An investment idea in AUROPHARMA on NSE (INDIA)This is weekly chart of Auropharma with CMP @ 781.40. It looks an excellent investment idea based on following observations:
1. Price during Feb 2015 to Aug 2018 (after massive bull run from Aug 2013 to December 2015) was trading in a range which is shown on the chart by drawing support and counter trendline with arrows indicating multiple supports and resistances.
2. Price then broke out of counter trendline on 3rd Sep 2018 and it then consolidated for seven weeks taking support on counter trendline and subsequently showing reversal exhibited by bullish candle closing today.
3. During the period (Oct 2016 to Oct 2017), resistance was observed at RSI near 60 (as marked on the chart). Finally, it broke out of RSI (60) as shown /marked on the chart. During recent consolidation of seven weeks as mentioned in preceding point no.2 above, RSI tested once again at 60 before rising again. This implies that momentum is still intact.
4. Fibo extension indicates a target of 1335 (as shown on the chart) in next coming 18-20 months which indicates possible return of nearly 70% on investment. Initial stop can be considered below swing low /below counter trend line at 695. This calculates an excellent Risk-Reward ration of over 1:7.
Happy investing. Please share opinion which will help all of us through cross learning...
Counter
Nifty : Risky setup to get short ! Usually I won't post trades with Entry,stops & targets but here posted it bcos its risky and counter trade, so everyone should know how I take on risky setups and my rewards ! Actually I want you to realize my risk rather than concentrating on my rewards and why I enter trade in the marked zone. Nifty may trigger my entry and raise straightup to stops or won't get triggered and move down to target - Don't get Emotional on these scenarios.
I may lose but you will get to know & Learn on how to enter & handle counter trend trades even after 100pts Gapup. If you learn and take away something - I'm glad about it !
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Happy Trading !!