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ETH 1H Outlook: Key Support Retest With Potential Downside RiskKey observations: 1. Support Level Under Pressure ETH is retesting this support multiple times. The annotation suggests: “SUPPORT IF BREAKS THEN WE CAN SEE MORE DOWNWORD” — meaning a breakdown could trigger further selling. 2. Downside Targets If the current support fails, the next liquidity zones highlighted are: FVG (Fair Value Gap) around $2,950–$2,900 Extreme POI zone around $2,880–$2,850 Major support at $2,787 (marked as “next support”). 3. Upside Scenario If support holds, ETH could bounce toward: $3,078 $3,134 High resistance around $3,225 4. Market Structure Several CHoCH and BOS labels indicate mixed structure, showing recent weakness but with potential for rebound if buyers defend support strongly.
by KingProTrader
Major Cycle in Crypto Market (Attention Hedge Funds)Cycle-1: Bitcoin’s First Major Boom–Bust Structure (2013–2015) (Screenshot-1 Breakdown) Understanding Bitcoin’s historical behaviour is essential for forecasting macro-cycles in the crypto market. This post is the first of a 4-part series, where each screenshot highlights a repeating structural pattern in BTC’s long-term market psychology. After all four cycles are explained, I will present the combined Buy, Sell or Hold conclusion for long-term investors and institutional desks. 🟦 Cycle-1 Overview (April 2013 – January 2015) In the first major structural cycle of Bitcoin, a very clear macro behaviour emerged — a pattern that continues to repeat across all future cycles. 🔵 Step 1 — ATH (A) Formed (April 2013) Bitcoin printed a strong All-Time High (A) in April 2013, marking the top of its first major momentum wave. 🟢 Step 2 — Breakout Above ATH (A) → New ATH (B) (Nov 2013) Once BTC broke above Point A, it entered an aggressive parabolic rally, setting a new ATH (B) in November 2013. This breakout phase triggered: FOMO-driven retail participation Sharp acceleration in volatility Rapid expansion in price multiples 🔴 Step 3 — Post-Breakout Collapse: -75% to -80% Drawdown After forming ATH (B), Bitcoin failed to sustain the parabolic breakout. A deep correction followed: –75% to –80% decline Capitulation phase Panic selling and liquidity contraction This phase marks the beginning of the macro mean-reversion cycle, a consistent signature in BTC’s long-term structure. 🟣 Step 4 — Price Returns to Previous ATH (A) The most important element of Cycle-1: After making a new ATH (B), Bitcoin retraced back to the previous ATH (A) Time taken: 15–17 months This behaviour is extremely rare in traditional markets but has repeated consistently in Bitcoin’s long-term structure. 📌 Why This Cycle Matters Cycle-1 establishes the foundation for a powerful historical pattern: BTC tends to fall back to its previous ATH after forming a new ATH. This phenomenon repeats due to: Leverage washouts Liquidity resets Miner capitulation Long-term holder profit-taking Macro monetary tightening phases This is Cycle-1. In the next screenshots, we will see how Cycle-2, Cycle-3, and Cycle-4 follow the same structural behaviour. ⏭️ Coming Next (Screenshot-2): “Post-2017 Cycle — New ATH → 83% Crash → Return to Previous ATH.” Cycle-2: 2017 Parabolic Expansion → 2018–2019 Reset (Screenshot-2 Breakdown) This is the second chart in the ongoing 4-part series highlighting Bitcoin’s macro boom-and-bust rhythm—a structural pattern that repeats regardless of market participants, liquidity cycles, or macroeconomic conditions. Cycle-2 again confirms that Bitcoin follows a highly predictable long-term retracement behaviour after every breakout to a new All-Time High. 🟦 Cycle-2 Overview (2017–2019) This cycle mirrors the exact structure of Cycle-1: Break previous ATH Establish new ATH Drop –75% to –80% Return to previous cycle’s ATH Time duration: 15–17 months Let’s break down the chart step-by-step. 🔵 Step 1 — BTC Breaks Previous ATH on May–June 2017 (Point E) In early 2017, Bitcoin broke the previous cycle’s ATH (from 2013–2014). This breakout point is marked as: Point E (May–June 2017) Acts as the new cycle support Represents the start of the parabolic expansion leg This breakout confirms institutional liquidity entry and the beginning of a classic crypto macro-cycle. 🟢 Step 2 — Massive Rally to New ATH (Point F) — Dec 2017 After the breakout at E, Bitcoin entered its most aggressive historical rally: BTC exploded into a full parabolic top New ATH formed at Point F (Dec 2017) Extreme retail inflow and speculative leverage ICO mania peak This is similar to the 2013 pattern—breakout → acceleration → parabolic top. 🔴 Step 3 — Reversal and Deep Crash: –75% to –82% Post-ATH, Bitcoin collapsed sharply: Total Drawdown: –75% to –82% Duration: 455 days (≈15 months) Angle of correction: Steep capitulation slope (as shown in your chart) ICO bubble burst + liquidity draining Dominance reset + long-term distribution The depth and duration match Cycle-1 almost exactly. 🟣 Step 4 — Price Re-tests Previous ATH Zone (Point G — Mar 2019) Just like Cycle-1, Bitcoin returned precisely to the previous breakout area: Cycle Support (E) → Retest at G Time Duration: ≈15–17 months Price forms a demand zone around the previous ATH Bottoming structure completes at G (March 2019) This confirms again: Bitcoin always re-tests its previous ATH after forming a new ATH — within a fixed time band of ~15–17 months. Cycle-2 perfectly aligns with the behavioural signature of Cycle-1. 