NIFTY... ELLIOT WAVES COUNTING....Dear friends,
As we see in the chart, Nifty is correcting rapidly from an all time high level.
While counting the Elliot waves, we can see that waves 1 and 3 on the downside have been completed.
The five waves of wave 3 are shown in the chart.
Now we can expect wave 4, which is likely to consolidate for a few days.
Wave 4 is likely to have moves on either sides and it can form a zig zag or a flat or a triangle pattern. I had shown a flat pattern of wave 4 in the chart.
As per my view, the right time to invest will be at the end of wave 5 which is likely to be around 24000 to 24300 levels.
Get ready to ride the bumpy wave 4 guys!
Trade with appropriate stoploss.
Correctivestructure
HDFC - Will it take U-Turn ? - Close from 1800 Disclaimer:
Trading in financial markets involves substantial risks. Consult your financial advisor before making decisions. This commentary is not a solicitation to buy or sell.
WaveTalks - Market Whispers! Can you hear them?...........
Will the Giant Take a U-Turn after achieving all the targets 1555 was the first in the series ....
Possible Reasons for Next Expected Move
Possible Double Top at 1794 ( Will be valid until holds below 1800)
Pattern Thrust from 1630's - Key level
Elliott Wave - Corrective Sequence could be completed from the support zone 1375 - 1390 to 1800 approx highs .or about to end .mentioned in the connecting 1st idea published on 27th Jan 2024 - The Bullish Gartley
Bullish Gartley Idea ( 1375 - 1800..) - 1st Idea of the Series in Jan 2024
Enjoying Target 1 - 1555 in April 2024
Nifty at 26000 - We are almost close to 27600's Target ...Can we achieve the dream run or we correct & later push towards
From WaveTalks
Good Night
Bank Nifty 15 Mins Analysis - We're short again but why? Hello traders,
Hope you all captured the down move we shared a couple of days ago. We are short again after a pullback today(please refer our today's post), and we have explained the corrective wave count (WXYXZ) in this chart, so please have a look.
The price is rejecting 61.8% of previous swing highs, and we expect it to continue the downtrend tomorrow(could be a good trending day)
Expected Targets:
52,032
51,933
51,863
Stop Loss: 52850 (If the stop loss is too big for you, then please set a smaller stop above 52,720 (based on a 15-minute candle close, not a spike).
Disclaimer: We are not SEBI registered. The content presented here is based on personal opinions. Conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
BankNifty's- Danger: Is this A Rising Wedge?– Time to RethinkEarlier in The Day - When Magical Level of 43350 Holds
Ending diagonal
Also known as an ending wedge, is a term used in the field of technical analysis to describe a specific chart pattern that signals the end of a trend or price movement. This pattern is characterized by converging trendlines that form a wedge shape and typically consists of five waves, with the third and fifth waves being smaller than the first and second waves.
Rising wedges are bearish reversal patterns that often signal the end of an uptrend, leading to a decline in prices.
Few classic examples from history where rising wedges have occurred, and financial instruments have collapsed:
1. The Dot-Com Bubble (2000):
2. The Global Financial Crisis (2007-2008): A rising wedge pattern emerged in the US housing market and various mortgage-backed securities leading up to the financial crisis.
3. The Crude Oil Crash (2014-2016): Crude oil prices experienced a sharp decline between 2014 and 2016 due to a combination of oversupply and weak demand. A rising wedge pattern was evident in crude oil prices before the crash.
As a trader, it is essential to be cautious and aware of potential risks when trading financial instruments that exhibit rising wedge patterns. Some tips to keep in mind are:
1. Stay informed about market trends and technical analysis patterns to identify potential reversal signals, such as the rising wedge.
2. Keep track of economic data, news, and events that could impact the financial instrument you are trading.
3. Practice proper risk management by using stop-loss orders and position sizing to minimize potential losses.
4. Diversify your trading portfolio to reduce the impact of a single financial instrument's collapse.
5. Remain disciplined and follow your trading plan, ensuring that you do not give in to emotions like fear or greed.
16th March 2023 :Last idea - Truncated Pattern Are Really Explosive : BankNifty
TATA STEEL: CorrectionAfter a five wave rally stock is correcting in a three wave fashion. The five wave rally can be considered as a wave-1 of higher degree and the subsequent fall should be taken as wave-2. Hence,stock is likely to correct towards 100/97 area which is also a 50%-61.8% fibonacci retracement zone, which suits better retracement for wave-2.
Trading strategy: Sell 103 , SL: 106 tgt: 100/97
Expecting a small correction in the AUTO SECTORNSE:CNXAUTO
I am expecting a small correction in the Auto sector. It is because the price is facing resistance on the upper trendline. The MACD indicator is showing a small divergence as the MACD Line didn't went up when the price went up and giving random crossovers. It is moving in a range but the prices went up in past one month.
