XAU/USD Completing Wave Y: Final Dip Before RallyGold has completed its major 5-wave rise and is now finishing a corrective W-X-Y pattern. The recent drop looks like the final leg of this correction, meaning sellers are getting weaker. Price may show a small bounce up and then one last dip to complete the correction. After that final drop, a strong new uptrend is expected to start again. In short: correction ending soon, last dip big bullish move ahead.
Commodities
Silver breakout above ATH. What to expect next?Chart Analysis:
Silver gave a breakout above its all time high and major psychological level of 50$. All the technicals are very strong in the short run.
Looking at the monthly chart it looks like C recovery and breakout above major resistance without the H formation making the C&H pattern incomplete.
13 trading days still left for the monthly close and for the breakout to become valid if closes above 50$.
What next? :
Curently looks like a clean breakout on charts. Wait for the monthly close above 50$ which will then make the breakout valid. If the breakout is valid we will wait for a retest near the zone for fresh longs. If it doesn't close the the C&H pattern can come into play. Expecting some cooldown in the prices in the coming weeks but closing is most imp. Wait and watch is current scenario.
Key Levels :
Major Support : 50$/46$ Clbs
Minor Support zones : 48.5-48.6$/47.5-47.6$
Long Run View :
Buy on dips is the best strategy to play out in Silver making entries on crucial levels. Expecting Silver to outperform Gold in the long run.
Disclaimer :
I am not SEBI registered. This analysis is for educational purposes only and not investment advice. Please do your own research before trading or investing.
GBP/USD – 1H Chart...✅ Clear Technical Target Zones (GBP/USD – 1H Chart)
Target Price Zone Why it matters
TP1 1.3420 – 1.3440 Nearest major resistance + previous structure level + matches my first marked target
TP2 1.3485 – 1.3500 Next resistance zone + matches my upper target line + psychological round number
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⚠ Levels to Watch Below (Support)
Support Zone Why
1.3325 – 1.3340 Kumo (cloud) support + breakout retest zone
If price falls back into the cloud, momentum could weaken. If it stays above the breakout, bullish continuation remains valid toward TP2.
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Quick Plan (Based on the chart only)
✅ If price pushes above 1.3420 → TP2 becomes more likely
⚠ If price rejects at 1.3420 → retracement is likely first
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If you want, I can help my refine: ✅ Stop-loss zone
✅ Risk-to-reward
✅ Confirmation signals (Ichimoku + price action combo)
USD/JPY pair and asking for a target...USD/JPY pair and asking for a target, here’s what the technicals suggest — but keep in mind: this is not financial advice — my responsible for my trades.
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✅ What the technicals are showing
The pair is trading above its 50-week SMA, which suggests a longer-term bullish tilt.
A key resistance level is around 153.26. A breakout above that opens the way to higher targets.
If the breakout happens, one target cited is 158.80 (via a 161.8% projection).
On the flip side, if support fails (specifically ~145.47), the bullish case weakens.
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🎯 My suggested target
Primary target: ~ 158.80 — with the caveat that my need a clean breakout above ~153.26 to justify it.
Alternate scenario: If the pair fails to break convincingly and support breaks ~145.47, the target becomes a drop toward the support zone instead.
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🧠 Things to watch / trade‐management points
Confirm breakout: Look for a daily / 4-hour close above ~153.26 and increased momentum.
Risk management: If my entering now, consider placing your stop-loss below support (e.g. 145-147 zone) because a break there weakens the scenario.
Measure rewards vs risk: If my risk is large (large stop), the target must justify it.
Be aware of fundamentals: Events from the Bank of Japan (BOJ) or Federal Reserve (Fed) can shift this quickly.
Silver Futures (MCX) 4-hour chart Silver Futures (MCX) 4-hour chart, and my marked a resistance zone and a downward breakout below the Ichimoku cloud and key support.
Here’s what I can interpret:
Price broke below the Ichimoku cloud, confirming a bearish trend.
There’s a clear resistance area around ₹151,000–₹153,000.
The breakdown happened below the ₹145,000–₹146,000 level.
