Cryptomarket
Bitcoin: BTCUSD extends recovery from 200-SMA to trim lossesBitcoin (BTCUSD) rises to a week’s high, continuing its rebound from the 200-SMA and breaking through the 100-bar simple moving average (SMA).
BTCUSD bulls aim for a new three-month high!
Along with a solid bounce from the 200-SMA, a positive RSI (14) and bullish MACD signals support BTCUSD’s push past the 100-SMA. This indicates potential for more gains, even though the RSI is nearing overbought territory, suggesting limited upward movement soon.
Key technical levels to watch…
With Bitcoin’s strong recovery from the 200-SMA and a successful run-up beyond the 100-SMA, buyers are ready to challenge a six-week-old horizontal resistance area surrounding $64,700. However, they may face hurdles at the 78.6% Fibonacci Retracement of July-August downside near $65,700 and an upward trendline from late August around $66,900 afterward.
On the downside, the 100-SMA around $63,300 is holding BTCUSD up, while the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement support is near $62,200. That said, another key support is found at the 200-day moving average of around $60,700, with the psychological level of $60,000 serving as buyers' last line of defense.
Recovery remains preferable…
With Bitcoin bouncing back from key moving averages and a potential pullback in the US Dollar due to upcoming US inflation data and FOMC minutes, BTCUSD looks set for further upside.
Fetch.AI (FET/USDT) Swing Long Trade Setup (12H Chart)The 12-hour chart for Fetch.AI (FET) presents a promising swing long opportunity, supported by a hidden bullish divergence. The Money Flow Index (MFI) is rising, indicating increasing liquidity and momentum in favor of buyers, enhancing the validity of this trade setup.
Key levels to watch:
Initial Take Profit (TP1): $1.555
Secondary Target (TP2): $1.800
Trade Strategy:
If stop-loss (SL) is hit, it could present a good opportunity to re-enter the trade, as the overall structure and MFI suggest bullish conditions.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk, and ensure proper risk management.
Fetch.AI (FET/USDT) Swing Long Trade Setup (12H Chart)The 12-hour chart for Fetch.AI (FET) presents a promising swing long opportunity, supported by a hidden bullish divergence. The Money Flow Index (MFI) is rising, indicating increasing liquidity and momentum in favor of buyers, enhancing the validity of this trade setup.
Key levels to watch:
Initial Take Profit (TP1): $1.555
Secondary Target (TP2): $1.800
Trade Strategy:
If stop-loss (SL) is hit, it could present a good opportunity to re-enter the trade, as the overall structure and MFI suggest bullish conditions.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk, and ensure proper risk management.
Will Bitcoin experience Bull run or will there be consolidation?In August, I was bullish when Bitcoin was around 48000, and I was sure that BTC would definitely reach 65k. But there's only one bearish sign now, which is that Bitcoin didn't close the monthly candle above 66k, it only gave a wick.
Now, my view is that Bitcoin will consolidate a bit more in October and then Break the ATH. this doesn't mean it will go straight to 100k absolutely not. This bull run won't be parabolic at all; it will be slow and steady. This cycle will likely complete somewhere between December 2025 or March 2026.
Thats it for now.
Bitcoin: BTCUSD tests 7-Week uptrend as September wraps upAfter three weeks of gains, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) kicks off the NFP week on a down note. It’s testing the 50-SMA support and approaching the lower end of its seven-week uptrend. Along with the US employment report for September, including the key Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), Monday's speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will be crucial for market watchers. Stay tuned!
Buyers are struggling to gain traction, while sellers are still holding back
Whether it's pre-event nerves or month-end consolidation, Bitcoin buyers are struggling to gain market acceptance as the key week begins. Bearish MACD signals and the price's inability to hold above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement from July to August are tempting short-term sellers. However, a quick drop in the RSI (14) and strong support levels below make it tough for bears to regain control.
Technical levels to watch
In the short term, the bottom of the bullish channel around $64,050 is a key support level for potential sellers. Below that, the 200-SMA near the $60,000 mark acts as the last line of defense for buyers. If Bitcoin (BTCUSD) falls below $60,000, a gradual decline toward the monthly low around $52,500 could be on the horizon.
