Correction
Bold move of gold is about to hold1. Price is out of regression,
Thats an outlier movement, which explained the intensity of the impulse, its a characteristic movement of 3rd wave
2. Internal wave structures & Primary wave analysis,
5 sub wave of 3 primary wave is am extension wave, price structure is quite stiff and resembles with Climax Top
3. Cup & Handle pattern target has achieved, have spotted 2 such a structures
4. Deviation from 200 ema
Considering these counts, price could come to 67600 Or 62500, this would be complex correction & expected to see flag formation.
👑Bitcoin Analysis: Trading Amid Price Correction📉🔍Today is Tuesday, and it's a favorable day for trading. The cryptocurrency I'm analyzing today is Bitcoin. In the initial candle of the day, Bitcoin experienced a downward movement of around 6%, reaching a support level of $63,054. We need to observe its behavior in the subsequent candles around this support level.
🌊From a Elliott Wave Theory perspective, we've seen a reversal in the lower wave cycle on the 4-hour chart, indicating a minor downturn. However, in the higher wave cycle, Bitcoin remains predominantly bullish, and this correction appears to be a minor adjustment necessary for subsequent upward movements.It's important to note that these corrections on higher time frame charts can shape long-term trends, potentially providing profitable opportunities on lower time frame charts like the 4-hour.
💪The latest key level where price bounced back is around $68,100, forming a strong Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ). This zone coincides with the Point of Control (POC) indicator of the fixed range volume profile, the 0.38 Fibonacci retracement level of the downward wave, and the resistance line of the Elliott Wave Theory. Additionally, the golden cross of the SMA7, 25, and 99 further strengthens this zone.
📊The volume of red candles confirms the short-term downward trend but currently doesn't show any weakness. We need to monitor how the volume behaves in case of a correction.
✅For traders holding short positions, consider taking profits if the price finds support at $63,054. Otherwise, exercise patience and wait for a potential drop to $60,849. If the price sharply rises, take pleasure in your profits. For risk management, set your stop-loss if the sharp upward movement occurs, as it could happen easily due to the overall bullish trend.
📉If you don't currently have a position, wait for the market to establish a new structure before taking any action. If you're unable to wait for a new structure to form, consider opening a short position when the RSI enters oversold territory. However, be aware that this is a risky move. By considering these factors, traders can identify potential trading opportunities amidst Bitcoin's price correction.
🧠💼It's important to acknowledge the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Always adhere to strict capital management principles and utilize stop-loss orders, ensuring that the initial target offers a risk-to-reward ratio of 2
Market Correction or Market Crash? What you expect but soonHello Everyone,
I've conducted another analysis, indicating that we might experience a good correction, likely in the 2nd or 3rd week of January 2024. But the question is how far this correction will go?
Projected Support Levels:
1st Support: 21,100
2nd Support: 20,250
3rd Support: 19,950
I'm optimistic that the correction will be limited to 21,100, after which we anticipate breaking the Nifty50's lifetime high of 21,834 and progressing towards 23,000.
I wish you successful investing and trading.
Best regards,
Naveen
Q&A_ Is Dow Jones and global markets ready for a freefall?Namaste!
US Markets substantially affect global market and their indices. There are two main indices which I track most often. DJI (Dow Jones) and SPX (S&P 500).
I expect it to be in a downfall in the coming weeks/months.
I follow a rule of thumb for a reversal (respecting support or resistance) is that it must close below low of the resistance testing candle within the next 3 candles.
My understanding says, "there is a >60% probability of prices moving in the candles closing direction if the prices consolidate". Consolidation can happen near the resistance levels. So, it means there is a <40% probability of reversing (respecting resistance) if the prices consolidate. The logic is very simple. If the sellers were powerful enough, the price will fall quickly, whereas consolidation indicates their unwillingness to sell or more buying pressure than selling at the level.
So, the 02 Nov candle closed below the level, hence the selling pressure is strong here meaning more probably price will fall. It is my opinion because I said this happens 60% of the time. This could be that 40% when I am wrong.
Disclaimer: The above written article is based on my understanding and experience in the markets. Please do your own analysis and/or consult your financial advisor before investing or trading.
Q&A_ When to sell Ultratech?Namaste!
I often wonder why do retail people and even institutions sell when the stock has been already fell. Why didn't they sell when the stock was rising?
I follow a simple principal. Either sell it at a profit or don't sell.
Anyways, In the weekly chart of the ultratech, you must have noticed the circles I've drawn.
These circles represent the price as well as volume candles.
Rising prices should mostly be supported by the rising volumes. But in this case, the volume is falling. This can be a fake-breakout. And the number 3 is very strong indication.
This isn't the 1st time for Ultratech. The stock has proved the above statement two times previously.
Opinion to investors: Well, investors should never sell any stock they own. This isn't limited to this stock, but to any stock. But, if you were planning to add more (buy more) shares, you can wait for a correction.
Opinion to traders: Well, you can trail your stop loss to either Rs 6510 or Rs 6584. Again, both the prices has importance of their own, so don't get excited for the high SL price. The first price is based on the weekly candles and second is daily.
Disclaimer: The analysis I have shared is based on my understanding and experience in the markets. Investment does not guarantee a fixed return due to volatile nature of markets and may result in a loss. Please do your analysis and/or consult your financial advisor before investing.