📌 Why Cycle-2 Matters to Institutions This cycle reveals Bitcoin’s predictable macro liquidity reset pattern: Break previous ATH → Excess speculation → Parabolic top Systemic deleveraging → –80% correction Return to previous cycle’s ATH support Fresh long-term accumulation This behaviour is structurally identical across multiple halving cycles. Cycle-3: 2020 Breakout → 2021 Mania → 2022–2023 Reset (Screenshot-3 Analysis) This third chart demonstrates the strongest confirmation of Bitcoin’s repeating macro-cycle structure. Despite greater institutional involvement, derivatives expansion, and global liquidity changes, Bitcoin still respected the same 75–80% retracement and 15–17-month correction window. Cycle-3 proves the pattern is structural, not accidental. 🟦 Cycle-3 Overview (2020–2023) Like previous cycles: BTC breaks previous ATH Creates a new ATH Drops –75% to –80% Comes back to retest the previous ATH Same time duration: ~15–17 months Let’s decode the chart. 🔵 Step 1 — BTC Breaks Previous ATH in Nov–Dec 2020 (Point H) Bitcoin broke the 2017 ATH during late 2020: Breakout Point H (Nov 2020) This previous ATH (Point F = Point H) becomes the new major cycle support zone Triggered institutional FOMO: MicroStrategy, Tesla, hedge funds This breakout ignited the strongest bull run in Bitcoin’s history. 🟢 Step 2 — Bitcoin Forms a New ATH in Nov 2021 (Point I) Following the breakout at H: BTC surged to a macro ATH at Point I (Nov 2021) Fueled by: Unlimited liquidity (pandemic QE) Institutional buyers ETF expectations Retail mania & leverage This top perfectly mirrors the parabolic peaks from 2013 and 2017. 🔴 Step 3 — Deep Macro Crash: –75% to –80% After the November 2021 top: BTC entered a systemic deleveraging phase Complete 2022 crypto meltdown: Luna collapse Celsius, Voyager, BlockFi FTX implosion Price fell 77% from the ATH Duration: 485 days (~16 months) Exactly the same timing window as the previous two cycles. 🟣 Step 4 — Retest of Previous ATH Support (Point J — Mar 2023) Just like Cycle-1 (2013 → 2015) and Cycle-2 (2017 → 2019): Bitcoin again returned exactly to its previous ATH zone: Support Retest Point J (Mar 2023) Perfect touch of the 2020 breakout zone Massive demand entered the market Cycle bottom completed right on schedule This completes the third full repeat of BTC’s long-term structural cycle. 📌 Institutional Takeaway Cycle-3 confirms: Bitcoin’s macro behaviour is identical across 2013, 2017, and 2021 cycles — regardless of market maturity. Every time Bitcoin breaks its previous ATH: It creates a new parabolic peak Then crashes 75–80% Then returns to retest the previous ATH level All within a consistent 15–17 month window This makes Bitcoin the most predictable high-beta asset on the planet at a macro timescale. Cycle-4: Oct-2024 Breakout → Oct-2025 ATH → Mar-2027 Retest of Legacy Support After analyzing the previous three Bitcoin macro cycles (2013–2015, 2017–2019, 2021–2023), the new chart strongly suggests that Bitcoin is following the exact same structural behaviour for the 4th time. This idea explains why BTC may enter a 15–17 month decline starting from the Oct-2025 macro top, and why the next major demand zone sits around 30,000 USD in Mar-2027. 🟥 1. Break of Previous ATH (I = K) — Oct 2024 Bitcoin broke above its previous ATH zone in Oct 2024, exactly like in all earlier cycles: 2013 ATH break → 2013 bull run 2017 ATH break → 2020–2021 bull run 2021 ATH break → 2024 surge 2024 ATH break → current cycle This breakout (I = K level) becomes the new structural support for the cycle bottom later. 🟩 2. BTC Forms New Macro ATH (Point L) — Oct 2025 One year later, Bitcoin printed a new ATH around Oct 2025, marking the peak of Cycle-4. Previous cycles also peaked approx. 11–14 months after breaking the last ATH, which strengthens this model. 🔻 3. Post-ATH Crash Begins — Same Pattern, Same Angle, Same Duration All 3 previous cycles share: • 75%–80% decline • Duration: 15–17 months • Final target: previous ATH or the ATH-1 level Your chart highlights the same decline angle and same time window (Oct-2025 → Mar-2027). This is exactly what Bitcoin has done before: Cycle ATH → Bottom Duration Drop Retest Level 2013 → 2015 15 months –86% Previous ATH 2017 → 2019 17 months –84% Previous ATH 2021 → 2023 16 months –77% Previous ATH 2025 → 2027 (Prediction) 15–17 months –75% to –80% Previous ATH Nothing in the 2024–2025 structure breaks this long-term behaviour. 🟦 4. Current Price Near “N” = Retesting Breakout Support BTC is currently trading back near the Oct-2024 breakout level, marked as: N = Previous ATH Support Zone Historically, this level is not the final bottom. It is only the first macro support touch before the full 75–80% correction completes. Because the full 15–17 month window has not yet played out, a deeper decline remains statistically likely. 