Crude Oil rebounds toward 200-SMA as the key week beginsWTI Crude Oil posts more than 1.0% intraday gain early Monday, after declining in the last three consecutive weeks, as energy traders brace for a rollercoaster week comprising multiple central bank announcements and top-tier data. In doing so, the black gold takes clues from a nearly oversold RSI (14) amid cautious optimism in the market. However, bearish MACD signals and the quote’s sustained trading beneath the 200-SMA keep the oil sellers hopeful of visiting the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of its December 2023 to April 2024 upside, near $75.30. Following that, a seven-month-old upward-sloping support line surrounding $74.40 will be a crucial level for the bears to conquer to keep the reins. In a case where the commodity prices remain bearish past $74.40, it becomes vulnerable to drop toward the previous monthly low of around $72.40.
Alternatively, the WTI Crude Oil buyers’ ability to provide a daily close beyond the 200-SMA hurdle of $78.40 won’t give them the throne as a downward-sloping resistance line from early July, close to $79.50, will challenge further advances. Also restricting the commodity’s run-up is the $80.00 threshold and a two-month-old horizontal resistance region near $80.30-60. If the energy benchmark manages to remain strong past $80.60, the 23.6% Fibonacci ratio of around $83.00 and the monthly high of $84.50 will lure the bulls.
Overall, the market’s consolidation allows WTI crude Oil to lick its wounds but the bullish trend is far from the reach.
Crudeoil!
Crude Oil retreats from 11-week high as eventful week beginsWTI Crude Oil remains pressured after reversing from an 11-week high the previous day, especially when the US Dollar posts a corrective bounce ahead of this week’s top-tier data/events. The black gold’s retreat also highlights the importance of the support-turned-resistance line stretched from mid-December 2023 and a downward-sloping trend line from late September last year. It’s worth noting that the RSI’s pullback from the overbought territory and the receding bullish bias of the MACD signals also favor the energy benchmark’s latest consolidation.
With this, the quote will likely extend the latest fall toward testing the 10-SMA support of $82.50. However, the 50% Fibonacci ratio of the commodity’s late 2023 fall and the 100-SMA, respectively near $81.40 and $80.40, quickly followed by the $80.00 psychological magnet, will challenge the Oil bears afterward. In a case where the prices remain weak past $80.00, an area comprising tops marked from mid-November 2023 to January 2024 near $79.70-25, will be the last defense of the buyers before giving control to the bears.
Meanwhile, a downward-sloping resistance line from September 2023, close to $84.10 at the latest, guards the immediate upside of the black gold. Following that, the previous support line from late 2023 will test the oil buyers near $84.70. It’s worth noting, however, that a 9.5-month-old falling resistance line surrounding $86.50 appears a tough nut to crack for the commodity buyers, a break of which will allow them to challenge the yearly high of $87.60.
Overall, Crude Oil is likely to witness further consolidation in prices as Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s bi-annual Testimony and the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) loom.
Impending “Death Cross” lures Crude Oil sellersCrude Oil struggles to defend the previous two-week uptrend early Monday, after reversing from a seven-week high on Friday. Even so, a 13-day-old rising support line restricts the black gold’s immediate downside to around $80.30. Also challenging the energy sellers are the bullish MACD signals and upbeat RSI (14) conditions, not overbought. However, the looming “Death Cross”, a moving average crossover of the 200-SMA to the 50-SMA suggesting a sell-off, joins the firmer US Dollar to lure the WTI crude oil bears. It’s worth noting, however, that the $80.00 threshold and the SMA convergence of around $79.30 will act as the final defenses of the Oil buyers before giving control to the sellers who can aim for the previous monthly low of nearly $76.20 and then the monthly bottom surrounding $72.40.
On the flip side, a daily closing beyond the latest peak of $81.75 will aim for the mid-March swing high near $83.10. Following that, late April’s top close to 84.42 and multiple hurdles near $85.00 could test the WTI crude oil buyers before directing them to the yearly high of $87.60. In a case where the energy buyers occupy the driver’s seat past $87.60, the $90.00 psychological magnet and last annual high of $95.00 should gain the attention.
To sum up, Crude Oil buyers should wait for a fresh monthly high before adding new positions while the sellers are likely to enter beneath $80.00 and can portray a short-term downside.