My marked a target zone below, with a downward arrow.
✅ Likely Target Projection
Using standard technical projection (height of range = target distance):
Resistance zone top: ~₹153,000
Breakdown zone: ~₹145,000
Height: ₹8,000
If we subtract that from the breakdown area:
Target = 145,000 – 8,000 = ₹137,000
🎯 Estimated Short-term Target:
₹137,000 – ₹138,000
This aligns with my chart’s “target point” mark.
If you want to be more precise, you could:
Watch for support around ₹140,000, which might give a bounce.
If that breaks, next major support zone = ₹136,000–₹137,000.
Gold Under Pressure: Critical Support Lost, 4040 Reclaim Needed Yesterday's session provided clear confirmation of the bearish pressure building in gold as price faced strong resistance around the CPR area between 4094-4108. The early Asian session rejection was particularly telling, as buyers simply couldn't get enough strength to push through this zone. What followed was a decisive breakdown below the psychologically important 4000 level, which had been acting as major support throughout the recent price action.
For today's session, CPR zone positioned at 4001-4040. This is now our critical battleground. Bulls need to reclaim at least 4040 (CPR TC) to suggest any meaningful recovery is underway. Without a clean breakout above this level, the path of least resistance remains to the downside, and bears are firmly in control of the near-term direction. The current price structure suggests sellers are gaining confidence, especially after yesterday's breakdown.
On the downside, the first intraday support level for today is to watch at 3933. This could provide a temporary bounce zone if we see continued selling pressure. However, given the momentum shift and the loss of 4000 support, we need to approach any long positions cautiously here. The market is clearly favoring the bears at this point, and it would take a significant shift in sentiment to change that dynamic in the immediate term.
My Position : I am still managing my buy entries and currently in floating loss ,max extension that I am expecting in lower side is at around 3800-50 area and that is manageable as per my current lot sizing.
Dual-phase trading — shorting the drop, then switching to long Gold is currently trading near $4,040, and my short-term outlook is bearish, followed by a strong bullish reversal in the coming sessions.
I expect prices to decline first toward the $3,800–$3,750 zone, which aligns with key support and previous demand levels. This correction phase would complete a healthy market reset before a potential major rally begins.
Once price stabilizes around $3,800, I anticipate a sharp reversal and breakout move toward $4,200+, possibly extending higher if momentum builds.
📊 My Plan:
Bias: Bearish first → then Bullish
Short-Term Target: $3,800–$3,750
Reversal Zone: Accumulate longs near $3,800
Upside Target: $4,200+
Invalidation: Below $3,740 (on 4H closing)
This setup favors patience and dual-phase trading — shorting the drop, then switching to long for the rebound.
XAU/USD (Gold) chart on the 3-hour timeframe...XAU/USD (Gold) chart on the 3-hour timeframe, I can see my using the Ichimoku Cloud and have marked a range with a potential breakdown area and a target point already indicated on the chart.
Here’s what the chart suggests:
Current price: around 4031 USD
Range low (support): around 4030 USD (which is currently being tested)
Range high (resistance): around 4190–4200 USD
Breakdown target (measured move): around 3940–3950 USD
📉 Analysis:
Price has broken below the range box, indicating a bearish breakout.
The Ichimoku Cloud ahead is bearish and thick, showing potential resistance.
A measured move from the height of the range (≈ 150–170 points) projects downward to around 3940–3950 USD.
My chart already marks 3944.299 as the target point, which aligns well with this projection.
✅ Target Summary
Type Level (USD) Comment
Short-term target 3,944 Measured move target after range breakdown
Extended target 3,900–3,880 Possible continuation if bearish momentum sustains
Invalidated above 4,090–4,100 If price re-enters the range and closes above the cloud
XAU/USD – 15-Minute Timeframe Analysis (Short Bias)Market Overview
Following the latest round of China–U.S. trade negotiations, market sentiment has shifted toward a more risk-on environment, reducing demand for safe-haven assets such as gold. As optimism surrounding the talks strengthens the U.S. dollar, gold prices have continued to decline during the Asian and early European sessions.
