UnknownUnicorn7637383

UnknownUnicorn7637383 Updated 

Namaste! I have been sounding bearish for the last couple of years. But, let me clarify that the stock market always goes up because of inflation . Inflation is the most important factor in my opinion, which results in upward movement of stocks and the stock market as a whole. Since the start of industrial evolution in the year 1760 in England, there is one...

UnknownUnicorn7637383 Updated 

Namaste! Any stock can not sustain it's bullish behaviour, without a correction. Reliance has to correct, before going up again. It is the proved nature of markets. Why selling any stock is a good idea. 1. To buy it back at a lower prices, 2. To full-fill urgent needs of money, 3. To let the weak hands enjoy the euphoria and not to stay in the markets when...

UnknownUnicorn7637383 Updated 

Namaste! Currently, Nifty is trading near very important levels. This was the important resistance (because of lot of consolidation happening between Jun-July 2021), which became a support after the breakout. It has been tested twice since the July breakout. S&P 500 fell into bear market yesterday as far as daily close is considered. But, I am not convinced 100%...

UnknownUnicorn7637383 Updated 

Definition: India VIX is a volatility index based on the NIFTY Index Option prices. From the best bid-ask prices of NIFTY Options contracts, a volatility figure (%) is calculated which indicates the expected market volatility over the next 30 calendar days. Here you can see the weekly chart of India Vix. You must have noticed that whenever the Vix touches 10%...

UnknownUnicorn7637383 Updated 

Namaste! I have been tracking DJI (Dow Jones Industrial Average) for quite a while. The bear market is defined as 20% correction in benchmark indices from the all time highs. SPX (S&P 500) has fell into bear market twice (2nd after retracement), it closed below 20% line on daily as well as weekly candles . But it did recovered from those levels until recently, ...

UnknownUnicorn7637383 Updated 

Namaste! I have been pessimistic about the bull market since Oct 2022 when Dow Jones fell into bear market for the first-time (i.e. closed below 20% levels from all time highs). S&P500 has been closing below 20% bear market level in June 2022, Sep 2022 and Dec 2022 respectively. (Please read earlier article of the same name which I posted on 7 Nov 2022). There...

UnknownUnicorn7637383 Updated 

Namaste! US Markets substantially affect global market and their indices. There are two main indices which I track most often. DJI (Dow Jones) and SPX (S&P 500). I expect it to be in a downfall in the coming weeks/months. I follow a rule of thumb for a reversal (respecting support or resistance) is that it must close below low of the resistance testing candle...

UnknownUnicorn7637383 Updated 

Namaste! In this article, I am sharing my understanding of the following subjects. Please correct me if I am wrong in any of the mentioned things. 1. Book value is a value of total assets over total liabilities. Means, Total Assets - Total Liabilities. 2. Meaning, the amount available to the shareholders (per share) whenever the company goes into...

UnknownUnicorn7637383 Updated 

Namaste! Money has a different meaning, to different kind of humans. For normal human beings: a commodity for survival (means to buy food, shelter, clothing, cure to deceases, etc.). For ambitious human beings: money is a commodity to fulfill ambitions, goals, desires, desire to be great, desire to stand aside in a socio-economic status, etc. For human...

UnknownUnicorn7637383 Updated 

Namaste! Adani group is in a bubble, if I consider the following points. 1. Rs 400 to Rs 4000 in a matter of 2 years. This isn't a behaviour of a large-cap stock. 2. The Adani group companies have borrowed hugely. Just look at the debt to equity ratio of Adani companies:- Adani Enterprises: 1.31 Adani Ports: 1.04 Adani Transmissions: 3.16 Adani Total Gas:...

UnknownUnicorn7637383 Updated 

Trading and investing are completely different in nature. In trading, we don't care about the prices whether it's fair or not. We buy high and sell even higher. But in investing, we should only buy a stock near its intrinsic value. No matter if everyone is making money except us. But, price which is justified by fundamentals are sustainable and proved...

UnknownUnicorn7637383 Updated 

Namaste! UPL is a very good pick for investing, from Nifty 50 stocks. Why? 1. It has an average EPS of Rs 29.50 since the last 6 years. 2. It is from the agriculture chemical sector, which is a good sector to invest in. The sectors I don't recommend are Aviation, Telecom, Etc. 3. It's IV is Rs 1390, if 29.50 EPS and 6.1% (India 10-Year Bond Yield) is considered....

UnknownUnicorn7637383 Updated 

Namaste! Wipro has been sold off (down 47% from the ATH) because of technology sector (NASDAQ 100) being selling off since the start of the year. Buying good companies at a discount is always a good idea. So, I see a very good investment opportunity in this stock. Remember, investing is different from trading. There are only two scenarios in my opinion, either a...

UnknownUnicorn7637383 Updated 

Namaste! I have been tracking ITC for quite some time. Now, I see an upcoming bearish momentum in the coming weeks. Q: Why am I saying this? A: Well, all time high of ITC was Rs 367.70. It broke it's multiyear lows (of Rs 178.65) on 09 March 2020. So, it can be a long term pattern of "lower lows and lower highs". This price can be the next lower highs. Profit...

UnknownUnicorn7637383 Updated 

Namaste! Yes Bank has been a favourite stock for retail public. Due to it's penny price, it attracts a lot of retail attention. I think it is a good time to invest in Yes Bank because of following reasons. 1. According to me, any retail person will think of Yes Bank and Idea, if he has given a choice to buy some large-cap stocks. Generally, businesses like...

UnknownUnicorn7637383 Updated 

Namaste! LICI has been hit hard for the mainly two reasons, 1. Previous performance of other IPO stocks such as Paytm, Zomato, Etc. 2. Current bearish sell-off (in over all global markets). Investment Objective: If Nifty/Sensex give 10-12% annual average return, my goal is to beat the index. Means we will try to generate >12% annual return. We can include stocks...

UnknownUnicorn7637383 Updated 

Namaste! Muthoot Finance is one of my favourite stocks in the finance sector. The formulae I use to calculate intrinsic value suggests this stock, whereas it somewhat fails in the valuation of Bajaj Finance, SBI Cards, etc. It is trading at a PE (Price to earnings ratio) of 11.62, whereas Bajaj Finance is 51.29 and SBI Cards is 45.53. In most cases, the lower PE...

UnknownUnicorn7637383 Updated 

Namaste! Amazon has corrected enough to look attractive to value investors. VI basically mean they will look for: 1. Low P/E ratio, 2. An long term up-trending stock (Amazon is that), 3. Fear in the markets, Etc. Investors like Warren Buffet doesn't buy when the market is at all time high and people think it will keep going up in a straight line. He and other...