The same is with the RSI, there is also a small divergence as the RSI is moving in a range and didn't went up with the prices in the past one month indicating loosing momentum.
I am expecting the prices to correct and test its 50 EMA levels and extremely it could test the lower Trendline. But not expecting a Bear trend or a trend reversal, as the Sector has outperformed NIFTY 50 for the last 1 year. It is a good time to book partial profits and re enter at lower levels.
Disclaimer : It is my own view and analysis. It is for educational purposes and not any type of Recommendation, call or a tip.
Basing and Breakout formation Basing : Its accumulation phase where smart money comes in, it acts as a base.
Here price may follow the previous trend or shows reversal
Always take partial position, don't get trap by infusing entire position.
Volume activity remains low and you may see some heavy buying at support.
Psychology : participants are not ready to participate actively, it lacks enthusiasm.
Breakout phase :
Here, It may break the support or resistance The bigger the base, the stronger the rally can be.
If it breaks resistance add up your position and if it breaks support cut out your position.
Psychology : Here you will see the moment in price activity with higher spikes in volume.
Here they get the direction.
SILVERSilver had broken support trendline and closed yesterday below 20 day moving average, which is clear sign of bearishness ahead. After bounce from lower end of falling channel it got rejection at upper end of falling channel, also RK's Momentum turned in sell mode, all other trend indicators like macd, rsi etc. are also suggesting same bias, According to wave structure we are possibly in wave Z of Z, which can lead to retest levels of $ 20.462 and if sustain below this then $ 19.80, On upper side RK's stop line may work as a major hurdle which is pegged at $ 22.550 to watch out for.
Over all wave structure could be like this one
Price had broken Support Trendline along with 20DMA level on closing basis
Price getting Declined by RK's Cloud and stop line on daily chart
RK's Momentum turned Negative on daily chart
Macd in weekly already in Negative mode
Macd in daily down tick converging to Negative mode
RSI in daily down tick and near 40
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
GOLDWhile correction gold's recent bounce rejected from RK's stop line along with upper bollinger band on daily time frame, as per wave structure we had marked it as wave X, Overall wave structure is still suggesting corrective phase only, along with trend indicator's support as a same bias by macd on multi time frame, stochastic on daily time frame, RK's momentum and also Dollar index resumes its rally, so Gold can see its slide to south direction near $1710, where wave Z can be equal to wave W. Once price closes below 20DMA which is pegged at $1842, then bear strength can show more power.
Gold has possibly started its wave Z
On daily chart histogram is decreasing
Weekly macd is already in negative way
Monthly macd is also in negative
Daily stochastic negative crossover
RK's momentum also not sustaining positive on daily chart
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
RELIANCE INDIn Reliance RK's momentum sell signal is already activated on daily chart, and yesterday finally it break down from that rising channel, and today we closed below 20dma along with close below RK's stop line which is at 2635, now we can say that yes we are in bearish phase.
As per Elliot wave structure also, wave E of the ending pattern ended in april and fall was wave i and recent bounce was wave ii and the next move that has started should be wave iii, which can go towards south direction where the lower end of the wedge is near 2300 and if wave iii is going to be equal to wave i, that level is near 2335, these are the possible levels to watchout for.
MACD in daily negative crossover
macd in weekly down tick
RK's momentum turned negative on weekly
rsi on daily down tick
price below 20 dma
RK's momentum sell signal activated on daily chart
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
CHOLAMANDALAM INVESTMENTThis stock has broken down support trend line on daily chart along with good intensity of volume.
Stock is possibly forming a bearish head and shoulder pattern and currently, the neckline is at 603. close below 603 will confirm a head and shoulders breakdown which may the open the gates of 482 levels.
Also trend indicators like macd, rsi, rk momentum, rk mass psychological cloud, dmi and adx all are supporting same bearish bias, which increases our confidence to go short in this stock. Price is now trading below 20DMA and also below lower bollinger band which increases our negative bias as a momentum fall expected. The elliot wave structure suggests that the short to medium term uptrend has reversed because wave A was possibly a five wave decline, and corrective pullback wave B looks complete and now possibly wave C is unfolding. RK's momentum also given a sell signal.