WTI Crude Oil’s pullback appears elusive beyond $78.00WTI crude oil pares the biggest daily gain in a week while posting mild losses near $79.50 early Tuesday. Even so, the black gold holds onto the previous trading beyond the 200-SMA and a downward-sloping resistance line from late April. Also keeping the energy buyers hopeful are the bullish MACD signals and upbeat RSI (14) line. It’s worth noting, however, that a 15-week-old horizontal resistance area surrounding $80.50-81.00 appears a tough nut to crack for the bulls. Following that, the quote will aim for the late April swing high of around $84.50 before challenging the yearly high marked in April near $87.70.
Alternatively, the WTI crude oil’s further decline could highlight the seven-week-old resistance-turned-support line surrounding $78.50 for sellers. However, the energy bears remain off the table unless witnessing a clear downside break of the 200-SMA support of nearly $77.90. Following that, the previous monthly bottom of $76.15 will try stopping the downside before allowing sellers to challenge the yearly bottom of $72.48 marked earlier in June.
Overall, the WTI Crude Oil price remains on the bull’s radar unless portraying successful trading beyond the 200-SMA. The upside move, however, needs validation from $81.00 and the fundamentals.
Crude Oil buyers brace for a bumpy road ahead, focus on $79.50WTI Crude Oil picks up bids to reverse the previous day’s retreat from a seven-week-old falling resistance line, close to $78.65 by the press time. In doing so, the black gold recovers from a 50% Fibonacci retracement of December 2023 to April 2024 upside, near $77.70. Given the bullish MACD signals and upbeat RSI conditions underpinning the commodity’s rebound, the buyers are likely to overcome the immediate trend line resistance surrounding $78.65. However, a convergence of the 100-SMA and the 200-SMA, around $79.50 at the latest, appears a tough nut to crack for the energy bulls. Also acting as an upside filter are the $80.00 threshold and late May swing high of $80.60. It should be noted, however, that the quote’s successful trading past $80.60 enables the optimists to aim for the support-turned-resistance line stretched from late 2023, near $83.50 as we write.
On the contrary, a daily closing beneath the 50% Fibonacci ratio of $77.70 could quickly fetch the WTI crude oil prices to the previous monthly low of around $76.20. If the black gold remains bearish past $76.20, the monthly bottom of around $72.40 and the $70.00 psychological magnet will lure the sellers. It’s worth observing that the energy benchmark’s sustained weakness past $70.00 could make it vulnerable to a slump toward the previous yearly low of around $63.60.
Overall, WTI Crude Oil appears all set to post the biggest weekly gain since early April but a daily closing past $79.50 will be crucial for bulls to retake control.
Long CRUDEOIL | TARGETS 7000 & 7300 in 1-2 monthsBased on technical analysis, I believe crude oil is likely to break through the minor rejection trendline and move upwards towards the higher trendline.
At the current stage, our entry point is around 6500, with target levels set at 7000 and 7300.
Furthermore, I anticipate that this time it will break through the major trendline, initiating Wave 3 and potentially aiming for 8000.
Imp. Note: This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute a direct recommendation to buy or sell stocks. Investors should conduct their own research and consult with financial advisors before making any investment decisions, as market conditions and individual circumstances may vary.
Market Risk: However, it's important to acknowledge the inherent risks associated with investing in the stock market, including but not limited to volatility, economic downturns, regulatory changes, and unforeseen events that can impact stock prices. It's crucial for investors to remain vigilant and diversify their portfolios to mitigate potential losses.
CRUDE is ready to go up from long term SupportCrude oil will blast upside if Support is held !!
Crude Oil (MCX) is around 6200
Its long term Support or Law of Polarity is around 5900-6000
These channels are working since 2015 in Crude Linear chart
Price action & RSI is indicating that Crude to take support around these levels.
Thank You !!
CRUDE OIL is at Support Line1. Price is respecting the trendline from Feb 2021 and it is now near the trendline and formed Hammer candle previous day.
2. Price might go up atleast 6500 in short term
3. If the price breaks the red line it will go upto 7400.
Please like and share if you like this idea.
Chart is Self Explanatory. I am not SEBI registered advisor and all Ideas posted by me are for Educational Purpose.
Crudeoil | Swing TradeAs previous prediction was gong 100% correct.
As Election results session going on , we see many volatility. But out of this session we have one opportunity for swing trading in crudeoil. In range channel support has taken so according we can plan for bullish swing trading.
Do you analysis and plan trade.
