Economists: Recession incoming!
World Leaders: Recession is out of the books.
Whom to believe? Here is my analysis from a technical standpoint👇
As someone who believes in data driven decision making, the technicals point towards a recession. How so?
When the difference between the 10 year bond yield and 2 year bond yield becomes negative,...
Alright people , We are looking Higher interest rates and Higher Bond Yields,
This inflation will be very Spicy in Nature , it wont bite you but it will kill you every single day on your finance ,
Look for volatility in stocks and Commodity
US10Y has been trending in a downward channel, currently aheading towards its resistance. It acts as a leading indicator to US equity indexes and works in contrast to major benchmarks.
Disclaimer: View for Educational purpose only, not to be taken as trading/investment advice.
I do not have the detailed economic understanding of this matter but have observed that a rise in the US 10 year treasury yields leads to a overall feeling of fear and turmoil in the markets. Back in the March and April of 2021, US10Y was continuously making news as it was reaching levels of about 1.75, with commentators discussing how a test of the levels of 2...
The number of classic relationships that I have to debunk just to be on the right side and convince the world is just overboard. And the charts are as straightforward as they can be. So here goes stupidity. Rising bond yields are not dollar bullish, at least not in the time frame of this chart. So when bond yields rise then the dollar actually falls. Yes...
At their policy meeting in December, FOMC participants agreed to double down on QE pace to close the same by Mar’22 amid growing concerns about hotter inflation. Fed officials also began discussing at the December meeting about balance sheet (bond holdings), and some policymakers are pushing to start shrinking them sooner and faster than they did after an earlier...
Bond yield looks to have bottomed out at 1.12. Daily close abv 1.38 will start bullish HHHL structure. In such scenario , price may adance to 2.02 (minimum) on conservative slope and 2.34 - 2.60 on steep slope.
Minimum deadline as of now is 22nd Jan but if it attempts for 2.60 then deadline could extend to May 2022.