🟡 5. Final Prediction — BTC Bottom Around 30,000 USD (Mar-2027) Following cycle symmetry: Top: Oct-2025 Drop duration: 15–17 months Bottom: Mar-2027 (same month as previous major bottom in Mar-2023) Target zone: $30,000 ≈ last-to-last ATH (2020 level) This fits perfectly with all 4 historical cycles. This means BTC may revisit the deep demand zone before the next major bull cycle begins. 📌 Final Outlook (Important for Long-Term Investors) If Bitcoin truly repeats its macro cycle: The best long-term buying opportunity would occur in Mar 2027 Price reading: $28K–$32K After that, BTC begins Cycle-5 (likely targeting $180K–$250K) This idea is not short-term trading advice; it is a macro-cycle pattern that has consistently repeated for 12+ years. 🟡 BUY / SELL / HOLD — Clear Conclusion SELL / REDUCE RISK If you are a trader or short-term investor, Bitcoin is in the post-ATH declining phase, which historically produces 15–17 months of lower prices. HOLD (Long-Term Only) Long-term holders can remain calm but should expect deep volatility, not straight-up movement. BUY (Smart Accumulation Window) The next high-conviction buying zone will be: 🔥 $28K–$32K 🔥 Timeline: Mar 2027 That will be the start of the next Bitcoin mega cycle (Cycle-5). 📢 Final Message This research is not about fear or hype—it is about Bitcoin’s consistent repeating macro behaviour. Every single major crash and rally of the last decade followed the same timing, structure, and depth. Bitcoin is not random. Bitcoin is cyclical. And the cycle says: **The real bottom is not here yet. The real opportunity comes in 2027.**
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by Adijohn
ETH Weekly Chart Analysis1. The price has been respecting a weekly trendline for many months. This trendline acts like a support line where buyers usually come in. 2. Recently, the price fell towards this same trendline and created a hammer candle. A hammer at support often shows that sellers pushed the price down, but buyers stepped in strongly and pulled it back up. This is usually a sign of buying interest. 3. The hammer candle formed exactly near the support zone and the Fibonacci 61.8 percent area. This area often works as a strong reversal point. 4. When the hammer candle formed, the volume was very high. Huge volume at support means big players were actively buying at lower levels. 5. The price is still inside a wide range between recent highs and lows. It has not broken out yet, but the support reaction is positive. In simple words, the chart is showing a strong bounce setup from support with a hammer candle and high volume. This is a sign that buyers may try to take control again as long as the price stays above the trendline and support area.
DELTAIN:ETHUSD.PLong
by PowerOfTA
1
ETH Retest Confirmed – Bullish Momentum Intact!CMP: $3,968 Ethereum is holding strong above the symmetrical triangle breakout zone after a textbook breakout + retest . Despite the recent consolidation, the structure remains bullish , and the bigger pattern is still in play. 🔶 Technical Highlights: ✅ Symmetrical Triangle Breakout: ETH successfully broke out and retested the upper trendline (see red circle). This retest confirms the breakout validity. ✅ Consolidation Above Resistance: ETH is consolidating in a tight range above previous resistance , forming a potential bull flag . ✅ Pattern Targets Remain Active: 📍 Symmetrical Triangle Target: ~$7,950 📍 Bull Flag Target (if breakout confirms): ~$7,365+ 📈 Market Structure: 📍 Previous breakouts (Bullish Pennant in 2016, Falling Wedge in 2019) led to strong uptrends . 📍 Current consolidation mirrors historical patterns that preceded major rallies. 🟢 Key Level to Watch: 📍 A monthly close above $4,954.16 (previous ATH) would mark the next major confirmation, likely attracting breakout traders and institutions. 💡 ETH is showing maturity in structure – breakouts, retests, and consolidations are happening on higher timeframes with clear technical precision. The longer this base holds, the stronger the eventual move could be. 📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions. #ETH | #Ethereum | #Crypto | #Breakout | #ChartPatterns | #SymmetricalTriangle | #BullFlag | #PriceAction
CRYPTO:ETHUSDLong
by Stocks_Mario
BTC - Long1. The colored horizontal areas show Fibonacci retracement levels, which traders use to spot possible support and resistance zones where the price might reverse or continue its move. 2. The 0% level is at the top (115,943) and the 100% level is at the bottom (109,523). 3. The price is currently near 113,207 and close to the 50% (112,732) and 61.8% (111,975) retracement levels. 4. Volume bars at the bottom show how much Bitcoin is being traded at each time. 5. If price bounces from the 50% or 61.8% levels (these are green and blue zones), traders can consider buying (long entry), hoping the price will go up. Always watch for a reversal candle or increased volume at these levels before entering. 6. Place your stop-loss just below the 61.8% level. For example, below 111,975. 7. Set your first target near the 38.2% level (113,490) and second target near the 23.6% level (114,428). 8. If price breaks below the 61.8% level with strong volume, avoid buying and look for a sell setup instead. 9. This setup uses common trading concepts like Fibonacci, support and resistance, and volume confirmation. Remember to wait for confirmation signals and manage risk with stop-loss orders.