For a rebound, Bitcoin needs to break past the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at about $65,650. If successful, the monthly high of $66,500 and the upper boundary of the bullish channel around $68,900 will attract buyers. If Bitcoin moves past $68,900, it could quickly surpass $70,000 and aim for the yearly high of around $73,800 set in March.
Pullback in prices expected
Looking ahead, a potential bounce in the US Dollar and some price consolidation could lead to a pullback in BTCUSD. However, the overall bullish trend is likely to continue.
BTCUSD: Key Levels and Projections Based on Elliott WavesBTCUSD has formed a corrective pattern on the daily timeframe, identified as a W-X-Y structure with seven distinct waves. The price found support at the 200 EMA, reaching a low of 49,57 7 before bouncing back. The sub-waves within this structure are clearly visible, with wave (1) and wave (2) completing at 62,729 and 52,546 respectively.
Currently, BTCUSD is encountering strong resistance at the upper boundary of the corrective channel, posing a significant challenge for bullish momentum. Although wave (3) has managed to rise above wave (1), it has not yet confirmed a strong bullish breakout. To establish a decisive upward move, wave (3) needs to hold above wave B and breach the upper boundary of the channel. The breakout can help the price to get 100% of the whole correction.
Failure to break out of this resistance zone could result in the corrective structure extending into an X-Z formation, leading to a prolonged consolidation phase. This would suggest more time is needed for the pattern to play out, causing frustration for traders looking for a clear bullish trend.
We will provide further updates to our followers soon.
- Trade technique by KP
Near Protocol Swing Update - Near Protocol is currently trading at 5.3$
- Near printed 52% from my previous call out and now I believe the time has come when we can see it retracing back to the Bullish Fair Value Gap drawn
- The pump and the move were quite impulsive and if you didn't catch it at its base there is no point in catching it this late
- If you are interested in buying Near then it is better you wait for conservative entries and wait for the FVG to get filled first
- Till then sit at the sidelines
USDT Dominance Update - USDT Dominance is currently trading at 5.31%
- USDT is at its crucial support or demand zone
- This signifies we can soon expect a drop in the prices of cryptos
- Watch out for your Spot Longs and try locking in gains before market goes back to your cost
- I have locked in 50% gains in many positions and I will plan to add fresh positions once I see a dip again
Bitcoin: BTCUSD pierces 200-SMA, but buyers face challengesBitcoin (BTC) has climbed to its highest level in a month, crossing the important 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) early Monday. This rise continues a two-week upward trend, supported by a weaker US Dollar. However, traders are feeling cautious as they prepare for a big week ahead, which includes the preliminary PMIs for September, Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech and the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge.
Bulls gain acceptance
Despite hesitance due to upcoming data, Bitcoin buyers are gaining confidence after crossing the key moving average. Positive MACD signals, a strong RSI, and a successful rebound from a two-week rising support line are pushing back against bearish sentiment for the cryptocurrency pair.
Key technical levels to watch
As Bitcoin buyers gain strength, they must overcome a horizontal resistance zone around $65,100–$65,400. If they succeed, the next challenge will be a downward trend line from mid-March, currently near $68,500, before they can aim for the yearly high of about $73,800. Notably, the $70,000 and $72,000 levels will serve as additional hurdles.
Conversely, sellers need to break below the 200-day moving average at around $63,900 to take control. However, they will face challenges at the rising support line near $61,000 and the psychological level of $60,000. If they manage to push lower, they might target $57,000 initially, followed by a monthly low of around $52,550.
Poised for short-term strength
With strong technical signals and a generally weaker US Dollar boosting trader confidence, Bitcoin (BTC) prices are expected to stay solid in the short term. However, a series of resistance levels may challenge the bulls along the way.