Regards,
Crude Oil bears attack key support despite upbeat OPEC+ verdictWTI Crude Oil prints a four-day losing streak while falling to over a week’s low early Monday. In doing so, the black gold fails to justify the OPEC+ decision to extend the supply cut agreement toward the end of 2024 and gradually withdraw it in 2025. It’s worth noting, however, that a four-month-old horizontal support zone surrounding $76.20-75.80 will join the nearly oversold RSI (14) line to challenge the energy bears afterward. Should the commodity drop beneath the stated key support region, the $74.20 might act as an intermediate halt during a southward trajectory targeting February’s bottom of near $71.40-35.
Meanwhile, the Crude Oil recovery remains elusive unless the quote jumps back beyond the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of February-April upside, near $77.60. Even so, a convergence of the 200-SMA and a two-month-old descending trend line, close to the $80.00 threshold, will be a tough nut to crack for buyers before taking control. In a case where the commodity prices remain firmer past $80.00, the odds of witnessing a gradual run-up toward the late April swing high, around $84.45, and then to the yearly peak of near $87.63, can’t be ruled out.
Overall, Crude Oil ignores the latest bullish catalyst to approach an important support as energy traders now focus on US PMIs and NFP data.
CrudeOil Analysis for very short term Hello Friends,
this is quick analysis for #crudeoil.
as we can see crudeoil is trending in range so it seems to fall in one or two days so based on this channel we can plan short option PE position.
I am not giving direct idea to buy this option but do your own analysis based on other data as well then take your risk.
Its my view for this #crudeoil swing option trading for commodities.
Best of luck
Regards,
CRUDOILE IMPORANT LEVEL FOR COMING SESSION 24-05-2024We can see selling pressure on chart on crudeoil. AS it has broken Head n Shoulder pattern also major support line. Now Fibonacci level crucial support and Gann Fann line could act as reversal point for coming session. Till Any news can drive it up strongly.
Play Safe :)
Crude - A good support to Reliance now !!!!worldwide Crude has been given buy calls and its expected to move up which usually lifts Reliance and sometime good spikes. This time Crude is taking support and moving up because of bullish trend and new ATH in US equity. Bullish economic outlook and expected FED rate cuts lifting crude now. Its Buy call worldwide now.
Crude Oil AnalysisHello Friends, Hope you find doing well.
As there are so up down in market now a days because of many reasons
Elections, war, Global data, USDINR, DXY.
So based on following all parameter i am trying to analysis crude oil price action, hope it helpful for all commodities trader.
As we can see in chart it is making bullish flag pattern on 4hr timeframe. So we will se break out up side and we can make better position according. It may trigger by global data or by war declare.
Plan your trade according your analysis. I do not recommended to do as i said. I just analysis chart pattern and data which make positive price action.
Best of luck
Regards.
USOIL is ready to rock🚀US Oil is at important zone formation of Descending triangle pattern. If this sustain near Support then we can see a good upside move if break then see a huge fall. what is your view please comment it down. We are Certified. All views shared on this channel are my personal opinion and is shared for educational purpose and should not be considered advise of any nature
Crude Oil: Bullish Momentum ContinuesCrude Oil (MCX)
Current Market Price: Approximately 7005
We have observed a significant bullish trend in crude oil over the past few weeks. Unfortunately, due to certain reasons, we were unable to provide updates during this period. Nevertheless, it is never too late to analyze the market.
We remain optimistic about crude oil's prospects today. Crude oil has recently experienced a notable breakout, leading us to believe that it may reach levels of 7260 and 7590 in the coming days.
For the time being, we will set our stop-loss at 6670, and upon reaching the levels of 6900-6910, we may consider adding positions.
Stay tuned for further updates as the market progresses.
05 Apr - Nifty was Flat, BankNifty picked up momentum!Nifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️
Recap from yesterday: “Now take a look at the 63mts chart, and see where the reversal came from ~ 22295 levels. That is the main reason why we said a stance change is required only if 22295 is broken and since we did not do that, we continue to remain bullish.”
Nifty had no momentum today, but BankNifty had lots of it. Yesterday SPX & NDQ had a real down day and its spillover effects were visible during the opening minutes. We opened gap-down and then slowly recovered from that. There were no abrupt or wild movements for a change. That takes me to the next question, why did we really have a 300+ point fall yesterday? It was not because of RBI MPC, otherwise we would have passed the swing high. How many of you think it could be because of the worsening situation in the Middle East?
Today was an inside day with no real momentum and that does not mean that we are not bullish. We will keep an eye on the Global macros, if the news about the War widening in scope both in Ukraine and Israel is true then it could really kill the optimism. Just before the macros worsen - GOLD prices go up. An escalation of tensions will shoot up the OIL prices as well. At present, we have both.