DELTAIN:BTCUSD.PLong
by PowerOfTA
XAUUSD (Gold) Trading Ideathis is for educational purpose only it clearly explains how to handle 2-point stop-loss and retry logic (max 3–4 times) for automation or manual trading Wait for a green candle close above the 4088 level before entering. Confirm the breakout with strong volume support. The green line acts as your entry trigger zone. Entry Level: 4088 (Green Line) Exit Level: 4151 (Red Line) Stop-Loss: 2 points Max Attempts: 3–4 times per setup The red line (4151) is the final exit target. Keep a tight 2-point stop loss for controlled risk. Rejection may happen 2–3 times near the entry zone — stay patient. Avoid early entries before confirmation. Watch for volume expansion during breakout candles. Use 30-minute time frame for accuracy and clarity. Once confirmed, ride the move toward the 100% level at 4117. Partial profit booking is advised near 4117 zone. Move SL to cost after price closes above 4100. Avoid trading if candle closes below 4088 again. The momentum remains bullish as long as price stays above 4088. Red candle rejection below entry zone means wait again for setup. Don’t chase enter only after a confirmed breakout. Keep your chart clean and focus on price + volume behavior. Plan your trade before execution , no impulsive entries. Respect SL — discipline ensures long-term success. Always analyze candle behavior near major levels before deciding. Enter on candle close above 4088 with volume confirmation. SL: 2 points below entry. Targets: 4117 (first), 4151 (final). Expect 2–3 rejections — wait for confirmation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Powerniftypro
BTC Bulls Eyeing a Reversal From Liquidity SweepBTC Bulls Eyeing a Reversal from Liquidity Sweep” 📌 Description: Bitcoin swept downside liquidity near 108k, tapping into a demand zone. If this level holds, expect a strong recovery toward the 113.5k–116.5k supply zones, with the Master OB acting as a key magnet for price. 📈 Trade Plan (4H BTCUSD) 🔹 Entry Zone (Long): 108.0k – 109.0k (liquidity sweep + demand zone). 🔹 Stop Loss (SL): Below 107.0k (weak low / invalidation). 🔹 Take Profit (TP): TP1: 112.4k (minor FVG close) TP2: 113.8k – 114k (OB retest zone) TP3: 115.5k – 116.2k (major supply / Master OB) 🎯 Risk-to-Reward (approx): Entry: 108.5k SL: 107k (≈ -1.5k / -1.3%) TP1: 112.4k (≈ +3.9k / +3.6%) → RR ≈ 1:2.7 TP2: 114k (≈ +5.5k / +5%) → RR ≈ 1:3.8 TP3: 116.2k (≈ +7.7k / +7.1%) → RR ≈ 1:5.2 ⚡ Clean long setup: liquidity sweep → bullish CHoCH → push into OB/supply above.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by dsbmdilip
“BTC/USDT at Crossroads | Key Levels to Watch🔎 Chart Analysis – BTC/USDT (45m) Resistance Zone: Around 112,586 – 113,200 USDT. Price has tested this area multiple times but failed to break out, confirming strong selling pressure. Support Zone: Around 107,529 – 108,400 USDT. Buyers have consistently defended this zone, making it a key demand area. Current Price: 110,720 USDT, sitting in the middle of support and resistance. 📌 Scenarios: Bullish Case 🟢🚀 – If BTC breaks above 112,586 USDT, momentum could push toward 113,500+ USDT. Bearish Case 🔴📉 – If BTC fails to hold 109,349 USDT, price may retest the deeper support around 107,500 USDT. ⚖️ Trading Plan Idea: Long Entry: Above 112,600 breakout ✅ Short Entry: Below 109,300 breakdown ❌ Target Zones: Upside 🎯 → 113,500+ Downside 🎯 → 107,500
Long
by Pipshunter27
Bullish Trade Setup for XRP/USD - Pattern CompletionThis is a bullish setup based on a harmonic pattern completing, with the price approaching a key resistance zone. Our entry, stop-loss (SL), and take-profit (TP) levels are clearly marked on the chart. Entry: 3.0628 The entry point is marked when the price reaches the ideal level for the pattern completion. Take Profit (TP): 3.1832 This is the target area where the price is expected to move towards, as per the harmonic pattern and previous price action. Stop Loss (SL): 2.9627 The stop-loss is placed below the low of the last structure to protect from unexpected price movement. Technical Analysis: Pattern Identification: A clear bullish harmonic pattern is visible, with points X, A, B, C, and D forming a potential Bat or Gartley pattern. This type of setup has historically shown a high probability of reversal or continuation at point D. Price Action Confirmation: The price has already shown some signs of reversal at point C, with increasing buying volume at the current levels. The market sentiment is strong, and we are entering at a point where the pattern completion aligns with the overall bullish market structure. Volume: There is a noticeable increase in volume as the price approaches the resistance zone (point X), supporting the idea of a bullish breakout. Risk-to-Reward (RRR): The setup offers a 1:2.56 RRR, which is well within an acceptable range, ensuring that the potential reward outweighs the risk taken on the trade. Why This Trade Makes Sense: Pattern Confirmation: The harmonic pattern is completing, and price action aligns with the expectations of a move higher. Key Resistance Break: If the price breaks above the marked resistance, this could signify a strong continuation of the bullish trend. Solid Risk Management: With a well-placed stop loss, the trade is risk-managed while giving the price room to move. This setup provides a good risk-to-reward ratio and a high probability of success, based on the technical confluence of the harmonic pattern and price action.