Ethereum Swing Long Update - Ethereum is currently trading at 2563$
- Ethereum can soon outperform BTC once it flips 2800$ on a weekly time frame
- As a trader, you should wait for Ethereum to fill the FVG that's sitting on 2490$
- Deeper retracement will lead to an impulsive move towards the upside
- Make sure to add more size in ETH once you see it below 2500$
- I am anticipating Ethereum to easily print 3600-4000$ by the end of October
- For leverage traders watch out 2450 and try to make your entries conservative if you are using 2-3x leverage anything above that can be very risky
- Look for longs more because the market has a lot to recover in the last quarter instead of falling from here
- I don't think we should be falling from here anymore like we did earlier, small retracements and sudden retracements are fine in a bull market but as long as ETH isn't above 5000$ we cant consider this an altcoin bull market
- Trade safe and use logic - VK
IMX/USDT Technical Analysis: W-Pattern FormationThe IMX/USDT pair has completed a classic W-pattern formation on the chart, signaling a potential bullish breakout. Historically, W-patterns have proven to be reliable reversal patterns, and the previous occurrence on this chart resulted in a strong move to the upside.
If market conditions remain favorable, we could see a potential upside of approximately 40% from the current level. The measured move projection indicates a possible target near the 2.00 USDT level.
Traders should exercise caution and consider entering the trade on a minor pullback to improve the risk-to-reward ratio. This pullback could offer an optimal entry point before the next leg up.
Please note that this analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and trade responsibly.
Silver Futures: Navigating the Bullish Breakout
The Silver Futures chart presents a compelling picture, but as we know, navigating the market demands more than just technical analysis. Let's break down what we see:
Bullish Signals: The decisive breakout above the VWAP, coupled with the series of green Heikin Ashi candles, paints a bullish picture. The recent breach of the Base Camp level further strengthens this positive outlook.
VWAP as a Guide: The VWAP is now acting as dynamic support, offering potential buying opportunities on dips. However, remember that even in a bullish scenario, the market can be unpredictable.
Beyond the Chart: While technicals are promising, external factors can sway silver prices. Keep an eye on global economic indicators, geopolitical tensions, and any news that might impact precious metals.
Applying the Wisdom:
Don't Get Complacent: Even with a bullish setup, risk management is paramount. Set stop-losses to protect your capital in case of unexpected reversals.
Stay Informed: Technical analysis is valuable, but it's only one piece of the puzzle. Stay updated on fundamental factors that can influence silver's price trajectory.
Avoid Blind Faith in Tips: This bullish setup might attract stock tips, but remember, no one can predict the market with certainty. Do your own research and make informed decisions.
In Conclusion:
The Silver Futures chart is signaling a potential bullish trend. However, successful trading involves more than just following signals. Combine technical analysis with a keen understanding of market dynamics, risk management, and a healthy dose of skepticism towards "hot tips." This approach will increase your chances of navigating the market successfully, even when faced with its inherent unpredictability.
Disclaimer: This is an analysis, not financial advice. Trading involves risk; conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions
Analysis of BTC Response to Previous FED Rate CutsToday's analysis focuses on the impact of past Federal Reserve rate cuts on Bitcoin (BTC) price action. In 2020, following a rate cut, BTC initially experienced a modest increase, followed by a significant decline of approximately -63%. The price found support around the 200-day moving average.
As we approach the potential rate cut on September 18, 2024, we should consider the possibility of a similar market reaction. Key levels to monitor include $28,000 (300-day MA) and $37,000 (200-day MA).
While historical patterns suggest caution, a strong rally to levels around $65,000 to $68,000 could occur. However, if BTC breaks its previous all-time high of $73,000, we might see a structural shift towards a more parabolic trend.
Please note that this analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Proceed with caution and avoid making impulsive decisions based on short-term market movements.
NEAR/USDT: Head and Shoulders Pattern on 1-Hour TimeframeCurrently, NEAR/USD is forming a head and shoulders pattern on the 1-hour chart. If this pattern plays out, we could see a decline toward the lower trendline of the ongoing falling wedge. Additionally, a smaller head and shoulders pattern is unfolding, with a potential target range of $3.90-$3.80. A robust support level is present around $3.80.
It is important to note that today's Federal Reserve rate decision could lead to a market pump, which may invalidate the current head and shoulders patterns. Therefore, exercising patience and awaiting confirmation is essential for successful trading.
Please remember, this analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Fantom (FTM/USDT) – Daily Timeframe AnalysisCurrently, Fantom (FTM) is forming an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern on the daily chart, a traditionally bullish reversal signal. The key support and resistance levels have been highlighted, along with an order block for potential exit points. Based on market dynamics, I'm anticipating a minor pullback before a continuation of the uptrend, as reflected by the money flow and wave trend indicators, both pointing upwards.
