Nifty Intraday Analysis for 29th July 2025NSE:NIFTY
Index has resistance near 24800 – 24850 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 25000 – 25050 range.
Nifty has immediate support near 24500 – 24450 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 24300 – 24250 range.
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Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD – July 28, 2025📊
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🔍 Momentum Analysis:
• D1 Timeframe: Momentum has entered the oversold zone. This strongly suggests a potential bullish reversal today, which could lead to a rally or sideways movement lasting around 4–5 days.
• H4 Timeframe: Momentum is reversing upward. This indicates a likely bullish or sideways move in the short term, at least until momentum reaches the overbought zone (estimated within the next 2 H4 candles).
• H1 Timeframe: Momentum is currently overbought, so we may first see a pullback or sideways movement until a clearer reversal signal appears.
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🌀 Wave Structure Analysis:
• On the H4 chart, as noted in previous plans, the assumption that price is forming a contracting triangle (abcde) is still valid. Price is currently in the final leg (wave e) of this triangle.
• On the H1 chart, we can observe a channel structure, within which an abc corrective pattern is unfolding.
• The lower boundary of the triangle (marked by the green trendline) combined with support zones will be critical areas to monitor for the end of wave e.
🔺 Note: Wave e does not necessarily end precisely at the triangle boundary – it can slightly overshoot. Hence, we’ll rely on smaller wave structures to identify potential reversal zones.
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🎯 Key Price Zones to Watch:
• Target 1: 3329
• Target 2: 3309
• Target 3: 3290
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🔎 Lower Timeframe Structure (M10):
From the current price action (as shown in the chart), we can see a leading diagonal triangle structure forming. This is a pattern commonly seen in wave 1. If this pattern is confirmed, a sharp and steep decline toward the 3329 zone is likely.
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⚖️ Combining Momentum & Wave Structure:
• D1: Signals a potential reversal → favors Buy setups.
• H4: Momentum is rising, but price hasn’t confirmed a new bullish trend → need to stay alert and tighten Stop Loss.
• H1: Overbought + possible leading diagonal → Expecting a pullback for wave 2 toward 3329 → this would be the optimal Buy zone.
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🧭 Trade Plan:
• For experienced traders:
→ Wait for price to reach key levels and watch for reversal signals before entering.
• For beginners:
→ Use the following Limit Buy setup:
✅ Setup 1:
• Buy zone: 3330 – 3328
• Stop Loss: 3320
• TP1: 3351
• TP2: 3370
• TP3: 3385
✅ Setup 2:
• Buy zone: 3310 – 3308
• Stop Loss: 3300
• TP1: 3328
• TP2: 3351
• TP3: 3370
Gold dives toward 3,320 as Fed decision loomsHello everyone, what are your thoughts on gold prices?
Gold's decline is accelerating, dragging the precious metal down toward the 3,320 USD mark. A stronger U.S. dollar and further developments on the trade front following the U.S.-EU agreement have significantly impacted demand for safe-haven assets.
From a technical perspective, the break below the rising price channel could mark the beginning of a deeper correction. Oscillators on the chart have just started turning negative, suggesting that the path of least resistance for gold is now downward.
Looking ahead, Wednesday’s key FOMC decision—along with the accompanying policy statement and Powell’s press conference—will be closely scrutinized for clues on the Fed’s interest rate cut roadmap.
Additionally, investors will face several important U.S. macroeconomic data releases this week, which will play a vital role in shaping the USD’s trajectory and provide new momentum for XAUUSD.
What do you think about the precious metal? Share your thoughts below!
EUR/USD Under Pressure : Sell or Buy ? The EUR/USD pair remains under mild bearish pressure, hovering around the 1.1700 mark and extending its Thursday downtrend. Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) stays firm despite growing optimism over improving US-China relations. However, the ongoing tension between Trump and Powell continues to capture market attention.
In response to these developments, EUR/USD has stalled its previous rally. On the chart, the pair is forming a series of lower highs, moving within a narrowing wedge pattern. The 1.1600 level now emerges as the critical battleground between bulls and bears.
Do you think EUR/USD can successfully defend this support zone? Let us know your thoughts!