If wave C is going to equal to wave A then 562 is minimum to go for, and if it goes 161.8% of wave A then we can see 482 levels ( head and shoulder pattern's size )
Breakdown with a good intensity of volume
Price also broken 20DMA and now trading below lower Bollinger Band
macd negative crossover on daily also below zero line
macd already running negative on weekly chart
RK's stop line along with mass psychological cloud suggesting to go short
RK's momentum sell activated on daily chart
rsi on daily downtick and below 40
dmi adx also negative on daily chart
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
INDUSINDBANKThis stock is forming head and shoulder pattern on weekly time frame, that can be a big bearish ahead. Right now we are at mid. Bollinger on daily chart, at 20DMA once its break and close below 20DMA then that would be a trigger point, Overall wave structure is also suggesting corrective structure ahead, after completion of impulse waves, we are in corrective phase as a zig-zag pattern as a A-B-C, possibly wave A and B are completed and right now we are in wave C of zig-zag, which can subdivide into 5 waves, if wave A and C are going to be equal then we can see 670 to 675, and on upper side nearest swing high and RK's stop line of weekly and daily would be a hurdles to watch out for, which are pegged at 1029, 950 and 925.
Overall wave structure on weekly chart
Reverse Divergence
Corrective wave structure
RK's Momentum sell signal activated
Mass psychological cloud and rk's stop line both in sell mode
Price at 20DMA, ready to break
Head and shoulder chart pattern in weekly, yet neckline to break
Macd in weekly already in negative mode
Macd in daily is down tick and converging towards south, that too below zero line
Rsi in weekly down tick below 50
Rsi in daily down tick below 50
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
LT Larsen & toubroLT shown selling pressure today and has been closed below 20DMA, RK's mass psychological cloud and RK's stop line both are indicating bearish scenario ahead, this stock is showing clear wave counts on daily chart, where after completing 1-2-3-4-5 impulse now its in corrective phase as wave W-X-Y, also chart is showing that W and X has completed now wave Y is unfolding as subdivided waves A-B-C. after completing wave A-B possibly we are in wave C, All this indicates wave C of Y is started, which should be unfold in five waves decline, and if C is going to be equal as A then it can show near 1354. Also all other parameters are supporting same, which are mentioned below with snap shots. All the key levels are mentioned on chart.
Overall wave structure and bias scenario
Price closed below 20DMA
Weekly macd is running negative
Daily macd is also down tick below zero line
Breakdown along with good intensity of volume on hourly chart
RSI on daily down tick near 40 area.
RK's psychological cloud along with stop line and also RK's signal all are suggesting bearish scenario.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
AXISBANKAxisbank has given good breakdown of 20HMA along with bottom of parallel channel in hourly and apart from theses it has also broken support trendline with good intensity of volume.
This stock has fallen below 20DMA which is pegged near 668, Also recent rally ended at RK's Stop line (key level line) near 700.
Overall wave structure is suggesting that corrective phase is going on as a wave W-X-Y, where after completing wave W & X, now wave Y is unfolding as a zig-zag pattern, and in wave Y possibly wave A and B has completed and now wave C is unfolding, If wave C is going to be equal to wave A then we are directed towards south near 540 areas.
significants
Overall wave structure on daily time frame chart
Rejection at RK's stop line along with RK momentum sell activated
RK's momentum is also turning negative crossover in daily chart
macd in hourly running negative
MACD in daily turning/converging Negative below zero line
MACD in weekly running Negative below zero line
RSI in daily down tick and near below 40
RSI in hourly down tick and below 40
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
WaveTalks-HDFC- Old Ways Leading to New Destinations-CCCOld Ways Leading to New Destinations ( New Results) - In this short video, we discussed old methods which could provide new results / new destinations.
These Old ways / methods discussed are
Channel / Trendline
Chart Pattern - Head & Shoulder
Correction
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HDFC Idea's Diary Published at TradingView
in.tradingview.com
US markets taking a pause?The price action formation on the SPX seems to be indicating that the market in the US could be taking a pause for now. Price had pulled back from all time highs recently, but now is seeing rejection from the 20EMA. If this trend continues we could see price correcting to the longer term trendline and then the 200EMA on the daily chart. A short position can be initiated keeping the following levels in mind.
SHORT BELOW : 4346
STOP LOSS : 4420
TARGET 1 : 4272
TARGET 2 : 4198
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A similar formation is also evident on DJIA, indicating that this could be a market wide pause, something which could lead to a short term correction.
If this scenario sustains, we could see this bearishness spill over to the Indian markets as well.
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Manage risk properly and trade you plan.
Like and follow for more. :)
VOLTAS : A flat CorrectionFrom the highs of 1125 made in june 2021 , stock had given a fall to 984 levels & then rebound in a choppy manner to the level of 1080. Right from there we have seen an impulsive fall & stock has broken the support zone of 1000. This level will act as resistance & stock will likely to fall further and will reach to the zone of 940-20 again.
One should short voltas in the zone of 1000-1010 with sl of 1040 and look for the target of 950/920