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Gold Stuck Between 4050-4100. Now What?Gold price is currently trading in classic range-bound behavior on the daily timeframe, with price action consolidating between the 4050-4100 area (On closing basis ) as marked by the rectangle on the chart. Based on the current technical setup, I'm anticipating continued consolidation for approximately 6-7 weeks from this point. However, this isn't likely to be a simple sideways move the consolidation is expected to carry a bearish undertone, meaning we may see more pressure toward the lower end of the range during this period. after mid-January, conditions appear favorable for a fresh buying rally to develop. This consolidation phase may simply be the market gathering momentum for the next leg higher, allowing for profit-taking and position adjustments before the next bullish impulse. While range trading can be tempting during consolidation phases,., buying on dips remains the more favorable approach.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheGoldenCircle
Gold Reaches Exhaustion Zone — Sell Momentum LoadingGold Reaches Exhaustion Zone — Sell Momentum Loading Gold is showing signs of upside exhaustion, with price repeatedly failing to gain momentum as it approaches the mid-range premium zone near the 4,245 area. The recent structure reflects a market transitioning from short-term recovery into renewed weakness, with each bullish attempt losing strength faster than the previous one. Order flow remains dominated by distribution behaviour, and the chart signals a potential liquidity sweep followed by a bearish continuation. The projected rejection zone suggests that buyers are running into an area of heavy supply, where institutional activity has previously triggered aggressive downside extensions. Volume distribution across the range also highlights diminishing demand at higher prices, reinforcing the likelihood of a downward rotation. As the market continues to respect its broader range ceiling, the probability increases for price to revisit deeper value regions. With momentum fading and the current leg showing hesitation, gold is positioned for a potential sell-side move toward lower mean-reversion levels.
TVC:GOLDShort
by XAU_EMPIRE
Gold Nonfarm: Buy OB 4030, Target Break 4111🔍 Market Context – November 20, 2025 Gold initially dropped nearly 70 pips at the start of the day but quickly rebounded sharply from the 4030–4032 zone, demonstrating strong buying pressure and a refusal to decline further. The market structure on the H1–H2 timeframe is forming a classic, well-defined Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern—a quintessential bullish reversal pattern—signaling a potential upward expansion if the neckline is successfully broken. 📅 Key News Events Today: 🇺🇸 Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) 📉 US Unemployment Rate 🏛 FOMC Meeting Minutes 🗣 Speeches by Trump, Barkin, Williams 🧾 Initial Jobless Claims ⚠️ These events could trigger sharp volatility and will determine the confirmation or rejection of the reversal pattern. 📊 Technical Analysis 🛒 BUY SETUP – Primary Priority ✅ Entry: 4030 – 4032 🛡 Stop Loss (SL): 4027 🎯 Take Profit (TP): TP1: 4039 TP2: 4047 TP3: 4059 💡 Rationale: Price bounced strongly at the OB + SSS zone. This is a crucial technical support area and the base of the Inverse H&S pattern. The objective is to break the neckline to trigger the uptrend. 🔻 SELL SETUP – Short-Term Strategy 📍 Entry: 4093 – 4095 🛡 SL: 4098 🎯 TP: TP1: 4088 TP2: 4077 TP3: 4060 TP4: 4033 💡 Rationale: This strategy is only applicable if the price forms a false breakout of the BSL zone and reverses. This is an ideal entry point for quick scalping if the market reacts negatively to the news. 🔑 Key Price Zones Buy Zone (OB + SSS): 4030 – 4032 → Strong demand zone, the base of the Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern, confirming the reversal signal if held. Breakout Neckline Zone: 4101 – 4111 → The neckline of the Inverse H&S pattern. Breaking this zone will open up opportunities for a sharp rise. Final Resistance Zone: 4133 – 4140 → The final target if the breakout is successful and the bullish pattern is confirmed. ✅ Strategy Conclusion 🎯 Main Strategy: Priority is to BUY in the OB zone 4030–4032. 🩸 SELL is only for short-term scalping if there is a signal of rejection at the BSL zone. 🕓 Caution: Be careful entering trades near the Nonfarm news release time—wait for price action to confirm the direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Linda_OneShotTrader