Bitcoin rebounds with strength after whale dumpAfter a surprising sell-off triggered by whale pressure, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has shown impressive internal strength, bouncing quickly from the Fibonacci support zone between 114,488 and 116,571 USD (0.618 – 0.5 levels).
The D1 chart reveals that the bullish structure remains intact, with EMA 34 and EMA 89 acting as solid support levels. The recent "dump" did not alter the overall trend; on the contrary, it created an opportunity for reaccumulation within the price box—serving as a vital base for the next breakout.
A likely scenario is that BTCUSD will continue to move sideways for a few more sessions before targeting the 1.272 Fibonacci extension near the 128,000 USD area. If this plays out, it would be a strong confirmation of the next growth phase for Bitcoin.
Do you believe Bitcoin is ready to break all-time highs and set a new record? Share your thoughts below!
Trading Psychology & Risk Management🧠 Part 1: Trading Psychology
Trading psychology refers to the emotional and mental aspects that influence trading decisions. It includes traits like discipline, patience, confidence, and emotional control.
✅ Traits of Successful Traders
1. Discipline
Following your trading plan no matter what.
Not deviating due to emotions or "gut feelings".
2. Patience
Waiting for the right setup to occur.
Not chasing trades or forcing market entries.
3. Emotional Resilience
Being able to handle losses without emotional reactions.
Not reacting with fear, revenge, or frustration.
💼 Part 2: Risk Management
Risk management ensures that you survive and thrive in trading, even when the market moves against you. It’s not about avoiding losses — it’s about limiting them so that no single trade can wipe out your account.
🧮 Core Concepts in Risk Management
1. Risk Per Trade
Limit risk to 1–2% of total capital per trade.
For example, on a ₹1,00,000 account, risk only ₹1,000–₹2,000 per trade.
2. Position Sizing
Use your stop-loss level to determine how many shares/contracts to trade.
Gold, Silver & Commodity Trading (MCX)What is MCX (Multi Commodity Exchange)?
The Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd. (MCX) is a government-regulated commodity derivatives exchange, launched in 2003. It is regulated by SEBI (Securities and Exchange Board of India) and allows traders to buy and sell commodity futures contracts across various categories like:
Bullion: Gold, Silver
Energy: Crude oil, Natural gas
Base Metals: Copper, Zinc, Lead, Aluminum, Nickel
Agricultural commodities: Cotton, Cardamom, Mentha Oil
MCX operates similarly to stock exchanges like NSE or BSE but deals in commodity contracts rather than equities.
Factors That Influence Gold & Silver Prices
Understanding price drivers helps traders anticipate market movement:
🏦 1. Global Economic Conditions
Inflation
Recession fears
GDP data
🪙 2. Currency Movements
Gold is priced in USD globally. The USD-INR exchange rate significantly impacts domestic prices.
📉 3. Interest Rates
Rising interest rates make non-yielding assets like gold less attractive, pushing prices lower, and vice versa.
💥 4. Geopolitical Tensions
War, political instability, or crisis (Middle East conflict, Ukraine war, etc.) often boost gold/silver prices.
🛢️ 5. Crude Oil Prices
High oil prices can lead to inflation, making gold more attractive as a hedge.
💼 6. Central Bank Policies
Actions by RBI or Federal Reserve (US) in terms of gold reserves, rate hikes, or monetary policy changes affect sentiment.
Market Types1. Stock Markets
The stock market is perhaps the most well-known type of financial market. It provides a platform for buying and selling shares of publicly traded companies.
Types of Stock Markets
Primary Market: Where new shares are issued (IPOs).
Secondary Market: Where existing shares are traded among investors.
2. Forex (Foreign Exchange) Markets
The foreign exchange market is the largest and most liquid financial market in the world, with daily trading volumes exceeding $6 trillion.
How It Works
Currencies are traded in pairs (e.g., EUR/USD), where one currency is exchanged for another. The forex market is decentralized, operating 24 hours a day across major global financial centers.
3. Commodities Markets
Commodities markets allow traders to buy and sell raw materials or primary agricultural products.
Categories
Hard commodities: Gold, silver, oil, natural gas
Soft commodities: Coffee, cocoa, wheat, cotton
4. Derivatives Markets (Futures and Options)
Derivatives are financial instruments whose value is derived from an underlying asset such as stocks, commodities, currencies, or indices.
