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Nifty 500: Will history repeat - 50% upside?Indian Markets have been following the corrective pattern (from Sep 2024 till date) which is very similar to that of Oct 2021 till April 2023. Market topped: Oct 2021 | Sep 2024 1st Major bottom formed: June 2022 | March 2025 2nd Higher low formed: April 2023 - Marking the beginning of bull run of +70%. The 2nd low breached the immediate swing and the channel for a few weeks for absorbing liquidity, and then the bull run started. (Absorbing liquidity - When price is brought below key SL levels by big market makers to create panic and buy bulk quantity in cheap so as to benefit from the next leg up) Currently, we are at a same juncture. Breached the channel and Aug 2025 lows. Is it a liquidity grab or a breach for the worse? % of Nifty500 stocks below SMA200: 1st Major bottom: Made a low at 16% in June 2022 and turned. | Made of low of 10% in March 2025 2nd Higher low: Made a low of 36% in April 2023 | Currently at 29% on March 11, 2026. Things are looking eerily similar. Just need to see if it plays out the same way or not!
NSE:CNX500Long
by pankajarora232
USDINR - The Final TOP!USDINR - Has been moving between 90 - 92 forming marginally higher highs/ higher lows, in what is called an Ending Diagonal in Elliot Waves. This should form a medium term top in USDINR and lead to a 4% if not 10% fall. Reasons: 1. Crude spike cool off 2. Signs of recovery in economy leading to better GDP These should lead to stocks doing better. Strengthening currency and improved GDP number + corporate results should attract FII inflows, which should further fuel the stock market. Too early, but the path looks clear!
Short
by pankajarora232
2
Crude - Will Fizzle out the same way it always does! Crude/ NaturalGas have been in oversupply for quite some time now. Especially, Crude - where all Govts are putting in efforts to reduce dependence. Natural Gas has at least one source where consumption is increasing - Gas based power plants. My view is that Crude (and NG) is fundamentally getting disrupted and hence will remain low, albeit a few spikes - led by supply shocks. Stories will be built on this time it's different - As were being built around NG, when it spiked because of an intense Arctic cold wave across the US and Europe. NG fizzled out much sooner than the cold wave subsided. Went up 140% in 2 weeks and then gave back all those gains and broke previous lows in next 2. Now headed for another 50% drop as per me. Here's the chart: Now crude supply normalisation will take time, so it might not drop as fast. Today's high of 120 might get retested, but overall, we should head back to 50 or maybe 35. As per EW - We have just done an X up. Once it's digested, we should head down in Y and break previous low.
TVC:USOILShort
by pankajarora232
PSU Banks - Leader set to lead again!PSU Banks have been the undisputed leader of the upmove from April 2025 lows. They have led every move up and made new highs while most of the market stayed range bound. No reason for them to not do it again, as we are close to a short term bottom if not a positional bottom in indices. Look for 15-20% moves in stocks in case of a short term bottom and a 60-80% move in case of a positional one. Only market will tell which one is it. PS: Not necessary that bottom in PSU Banks is done, there's scope of 3-5% more correction, but then why look to time the bottom when 15-20% move is incoming :) A few stocks looking good: BOI Union Bank SBIN: CanBk Indian Bank
NSE:CNXPSUBANKLong
by pankajarora232
Nifty - Time to go ALL IN LONG!In August, we noticed that Nifty was following 2022-23 correction quite closely and expected another dip back to test the longterm channel low: In Sep, when everyone was fearfull - we stuck our neck out and went long as a short term structure was incomplete :) Thankfully, all has gone as per expectations till now - and we are in another fear/ uncertainty environment, with Nifty testing Aug 25 lows. Now, this might hold or we might break the Aug lows momentarily to grab more liquidity from panic sellers (keeping 24k as SL) - Just like it did in March 2023 Now, the question is - do we want to time the last dip or just go long :) For me, it's a BLIND LONG! But, not for short term trades - This is the time to deploy lupmsum capital, which one can hold for 1-2 years. I expect min 20% and high confidence 50% return in smallcap index. If one does stock selection, much more can be made - look at power/ infra. However, even 20-50% in index 12-18months is not a bad deal :) All the best!