Gold is stuck in a wide range, ready for a decisive break.Good evening traders, Brian here with a fresh look at gold on the 2-hour chart. Price is compressing in a broad sideways range, building energy for the next leg – the break from this structure will set the tone for the coming sessions. Fundamental analysis The core driver remains the Fed’s December decision. The market is effectively split on whether we see a cut or a delay: A camp of institutions argues that rising unemployment and softer data could still justify a 25-basis-point cut in December, keeping pressure on the dollar and supporting gold on dips. Others point out that the Fed is short of clean, up-to-date data and may prefer to wait until next year before committing to an easing cycle. As a result, pricing for a December cut is roughly “fifty–fifty” and highly sensitive to the next run of labour-market and activity data. In short: the macro backdrop is undecided, so intraday direction will be driven mainly by levels and liquidity until the next data catalyst hits. Technical analysis On the H2 chart, gold is in a broad consolidation after the recent sell-off: Price is trading inside a descending structure, repeatedly respecting the short-term trendline from the recent high. The Fibonacci retracement of the latest impulse shows the 0.382 level lining up with a prior fair-value gap and horizontal resistance – this forms a key rejection zone overhead. Below price, there is a confluence of support where the rising trendline meets a small bullish FVG around 4027–4029, followed by a more important horizontal support band near 3998. The volume profile highlights a Value Area High (VAH) around 4075–4080, which is likely to act as a reaction zone if price rotates back into it. Until we break convincingly out of this structure, I treat it as a large accumulation range with a slight downside bias: sellers are still defending lower highs, but buyers are stepping in aggressively at trendline support. Key levels Resistance zones: 4080–4085 (VAH / short-term supply) 4135–4145 (Fibonacci 0.382 + FVG + structural resistance) Support zones: 4027–4029 (trendline + FVG confluence buy area) 3995–4000 (important horizontal support) 3940 region (deeper support if the range finally breaks down) Trade scenarios 1. Primary long – buy the trendline/FVG confluence Entry: 4027–4029 Stop: 4023 Targets: 4035 – 4050 – 4068 – 4080 Idea: look for price to react at the rising trendline where it overlaps with the small FVG. A clean rejection candle or shift in intraday order flow from that zone sets up a rotation back towards the VAH and potentially the upper boundary of the range. 2. Break-and-retest short – if the trendline fails Trigger: clear H1/H2 close below the rising trendline and the 4027 area Plan: wait for price to retest the underside of the broken trendline / prior support Entry: on rejection of that retest Initial targets: 4000, then 3940 if momentum accelerates This scenario treats any breakdown as a structural shift, using the retest as a lower-risk point to join the move rather than chasing the first leg. 3. Intraday scalp zones These are discretionary, short-term opportunities for active traders: Reaction sells: around 4085, and higher up if we spike into the 4135–4145 resistance band. Look for exhaustion or rejection patterns back into the range (potential targets 4060 then 4033). Reaction buys: into 3998–4000 if we see a liquidity sweep below the current range, with tight stops and quick profit-taking back towards the mid-range.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
Gold at a Crossroads: Up or Down?If we zoom in and carefully observe how the GOLD price is moving, it becomes immediately clear: The market has just shown a very strong upward impulse, but now something interesting is happening. The price is tightening and forming a small, narrow triangle, which indicates that the market is accumulating energy. In these situations, there are usually two possible directions, but given the clearly bullish context, I feel that a breakout to the upside is much more likely. What do you think? Do you agree with me? Leave your thoughts in the comments. And trust me, being part of the TradingView community will help you improve every day as a trader. Of course, this is not financial advice, just my personal view on the chart.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by LauraCharts
Gold H1 – Is This Just a Range or a Break Incoming?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (21/11) 📈 Market Context Gold continues to trade inside a compressed intraday range as markets react to the latest discussion on whether the Federal Reserve is likely to cut interest rates anytime soon. According to new reports, policymakers remain cautious, and early rate-cut expectations are fading as inflation progress slows. This shift pushes USD stronger, increases Treasury yields, and temporarily weakens gold’s bullish momentum. Key takeaways from the news: • Fed officials note that inflation is “still not where it needs to be,” reducing the probability of early rate cuts. • Markets have scaled back expectations for a Q1 cut, keeping USD supported. • Higher yields → tighter financial conditions → gold struggles to break premium levels. • Institutions are likely engineering liquidity grabs on both sides before committing to a new directional move. Price is currently sitting near the 4030–4045 zone, right above discount liquidity, waiting for a catalyst to break out of the short-term compression. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure) • Market Structure: Gold has completed a clear CHoCH + short-term bearish sequence and is now compressing into the discount zone around 4030. • Premium Sell Zone (4H Supply): 4128–4130 aligns with unmitigated supply + buy-side liquidity resting above internal highs. • Discount Buy Zone: 4030–4028 sits inside the last clean demand zone where a previous sweep occurred. • Liquidity Map: → Buy-side liquidity: above 4128–4135 → Sell-side liquidity: below 4028–4020 Institutions are likely to sweep one side before delivering direction. 🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone) • Entry: 4128 – 4130 • Stop-Loss: 4140 • Take-Profit: → 4080 (minor imbalance fill) → 4045 (range EQ) → 4030–4028 (discount demand retest) 📌 Execution rule: Wait for liquidity sweep into the zone + bearish CHoCH on M5–M15 before entering. 🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone) • Entry: 4030 – 4028 • Stop-Loss: 4020 • Take-Profit: → 4060 (short-term reaction level) → 4095 (inefficiency fill) → 4120 (premium retest) 📌 Valid only if price sweeps the 4030–4028 pocket and shows bullish displacement from discount. ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • USD strength may spike unexpectedly as rate-cut bets fade — reduce position size during volatility. • Avoid trading inside the 4045–4085 chop zone unless a clean structure break forms. • Manage trades aggressively once liquidity levels are taken. • Expect engineered manipulation during low-volume Asian hours. 📝 Summary Gold is compressing inside a narrow intraday range as markets reassess the likelihood of Fed rate cuts. SMC structure suggests a two-sided liquidity sweep before a decisive move: • Sell Zone: 4128–4130 (premium supply) • Buy Zone: 4030–4028 (discount demand) Expect classic accumulation → sweep → displacement patterns until macro conditions create a new trend. 📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more Smart Money updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD – Where Smart Money Strikes Today🌐 MARKET CONTEXT Gold enters today’s session after a period of controlled volatility, with price repeatedly reacting around key liquidity pockets but failing to produce a clean breakout. The M30 structure remains bearish, with price rejecting premium levels and forming consistent lower highs. Recent Drivers USD stays firm as markets maintain expectations of a slightly hawkish Federal Reserve Traders await upcoming mid-week data → low conviction, cautious positioning Overall sentiment remains neutral — no strong safe-haven pressures Session Outlook London Session: Likely to engineer early sweeps into premium supply zones New York Session: Higher chance of real directional expansion Bias: Bearish intraday until discount zones trigger a CHoCH (shift of character) Price is currently inside mid-range, so the safest setups remain at extremes where liquidity is concentrated. 📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (SMC + LIQUIDITY) Market Structure M30 Trend: Lower High → Lower Low sequence Equilibrium zone: 4068–4085 Inducement layers resting above 4147 and 4081 Liquidity Levels BSL: Above 4147 & 4081 SSL: Below 4033 & deep liquidity at 3993 Market continues printing engineered wicks, trapping impulsive traders Imbalances Bearish FVG: 4147–4148 → perfect for premium scalp sells Minor imbalance: 4081 Discount inefficiencies near 4033 and 3993 → ideal buy setups 🔑 KEY PRICE ZONES (Strong Logic + Clear Explanation) 4148–4147 ▶️ Premium Liquidity Trap – High-Quality Sell Zone This area holds an unmitigated bearish order block combined with buy-side liquidity. Smart Money typically uses this zone to trap breakout buyers before reversing sharply. 4079–4081 ▶️ Secondary Premium Sweep Zone – Fast Rejection Expected A mini liquidity pool just above equilibrium, designed for early-session stop hunts. Often triggers sharp intraday reversals. 4035–4033 ▶️ Discount Reaction Zone – Clean Scalping Demand This zone holds micro-demand + SSL resting below. Expect low-drawdown reactions ideal for quick intraday buys. 3995–3993 ▶️ Deep Discount Liquidity Pool – High-Probability Reversal Base A rich accumulation of Sell-Side Liquidity combined with HTF discount structure. Strong reversal potential if price reaches this level. ⚙️ TRADE SETUPS (High-Precision SMC Execution) ✔️ SELL SETUP 1 – Premium Rejection Sell Entry: 4148–4147 Stoploss: 4126 TP1: 4135 TP2: 4120 TP3: 4085 Logic: BSL sweep + bearish imbalance fill → sharp sell-off expected. ✔️ SELL SETUP 2 – Mid-Range Liquidity Sweep Entry: 4079–4081 Stoploss: 4087 TP1: 4065 TP2: 4048 TP3: 4033 Logic: Quick liquidity hunt above equilibrium followed by displacement. ✔️ BUY SETUP 1 – Intraday Scalping Rebound Entry: 4035–4033 Stoploss: 4027 TP1: 4048 TP2: 4070 Logic: SSL sweep → micro CHoCH → ideal for fast bullish reaction. ✔️ BUY SETUP 2 – Deep Discount Reversal Entry: 3995–3993 Stoploss: 3987 TP1: 4010 TP2: 4040 TP3: 4070 Logic: Major discount zone + liquidity buildup → strong reversal potential. 🧠 NOTES / SESSION PLAN Avoid mid-range trading — only trade at liquidity extremities Expect London fake-outs; real movement likely in NY Always wait for M5/M15 confirmation (CHoCH + BOS) Avoid buying in premium areas; avoid selling in deep discount zones Follow strict risk management — volatility may spike unexpectedly 🏁 CONCLUSION Gold continues to hold a bearish intraday structure, favouring premium sell setups at 4147 and 4081. Discount zones at 4033 and 3993 offer high-probability buy reactions and possible deeper reversals. Trade with patience. Execute only at liquidity extremes. Let Smart Money show its trap — then strike with precision.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Alicee_Trader