Futures
Contracts obligating the buyer to purchase an asset (or seller to sell) at a predetermined price at a specified time.
Options
Contracts that give the right, but not the obligation, to buy/sell an asset at a set price within a specific period.
AI and Algorithmic TradingWhat Is Algorithmic Trading?
Algorithmic trading (or “algo trading”) involves using computer programs to follow a defined set of instructions — an algorithm — to place, manage, and close trades. These rules are based on parameters such as timing, price, volume, and even complex mathematical models.
Key Benefits of Algorithmic Trading:
Speed: Algorithms can analyze market data and execute trades in microseconds.
Accuracy: Eliminates human error in order placement.
Backtesting: Strategies can be tested on historical data before going live.
Emotionless Trading: Algorithms remove the influence of greed, fear, and hesitation.
The Rise of AI in Trading
Artificial Intelligence takes algorithmic trading a step further. Traditional algo trading relies on predefined rules, but AI allows a system to learn from data and adapt over time. This dynamic approach enables smarter trading decisions, especially in volatile or non-linear market environments.
AI Techniques Used in Trading:
Machine Learning (ML) – Supervised and unsupervised models for prediction and classification.
Deep Learning – Neural networks for recognizing patterns in complex data sets like candlestick charts, news feeds, and audio transcripts.
Natural Language Processing (NLP) – To analyze news, social media sentiment, earnings reports, and tweets.
Reinforcement Learning – Agents learn optimal actions through trial and error over time.
ETHEREUM Long Outlook – Grand Supercycle Perspective(2025.05.21)Hello everyone,
This is SeoVereign, operator of the SeoVereign Team.
Today, I would like to share an Ethereum analysis based on the daily (1D) chart for the first time in a while.
Before reading this post, please refer to the idea I uploaded on April 18, 2025, through the link below. It will help you better understand the context:
🔗
(Clicking the image will take you to the corresponding link.)
If you look at the April 18 idea, you’ll see that I presented a bullish outlook based on the Deep Crab pattern.
This analysis is a continuation of that idea.
Through years of research, I’ve observed that when a Deep Crab pattern sees a rebound from the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone), the trend that begins from that point tends to extend for a long time.
If you look closely at the chart, you’ll also see the 2.24 Fibonacci extension level.
Some people messaged me saying, “Since it went above 1.902 and even exceeded the 2.0 Fibonacci line, isn’t this Deep Crab invalid?”
However, I’ve studied harmonic patterns in depth for a long time and have set my own Fibonacci criteria based on that research.
In this particular Deep Crab case, I define the invalidation level as 2.24.
Therefore, I judged that the pattern is still valid, and this allowed me to forecast a long-term bullish trend.
Back to the main point,
Based on this Deep Crab pattern, I’ve consistently maintained a bullish outlook on the daily chart,
and so far, there have been no clear signals indicating a reversal into a bearish trend.
Thus, I would like to post a continuation of the bullish outlook on the daily chart.
On May 19, 2025, there was a sharp drop around the 2,587 USDT level.
At that time, our team expected the bullish trend that started from around 2,447 USDT to hold its low and continue.
However, the price broke below 2,447 USDT and made a new low.
We then closely monitored Bitcoin’s movement in response.
Typically, strong volatility occurs before a major trend begins.
Bitcoin was also showing significant volatility at the time.
So we concluded: “Let’s maintain a bullish stance, but do not be fully convinced until the previous high of 2,587 USDT is clearly broken upward.”
And by the time this post is published, we’ve confirmed that the price has indeed broken above 2,587 USDT.
Therefore, I have come to the conclusion that the bullish trend is still valid.
Based on this, I present the following three target levels.
🎯 SeoVereign’s Ethereum Bullish Targets
1st Target: 3,000 USDT
2nd Target: 3,400 USDT
3rd Target: 3,700 USDT
The market still shows strong volatility.
I sincerely hope you all trade wisely and calmly, achieving great returns,
and may great fortune be with you both in trading and in life.
I’ll see you again in the next daily analysis.
Thank you.
- SeoVereign
BTC Long Outlook – Grand Supercycle Perspective (2025.05.21)Hello everyone,
This is SeoVereign, the operator of the SeoVereign team.