Upcoming Market Considerations:
The upcoming FOMC meeting, scheduled for September 17-18, may introduce heightened volatility across global markets, including the cryptocurrency sector. A potential rate cut is being speculated, which could catalyze a short-term rally in Bitcoin and altcoins, potentially followed by a broader correction.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Please ensure thorough research and risk management before making any trading decisions.
Bitcoin: BTCUSD bulls take a breather as FOMC week beginsBitcoin (BTCUSD) has been under pressure for the third consecutive day as traders cautiously approach a crucial week. After briefly halting a two-week losing streak, Bitcoin is struggling once more as everyone eyes the Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) September policy announcement set for Wednesday.
Bitcoin buyers lack conviction
Be it the repeated reversal from a seven-week-old descending resistance line or bearish MACD signals, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) sellers appear flexing muscles ahead of this week’s key US Federal Reserve (Fed) Interest Rate Decision. It’s worth noting, however, that a weeklong bullish trend channel joins a convergence of 50 and 100 Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to restrict the short-term downtrend of the top-tier cryptocurrency pair.
Key technical levels to watch
Firstly, a convergence of the key EMAs and the aforementioned bullish channel’s bottom line offers an important challenge to the BTCUSD sellers around the $58,350-200 zone. Following that, Bitcoin sellers can aim for an eight-day-old horizontal support surrounding $55,600. If the bears keep the reins past $55,600, the monthly of nearly $52,550 and the $50,000 threshold will be in the spotlight.
On the upside, Bitcoin will first encounter resistance around $60,000 and a downward trend line near $60,300. A successful break above this could lead to testing the bullish channel's top line around $61,900 and the $62,000 mark.
BTCUSD sellers to keep the reins
Bitcoin sellers remain in control, with the cryptocurrency facing significant resistance and a long, uncertain path ahead.
Ethereum (ETH) Macro OverviewToday, I would like to share my analysis of Ethereum (ETH) on a macro time frame. Based on the current price action, I foresee a potential rally toward the $2,800–$2,900 zone, which could align with a possible market reaction during the FOMC meeting regarding rate cuts scheduled for September 17-18.
Should ETH break the upper demand zone, further upward movement may be possible, though I am personally anticipating a larger market correction post this rally. A downturn towards the $2,200 range appears likely, with the potential for ETH to reach as low as $1,500 by year-end.
One of the key indicators supporting this outlook is the Money Flow Index (MFI) on both the daily and weekly time frames, which has been trending downward since May. This suggests that capital has been gradually exiting ETH, which could lead to increased selling pressure.
Another factor to consider is Bitcoin (BTC), which could see a significant correction from the $65,000 level. This could trigger a cascading effect, further driving down ETH prices.
Given this macro setup, I plan to initiate a swing short position in ETH/USDT around the $2,800 range. In the near term, ETH could hit the $2,621 pivot level before any further developments.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research and trade responsibly.
FET/USDT Analysis – Potential Inverse Head & Shoulders FormationThe daily chart for NYSE:FET (Fetch.AI) is currently showing signs of forming an inverse head and shoulders pattern, a bullish reversal indicator. Notably, both the Money Flow Index (MFI) and the Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) are starting to turn upward, further supporting a potential bullish outlook.
Key support and resistance levels, along with the supply and demand zones, have been highlighted. It’s important to keep in mind that NYSE:FET faces resistance near the $1.561 and $1.870 levels, while support lies around $1.103 which is our weekly pivot.
Upcoming events, such as the FOMC meeting on September 17-18, could have a significant impact on global markets, including cryptocurrencies. Market expectations are leaning toward a potential rate cut, which may lead to a short-term pump across Bitcoin and altcoins, followed by a broader market correction.
As always, please conduct your own research before making any trading decisions. This is not financial advice.
POPCAT Bull Run Setup - Popcat is currently trading at 0.7066
- POPCAT is the only Hot Cat Meme token that has always bounced back stronger whenever we see BTC recovering
- Popcat can soon print 1.5-2$ maybe before the end of this year
- Spot Accumulation Interest Zones - 0.42-0.52$
- Expect this to print 100-200% in a quarter
- 2025 will be more bigger for Popcat