Gold XAUUSD – Fresh Resistance Tested Twice, Bears Eye 4057 PullGold gave us a clean reaction today, rejecting the 4107–4110 supply zone not once, but twice. That double tap reinforced a fresh resistance band at 4087–4095, where sellers stepped back in with intention. As long as 4012 holds on the upside, this resistance zone remains my short-term line in the sand. Any push back into 4087–4095 may attract renewed selling pressure, keeping the door open for a move toward 4057, with momentum potentially extending lower if sellers stay in control. I’ll be watching how price behaves on each revisit—structure remains king. Your feedback drives our content and keeps everyone trading smarter. Let’s make those pips together! 🚀 Happy Trading, – The InvestPro Team
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by InvestPro_India
1
The Gold Bullish Setup You Can't Miss!OANDA:XAUUSD The price is clearly approaching a critical support zone, one that has previously triggered positive reactions in the market. This zone also aligns closely with the psychological level of $4,000, which tends to capture the market’s full attention. Given the current momentum, there’s a strong possibility that buyers will step in and push prices higher. A confirmation, such as a solid rejection pattern, a bullish engulfing candle, or a long lower shadow, would significantly increase the likelihood of a rebound. If my analysis proves accurate, and buyers regain control, we could see the price rise to around $4,070. However, if the price breaks below this key support, it would negate the bullish outlook and could lead to further declines. Please note, this is not financial advice!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LauraCharts
XAUUSD – Battle Zones of the Day🌐 MARKET CONTEXT Gold enters today’s session after a period of compressed volatility, where price tapped both buy-side and sell-side liquidity several times without forming a decisive trend. On the M30 chart, the intraday structure remains bearish, with price consistently rejecting premium levels and forming lower highs. Recent Catalysts: USD holds mild strength following a slightly hawkish tone from the Federal Reserve Market is awaiting mid-week economic releases → leading to a cautious sentiment Risk appetite remains neutral with no strong safe-haven flows Session Expectations: London Session: Likely to generate early liquidity sweeps towards premium zones New York Session: Higher probability of seeing genuine directional expansion Bias: Bearish intraday unless price reaches discount zones and forms a CHoCH Price is currently trading within mid-range levels, making the extreme liquidity zones the safest points for execution. 📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (SMC + LIQUIDITY STRUCTURE) Market Structure M30 structure: Lower Highs → Lower Lows Equilibrium zone: 4075–4085 Inducement layers accumulating above 4147 and 4070 Liquidity BSL: Above 4147 & 4070 SSL: Below 4033 and the deeper pocket at 3993 Market forming engineered liquidity wicks on both sides Imbalance Zones Bearish FVG: 4147–4148 → strong scalp sell zone Minor imbalance: 4070–4071 Discount imbalances: 4033 and 3993 support buy setups 🔑 KEY PRICE ZONES (Clear & Attractive Explanations) 4148–4147 → Premium Liquidity Trap – Ideal Scalp Sell A premium zone combining an unmitigated bearish order block and BSL inducement. This area often triggers breakout buyers before institutions reverse the move. 4071–4070 → Secondary Premium Liquidity – Fast Rejection Zone A small liquidity pool above equilibrium designed to sweep early highs before price turns bearish again. 4035–4033 → Discount Reaction Zone – Scalping Demand A micro order block aligned with a cluster of sell-side liquidity. Provides clean, low-drawdown intraday rebounds. 3995–3993 → Deep Discount Liquidity Pool – High-Value Reversal Zone A major liquidity pocket aligned with higher-timeframe discounts. If price reaches here, a strong reversal is highly probable. ⚙️ TRADE SETUPS (SMC-Driven, High Precision) ✔️ SELL SETUP 1 – Premium Scalp Entry: 4148–4147 Stop-loss: 4126 Targets: 4135 → 4120 → 4085 Logic: BSL sweep + FVG fill leading to strong bearish rejection. ✔️ SELL SETUP 2 – Mid-Range Liquidity Sweep Entry: 4071–4070 Stop-loss: 4077 Targets: 4058 → 4043 → 4033 Logic: Sweep of mini BSL followed by downward displacement. ✔️ BUY SETUP 1 – Intraday Rebound Entry: 4035–4033 Stop-loss: 4027 Targets: 4048 → 4070 Logic: SSL sweep with potential for a micro CHoCH → clean bounce setup. ✔️ BUY SETUP 2 – Deep Discount Reversal Entry: 3995–3993 Stop-loss: 3987 Targets: 4010 → 4040 → 4070 Logic: Strong higher-timeframe discount zone → excellent reversal potential. 🧠 NOTES / SESSION PLAN Avoid trading in mid-range areas — only execute at the extreme liquidity zones Expect fake movements during London open New York session likely provides the main trend direction Wait for M5/M15 confirmation signals (CHoCH + BOS) Avoid buying around premium levels to stay clear of liquidity traps 🏁 CONCLUSION XAUUSD continues to hold a bearish intraday structure, favouring premium-zone sell opportunities at 4147 and 4070. Discount-zone levels at 4033 and 3993 remain high-probability areas for intraday bounces or deeper reversals. Trade only at liquidity extremes. Be patient. Let the market form the trap — and then strike with precision.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Alicee_Trader