It's been nearly a month since I returned to TradingView and started posting ideas again.
During that time, I’ve frequently shared short-term ideas based on minute charts.
However, since real-time responses are crucial in short timeframes,
there are practical limitations in explaining all the reasoning behind our analysis in detail each time.
But when it comes to larger timeframes like the daily chart,
we have a bit more flexibility.
So I see this as a valuable opportunity to explain our thought process and key reasoning more thoroughly.
Now, let’s get into the Bitcoin daily chart briefing.
Please refer to the following link first.
This is a post I made on April 18, 2025:
🔗
At the time, I shared the view that the upward wave starting near 75K
had the potential to extend to 88K and even 96K.
However, it was difficult to determine exactly how far the wave would extend at that point.
Now, I want to make one thing very clear.
If someone uses wave theory to say something like
"Bitcoin will definitely go to X price,"
that person is either a scammer or someone who fundamentally misunderstands wave theory.
Elliott Wave Theory can be somewhat useful in anticipating short-term moves,
but it has clear limitations when applied to long-term predictions.
After many years of studying Elliott Wave Theory in depth,
I've come to a simple but important conclusion:
"You cannot predict the distant future with technical analysis alone."
That said, there is one exception:
very short-term movements — the immediate price action right in front of us —
can often be approached with some confidence using technical analysis.
Here’s an example.
If someone bought Bitcoin at 10K and says,
“I’m going to sell at 100K,”
while it hasn’t even broken past 50K,
that’s just reckless optimism.
But if Bitcoin has already approached 100K,
and several bearish signals are starting to emerge and become confirmed,
that’s when we can begin considering short positions.
The key is to make decisions based on the data right now — not based on hopes or assumptions.
That was a long introduction.
Now, let me explain why I believe Bitcoin could break to new all-time highs
and possibly reach as high as 130K.
As I mentioned in the April 18 post,
I believe an Ending Diagonal was completed around the 74K region,
and I anticipated an upward impulse wave to follow.
In my view, the current market structure clearly suggests we are in an uptrend.
Many of you have reached out via private messages asking,
“What kind of wave are we in right now?”
But in this case, that question doesn’t hold much value.
Whether this current move is part of an impulse wave or a corrective structure,
what matters is that the price is going up.
If, for instance, the A-wave has completed — as confirmed by Fibonacci —
then the B-wave would follow, and we can plan accordingly with long positions.
Or, if the ABC correction is already over,
then a new impulse wave could be starting.
Either way, the key takeaway is that we’re likely in an upward phase.
Back to the main point:
A Deep Crab harmonic pattern formed near 74K,
and that zone concluded with an Ending Diagonal,
which is now leading to a bullish reversal.
I've studied harmonic patterns for years,
and in the case of the Deep Crab,
the upper boundary of the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ)
is typically around the 2.24 Fibonacci extension.
As long as this level is not broken,
the pattern remains valid.
And when a reversal happens near the 1.618 or 1.902 zones,
it’s often a highly reliable bullish signal.
So, what are our targets in this current rally?
🎯 SeoVereign’s Target Strategy
1st Target: 109,000
2nd Target: 118,600
3rd Target: 128,100
Right now, before the market enters a full-scale bullish breakout,
we’re seeing unusually high volatility.
In times like this, staying calm and grounded is more important than ever.
I sincerely wish all of you the best of luck in navigating this volatility,
and may a wave of growth come to your accounts as well.
🍀 I genuinely hope great fortune finds its way to all of you.
See you in the next daily briefing.
Thank you.
— SeoVereign
Nifty Intraday Analysis for 28th July 2025NSE:NIFTY
Index has resistance near 25000 – 25050 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 25250 – 25300 range.
Nifty has immediate support near 24700 – 24650 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 24500 – 24450 range.
The Market SentimentPCR (Put-Call Ratio) – The Market Sentiment Radar
✅ What is PCR?
PCR stands for Put-Call Ratio, a popular sentiment indicator in the options market. It tells you whether traders are buying more puts (bearish bets) or more calls (bullish bets).
What is IV?
Implied Volatility (IV) is the market’s forecast of how volatile a stock or index might be in the future. It doesn’t tell direction, but only how fast or wild the moves could be.
✅ How does IV affect option prices?