DELTAIN:XRPUSD.PLong
by Crystal_0404
"Bitcoin Eyes $100K Re-Entry: Retest, Support Zone, Then Push ?Chart Analysis 1. Price Structure & Trendlines The chart displays a former upward trendline that has been broken, leading to a corrective pullback. Following that, price is perched within a “retest zone” (the red-shaded rectangle), which aligns with both historical horizontal resistance—now turning into support—and an area of previous consolidation. This is a classic setup: price often retests key breakout levels before resuming its move. 2. Support Levels The main support is clearly drawn around the $100K zone, highlighted by a grey bar below the retest zone. This is a psychological and structural area to watch for potential strong buying. Immediate support appears near $110K–$112K, as noted by the lower edge of the red retest area—this zone has shown to catch corrections before in technical analysis and news reports AInvest Mudrex Barron's . 3. Resistance & Upside Targets If the retest holds, the chart charts a potential bounce toward the upper rising trendline and beyond, potentially aiming for the $126K–$130K region, as marked by Fibonacci retracement levels. This aligns with several external forecasts suggesting resistance or target zones in that range AInvest Mudrex Barron's . 4. Potential Price Path & Scenarios (Denoted by Red Arrows) Bearish Scenario: Price may dip down into the retest zone, test support, and—if the breakdown occurs—continue lower toward $100K—a key area of interest. Bullish Scenario: The support holds, leading to a V-shaped recovery that propels price back above $115K, potentially triggering a rally toward $122K–$130K. Summary Table Key Zone / Level Significance & Note $110K–$112K Critical near-term support; breakdown risks move toward $100K AInvest Mudrex Retest Zone (~$114K–$115K) Area combining horizontal support and trendline; serves as pivot for next move Mudrex AInvest $120K–$123K Major resistance where a breakout could fuel continuation toward $127K–$130K Mudrex Barron's Broader Context & Market Sentiment Bitcoin is currently consolidating after setting new highs near $124K MarketWatch The Economic Times Barron's Cointribune . Analysts observe that sustaining above the $110K–$112K band is essential to the bullish case; falling below it could invite deeper downside Barron's Cointribune AInvest . Conversely, a decisive move above $120K–$123K could validate continuation toward $127K–$130K, and even higher—some forecasts extend to $135K and beyond Mudrex Indiatimes Barron's CoinCodex . Final Thoughts Your chart beautifully illustrates the classic “retest after breakout” dynamic: Hold above the retest zone? Look for a rebound toward $120K+, with the potential for a full bullish revival aiming for $130K. Break below $110K–$112K? Watch for a possible move toward $100K—a critical support level. Stay alert to macro catalysts too—like Federal Reserve interest rate signals, institutional inflows (ETFs), and regulatory developments—which could steer the next leg substantially
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by KingProTrader
Bearish Setup on SOLUSD (1-Hour Time Frame)Entry Price: 181.1860 Target: 168.6490 Stop Loss (SL): 189.8636 1. Chart Analysis We are observing a descending triangle pattern formation, which generally signals a bearish continuation once the price breaks downward. The price action has already shown signs of rejection at the upper boundary of the pattern, reinforcing the possibility of a breakout to the downside. 2. Indicators & Confirmation Volume Analysis: Noticeable spike in volume during the recent downward movement, which indicates strong selling pressure. This is crucial for confirming the potential bearish trend. EMA Confluence: The price is below the 9 and 20 EMAs, which are crucial indicators of the current market trend. The EMAs are acting as dynamic resistance, further supporting the bearish scenario. 3. Risk Management The stop loss is placed above the most recent significant high at 189.8636. This placement ensures that we protect against any false breakouts or short-term price reversals. The target at 168.6490 is derived based on previous support levels and a measured move from the triangle pattern. This target is realistic given the market structure. 4. Price Action The price action shows lower highs and lower lows, a typical characteristic of a downtrend. If this pattern holds, the next logical price move is to break downward through the support of the triangle. 5. Conclusion Overall, this setup provides a solid bearish opportunity, backed by technical patterns and strong momentum indicators. The risk-to-reward ratio is favorable, making it a well-structured trade.
DELTAIN:SOLUSD.PShort
by Crystal_0404
Bearish Continuation for ALGOUSD** IF you like my observation, please boost and follow for more content." Trade Overview: Entry: 0.2517 Stop Loss (SL): 0.2586 Take Profit (TP): 0.2434 Key Points: Trend Analysis: The price is currently under a bearish trend as indicated by the downward sloping blue trendline. This trendline shows consistent resistance, rejecting price rallies and continuing the bearish bias. The yellow trendlines represent key support and resistance zones, highlighting the consolidation range where the price has been fluctuating within a defined pattern. Market Structure: Price has formed a lower high (marked as point 4), followed by a lower low (point 5), confirming the continuation of the downtrend. This suggests that the market is likely to keep pushing lower towards the target. The price has retraced upwards but has failed to break the bearish trendline, reinforcing the idea of further downside potential. Entry Strategy: Entry Point: We are entering at 0.2517, just below the recent resistance, anticipating the price to continue downward after failing to breach the trendline. The price action at point (4) suggests weakness in the upward movement, making this a prime opportunity to capitalize on further downside movement. Risk-Reward Setup: The Stop Loss is set at 0.2586, just above the last swing high, giving room for minor retracements while protecting against a breakout above the trendline. The Take Profit is set at 0.2434, targeting the next level of support where the price could potentially find buying interest. This gives a favorable Risk-Reward Ratio of about 2:1. Volume Confirmation: Notice the increase in volume during the downward movement, suggesting that sellers are in control. A drop in volume during price retracements further validates the weak bullish momentum and confirms the expected continuation to the downside. Why This Setup? The bearish trend, price action, and trendline rejection all align with a continuation trade setup. The risk-reward is favorable, with a clear structure to exit the trade if the price moves against the position. The broader market context is also in line with a bearish outlook, making this a high-probability trade setup for the next few hours.