Gold H1 – Sideway or Preparing for a Bigger Break?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (20/11) 📈 Market Context Gold continues to move inside a tight consolidation as markets digest fresh headlines: Treasury markets just erased hopes for a December rate cut and now even a January cut is doubtful, following hawkish tones revealed in the latest Fed minutes. This shift reinforces USD strength in the short term and pressures gold’s bullish momentum, keeping price trapped between well-defined liquidity zones. Key implications from the news: • The 6-month Treasury yield jumped back to 3.83%, aligning with hawkish expectations. • Rate-cut bets evaporating → USD stays firm, limiting gold’s upside. • Institutions are engineering both-side liquidity sweeps ahead of upcoming Fed speakers. • Gold is currently hovering around ~$4,070 inside a neutral zone where no clean premium/discount imbalance exists. Until the market receives fresh macro catalysts, price is likely to sweep liquidity at the edges of the range before choosing direction. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure) • Structure: Price remains inside a short-term sideways distribution after the recent CHoCH + BOS sequence. • Premium Sell Zone: 4145–4147, aligning with unmitigated supply + buy-side liquidity resting above recent highs. • Discount Buy Zone: 4004–4002, sitting inside last clean demand with previous sell-side sweep. • Liquidity Map: → Buy-side liquidity: above 4145–4150 (equal-high cluster). → Sell-side liquidity: below 4004–3997, where earlier long positions were cleared. 🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone) • Entry: 4145 – 4147 • Stop-Loss: 4155 • Take-Profit: → 4085 (minor imbalance) → 4045 (range midpoint) → 4004 – 4002 (discount demand) 📌 Execution rule: Wait for liquidity sweep into zone + bearish CHoCH M5–M15 before entering. 🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone) • Entry: 4004 – 4002 • Stop-Loss: 3997 • Take-Profit: → 4040 (short-term range high) → 4075 (inefficiency fill) → 4140 (premium retest) 📌 Valid only if price sweeps the 4000–3997 liquidity pocket and shows strong bullish displacement. ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Expect increased volatility as markets reposition after the sharp decline in rate-cut expectations. • Avoid trading inside the 4030–4080 chop zone unless a clear structure break occurs. • Reduce risk size during sudden USD spikes caused by Treasury-yield moves. • Trail stops progressively as each liquidity level is taken. 📝 Summary Gold is currently stuck in a clean intraday range as hawkish Fed minutes remove hopes for early rate cuts, pushing USD up and holding gold below premium supply. SMC structure favors liquidity-sweep setups at both edges: • Sell Zone: 4145–4147 (premium supply) • Buy Zone: 4004–4002 (discount accumulation) Expect classic manipulation → reaction → continuation patterns until the market resolves the new macro pressure. 📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more Smart Money updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Cup and Handle Detected: A Bullish Outlook for XAUUSDOANDA:XAUUSD is forming a very clear Cup and Handle pattern. Price previously dropped toward the 4000 region, rounded out, and then climbed back toward 4080, completing the cup structure. At the moment, the market is making a mild pullback and shaping a tight and well controlled handle. If price can break this resistance with strong momentum, the next target I expect is around 4150. Until a confirmed breakout appears, patience remains essential. No breakout means no trade. This is a classic bullish formation, and market expectations are gradually strengthening.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LauraCharts
XAUUSD: Likely continuation following pullbackXAUUSD has surged into a strong uptrend, and I predict that this momentum will continue, with a potential target around 4,150, as shown on my chart. The current price level may be a critical turning point. Here, the price could find support and continue to rise, or if it breaks below, we might see an extension of the downward trend. If I had to choose a direction, I would lean towards more upside, but the final decision should be based on price action to determine the next move. However, if the price breaks decisively below the trendline, it would invalidate the bullish scenario, indicating that the uptrend could pause or even reverse in the short term. These are just my personal views based on chart analysis, not financial advice. Always verify your setups and manage your risk carefully.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LauraCharts