Higher IV = Higher Option Premiums
Lower IV = Lower Option Premiums
Think of IV as the “air” in a balloon. More air (IV) = bigger premium (balloon).
✅ Why IV is Crucial:
Entry Timing: You want to buy options when IV is low (cheap premiums).
Exit Strategy: You want to sell options when IV is high (expensive premiums).
IV spikes before big events – like earnings, RBI policy, Budget, Fed meetings, etc.
✅ Example:
You buy a Nifty 20000 CE when IV is 14%. Then IV jumps to 22% even if price doesn’t move much.
Your option gains value because of IV expansion (called Vega Gain).
✅ IV vs HV:
IV: What market expects.
HV (Historical Volatility): What already happened.
When IV > HV = Overpriced Options.
When IV < HV = Underpriced Options.
VIX (Volatility Index) – The Fear Gauge of India
✅ What is VIX?
VIX is the Volatility Index, often called the "Fear Index". In India, we use India VIX, which measures expected volatility of Nifty 50 over the next 30 days.
✅ How is VIX calculated?
India VIX is derived from the option prices of Nifty 50 – mainly ATM (At-The-Money) options. It reflects market’s fear level or confidence.
✅ Interpretation:
VIX < 12 → Calm, low volatility (complacent market)
VIX 12–18 → Normal volatility
VIX > 20 → High fear, high volatility
🔁 VIX is inversely correlated with Nifty:
VIX rises → Nifty tends to fall
VIX falls → Nifty tends to rise
✅ Smart Usage of VIX:
Options Selling: When VIX is high, sell far OTM options (premium decay faster).
Options Buying: When VIX is low, buy options expecting breakout or event-driven moves.
Event Hedge: Spike in VIX signals market is anticipating big movement – ideal for straddle/strangle trades.
✅ Real Market Scenario:
During Budget day or unexpected geopolitical news, VIX may shoot up from 13 to 22 in a day.
Smart traders pre-position strangles or reduce exposure when VIX hits extremes.
🔷 Putting It All Together – Mastery Strategy
Let’s combine PCR, IV, and VIX for smart institutional-level setups.
🔹 1. PCR + VIX Confluence
PCR High + VIX High = Too much fear → Possible market bottom → Buy signal
PCR Low + VIX Low = Overconfidence → Possible correction → Sell signal
🔹 2. IV Crush Trade
Before event (high IV) → Sell options → Capture premium decay post-event
After event (low IV) → Buy directional options → Lower premium, better RR
🔹 3. Directional Bet with PCR + IV
Rising PCR + Rising IV = Building bearish pressure → Bearish bias
Falling PCR + Falling IV = Bullish optimism → Bullish bias
Technical Analysist and fundamental analysist What is Technical Analysis?
Technical Analysis involves studying historical price charts, volume data, and market indicators to forecast future price movements. It operates on the belief that "price reflects all known information." Hence, instead of looking at a company's balance sheet, a technical analyst focuses on patterns, trends, and momentum.
🔹 Key Principles of Technical Analysis
Market Discounts Everything: All news, earnings, and fundamentals are already reflected in the price.
Price Moves in Trends: Markets move in trends – uptrend, downtrend, or sideways – and tend to persist over time.
History Repeats Itself: Human behavior in markets follows patterns that tend to repeat, which technical analysis aims to exploit.
Strengths of Technical Analysis
Ideal for short-term traders and scalpers.
Uses real-time data, not delayed financial reports.
Visual, intuitive, and good for identifying precise entry/exit levels.
Applies universally across asset classes.
What is Fundamental Analysis?
Fundamental Analysis seeks to evaluate the intrinsic value of a security by analyzing financial statements, economic factors, industry conditions, and management performance. It’s more common among long-term investors, like Warren Buffett, who believe in buying undervalued stocks and holding them for years.
🔹 Key Principles of Fundamental Analysis
Every stock has an intrinsic value – a “true” value based on fundamentals.
The market may misprice stocks temporarily – creating opportunities.
Strong financials lead to long-term success – even if the short-term market fluctuates.
Strengths of Fundamental Analysis
Helps identify long-term investment opportunities.
Less volatile and emotional than technical trading.
Supports strategic investing based on actual business performance.
Useful for determining the true value of a stock.
