XAUUSD is ranging before CPI direction comes after the news.Gold is currently consolidating sideways near the upper zone around 434x as the market awaits inflation data and updates from the BOJ. Short-term volatility may occur, but the overall structure remains intact, with no clear breakout signal seen in the previous session.
Before the news, the preferred strategy is to trade within the range. Traders can look for reaction setups when price approaches 4346–4348, with a mandatory stop-loss, as this area has been tested multiple times.
After the news is released, the market is expected to choose a new direction. If price breaks and holds firmly above the 435x zone, the bullish trend will be confirmed. In that case, the focus shifts to buying the breakout, with targets toward the previous high and potentially a new ATH.
👉 Before the news: trade the range – react at key levels.
👉 After the news: wait for confirmation – follow the trend.
Cpidata
Waiting for CPI & FED rate cut | Priority Buy at support🟡 XAU/USD – 11/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓
🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context
US PPI yesterday : Wholesale prices dropped sharply, below forecasts → strengthening expectations of a FED rate cut.
FED probabilities : 100% odds for a -25bps cut next week, and even 16% of investors bet on -50bps.
Today : US CPI & Jobless Claims – key data to assess inflation & labor, determining the specific cut.
⏩ Captain’s Summary : FED will certainly cut rates, so Gold remains supported in its bullish trend. Short-term fluctuations may occur due to sentiment or surprises (e.g., tariff news from Trump).
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
Storm Breaker (Resistance) :
Bearish OB: 3645 – 3650 (near-term resistance)
Weak High: 3674 (target if breakout succeeds)
Golden Harbor (Support) :
Near support: 3622
FVG Dock: 3603
Bullish OB: 3581 – 3585 (strong mid-term support)
Market Structure :
H1 shows a short-term bearish BoS, retesting support.
Main trend remains bullish → possible pullback to 3622 or 3603 before rallying toward 3670+.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan
✅ Buy (priority with trend)
Entry 1 (FVG): 3603 – 3605
SL: 3592
TP: 3610 – 3615 – 3625 – 365x
Entry 2 (Bullish OB): 3581 – 3585
SL: 3572
TP: 3600 – 3620 – 3640
⚡ Sell (only short scalp at resistance)
Sell Zone: 3645 – 3650
SL: 3658
TP: 3635 – 3628 – 3622
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The Golden sails remain full of wind as the FED is almost certain to cut rates. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3622 – 3603) and the deeper OB 3581 – 3585 are safe havens to follow the bullish tide. If the ship touches Storm Breaker 🌊 (3645 – 3650) , only Quick Boarding 🚤 short scalps are recommended. The larger voyage still heads north, steering Gold toward new highs at 367x.”
What is CPI?The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a key economic indicator that measures the change in the prices of a basket of goods and services commonly purchased by U.S. consumers. It is used to assess inflation or deflation by tracking changes in consumers' purchasing power over time.
🔑Key Points: Consumer Price Index (CPI)
💡Definition:
A weighted average of prices for a basket of goods and services representing typical U.S. consumer spending.
📌 Purpose:
Tracks inflation (rising prices) or deflation (falling prices).
Measures changes in consumers' purchasing power.
🚨 Calculated By: The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
⚠️ Release Timing:
📍 Published monthly by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) during
the second week of the month.
💡Economic Impact: Central Banks Use CPI:
✅Expansionary Policy: Stimulates the economy if growth slows.
✅Contractionary Policy: Slows the economy if growth is too rapid.
💡 Significance:
A widely used indicator for adjusting wages, pensions, and other financial instruments to account for inflation.
🔥How Many Moment Expected in Gold : 150-200 PIPS
( This News Are So MANIPULATED, its mean both side moment are seen)
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