Technical Analysis of LME INDEX Based on Elliott WavesTechnical Analysis of LME INDEX Based on Elliott Waves
The information provided in this response is based on the analysis of the Elliott Wave chart and does not constitute financial advice. The author is not responsible for any investment gains or losses incurred by individuals who rely on this information.
Elliott Wave Theory is a technical analysis method that identifies recurring patterns in financial markets. These patterns, known as Elliott Waves, are based on the idea that human psychology and behavior drive market movements.
Key Elliott Wave Principles:
Five-Wave Impulse: A five-wave pattern that represents an uptrend or downtrend.
Three-Wave Correction: A three-wave pattern that represents a pause or reversal in the trend.
Fibonacci Relationships: Numerical relationships between different waves, often expressed as ratios (e.g., 0.618, 1.618).
Analysis of the LME INDEX Chart:
Based on the provided Elliott Wave chart, it appears that the LME INDEX is currently in the early stages of an impulse wave structure. This suggests a strong uptrend is underway.
Specific Observations:
Wave 1: The initial upwave has likely been completed.
Wave 2: A corrective pullback also looking done.
Wave 3: The next wave is expected to be a powerful extension of the uptrend.
Impact on Commodities and Indian Metal Stocks:
The LME INDEX is a crucial benchmark for the metals market. Its price movements can significantly impact the prices of individual metals and related commodities. Indian metal stocks, such as Vedanta, NALCO, and Hindustan Zinc, are directly influenced by the LME INDEX.
Educational Purpose:
It's important to emphasize that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as trading advice. The financial markets are volatile, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Investors should conduct their own research and consult with financial advisors before making any investment decisions.
I am not sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
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Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Commodities
Gold Pauses After a Hot Rally, but the Outlook Remains PositiveHello everyone! How are you all doing today? Let's analyze today's gold movements together!
The gold market is going through a correction phase after a hot rally. Technical selling pressure has emerged as some investors are concerned about a potential price adjustment. However, with ongoing support from geopolitical factors and monetary policies, gold is still forecasted to continue growing in the near future.
Looking at the technical chart, gold is still trading steadily within an upward price channel. With support at 2560 and resistance at 2670, there is a high likelihood that gold will continue testing this resistance level. If gold successfully breaks the 2670 resistance, we can expect an even stronger rally towards the next targets.
What do you think?
GOLD - LongThe chart analysis for Gold (CFDs on Gold, US$/Oz) shows a breakout pattern indicating a strong upward movement. Key observations include:
Long-term Ascending Triangle: The chart depicts a long-term ascending triangle, a bullish continuation pattern, indicating a potential further rise.
Breakout and Target: A breakout from the triangle suggests a target price of approximately $3,142.47, which represents a move of about 45.60% from the recent level of $2,648.66.
Support Levels: Historical support levels are clearly visible, with $720.67 and $250.23 as key areas where price consolidated in past decades.
This suggests that gold is in a strong upward trend with bullish sentiment, especially following the breakout from the long-term triangle. The price target and volume indicate possible further gains.
For deeper analysis, one could evaluate macroeconomic factors, such as inflation, central bank policies, and demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
SONACOMS (TF|W|) Bullish view .SONACOMS stock analysis Potential breakout opportunity
Chart Analysis : SONACOMS is displaying a strong breakout chart , indicating the upward movement in it's stock price.
CUP & HANDLE Pattern : The cup and handle is considered a bullish signal, with the right-hand side of the pattern typically experiencing lower trading volume. The pattern's formation may be as short as seven weeks or as long as 65 weeks. A cup and handle is a technical chart pattern that resembles a cup and handle where the cup is in the shape of a "u" and the handle has a slight downward drift.
VOLUME BUILDUP: volume buildup near the breakout zone . Increased trading volume is a positive indicator, suggesting more interest in stock and potential momentum
Gold approaches key upside hurdle ahead of US PCE InflationAfter hitting an all-time high, gold prices are losing momentum as buyers await the US September Core PCE Price Index, the Fed's favorite measure of inflation.
Bulls may slow down, but are still in the game
On Thursday, FOMC Chair Jerome Powell's reluctance to discuss monetary policy joined the market’s dovish bets on the US central bank to propel the Gold price, especially amid the rush for a haven amid uncertain markets. Technically, the bullish MACD signals add strength to the upside bias for the precious metal. However, the overbought RSI (14) and nearness to an upward-sloping resistance line from December 2023, close to $2,695 at the latest, challenge the bullion’s further advances.
Technical levels to watch
With the overbought RSI indicating a $2,695 hurdle for gold buyers, the $2,700 level serves as an additional barrier to monitor for better trading opportunities. Beyond that, a potential surge toward the 100% Fibonacci Extension (FE) of February-June moves, near $2,757, can’t be ruled out.
Gold sellers should watch for a clear break below the four-month resistance line at $2,620. If this occurs, the 61.8% and 50% Fibonacci Extension levels around $2,578 and $2,522 could draw in bears. Key targets below $2,522 include $2,467 and $2,399. That said, a break below the convergence of the 200-SMA and a year-long support line at $2,288 could signal a trend change for traders.