DELTAIN:ALGOUSD.PShort
by Crystal_0404
XRP/USD Trade Setup: Bearish Position on Technical AnalysisTimeframe: 1 Hour Entry Price: 3.0229 Take Profit (TP): 2.8769 Stop Loss (SL): 3.1199 1. Market Overview XRP is currently in a bearish phase, and the price action indicates that a downward continuation is likely. The market has been rejecting higher levels, with strong resistance at the 3.1777 zone, and now the price appears to be moving lower. 2. Entry Criteria: The entry point is set at 3.0229, just below the current price level, where we anticipate the market to continue its downward movement after facing resistance at higher levels. The recent price action shows a clear rejection from the upside, and we are expecting further downside once the price breaks below the immediate support near the entry. 3. Technical Indicators: Heikin Ashi Candles: The chart uses Heikin Ashi candles, which help smooth the price action. The red candles indicate a bearish sentiment, confirming the continuation of downward pressure. Volume Analysis: The increase in volume during the recent selling phase is confirming that the bears are in control and the trend may continue to the downside. 4. Support & Resistance Levels: Resistance: The price is facing resistance around 3.1777, which has proven to be a significant level of rejection. Support: The main support zone is located near the 2.8769 level, which coincides with our take profit (TP). This is a logical target as it aligns with previous lower levels and current trend structure. 5. Risk-Reward Ratio: The Stop Loss is placed at 3.1199, just above the recent swing highs and resistance level, ensuring we limit risk in case of a market reversal. The Take Profit is set at 2.8769, offering a solid risk-reward ratio of 1:1.5. This level is where we expect the price to find support and potentially reverse after hitting the target. 6. Trade Management: Monitor Resistance Level: If the price fails to break below the entry and starts moving upward, consider adjusting the stop loss or exiting the position to limit losses. Trailing Stop: Once the price starts moving in your favor, consider implementing a trailing stop to lock in profits as the price moves lower. 7. Potential Risks: False Breakdown: A false breakdown is always a risk, where the price could temporarily dip below the support and reverse, hitting the stop loss before continuing lower. Market Volatility: Be mindful of the inherent volatility in the crypto market, which can lead to sudden reversals due to news or other external factors. 8. Conclusion: This trade setup is based on a bearish market structure, where price is showing clear resistance and the potential for further downward movement. The setup is logical with a strong risk-reward ratio and a clear target for profits. As always, risk management is crucial, and it's important to monitor price action closely for any signs of reversal. Good luck, and trade carefully!
DELTAIN:XRPUSD.PShort
by Crystal_0404
2
BTC @ Strong Support - 117K Resistance turned Support areaIf Bitcoin is Bullish then price cant go further below than this area at 117K where price broke the resistance line forming the support. Which is the last and strongest support area for Bitcoin in chart. I am 100% long in Bitcoin at this level now with all required margin in case of any more false down move. will need to hold this long for new ATH. I do not have any other strategy for now. All data and impacting factors for Bitcoin suggesting +ve for Bitcoin.
Long
by venkatfx
2
BTC/USDT: Bullish Momentum and Key Support LevelsUptrend Channel: The price is trading within an ascending channel, denoted by two parallel black trendlines. This suggests a bullish trend is in play. Support and Resistance: A significant support zone is identified between approximately 112,000 and 114,000 USDT. A weak supply zone is marked around 118,000 USDT. The price has recently tested this area and found some support. A strong resistance level is visible at approximately 124,564.86 USDT. Indicators: Ichimoku Cloud (9, 26, 52, 26): The price is currently trading above the cloud, indicating a bullish sentiment. The cloud itself appears to be thin and slightly bullish, suggesting potential for continued upward movement. RSI Strategy (14, 30, 70): The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is used as a strategy, with a "RSILE" signal (likely "RSI Low Entry") marked with a "+2" and a red arrow, suggesting a potential buy signal near the support zone in early August. A "-2" signal is marked near the top of the channel, indicating a potential overbought condition or reversal signal. Price Action and Projections: The price recently experienced a sharp decline from the upper trendline, indicating profit-taking or resistance at that level. The price is currently near the lower trendline and the "weak supply zone," which appears to be acting as support. A potential future price path is drawn with a blue arrow, suggesting that the price may consolidate or bounce off the current support area and move higher towards the upper boundary of the channel. Another potential path is drawn with a red arrow, showing a possible further drop towards the lower trendline before a bounce.
