Nifty X-Wave Volatility: Potential Wipeout of Recent RallyDisclaimer:
Trading in financial markets involves substantial risks. Consult your financial advisor before making decisions. This commentary is not a solicitation to buy or sell.
WaveTalks - Market Whispers: Can you hear them?
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Overview:
The Nifty Index is currently forming a complex WXY wave pattern on a higher degree wave. With Wave W and X completed, we are now anticipating a decline towards the psychological support levels.
Key Levels and Targets:
Initial Support Zone: 21950 - 22000
This zone is expected to provide psychological support. If the index holds below 22900 in opening session on 7th June 2024 and begins to fall, we anticipate an initial drop to this support zone 21950-22000, marking a fall of approximately 900-1000 points.
Further Downside: Below 21900
If the index breaks below 21900, we could see a continuation of the fall towards the previous lows around 21281, observed on 4th June.
Recent Rally:
Rally Overview:
The index recently rallied 1629 points from the low of 21281 on 4th June 2024 to higher levels of 22910 within the last 2-3 days.
Correction Expectation:
This rally may be wiped out as part of the corrective sequence, leading to a possible retest of lower levels before any further upside movement.
Upside Potential:
New Highs Target: Above 23338
After the corrective phase, we expect the index to resume its upward trajectory, potentially reaching new highs above 23338 as discussed in the last idea
Last Idea - Nifty - Pre Exit Poll Outlook: Bulls Above 22,400
Trading Plan:
Monitor Resistance:
Keep a close watch on the 22900 level. As long as the index remains below this level, a bearish outlook is maintained.
Initial Short Position:
Consider initiating short positions if the index holds below 22900, targeting the 21950 - 22000 support zone.
Break Below 21900:
If the index breaks below 21900, further short positions can be considered, aiming for a retest of the 21281 level and even new lows are possible
Reversal Signs:
Look for reversal signs and bullish setups near the 21281 level to position for the next potential rally towards new highs above 23338.
Conclusion:
The Nifty Index is poised for a significant correction before resuming its upward trend. Traders should be prepared for volatility and closely monitor key levels for optimal entry and
exit points.
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From WaveTalks
Abhishek
Complexcorrection
Avanti Feeds - Did we top in the Triangle at 599 Highs. Careful!Disclaimer:
Trading in financial markets involves substantial risks. Consult your financial advisor before making decisions. This commentary is not a solicitation to buy or sell.
WaveTalks - Market Whispers: Can you hear them?
Initial Rise (2010-2017):
The stock had a significant rise from a price of 1.40 in June 2010 to a peak of 940 in 2017, marking a seven-year bullish impulse phase.
Sideways Correction (Post-2017):
After reaching its peak, the stock entered a complex sideways correction phase, identified as a WXY pattern. This suggests a period of consolidation and uncertainty.
Recent Developments (Wave-X as a Triangle):
The Wave-X within this correction unfolded as a triangle pattern and topped at 598.50, indicating a temporary peak within this corrective phase.
Resistance Levels:
Key resistance levels are identified at 598.50 and 770. The stock's performance below these levels could indicate bearish pressure.
Support Levels and Potential Drop:
If the stock remains below the resistance zone (598.50 & 770), it could drop to a key support level at 386. A breach below this could lead to a critical support level at 321 (Wave-D). If these supports are broken, the stock might target the 160-175 zone, completing the corrective phase that started after the 2017 high. This correction could be just first set of correction & to be reviewed later as we get more price information.
Ichimoku Cloud Indicator:
The price getting rejected close to Ichimoku Cloud & breaching key support levels while under resistance could be an early warning sign for a potential drop to the 160-175 support zone.
Target Zone 160-175:
The target zone of 160-175 for Avantifeeds is significant because it's where Wave-Y is expected to travel 61.8% of the distance of Wave-W as one of the measurements, commonly used under Elliott Wave analysis.
In summary, the Elliott Wave analysis indicates that Avantifeeds is currently in a complex corrective phase following a significant bullish run for 7 years from 2010 to 2017. Key resistance and support levels have been identified, with potential downside targets if these levels are breached. The Ichimoku Cloud provides additional confirmation of these bearish signals. Investors and traders should closely monitor these levels for potential trading opportunities or to adjust their positions accordingly.
From
WaveTalks
Market Whispers!
a correction in impulse / correction in SBINElliott Wave Analysis
1) Impulse Wave:-
there is a chance of 3rd major wave ending and the 4th impulse wave is taking place.
after a fall we can accumulate.
2). Corrective Wave:- (complex correction)
A correction wave had completed and now the connecting wave X is forming may be the next wave can be a formation of Y or a complex correction.
Nifty makes a Double bottomA double bottom below the 17000 mark it is, pending some price confirmation. If you think that the most recent decline is a 5 waves down and more selling is due then this alternate count will get vindicated when Nifty moves above 17490. That is the final confirmation that we have a bottom in place for the time being. Then we can think about the bullish alternate counts from the low of 16987 made on Monday. Wave z makes a slightly higher low? Yes that is possible in fact truncation in wave z has become a common feature just like truncation in wave 5 of an impulse.