Rounding Bottom Breakout > Laurus LabsLAURUS LABS
Trade details mentioned in the Chart
Gist :
LTP 822
Buy Dips 760
SL CLB 695
Tgt upto 1150
📌 Stick to levels. Follow discipline. Let the trade work for you.
📌Please Follow TSL (Trailing Stop Loss)
To help maximize your profits and protect gains as the trade progresses.
Let’s stay hopeful that the move continues as per our expectations! 📈
💡 Liked the idea?
Then don’t forget to Boost 🚀 it!
For more insights & trade ideas,
📲 Visit my profile and hit Follow
Warm regards,
Naresh G
SEBI Registered Research Analyst
Latest Gold Price Update TodayIn the most recent trading session, global gold prices dropped over 31 USD per ounce, closing at 3,337 USD. This sharp decline follows a three-day rally and reflects profit-taking by investors and a shift in capital flow.
Newly released economic indicators show that the U.S. labor market remains strong, with jobless claims falling for the sixth consecutive week — the longest streak since 2022. This helped the U.S. dollar rebound slightly, putting pressure on gold, a non-yielding asset.
At the same time, investor sentiment has tilted toward riskier assets like equities, as trade talks between the U.S., EU, and Japan show positive progress. Stock markets in the U.S. and Europe surged, drawing capital away from gold.
Although expectations remain for a potential Fed rate cut in September, gold faces short-term headwinds. The 3,300 USD zone is now a key level to watch. Traders should look for reversal signals and volume confirmation before considering long entries.
Personal view: USD strength, rising stock markets, and profit-taking are creating a short-term correction for gold. However, in the longer term, there is still upside potential if the Fed signals a policy shift in the coming months.
And you — what’s your take on gold prices today?
You Don’t Trust Your Own Setup – That’s Why You Panic Exit!Hello Traders!
Have you ever found yourself in a trade that’s working well, but you still exit too early? Not because your stop loss hit. Not because the chart broke your setup. Just a gut feeling… anxiety… fear that maybe it will reverse. That feeling isn’t from the market. It’s from inside you. And most of the time, it means just one thing — you don’t fully trust your own setup.
What Really Causes Premature Exits?
Many traders blame the market for shaking them out. But in reality, the problem is internal. When you don’t believe in your strategy, even a small red candle feels like a threat. A normal pullback starts looking like a trend reversal. And in panic, you close the trade — only to watch it hit your target later. This cycle keeps repeating until you fix the root problem: lack of belief in your system.
Signs That You Don’t Trust Your Setup
You exit early even though rules are not broken
You check the chart every few minutes after entering
You feel nervous holding any open trade
You keep switching setups after 1-2 bad trades
Where Real Confidence Comes From
Confidence isn’t something you switch on. It comes from data, clarity, and repetition. When you’ve backtested your system, forward-tested it, and defined clear rules — you build trust. That trust helps you sit through drawdowns without losing your mind. It also helps you stick with a trade long enough to actually let it work. Without that trust, even the best strategy won’t save you.
Rahul Tip:
You don’t need a new setup. You need stronger belief in the one you already have. Next time you feel like exiting early, pause and ask: “Did my system actually fail? Or am I just scared?” If your answer is fear, then hold the line. Real trading edge is not just about entry. It’s about staying in the trade.
Conclusion:
Panic exits are not market problems. They’re mindset problems. And the fix is simple: believe in your setup, follow your rules, and let the market do its job. Your trade needs space to perform — give it that.
Have you ever exited early out of fear and regretted it later? Share your experience in the comments — we’ve all been there.
Nifty Weekly Review July 28 to Aug 1Price faced resistance at 25000 and fall down, taking support at 24800 zone.
Buy above 24840 with the stop loss of 24790 for the targets 24880, 24920, 24980, 25020, 25080, 25200 and 25280.
Sell below 24740 with the stop loss of 24790 for the targets 24700, 24640, 24580, 24520 and 24460.
Always do your own analysis before taking any trade.
Ethereum Breakout Confirmed – Retest CompletedCRYPTOCAP:ETH has broken out Inverse Head & Shoulders on daily chart.
✅ Neckline breakout above $2,850
✅ Retest successful – strong support confirmed
✅ Targeting full move toward $6,000
Structure is bullish, momentum building. As long as #Ethereum holds above the neckline, continuation is likely.