Long
by Pipshunter27
Risk Management & Trading PsychologyIntroduction In the world of trading—whether it’s stocks, forex, commodities, crypto, or derivatives—success is rarely determined by who has the most “secret” indicator or complex algorithm. Instead, it often comes down to two invisible forces: Risk Management – the discipline of protecting capital and minimizing losses. Trading Psychology – the mindset, emotions, and discipline that shape decision-making. Many traders fail not because they lack knowledge, but because they lack the discipline to follow rules and the mental strength to handle stress, uncertainty, and losses. In fact, the famous trader Mark Douglas once said: “Trading is not about being right. It’s about managing money so you can stay in the game.” This guide will dive deeply into both pillars—Risk Management and Trading Psychology—because they are interconnected. Even the best strategy collapses without them. Part 1: Risk Management in Trading 1.1 What is Risk Management? Risk management is the process of identifying, assessing, and controlling risks in trading to protect your capital. It’s about ensuring that no single trade or series of trades can wipe you out. It is not about avoiding risk completely (impossible in trading) — it’s about controlling and managing it wisely. 1.2 Why Risk Management is the Foundation of Trading Most traders obsess over entries, patterns, and indicators. But professional traders focus first on capital preservation. Without proper risk control: You can lose big on a single trade. Emotions take over after large losses. Recovery becomes exponentially harder. Example: If you lose 50% of your capital, you need a 100% return just to break even. That’s why avoiding large drawdowns is critical. 1.3 Core Principles of Risk Management Let’s break them down. A) Position Sizing Determine the amount of capital allocated to each trade. Common rule: Risk 1-2% of account equity per trade. Formula: Position Size = (Account Risk per Trade) / (Stop Loss in Points × Value per Point) B) Stop Losses A stop loss is a predefined exit point to cap losses. Never move your stop loss further away because of “hope.” Types: Hard Stop – placed in the market. Mental Stop – not placed in system, but requires discipline. C) Risk-Reward Ratio Compares potential reward to risk. Professional traders often aim for R:R of 1:2 or higher. Even with a win rate of 40%, a good R:R can make you profitable. D) Diversification Don’t put all capital in one asset or sector. Spread exposure to reduce the impact of one bad move. E) Avoid Overleveraging Leverage amplifies both gains and losses. Many accounts blow up because traders use excessive leverage. 1.4 Advanced Risk Management Concepts A) Maximum Drawdown Limit Set a personal limit (e.g., 15% of total equity). Stop trading if hit, review strategy, and reassess. B) Kelly Criterion Mathematical formula for optimal bet sizing based on win probability and payoff ratio. C) Volatility-Based Position Sizing Adjust trade size based on market volatility (e.g., ATR – Average True Range). D) Hedging Using related instruments to offset risk (e.g., buying gold when stocks are falling). 1.5 Common Risk Management Mistakes No stop loss – leads to catastrophic losses. Overtrading – too many positions at once increases risk exposure. Risking too much on one trade – emotional pressure skyrockets. Averaging down – adding to losing positions without a plan. Ignoring correlation – multiple trades moving in the same direction increase risk. Part 2: Trading Psychology 2.1 Why Psychology Matters in Trading In theory, trading is simple—buy low, sell high. In reality, human emotions complicate the process: Fear causes you to exit early. Greed makes you overtrade. Hope keeps you in losing trades. Overconfidence leads to oversized bets. The market doesn’t just test your strategy—it tests your patience, discipline, and emotional control. 2.2 Core Psychological Challenges in Trading A) Fear Fear of losing money → hesitation to enter. Fear of missing out (FOMO) → chasing bad trades. B) Greed Leads to ignoring rules and overtrading. Causes traders to hold winning trades too long. C) Revenge Trading After a loss, trying to “win it back” quickly leads to more mistakes. D) Overconfidence Winning streaks create a false sense of invincibility. Causes overleveraging and sloppy risk management. 2.3 Building the Right Trading Mindset A) Process over Outcome Focus on following your trading plan, not just profit and loss. B) Emotional Detachment Think of trades as numbers and probabilities, not personal victories or failures. C) Patience Wait for high-probability setups rather than forcing trades. D) Adaptability Markets change—strategies need adjustment. Avoid rigid thinking. 2.4 Psychological Tools for Traders A) Journaling Record every trade: entry, exit, reason, emotions. Review regularly to spot patterns. B) Meditation & Mindfulness Reduces impulsive decisions. Improves focus. C) Pre-Trade Routine Check news, review charts, set risk levels before entering. D) Post-Trade Review Learn from both wins and losses. 2.5 How Risk Management and Psychology Connect Strong risk management reduces emotional pressure. Smaller losses keep confidence intact. Knowing your worst-case scenario is limited allows you to follow the plan calmly. Part 3: Combining Risk Management & Psychology into a Trading Plan 3.1 Components of a Trading Plan Strategy rules – when to enter/exit. Risk per trade – fixed % of capital. Max daily/weekly loss – stop trading after hitting it. Review schedule – weekly/monthly performance check. Psychological rules – avoid trading under stress or fatigue. 3.2 Example: Professional Approach Let’s say a trader has: Account: ₹10,00,000 Risk per trade: 1% (₹10,000) Stop loss: 20 points × ₹500 per point = ₹10,000 Risk-Reward ratio: 1:2 (₹10,000 risk for ₹20,000 potential gain) Even with a 40% win rate, the trader can remain profitable. 3.3 The 3 Golden Rules Preserve capital – your first goal is to survive. Follow the plan – consistency beats luck. Manage yourself – discipline is your ultimate edge. Conclusion Risk management and trading psychology are the true edge in markets. You can copy someone’s strategy, but you can’t copy their discipline or mindset. A trader with average technical skills but strong risk control and emotional discipline will outperform a brilliant analyst who cannot manage losses or emotions. The market will always test you. The question is—will you react emotionally, or will you act according to your plan? Mastering both risk management and psychology ensures that no matter what the market throws your way, you will still be standing, ready for the next opportunity.