NSE:NIFTYLong
by pankajarora232
Gold Margin Call Flush – Is XAUUSD Ready for 6000?Gold recently experienced a sharp sell-off as global fund managers faced margin calls, forcing liquidation across asset classes. In times of liquidity stress, even safe-haven assets like gold get sold to raise cash. Now the technical picture is becoming interesting. 🔎 Key Levels to Watch 5000 Zone – Major Support This is a critical demand area. If price stabilizes and holds above 5000, it signals absorption of panic selling and potential accumulation. 5400 – First Upside Target Initial recovery level where partial profit-taking may occur. 5550 – 5600 – Major Resistance Zone A strong supply area. A decisive breakout and sustained move above this range would confirm bullish continuation. 6000 – Extended Target If momentum builds and resistance flips into support, we could see an expansion move toward 6000 in the coming weeks. 📊 Technical Outlook The recent drop appears driven by liquidity stress rather than structural weakness. If support holds, this could mark a classic “liquidity sweep” before trend continuation. Watch volume behavior and price reaction at 5000 carefully. ⚠️ Always wait for confirmation and manage risk wisely. 📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Always manage risk and follow your trading plan. Your feedback drives our content and keeps everyone trading smarter. Let’s make those pips together! 🚀 Happy Trading, – The InvestPro Team
FX:XAUUSDLong
by InvestPro_India
7
MCX Ready for Next Leg Up? | High Tight Structure + Volume ExpanNSE:MCX MCX has been in a clean higher high – higher low structure and is now consolidating just below resistance after a strong impulsive move. I am seeing : - Strong uptrend with price holding above key moving averages - Tight consolidation near highs (bullish sign) - RSI cooling without breakdown (healthy reset) Key Levels: Immediate Resistance: 2,700 zone Breakout Confirmation: Sustained close above 2,705 Support Zone: 2,420–2,450 Immediate Resistance: 2,700 zone Breakout Confirmation: Sustained close above 2,705 Support Zone: 2,420–2,450 Trade Plan (Positional Bias): Above 2,705 → Momentum continuation possible Upside projections open toward: 2,850 & 3,000 Invalidation below structure support.
NSE:MCXLong
by Jothe_Vallal
BTC Near Resistance | Short Opportunity @ 68200 - 67100Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is approaching a key resistance zone between 68,200 – 67,100, an area where price has a higher probability of facing selling pressure. 📌 Trade Idea (Short Setup): Instrument: BTCUSD Sell Zone: 68,200 - 67,100 Target Area: 64,000 - 63,200 This zone may act as a supply area, where bears could step in to defend higher prices. Rejection signals or weakness near resistance could offer a favorable risk-to-reward short opportunity. ⚠️ Always wait for confirmation and manage risk wisely. 📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Always manage risk and follow your trading plan. Your feedback drives our content and keeps everyone trading smarter. Let’s make those pips together! 🚀 Happy Trading, – The InvestPro Team
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by InvestPro_India
5
USDCAD Bullish Continuation Setup – Key Break & Hold Above 1.371USDCAD is showing strong bullish structure with sustained higher lows and strong momentum candles. The pair is currently testing a key resistance-turned-support zone at 1.3712. A confirmed hold above this level signals continued bullish control and opens the path toward the next liquidity zones. 🎯 Key Levels to Watch Bullish Confirmation: Sustained close above 1.3712 Target 1: 1.3790 (intermediate resistance / liquidity pocket) Target 2: 1.3840 (major supply zone) 🧠 Why This Setup Matters ✔ Strong bullish momentum structure ✔ Resistance flipping into support ✔ Clear liquidity targets above ✔ Favorable risk-to-reward opportunity Buyers remain in control as long as price holds above the breakout zone. A rejection from 1.3712 would suggest short-term consolidation, but continuation remains the higher-probability scenario while structure stays intact. 📌 Disclaimer This analysis is strictly for educational purposes and not financial advice. Please consult your financial advisor and follow your own trading plan before taking any trades. If you find this idea useful, hit the like button and share your views—your feedback helps us create better trading insights for the community. 🚀 Trade smart. Trade disciplined. Happy Trading, – The InvestPro Team
Long
by InvestPro_India
Nifty 15m – Liquidity Respect & Balance Zone in PlayPrice continues to respect previously marked liquidity zones from earlier sessions. After the initial rejection from upper levels, structure shifted and price moved back into lower liquidity. The blue dashed lines represent old liquidity areas where price repeatedly reacted. Recent consolidation around this zone shows active participation and balance formation. Sustained acceptance above this area may support a move toward higher reference levels. Failure to hold may invite further downside toward lower liquidity targets. For the next session, plan trades based on confirmation around these key levels.
NSE:NIFTY
by yogananda_tapodhana