What next?
A positive surprise from the US Core PCE Price Index could spark the anticipated pullback in gold prices. However, the dovish Fed stance and strong technical support may prevent XAUUSD bears from gaining control.
Will Gold Break a New Record?Hello everyone, Alisa here! Will gold prices maintain their upward momentum today? Let’s analyze it together!
Escalating tensions in the Middle East have raised concerns about a larger-scale conflict, prompting investors to turn to gold as a safe haven. Additionally, better-than-expected U.S. labor market data has increased expectations for the Fed to continue its loose monetary policy, thereby supporting the rise in gold prices.
Looking at the technical chart, gold is moving within an upward channel, indicating that the positive trend is still intact. The 2,540 support level serves as a solid foundation, providing momentum for a new rise. The stable alignment of the 34 and 89 EMAs further strengthens investor confidence. With these supporting factors, the short-term target of 2,700 is entirely feasible.
What about you? What do you think about gold prices today? Let me know your thoughts!
XAU/USD: Awaiting a Breakthrough at $2,720 or Correction?The XAU/USD chart on September 26 tells an exciting story of gold's bullish momentum. After hitting $2,661, gold is steadily advancing, shielded by two strong supports—EMA 34 at $2,540 and EMA 89 at $2,448.
These support levels act as fortresses, holding buyers firm and allowing gold to continue climbing.
However, all eyes are now on the key psychological resistance near $2,720, a critical barrier that, if broken, could pave the way for new highs.
Upcoming FOMC statements could significantly impact XAU/USD.
Banknifty , Crude oil and Copper Divergence Divergence is a technical analysis concept that occurs when the price of an asset and a technical indicator move in opposite directions. It's a sign that the price of an asset may be reversing, and it can help traders recognize and react to price changes.
Here are some things to know about divergence:
#Types of divergence
There are two types of divergence: negative and positive. Negative divergence happens when the price of a security is rising, but an indicator is falling. Positive divergence happens when the price of a security is falling, but an indicator is rising.
#When to use divergence
Divergence can help traders make decisions like tightening stop-loss or taking a profit.
#How to confirm reversals
Divergence can occur over a long period of time, so traders can use other tools like trendlines and support and resistance levels to confirm reversals.
#When to use convergence
Convergence is when the price of an asset, indicator, or index moves in the same direction as a related asset, indicator, or index
VEDL Chandi Jaisa Rang Hai Tera Ghode Jaise Chal VEDANTA (Shines like Silver & runs like a Horse)
VEDL is in a Bullish impulse wave since Covid bottom & did a golden retracement in wave 2 in from 440.75 in April 2022 to 208 in Sept 2023 now Wave (3) has started & we are about to complete wave 1 of (3) what should follow is Wave 2 correction in Wave (3) so 560-570 should be levels to be cautious on upside for a pullback of the impulse started from Sept 2023 bottom.
The larger structure remains bullish a 3 wave or 7 wave pullback will be the zone to create fresh longs.
(Note VEDL is positively correlated with silver which is also in bullish structure)
The Growing Attraction in a Volatile WorldThe gold price chart shows a clear upward trend since the beginning of September, with the EMA 34 and EMA 89 both signaling a strong upward momentum. The weakening of the USD, along with global economic stimulus measures and political tensions, have pushed gold prices higher.
Especially in the context of major central banks around the world - from the US to Europe, and the People's Bank of China - all spreading monetary support packages like spring rain, further fueling the desire to invest in gold. Gold remains a safe haven and attractive asset in the current unstable context. Investors need to closely monitor market developments to seize opportunities and adjust strategies promptly.
Gold: The Fever Shows No Signs of Cooling DownHello everyone, it's Alisa again. Will gold go up or down today? Let’s analyze it together with Alisa!
Despite facing strong profit-taking pressure, gold prices have remained at an all-time high. This suggests that investors are still optimistic about the possibility of further rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve in the near future, especially after the latest inflation data was released.
Looking at the technical chart, the trend is still upward, and the 34 and 89 EMAs are running steadily with no signs of reversal. With support at 2,626, this precious metal continues to rise, targeting the 2,688 mark.
Alisa thinks this precious metal will soon break its record high and aim for 2,700. What do you think about gold’s movement today?
Vedanta for 20% gainsDate: 25 Sept’24
Stock: Vedanta
Timeframe: Daily chart
In my earlier analysis of Vedanta in May this year, I had mentioned the stock is heading to over 800+. I have now reviewed my analysis for a target of around 580 (20% from its current price).
Vedanta seems to be in Wave V of 5 and could attain a target of about 585 as seen in the chart.
This is not a trade recommendation. Please do your own analysis.
Gold prices are skyrocketing: will they break a new peak?Gold prices are skyrocketing; will they hit the $2,700/ounce mark?
Hello everyone, Alisa here! How are gold prices doing this Wednesday? Let’s explore together!