1
#NaturalGas ($NG) Weekly Update — Trading at Breakout ZoneCMP: $4.400 +54% from suggested levels and +58% from lows. 🚀 Price trading in the key resistance zone $4.339–4.417. WCB > $4.417 = Symmetrical Triangle breakout → Falling Wedge target: $5.246 🎯 🛡 Supports: $4.067 / $3.803 / $3.625–$3.572 🚧 Major Resistances: • ST: $5.125–$5.630 • LT: $9.35–$10.00 Tight structure… breakout looks close. 🔥 #NG VANTAGE:NG #NaturalGas #Commodities #PriceAction #SymmetricalTriangle #FallingWedge #ChartPatterns #Breakout 📌 #Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
PEPPERSTONE:NATGASLong
by Stocks_Mario
Gold 30-Min Chart: Sellers Active Near Resistance!Gold is once again testing its falling resistance trendline, which has already rejected the price several times in recent sessions. Each time the price touches this trendline, selling pressure increases, showing how strong this resistance zone is. Currently, the price is near $4070–$4080, where short-term traders should stay alert. If the price fails to break above this resistance, a pullback toward the $4000–$3980 support zone looks likely. This area has previously acted as a strong demand zone, where buyers may re-enter. However, if Gold breaks and sustains above this trendline resistance, we could see a fresh upside momentum building up toward $4115–$4135 levels. For now, the structure looks weak near resistance, and traders should wait for a clear breakout or rejection confirmation before taking any position. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing. Analysis By @TraderRahulPal | More analysis & educational content on my profile. If you found this helpful, don’t forget to like and follow for regular updates.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by TraderRahulPal
1
GOLD H1 – Trump’s Fed Comments Shake Market Sentiment🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (19/11) 📈 Market Context Gold is trading in a tight corrective structure as markets react to breaking headlines that Donald Trump is considering removing Fed Chair Jerome Powell. This news injects uncertainty into Fed policy expectations, causing short-term volatility in USD and positioning gold at a critical decision zone. • Trump’s comments increase speculation about a potential policy shift, which may temporarily weaken USD sentiment. • However, gold remains capped below the premium supply zone as institutional flows continue to engineer liquidity sweeps. • Price is hovering near $4,080 ahead of key Fed-related discussions, keeping both sides of liquidity active. Institutional order flow suggests controlled accumulation at the discount range while premium regions remain defended by sellers. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure) • Structure: Price is forming a short-term distribution pattern after multiple BOS events from the 4150 breakdown. • Premium Sell Zone: 4109–4111, aligning with unmitigated supply and internal liquidity pockets. • Discount Buy Zone: 4009–4007, sitting inside a clean demand block + previous sell-side sweep. • Liquidity: → Buy-side liquidity sits above 4111, where equal-high clusters form. → Sell-side liquidity rests between 4007–4000, where earlier long positions were cleared. 🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone) • Entry: 4109 – 4111 • Stop-Loss: 4119 • Take-Profit: → 4055 (minor inefficiency) → 4028 (BOS retest) → 4009–4007 (discount demand) 📌 Execute only after a liquidity sweep into the zone + bearish CHOCH on M5–M15. 🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone) • Entry: 4009 – 4007 • Stop-Loss: 4000 • Take-Profit: → 4040 (short-term range high) → 4075 (inefficiency rebound) → 4105/4110 (premium retest) 📌 Valid if price sweeps 4007 and shows bullish displacement. ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Expect volatility as traders react to Trump’s comments on Fed leadership. • Avoid trading in the 4030–4080 chop zone without a clear structural break. • Reduce position size during impulsive spikes around USD sentiment shifts. • Trail stops once price clears each liquidity pocket. 📝 Summary Gold is being influenced heavily by uncertainty around Trump’s remarks about replacing Fed Chair Powell. Liquidity is building at both extremes, offering clean opportunities at the edges of the range. • Sell Zone: 4109–4111 (premium supply) • Buy Zone: 4009–4007 (discount accumulation) Expect a manipulation → reaction → continuation pattern as institutions play both sides of the current structure. 📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more Smart Money updates. 🎁 Gifts in BIO for traders who follow daily plans.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD | Bulls Hold Control Above 4070 - Eyes on 4090–4100 ZoneGold (XAUUSD) continues to show strong bullish structure, and price action above the 4070 key support reinforces buyers’ dominance. If price sustains above this level, the next upside liquidity area sits at 4090–4100 , a zone where previous reactions have occurred. Bullish Scenario: Holding above 4070 keeps momentum pointed toward 4082 and then the 4090 zone. The bullish outlook remains valid as long as price stays above 4059, which currently acts as intraday invalidation. What I’m Watching: A clean intraday consolidation above 4070 Momentum strength into 4082 Whether buyers can break into the 4090–4100 resistance pocket This setup highlights how the market could behave, not financial advice—just educational analysis. 📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Always manage risk and follow your trading plan. Your feedback drives our content and keeps everyone trading smarter. Let’s make those pips together! 🚀 Happy Trading, – The InvestPro Team