Technical Outlook
On the 15-minute timeframe, XAU/USD maintains a clear short-term bearish structure, characterized by consecutive lower highs and lower lows. The pair is currently trading below key moving averages, reinforcing the prevailing downward momentum.
A potential retracement toward intraday resistance could present a favorable opportunity for short positions, provided that bearish price action confirms rejection at that level.
Key Resistance: 2360 – 2365 zone (previous support turned resistance)
Immediate Support: 2348 – 2350 zone
Extended Support Target: 2338 – 2340
XAUUSD Intraday Trade Plan | Buy @ 4060Gold (XAUUSD) is attempting to hold above the 4060 support zone — a key level that acted as a strong base in previous sessions.
If this level continues to hold, we could see a potential bullish rebound in the intraday session.
📊 Trade Setup:
Buy Zone: 4060 – 4062
Stop Loss: 4052
Target 1: 4075
Target 2: 4090
💡 Analysis:
Price action is showing signs of demand re-entering near the 4060 level, suggesting buyers are defending this zone.
A clean break and hold above 4070 could trigger momentum toward 4090.
However, a breakdown below 4052 would invalidate the setup.
🧭 Bias: Intraday Bullish (above 4060)
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Manage your risk accordingly.
Strange Observation between NIFTY and GOLD...Since August 1, 1991: When ever NIFTY and GOLD return are same NIFTY gives handsome return in coming months.
Good examples of above statement are years 2003, 2009, 2013 and 2020.
Since August 1, 1991: NIFTY has given approx 4200% return and GOLD has given approx 2750% return. Difference in return is approx 1450%.
Going by the above observation either NIFTY has to come down or GOLD has to go up (or both) for NIFTY to give handsome return.
NOTE: This is just a strange observation/correlation.
Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. I am not SEBI registered. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
30-Year Downtrend Tested — Can Gold Break the Chain?🥇 #GOLD/#NIFTY Ratio (Yearly Chart)
📊 What Is the GOLD/NIFTY Ratio?
This ratio tracks how Gold performs vs. Indian equities (NIFTY) over time.
📈 Ratio ⬆️ → Gold outperforming NIFTY
📉 Ratio ⬇️ → NIFTY outperforming Gold
📍 Current Market Setup:
Trading inside a long-term falling channel (35 years) - consistent lower highs & lower lows
Recently made a strong rebound from the lower boundary, but the LH–LL structure remains valid
📈 Trend Insight:
✅ Primary Trend: Long-term downtrend (favoring equities)
⚠️ Short-Term: Momentum turning positive — possible medium-term Gold strength
💡 Still below major resistance , so reversal not yet confirmed
🧭 Possible Scenarios:
✅ Continued bounce → Gold may outperform for a while
❌ Rejection from channel top → NIFTY likely resumes dominance
⏳ Neutral for now → Watch for breakout or rejection from top of the falling channel
🏁 Macro Takeaway:
The GOLD/NIFTY ratio sits at a critical long-term zone .
A breakout could mark a major rotation from equities to Gold, while rejection keeps the equity uptrend intact .
Smart investors can use this ratio to balance equity vs. Gold exposure over long cycles. ⚖️
#GoldVsEquity | #NiftyVsGold | #AssetAllocation | #InvestSmart | #Nifty50 | #GoldInvestment | #TechnicalAnalysis | #MarketTrends | #WealthBuilding | #LongTermInvesting
GBP/JPY (British Pound / Japanese Yen) 1-hour chartGBP/JPY (British Pound / Japanese Yen) 1-hour chart, I have drawn a rising wedge pattern — which is typically a bearish reversal setup once the lower trendline breaks.
Here’s the detailed target analysis:
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📉 Current price:
Around 203.50
⚠ Breakdown level (support zone):
Around 203.20 – 203.00
If the price closes below this zone, the bearish move is confirmed.
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🎯 Target 1 (short-term target):
≈ 202.20 – 202.30
This aligns with my first target point marked on the chart — the initial measured move from the wedge height.
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🎯 Target 2 (extended / full move):
≈ 201.20 – 201.30
This matches my second target point — the full measured projection of the wedge pattern.