Nifty & Bank Nifty Elliott wave analysis for 26april 2021In this video i am trying to explain Nifty 1hour chart where there is a high probabilities of completion of Triple zigzag correction at 14151 and in Nifty 5min chart 14583-14656 can be the minimum target range for coming sessions.
Thanks for watching
Nifty Elliott wave analysis for 23april 2021In this video i have explained 1hour chart which suggesting complex correction is going on from 15431 and may be it is completed as triple zigzag correction at 14151 or still continue. 14280-14360 was an immediate resistance range and nifty closed above that range. now this same range will act as a support range.
In 5min chart as of now its looks like a three wave move from 14151 to 14425.
14379-14351 is an immediate support range in 5min chart and if nifty trades below 14351 which is 38% retracement of (c or iii) then it will turn in to negative again.
In Bank Nifty daily chart 33625-31098 is an immediate support range where banknifty is hovering around 31098 which is breakeven point for bank nifty. as of now its above that level.
In 1hour chart 31835-32719 is an immediate resistance range and positive only above 32719.
For immediate move if we see 15min chart of bank nifty then there are immediate support range and resistance range explained.
Thanks for watching
NIfty big move and range resolution posted on 22 marchNifty cmp approx 10150 is undergoing a corrective for past many days ---while the corrective might not end but an impulsive move of about 150 points is building up in index , the likely targets are marked by red horizontal lines, the direction of move is NOT clear presently
the traders should observe hourly charts for trade entry the impulse will likely occur on monday 25 march
2 the big corrective will Only end on move and close above 10550 or below 9975......it might take some more days .....probably 4 weeks including the current one starting from monday 19march.
this is NOT based on elliot wave ,complex corrective simply used for prolonged sideways move
THe support channel we drew earlier on day charts has served well
EW Analysis of RBL BankEW analysis in daily, shows that wave (iv) seems to be over, and wave (v) started.
Also price was in descending channel, then it broke out with good volume, that marked the completion of complex wave (iv) correction.
here 1st tgt - 595, i.e wave (iii) peak,
if wave (v) is getting extended, then we can see higher levels - 640(.5), 680(.618).
Bharti Infratel - Triple-three complex corrective- Triple-three complex corrective nearing completion (w-x-y-x-z)
- Expect the stock to bottom out between 275-280
- Can look for fresh buying opportunity from an investment horizon
- Hypothesis will be negated on breach below 260
AJANTAPHARMA : A Neutral ViewDear Reader,
The stock of Ajanta Pharma has witnessed a long "Bull Run" since its low of 6.04 made on 9th April,2009, and looks like there still remain space for its bigger "Bull Run" in years to come than what has been witnessed untill date. It will be too early to predict the future price of it as of now. However, I have tried my level best placing possible wave counts, at various degrees of time cycle, for the further reference of the readers, in the chart shown below this post.
For now, the stock of Ajanta Pharma looks to be in a corrective zone and possibly forming a double (WXY) or triple (WXYXZ) zigzag kind of complex corrective pattern, as shown in the chart above. Those who follow Wave Principle would recognize the same, and their opinions, critiques and comments are welcome.
From the top of 2125 to the low of 1526.65, wave "A" (circled), giving due consideration to its internal wave counts looks to be an impulsive wave. The counter trend of this current fall has already retraced more than 50% of this total fall at 1832. Besides, the stock can be bought only it it crosses above the resistance line drawn. The resistance point of this line is around 1825, the 50% retracement point of the total fall of 598.35 (2125-1526.65).
The stock may inch up further, if it crosses resistance line, to the target of 1896 & 1996, being 61.80% and 78.60% retracement level. However, one should be cautious before entering into the stock on longer side and keep 1800 level as stoploss for the long position taken after the breach of the resistance line.
Secondly, the stock of Ajanta Pharma can be sold once the support line of the triangle, drawn on MACD chart, is breached or if the histogram of MACD turns out negative. So, wait and watch on which side the stock opens up the opportunity for, "buy or sell?".
Below is the monthly chart of the stock of AJANTAPHARMA.
Disclamer:
All views, charts, comments, post or any materials of any kind discussed, published, posted and/or commented are for educational purpose only and not meant to be an advice to trade.
NIFTY READY FOR NEW WAVE, COMPLETES CORRECTION PHASEAs per elliott waves principles, Nifty has completed its complex correction where two corrective patterns where formed. First was Flat correction pattern where 3 Waves (ABC) subdivdes into 5-3-5 correction (marked as W) and another is simple zig-zag correction where 3 Waves (ABC) subdivides 5-3-5 (marked as Y). Both were connected by inverted Zig-zag three waves pattern (marked as X)
This above complex correction completes the corrective phase of the previous wave and now we could see another 5 uptrending Waves.
Go Bulls, Go Bullish