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by InvestPro_India
1
GOLD H1 – Hawkish Fed Pressure Ahead of Key NFP Data🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (18/11) 📈 Market Context Gold is trading inside a bearish corrective channel as markets react to hawkish Federal Reserve commentary and positioning ahead of this week’s U.S. NFP data. • Fed officials signaled a stronger stance against premature rate cuts, keeping USD supported and limiting gold’s upside. • Price continues to hover near $4,080, reflecting uncertainty as traders balance Fed tone with upcoming labour-market reports. Institutional order flow shows controlled downside pressure, with engineered liquidity sweeps forming around both channel extremes. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure) • Structure: Price remains inside a Bearish Correction Channel, creating consecutive BOS points, confirming distribution. • Premium Sell Zone: 4107–4105 aligns with a previous mitigation block + internal liquidity. • Discount Buy Zone: 3983–3985 sits at the lower boundary of the channel + liquidity sweep zone. • Liquidity: → Buy-side liquidity above 4107 (clean equal-high pocket). → Sell-side liquidity resting around 3985–3976, where prior long positions were removed. 🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone) • Entry: 4,107 – 4,105 • Stop-Loss: 4,117 • Take-Profit Targets: → 4,060 (minor imbalance fill) → 4,030 (BOS retest) → 3,985 (discount zone) 📌 Execute only after a liquidity sweep into the zone + bearish BOS on M5–M15. 🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone) • Entry: 3,983 – 3,985 • Stop-Loss: 3,976 • Take-Profit Targets: → 4,030 (short-term structure high) → 4,060 (inefficiency midpoint) → 4,105 (premium retest) 📌 Valid if price taps channel low + shows bullish displacement. ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Expect volatility as markets digest hawkish Fed remarks before NFP. • Avoid entering trades inside the 4020–4070 chop region without clear BOS. • Reduce position size during news hours. • Trail stops once price clears each liquidity pocket. 📝 Summary Gold remains pressured by Fed rhetoric, but liquidity is building at both extremes. • Sell Zone: 4107–4105 (premium mitigation area) • Buy Zone: 3983–3985 (discount liquidity sweep) Price is likely to form a manipulation → reaction → continuation pattern within the channel. 📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more Smart Money updates ⚡ 🎁 More insights & gifts on my TradingView profile.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Pressured Below 4050$ as Bears Target the 4,000$ Liquidity BreakGold continues to trade under heavy selling pressure, staying capped beneath 4,050$ and hovering just above the major liquidity floor at 4,000$. With fading expectations for a December Fed cut and cautious global sentiment, buyers remain defensive while sellers maintain structural control. 📊 Technical Outlook (H1) Price remains inside a tight 4,053$ → 4,000$ distribution zone, with the descending trendline keeping gold suppressed. The POC around 4,053$ is acting as a firm ceiling; every retest so far has been rejected. Fibonacci projections from the last drop highlight two major downside liquidity zones: 3,945$ → first liquidity cluster 3,876$ → deeper extension and key demand Current structure resembles a bear flag, hinting that the market may be preparing for another downside expansion. 🎯 Key Scenarios 1️⃣ Bearish Breakdown (Primary Scenario) If gold loses 4,000$, expect momentum to accelerate into: 3,945$ 3,876$ This remains the most probable path while price holds below 4,053$. 2️⃣ Liquidity Sweep → Short-Covering Bounce If price sweeps 3,945$ and forms bullish rejection wicks: A relief bounce could develop back toward 4,000$, Then 4,053$ (POC) And possibly 4,098$ if buyers gain traction. Still a corrective move unless bulls reclaim the upper structure. ❌ Invalidation (Bearish Bias Weakens) H4 acceptance above 4,098$ → would shift the narrative and force a reassessment of trend direction. ⚜️ MMFLOW TRADING Insight Gold is still trading below value and below the trendline — this is not a bullish environment yet. The market must either break 4,000$ or reclaim 4,053$–4,098$ before any stronger directional conviction returns. “Let the market show its hand. In a downtrend, weak rallies are opportunities — not reversals.”