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✅ Summary:
Level Description Zone
🔻 Breakdown Point Confirm sell below 203.20 – 203.00
🎯 Target 1 First profit level 202.20 – 202.30
🎯 Target 2 Final profit level 201.20 – 201.30
⛔ Stop-loss Above recent high 204.00 – 204.20
ETH/USDT (Ethereum vs Tether) on the 2-hour timeframe...ETH/USDT (Ethereum vs Tether) on the 2-hour timeframe, the pattern drawn is a symmetrical triangle — a consolidation setup that often leads to a strong breakout.
Here’s the target breakdown based on my chart:
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📈 Current breakout level:
Around $3,950 – $3,960
🎯 Target 1 (short-term):
Around $4,350 – $4,370
This is the first target after the breakout, matching my chart’s lower target point.
(≈ +10% move from the breakout)
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🎯 Target 2 (extended / major):
Around $4,700 – $4,750
This is the second target — the measured move from the triangle’s height projected upward.
(≈ +18%–20% move from the breakout)
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⚠ Support / Stop-loss suggestion:
If price closes back below $3,900, it may invalidate the breakout and signal a false move.
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✅ Summary:
Breakout point: $3,950
Target 1: $4,350
Target 2: $4,700
Stop loss: $3,900
USDCAD (3H chart) setup ...USDCAD (3H chart) setup — here’s what can be seen and the likely target analysis based on my chart:
🔍 Chart Observations:
The pair has broken out of a descending channel (marked by the two slanting lines).
Price is currently around 1.3999 and testing the upper boundary of the breakout.
The chart also uses Ichimoku Cloud, with price beginning to move above the cloud area — a bullish sign.
Two target points are already drawn on my chart.
🎯 Target Levels:
1. First Target (Short-term):
📍 Around 1.4020 – 1.4030
→ This aligns with my first “target point” label and matches initial resistance from the cloud zone.
2. Second Target (Main Bullish Target):
📍 Around 1.4070 – 1.4080
→ This corresponds to the higher target level drawn on my chart and previous horizontal resistance zone.
✅ Summary:
Buy Zone: 1.3980 – 1.4000
TP1: 1.4020
TP2: 1.4070
Stop Loss (SL): Below 1.3960 (under the support base)
This setup supports a bullish breakout continuation toward 1.4070 if the price sustains above 1.4000.
USD/JPY (2H chart)...USD/JPY (2H chart):
The current price is around 152.97, sitting at the upper resistance zone marked on my chart.
There’s a visible ascending trendline, and the price is currently testing or slightly above that line.
My marked two target points below — likely indicating a bearish correction setup if the trendline breaks.
Here’s the detailed breakdown:
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📉 Bearish Scenario (if price breaks below trendline and 152.50 zone):
1. First Target:
Around 151.65 – 151.70
→ This aligns with my first “target point” label and Ichimoku cloud support.
2. Second Target:
Around 150.30 – 150.50
→ my lower target zone, near the previous consolidation support.
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📈 Bullish Scenario (if resistance breaks and price sustains above 153.00):
Next resistance levels: 153.50 – 153.80, and then 154.20.
Only valid if there’s a strong close above 153.00 with volume.
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🔹 Summary:
Scenario Condition Target 1 Target 2
Bearish Break below 152.50 151.65 150.30
Bullish Break & close above 153.00 153.50 154.20
AUD/JPY (2-hour timeframe), here’s a breakdown of what’s visibleAUD/JPY (2-hour timeframe), here’s a breakdown of what’s visible:
The downtrend line has been broken to the upside, suggesting a potential bullish reversal.
The Ichimoku Cloud shows price moving above or attempting to move above the cloud — another bullish signal.
Two target points are already marked on my chart:
1. First target: around 99.50
2. Second (final) target: around 100.75–101.00
✅ Summary of Target Zones:
🎯 Target 1: ~99.50
🎯 Target 2: ~100.75–101.00
📉 Stop Loss Suggestion:
My might place it just below the recent support or below the cloud (around 97.00–97.20 zone), depending on my risk tolerance.
