 1983 USD, providing clear evidence of the downward trend.
Forecast: The upward momentum of gold is being hindered by various factors, including loose monetary policies implemented by several countries worldwide.
The expected level for this decline is 1960 USD. Before any catalysts emerge to support a strong upward momentum once again.
Latest gold update today, should note what?Gold prices fell today in the context of the unexpected increase in the USD Index from 104 points to 105 points. This has given impetus to the USD to appreciate against 6 other major currencies, including the Euro, JPY (Japanese Yen), GBP (British Pound), CAD (Canadian Dollar), SEK (Swedish Krona), and CHF (Swiss Franc).
Meanwhile, the 10-year US bond yield reaching 4.64% per year has prompted many to invest in bonds. As a result, the flow of money into precious metals has been limited. Today, gold prices faced additional downward pressure.
On the other hand, investor sentiment is highly optimistic as most central banks are believed to have completed their interest rate tightening cycle. Additionally, the temporary easing of military conflict between Israel and Hamas has encouraged capital outflow from safe haven assets, including gold.
Exiting the uptrend channel has led to an impressive price decrease at the time of writing, with gold trading at $1974. In the near future and according to the 4-hour chart, the next target level could potentially be the support level at $1965.
Bull flag challenges Gold sellers, Fed Chair Powell eyedGold price remains pressured at the lowest level in two weeks, down for the third consecutive day, as market players await Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech. That said, a downside break of the 100-SMA joins the bearish MACD signals to keep the XAUUSD bears hopeful. However, a bull flag chart formation defends the commodity buyers unless the quote stays beyond the $1,960 level comprising the stated flag’s lower line. In a case where the bullion prices remain weak past $1,960, the 200-SMA level surrounding $1,921 will act as the final defense for the buyers.
On the contrary, the Gold Price recovery needs validation from the 100-SMA level of around $1,975. However, a confirmation of the next bull run could only be made if the XAUUSD manages to defy the short-term bearish channel pattern, forming part of the bull flag, by crossing the $2,000 round figure. Even so, the monthly high of around $2,010 and the $2,050 round figure might test the commodity’s upside before pushing them toward the yearly peak of $2,067.
Overall, the Gold fades bullish momentum ahead of the week’s key event. However, the chart formation can surprise the markets with a fresh run-up if Powell advocates one more rate hike in 2023.
Crude Short Sell LevelThe chart has the key level marked out. 85.70 will be a great level to short the commodity. The trend remains down though we have now reached a support and also the oscillators are oversold which will lead to some mean reversion. So best to wait for the level to be reached on the bounce and then short sell the commodity.