Today, global gold prices continue to soar, reaching a new peak of $2,662/ounce. The continuous rise of this precious metal is driven by expectations that central banks will continue cutting interest rates, along with escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
Looking at the chart, the price remains in an upward channel. With support at $2,555 and the EMA 34 and 89 lines holding steady, this further strengthens the bullish trend for gold.
I believe gold could surpass $2,700/ounce as early as the end of this week, if tensions in the Middle East continue to escalate and more news about interest rate cuts emerges. Do you agree with me?
Catching the Uptrend Amid Expectations of Interest Rate CutsIn the context of the global economy witnessing major adjustments from central banks, gold prices continued to experience a spectacular week of price increases, reaching a new record high. The main reasons were the weak dollar and the continuous decline in US Treasury bond yields, combined with the tense geopolitical situation between Israel and Hezbollah.
At the end of the trading session on September 23 at Kitco, gold recorded a price of 2,625.00 USD/ounce, slightly up 3.60 USD. The market is waiting for new signals from the US Federal Reserve (Fed) this week, especially the upcoming speech of Chairman Jerome Powell, along with the announcement of PCE price index data, an inflation measure that the Fed is particularly interested in.
Technical analysis from the current chart shows that gold is trading right at a key resistance level, with a strong upside momentum supported by the 34 EMA and 89 EMA, which are acting as key support levels. Given the current economic and geopolitical factors, gold could continue its upward momentum if the upcoming monetary policy meetings of the Fed and other central banks yield further monetary easing decisions. Further rate cuts could further strengthen the buying interest in gold as a safe-haven asset.
If gold breaks the current resistance level, the next target could be around $2,700/oz. In case the price falls below the supporting EMAs, one needs to keep a close eye on the support level at $2,560/oz, which could provide an ideal entry point for long positions.
Tata Steel for 25% gainDate: 24 Sept’24
Stock: Tata Steel
Timeframe: Daily
Tata Steel seems to be in Wave V of 5 which has a likely target of around 200 (25% from current price of 160) as seen in the chart. Volume is high and RSI is strong. Even if this price is achieved in next 3 to 6 months, it is a safe bet.
This is not a trade recommendation. Please do your own analysis.
IEX 70% UPSIDEIEX is a buy for the 70% Gain
Indian Energy Exchange is down around 10% today
on the long term its poised to deliver a solid return of 70%.
still below its All time high .
After today's downfall the stocks looks prominent on the charts for buying.
With the rising demand and consumption IEX will deliver strong growth.
Everything is set in favour of the stock.
Note : Having Quantities of the stock at various price levels, Adding more on the dips.
Historic Turning Point: Gold Takes New HighGold has continued to rally, hitting new highs on the back of the Fed’s rate cut, which has weakened the US dollar and lowered bond yields. Gold is currently trading at $2,625.00, up slightly by 0.14%. Markets are expecting another rate cut by the Fed later this year, which continues to support gold prices.
Technically, gold is currently above both the 34-EMA and 89-EMA, indicating a clear bullish bias. Traders should keep an eye on the next resistance level at $2,630. A successful break above this level could pave the way for further gains.
However, if a correction occurs, the key support level to watch is $2,590. A pullback could be an opportunity for investors to buy, especially if the fundamentals remain bullish.
Surprise: Gold "Ignores" USD, Sets New RecordHello, it's Alisa again! How is everyone's Tuesday going? Today, let's explore the current gold price situation together!
Despite the USD index trending upwards, the gold market is still impressively rising. The main reason stems from investors' optimistic sentiment following the Fed's decision to ease monetary policy. Additionally, escalating geopolitical tensions have made gold an attractive safe-haven asset.
Looking at the technical chart, the EMA 34 and 89 lines are running steadily, with no signs of reversal. With support at 2,579, gold is expected to bounce and break through the resistance at 2,625 to continue its upward trend.
What about you? How do you think the gold price will change? Comment and let Alisa know!
Geopolitical instability: Gold continues to maintain strong growA new week has begun! Let's join Alisa in analyzing the information related to gold prices today.
In the past few days, following the U.S. Federal Reserve's (Fed) interest rate cut, global gold prices have continuously set new records. Furthermore, supported by the weakening U.S. dollar and escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, gold has maintained its upward trend.
Looking at the chart, Alisa sees that the EMA 34 and 89 lines are running steadily, and the price remains within the price channel with signs of further increase. With this trend, even if the price drops, I believe that with support at 2,586, gold will bounce back.
Although the precious metal remains in a strong uptrend, investors should carefully monitor profit-taking signals and short-term reversals to prepare in a timely manner.
XAU/USD: Climbing Ahead of Psychological Resistance at $2661XAU/USD is climbing strongly, holding steady at $2619 with support from EMA 34 and EMA 89.
The biggest challenge lies at the psychological resistance of $2661.470 – if broken, the next target could reach $2683.706.
Traders can buy if the price breaks resistance or sell if it pulls back to support.
Currently, the USD is struggling due to increased risk appetite and dovish expectations from the Fed. Traders are awaiting PMI data from both Europe and the US for new direction.