Note: NFA & DYOR
[SeoVereign] BITCOIN BULLISH Outlook – July 26, 2025The previous idea did touch the average TP price, but showed a rather disappointing rebound, so I will once again attempt to capture the starting point of the rebound. It is still considered that one more upward wave remains.
Accordingly, the TP is suggested at 118,057 USDT.
As always, I will carefully observe how the chart develops over time and update this idea with further explanations by organically integrating its specific interpretations and underlying rationale.
Thank you.
“Still losing? It’s not your system – it’s your state of mind.”Still Losing Money? It's Not Your Strategy – It’s Your Mind That’s Failing You
Let’s be brutally honest.
Have you been repeating the same mistakes over and over… even though you know they’re wrong?
You know you shouldn’t enter trades without confirmation – but you do.
You know your stop-loss should be fixed – yet you keep moving it.
You know your mental state isn’t stable today – but you open the chart anyway and… trade again.
Don’t blame the market.
You’re not losing because it’s “manipulated.”
You’re losing because your emotions are in control – not your logic.
💣 The most dangerous mindset: Knowing it’s wrong… and still doing it
It’s not about lacking knowledge.
It’s not about having a weak strategy.
It’s about being hijacked by your own emotional reactions.
Ask yourself sincerely:
Are you trading to avoid boredom, anxiety, or emotional pain?
Do you open charts just to escape from real-life stress?
Are your trades a form of self-soothing rather than strategic action?
If yes, then it’s no longer about technical skills.
It’s about emotional management – and inner healing.
👹 Three psychological traps that silently ruin your trading every day:
1. FOMO – Fear of Missing Out
You see price running.
You see others winning.
You panic – “I cannot miss this one!”
→ You enter the trade impulsively, not logically.
FOMO means you don’t trust yourself to wait for better chances.
It’s fear-driven, not system-driven.
2. Revenge Trading – You just can’t stand losing
One loss and your ego is bruised.
You want to "get it back" instantly.
So you fight the market like it owes you something.
But the market doesn’t care.
You’re just venting your frustration – and losing even more in the process.
3. Overtrading – You tie your self-worth to every single trade
You feel valuable only when you’re placing trades.
Doing nothing feels like failure.
So you keep clicking – even without a plan.
Overtrading reflects your need to feel in control, even if it costs you your capital.
🔍 Harsh truth: You’re not losing to the market – you’re losing to your expectations
You expect to win fast.
To become rich fast.
To prove something to others – or to yourself.
And when that doesn’t happen, you spiral.
You're not really trading the charts.
You're trading your emotions.
✅ So what’s the solution?
Stop immediately when you feel emotionally unstable – no matter if you're in profit or loss.
Maintain a journal for your thoughts, not just your trades – track what you feel, not just what you did.
Ask yourself honestly:
Am I trading for profit, or to escape something?
Is this setup real, or am I afraid of missing out?
Invest in your inner self: meditation, walks, talking to a coach or mentor, resting properly.
💬 Final message:
Losing is not the problem.
Refusing to confront the real reason behind your losses – that’s the real danger.
You don’t need a new indicator.
You don’t need a magical strategy.
You need one decent system – and a calm, emotionally neutral mind to execute it.
The game is not on the screen.
It’s inside your head.
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Nifty Intraday Analysis for 25th July 2025NSE:NIFTY
Index has resistance near 25200 – 25250 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 25400 – 25450 range.
Nifty has immediate support near 24900 – 24850 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 24700 – 24650 range.
Gold holds steady—Is a breakout above $3,400 next?Gold prices have corrected exactly as we anticipated yesterday. At the time of writing, gold is hovering around $3,370 USD, showing little volatility since the start of the session.
Although the market is undergoing a short-term pullback, I still believe gold remains in a medium- to long-term uptrend. One key reason is the global shift away from the US dollar, with many countries increasing their gold reserves. Meanwhile, the USD is projected to weaken further in the long run. On top of that, if the Federal Reserve indeed begins to ease monetary policy, gold could break above the $3,400 level and potentially set a new record.
In addition, trendline support remains intact—if momentum picks up from here, the bullish trend may soon resume.