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD H1 – Will Retail Sales Trigger Gold’s Next Big Move?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (17/11) 📈 Market Context Gold is trading inside a corrective phase as markets anticipate today’s U.S. Retail Sales data and several Fed speeches — both crucial for assessing whether inflation momentum is slowing or rebounding. • Weak retail numbers may hint at cooling consumer strength, supporting safe-haven bids in gold. • Strong data could revive USD demand, prompting sell-side setups from premium zones. Institutional flows show engineered pushes into inefficiency before a directional leg unfolds. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure) • Structure: Gold is forming a short-term accumulation at the discount range after consecutive bearish candles and a deep liquidity sweep below 4030. • FVG Sell Zone: 4140–4138 aligns with an unmitigated FVG + internal liquidity — ideal for sell-side reactions. • Discount Zone: 4008–4010 is the last clean demand zone + sweep area, matching the chart’s projected bullish inducement. • Liquidity: → Buy-side liquidity rests above 4140. → Sell-side liquidity remains exposed near 4000–3995. 🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone) • Entry: 4,140 – 4,138 • Stop-Loss: 4,150 • Take-Profit Targets: → 4,095 (intra-day imbalance fill) → 4,060 (previous BOS block) → 4,010 (discount accumulation area) 📌 Trade only after a liquidity sweep into FVG + bearish BOS on M5–M15. 🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone) • Entry: 4,010 – 4,008 • Stop-Loss: 4,000 • Take-Profit Targets: → 4,060 (short-term structure high) → 4,095 (mid-range inefficiency) → 4,138 (final premium reaction zone) 📌 Valid if price sweeps 4008 and shows bullish BOS + displacement. ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Expect volatility during the U.S. Retail Sales release. • Avoid chasing price inside the 4060–4100 chop region. • Lock profits at each liquidity level and trail stops. • Keep total risk under 1–2% per setup. 📝 Summary Gold remains in a engineered pullback phase with clear liquidity pockets at both extremes. • Sell Zone: 4140–4138 (FVG / premium reaction zone) • Buy Zone: 4008–4010 (discount accumulation zone) A clean manipulation–reaction–continuation pattern is likely before the next intraday move. 📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more Smart Money updates ⚡ Check out my TradingView profile for special gifts 🎁
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
GOLD DAILY TRADING 17/11: BUY TODAY🦁 THE GOLDEN ARENA – 17 NOV, 2025 “Rebound or Trap? Let the Orderflow Decide.” A visually striking TradingView plan – part narrative, part tactical map. This is not just a bias, it’s a battlefield strategy. 🧭 MARKET CONTEXT SNAPSHOT Price currently consolidating around 4076 – 4084, after clean breaks of structure (BOS) and a deep retracement. Significant supply zones confirmed at 4157 – 4180, where POC clusters, FVG imbalances, and volume absorptions align. Orderflow on M5–M30 shows fading buy pressure and aggressive sells into lower highs. 🎯 CORE STRATEGIES FOR TODAY 🔺 Scenario 1: Breakout Trap SELL (High Conviction) Target Zone 4178 – 4180 (Main Supply) Stop Loss (SL) 4185 Take Profit 1 (TP1) 4155 (Low volume node) Take Profit 2 (TP2) 4100 (Local support) Take Profit 3 (TP3) 4040 (Structural SSL level) 🔍 Why this setup? Clear liquidity pool above 4178 being targeted. Volume tapering off into the move → classic reversal signal. Footprint shows absorption candles at key supply. 🪙 Scenario 2: FVG Scalping SELL (Secondary) Entry Zone 4157 – 4158 SL 4163 TP 4100 – 4105 ✅ Perfect for short-term scalpers looking to ride the intraday rejection from the imbalance zone. 🟢 Bullish Reversal INVALIDATION (Failsafe Plan) Trigger Break and hold above 4185 Entry Breakout Buy above 4190 SL 4175 TP 4220 Only flip bullish if aggressive buyers step in + strong delta + profile breakout. 🧱 KEY PRICE ZONES TO MONITOR Level Description 4185 Stopline – invalidates Sell 4178 – 4180 Main SELL Zone (POC + FVG) 4157 – 4158 Minor FVG Scalping Area 4100 Micro support + Bull trap 4040 SSL – liquidity target 📊 VOLUME & ORDERFLOW INSIGHT M5–M30 Footprints: Massive seller imbalances from 4175+ Footprint at 4084 shows buyer exhaustion Volume Profile: High-volume node at 4178 acting as strong resistance Low-volume gap below 4155 → fast price travel zone Delta: Negative delta buildup confirming sell bias 💡 EXECUTION CHECKLIST ✅ Wait for entry trigger at marked zones – don’t pre-empt. 🚫 Avoid FOMO buy into supply unless 4185 is cleanly broken. 🔔 Set alerts at 4157 and 4180 for rejection signs. 🧠 TRADING MANTRA OF THE DAY "The chart speaks in structure, The volume whispers the truth, But the orderflow shouts the conviction." 📌 Bias: SELL on retracements toward supply → hold for 4100–4040 📌 Watchlist: Footprint aggression, absorption blocks, spoof traps
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Linda_OneShotTrader
XAUUSD Double Bull Flag — Danger AheadHello my dear traders, Laura here. This week, the market has been extremely tense, and the price action reflects it well. As I mentioned before, we are currently seeing the formation of a large bull flag. Just above it, a smaller flag is developing, and this smaller structure is the key trigger for any potential continuation. The bullish outlook remains valid only if this smaller flag breaks cleanly. The recent pullback dipped deeper than expected, which signals hesitation from buyers. When confidence fades, even a promising breakout can turn into a sweet trap that lifts briefly before falling sharply. Because of this, patience becomes essential. Before entering, we need a clear and decisive breakout that confirms strength. Specifically, we should look for a candle that breaks through resistance with firmness and clarity. If such a confirmation appears, the path toward the 4,300 level becomes structurally supported. On the other hand, if the price falls below the lower trendline, the bullish scenario is invalidated immediately. At that point, the setup no longer holds and should not be traded. For now, the principle is straightforward. No breakout means no entry. Stay disciplined and avoid letting the market pull you into unnecessary risk.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LauraCharts