Buy Pressure Building on GoldGold is displaying signs of buyer re-entry after a period of controlled downside movement. The recent liquidity sweep around the lower range indicates that short-term selling pressure has been largely absorbed, creating favorable conditions for a potential upward expansion.
Market activity suggests renewed interest from institutional participants accumulating within the current price zone. The consolidation phase appears to be forming a base, signaling the possibility of a directional shift as liquidity gradually migrates upward. Increasing momentum on the lower end of the range reflects confidence returning to the market, setting the stage for a possible continuation toward higher valuation areas.
The outlook remains constructive as long as current accumulation behavior sustains, with market sentiment leaning toward a recovery-driven advance in the near term.
EUR/USD (Euro vs US Dollar) chart on the 2-hour timeframe...EUR/USD (Euro vs US Dollar) chart on the 2-hour timeframe, here’s a detailed breakdown of what my setup is showing and the likely target levels 👇
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🧭 Chart Overview:
Current price: ≈ 1.1608
My using Ichimoku Cloud, trendlines, and measured move projections.
The chart shows a breakout from a falling channel, with two marked target points above.
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🎯 Target Points (as per my chart):
1. First Target (Short-term):
Roughly around 1.1680 – 1.1700
This level aligns with the top of the Ichimoku Cloud and previous structure resistance.
It’s my initial profit zone after confirmation of breakout continuation.
2. Second Target (Extended):
Roughly around 1.1780 – 1.1800
This level is derived from the measured move (height of previous range projected upward).
It represents the full bullish objective if momentum sustains.
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⚙ Trading Logic (Example):
Buy Entry: After breakout retest near 1.1600 – 1.1620
Target 1: 1.1680 – 1.1700
Target 2: 1.1780 – 1.1800
Stop Loss: Below 1.1550 (previous swing low / lower cloud boundary)
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📊 Potential Gain:
From 1.1600:
Target 1: ≈ +80 pips
Target 2: ≈ +180–200 pips
XAGUSD (Silver/USD) 1-hour chart...XAGUSD (Silver/USD) 1-hour chart, here’s what I can observe and infer about potential target levels:
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🔍 Chart Summary:
My using Ichimoku Cloud and trendlines.
Price is currently around $49.10.
The chart shows two target points drawn:
1. First Target Point: Around $51.90 – $52.00
2. Second Target Point: Around $54.30 – $54.50
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🎯 Target Levels Based on the Chart:
1. First Target (Short-Term):
Around $51.9 – $52.0
This coincides with resistance from the previous range and Ichimoku cloud top.
Represents a possible initial take-profit zone if price breaks above current consolidation.
2. Second Target (Extended):
Around $54.3 – $54.5
Aligns with the projected measured move from my trendline channel.
This would be the larger bullish target if price sustains above the $52 breakout zone.
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📈 Trading Idea (Hypothetical Example):
Buy Zone: Above $49.5 – $49.8 (confirmation breakout)
Target 1: $51.9 – $52.0
Target 2: $54.3 – $54.5
Stop Loss: Below $48.5 support (near Ichimoku base)
XAGUSD (Silver vs USD) on the 1-hour timeframeXAGUSD (Silver vs USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, here’s what can be inferred:
The price has clearly broken below the ascending trendline.
It also broke down through the Ichimoku cloud, confirming a bearish signal.
There’s a sharp rejection candle followed by continuation below previous structure support (around $52.00–$51.80).
My marked a “target point” on your chart — roughly near $47.50, which seems to be aligned with the next major support zone from earlier price action (likely a demand area or Fibonacci retracement level).
🧭 Technical Breakdown:
Current Price: ~$51.81
Immediate Resistance: $52.30–$52.45 (bottom of the cloud)
Support/Target:
Short-term: $50.80
Medium-term: $49.50
Major target (as on your chart): $47.50
🎯 Expected Target:
If bearish momentum continues and the price stays below the $52.00 resistance, your target of $47.50 looks reasonable as a swing target.
GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you






