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by TechnicalExpress
2
Bitcoin - Interesting Price Action in 1 HTFTRADERS AND INVESTORS, The Bitcoin chart presents an interesting setup on the 1-hour timeframe (1 HTF). Here's a breakdown of recent price action: Initial Resistance & Downtrend : Bitcoin's chart indicated potential trend changes, with significant selling pressure at the $106,000 mark establishing a clear resistance level. Downtrend Confirmation & Support : This was followed by a series of lower highs, confirming a downtrend. Subsequently, Bitcoin found support and bounced from the $98,000 level. Potential Reversal Signal : The recent upward movement cleared sellers' stop-losses, which could be an early indication of a potential trend reversal. WHAT MIGHT HAPPEN NEXT? Currently, Bitcoin is re-testing the crucial $106,000 resistance level. Bullish Scenario : A confirmed breakout and sustained move above $106,000 could signal the continuation of an uptrend. Bearish Scenario : Conversely, a strong rejection from this level might lead to a decline, potentially targeting the $101,000 support. Current Stance : At present, this area appears to be a no-trade zone due to the indecisive price action. Disclaimer : This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Trader_Saurav
Bitcoin Bounce & Breakout PlayChart Analysis: 🔹 Support Holding Strong: BTC is respecting a key support area (~$105,600), which previously acted as resistance (marked by recent ATH). 🔹 EMA 70 (Blue Line): Price is hovering above the EMA, adding bullish confirmation. 🔹 Bullish Projection Path: The chart shows a projected bullish move toward the sell zone near $113,200 – $113,300, representing a potential 4.4% gain from the breakout. 🔹 Key Zones: Support Zone: $105,600 Supply Zone: $100,500 Sell Zone (TP Zone): $113,200+ 📌 Outlook: If BTC breaks and holds above the resistance (~$107,000), a strong upward rally could follow. Entry near support or on breakout, with tight risk management, offers a favorable risk/reward. ✅ Entry Options: Breakout Entry: Trigger: Break and close above $107,200 Confirmation: Retest and hold above the breakout zone Entry: $107,300 – $107,500 Support Bounce Entry: Trigger: Pullback to support zone (~$105,600) with bullish reversal candle Entry: $105,600 – $105,800 🎯 Target Zones (TP): TP1: $110,400 (minor resistance) TP2: $113,200 – $113,300 (major sell zone) TP3 (aggressive): $114,000+ 🔻 Stop Loss (SL): For breakout entry: SL below $106,200 For bounce entry: SL below $105,200 or $104,800 (structure break) 📈 Risk–Reward Ratio: Approx. 1:2.5 to 1:3+ depending on entry and target 🧠 Trade Management: Move SL to breakeven after hitting TP1 Partial profit booking at TP1 Trail remaining with manual or dynamic SL (e.g., below EMA or recent low) ⚠️ Risk Notes: Avoid chasing price without breakout confirmation Watch for fakeouts and heavy selling near TP zones Adjust position size based on your risk tolerance
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by KingProTrader
USDT Dominance Crypto Path & Commentary for Bull Run- USDT D is currently trading at 4.64% and looks bearish from a Market Structure Shift - USDT D can now soon move towards 4.88% and purge that to trap late longs and that should be the last bounce before we drop to 3.7% - Another case is if we don't see USDT getting rejected badly from 4.88% then we might see another structure shift which will be Bullish and then we might soon see USDT heading towards 5.25% - From a structure perspective I like how the setup is building in USDT D from a Bullish Perspective for the overall market - USDT D dropping to 3.7 will help in a good recovery when it comes to Alts - From an entry perspective watch out for 4.79-4.88% 5.15-.5.25% in Spot
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DLong
by VKtradesimbalance
Bitcoin 1D Technical Commentary Paths- Bitcoin is currently trading at 105,148$ - Bitcoin is trading at a crucial BUY SIDE Liquidity area where breakout traps are highly possible, ATH was 109,490$ one tap above that will make retailers open aggressive longs and make them super bullish too - Bitcoin printed an impulsive move from 88,000 which led to large imbalanced candles getting printed and it eventually printed 2 Inefficient gaps which is likely to get filled - We have 2 paths, we either print a new high and fill 96,000 before we move up again or else we move towards the inefficient gaps and then print a new all time high
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by VKtradesimbalance
DOGEUSDT IN THE DANGER ZONE - SELLERS IN CONTROL?Symbol - DOGEUSDT DOGEUSDT is encountering sustained selling pressure. Following a distribution phase characterized by a sharp upward move, the price has entered a correction phase and is now approaching a critical support area - often referred to as the 'panic zone'. A decisive breakdown below this level could accelerate the decline and trigger a more pronounced bearish trend. DOGEUSDT has effectively relinquished the upward momentum accumulated during late April and early May. The distribution phase concluded around the 0.2600 level, after which the coin transitioned into a corrective decline. At present, DOGEUSDT is testing the pivotal support zone near 0.2140. The focal point now is the base of the triangle formation near 0.2140 - a critical zone of support. A breakdown below this level would likely result in the liquidation of long positions and may prompt increased selling activity, thereby fueling bearish momentum. Resistance levels: 0.2220, 0.2307 Support levels: 0.2145, 0.2135 The prevailing scenario anticipates a continuation of the downward trend. The primary trigger for further decline would be a confirmed breakdown below the 0.2135 support level, accompanied by price consolidation beneath this threshold. Important Note: This bearish outlook would be invalidated if the price reverses and establishes sustained consolidation above 0.2220, A confirmed move above 0.2300 would strengthen bullish sentiment, at which point a renewed upward outlook would be considered.
Short
by akshit_official
BTC next 24 hours Important Zones are we heading to $100K Yes/NoHello Guys, Follow up to our Morning Post, DELTAIN:BTCUSD.P responds exactly to the support base of 95000 Zone and roaming around those. What to expect now, if we cross the Supply Zone 1 mentioned in the chart, the next target is It will test Supply Zone 2, till we are comfortably close above this and trade strongly, doors for Historic $100k will open after that level only, btw you know Target for Bitcoin was predicted by our 10x Bulls Team in year 2021. An vice versa not holding the 95000 demand zones, will make this difficult for bulls. Plan your trade with risk properly managed. -10x Bulls Courtesy: 10x Bulls (An educational helpdesk platform for investors and traders to find the best investment decisions, faculty trained by ex-fund managers, from Top Finance Institutions such as JP Morgan Chase and Goldman Sachs)
DELTAIN:BTCUSD.P
by sonianayyar24