Little bull is expected in NIFTY50….Elliott Wave Analysis:-
Flat correction taking place.
Slight bull is expected before a fall (or)
This may be beginning of a bull run for a short period of time.
We have to watch the wave formation.
I am not a SEBI registered advisor.Before taking a trade do your own analysis or consult a financial advisor.I share chart for education purpose only.I share my trade setup.
correction in PETRONET LNG completed.Elliott wave analysis:-
Running Flat took place with B wave as triangle. now an upside move is expected.
i am not a SEBI registered advisor. Before taking a trade do your own analysis or consult a financial advisor. I share chart for education purpose only. I share my trade setup.
Supper Bearish CoalIndia Hello friends,
it was good move came in coal india in last few days. but now days global market is looks so weak. Based on this data here coal india has super Bearish Diversion built up. if it goes correct it will give supper fall to 15-20 points. within 2 - 3 days it will give clear cut fall.
1. its on high / top of trend range
2. prices shows up but SRSI show complete down so both are not matching. it need price base correction.
3. after continue bullish it need correction to move up.
based on these points this stock is waiting for some trigger to fall. you can keep this in your watch list and tracking it.
Its not recommendation but just my point of view. So your own analysis and trade own your own risk.
Like | Share | Comment.
Thank you.
zigzag correction in BANKNIFTY ELLIOTT WAVE ANALYSIS:-
View-1:-
It seems that a zigzag wave has completed.
A bounce back looks like connecting correction wave B is forming, a little bounce back may happen to form a connecting waves in a correction form.
View-2:-
It seems that a zigzag wave has completed.
An impulse wave was emerged and an impulse 1st wave was completed and a corrective 2nd wave was completed it seems to be an emerging of impulse 3rd wave .
Expected a reasonable bounce back if the 43600 level sustains. If the level break and go down then there will be another zig zag formation may take place.
T1=44439
T2= 44586
T3=44957
T4=45274-45615
For View 2 stop loss will be 43600.
For wave 1 there will be no stop loss.
i'm not a SEBI registered advisor. Before taking a trade do your own analysis or consult a financial advisor.
Correction in KOTAKBANK. FLAT (or) TRIANGLE Wave.Elliott Wave Analysis:-
Due to some management changes in bank there are certain fundamental changes taking place. Let the cloud get cleared, until that we wait for the clear sky.
View1:-
triangle pattern.
B wave was formed.
Once C,D wave was formed then we can enter into the trade.
until that we watch the wave formation.
1631 as stop loss we enter into the trade.
once the breakout was completed in upper side we trail our stop accordingly in between waves.
View2:-
Flat correction.
Once it break 1631 then flat correction is confirmed .
Almost B wave was seems to be over.
it may reach 1570,1436, 1267, 1051 will be the support level.
Wait and watch until there is a clear wave formation.
I'm not a SEBI registered advisor.
Kindly consult your financial advisor.
triangle pattern breakout in PETRONET LNGThere is a triangle pattern formation in the chart for long term.
Expecting a bounce back once it reaches 210-214 zone.
Target for triangle pattern with taking C Wave as stop loss. once there is a breakout then we can go for the consider E wave as stop loss and we can trail accordingly.
Target:-
T1- 242
T2-264
T3-300
T4-330
Stop @ 190
we have to wait and watch the pattern formation.
An alternative view I will post in the forecoming chart's.
CAMS Stock: Still in Correction, Wait for Wave 5 to CompleteNSE:CAMS is currently in a correction phase, according to the Elliott Wave Theory. The stock has completed wave 3 of the correction, and wave 5 is yet to complete. This means that the stock is likely to continue to decline until it reaches the Fibonacci level of 0.618, which is around ₹1,863 per share. Once the stock reaches this level, it is expected to start a new uptrend.
The Elliott Wave Theory is a technical analysis tool that uses wave patterns to predict future price movements. The theory states that stock prices move in five waves, with three waves up and two waves down. The waves are labeled as A, B, C, and so on.
In the case of CAMS, the stock has completed wave 3 of the current correction, which is a downtrend. Wave 5 is yet to complete, and it is expected to be a downtrend as well. The Fibonacci level of 0.618 is a common support level, and it is likely that the stock will reach this level before it starts to rally again.
Therefore, investors who are interested in buying CAMS stock should wait until it reaches the Fibonacci level of 0.618 before they buy. This will help to ensure that they are buying the stock at a good price.
Market Internals suggest WEAKNESSCNX500 Relative Strength
Attached: Nifty 500/ Nifty 50 Daily Chart as of 21st March 2023
- I am watching this Ratio Chart to turn down after Retesting a Confluence Zone
- Its looking Bearish currently post a Rising Wedge breakdown and Three Black Crows candlestick pattern
- It signals Weakness in the Broad Market relative to the Index.
- This Chart had Topped out in Sept 2022 and since then there has been Under the Hood Selling in the Market.
This is a Leading Indicator of the Broad Market Strength/ Weakness
And comes under the Study of Intermarket Analysis
consolidationon the hourly chart nifty showed a break above 20 ma and a close above it.
1. this indicates the profit booking by the bears.
2. market may consolidate between the low to 17331 levels. unless a strong break or strong rejection from the moving average is noticed further down move is awaited.