Bitcoin Daily just landed on the 200 SMA - what now ?Many people are expecting Bitcoin to Bounce off the 200 day SMA ( yellow & Arrowed)
But I just want to point out what happened last time we tanged for a long time.
We did NOT bounce of it untill PA was ready to
In fact, er fell below numerous times.
So, SORRY, don;t get your hopes up BUT we can watch and react.......
It may bounce but I doubt for long.....
Time will tell
Cryptotrading
So, the Range box WAS hiding a Secret - what now for Bitcoin
2 days ago, I posted and showed why the Current Range Box of Bitcoin may have had a bearish secret and, well , It happened.
Currently, PA has fallen out of Range and is sitting on levels of Low support
And, as I have been saying since November, there is a CME Gap from 80700 down to 77535
This Gap may get filled as this could be an excellent opportunity to do so.
It is also a great chance for us mere mortals to buy a few More Sats of a Bitcoin at a cheaper price than previously.
And I will, I do not believe this cycle is over yet...
Notice the 2.272 Fib line at 78920 which will offer support and then, just below that we have a rising Long Term line of support at around 76100, depending where PA hits it, should the support above fail.
Of course, we should remember that PA may turn around now, and reclaim a higher high
We have to Watch and react to what happens...
Stay safe
Is Bitcoins Range Box maybe hiding a bearish secret ? CAUTION ?
I have been talking about his range box that PA is in for a while and, at the same time, referenceing the previous 2 times PA has done this this Cycle.
But I also pointed out recently how this range is slightly different and possibly in a bearish way..
And I just found this on a 4 hour chart, which if true, could point towards PA taking a sudden drop to bottom of Range or Lower.
As you can see, PA has ranged across and just got rejected off the Upper trendline of a descending channel. The Fib Retracements levels seem to offer support
There is a vertical line on 1st April to give you a marlker to work on as main chart is a daily and this chart is 4 hour.
PA could continue to range horizontalyt till around 3rd March before hitting trend line again.
If PA tries to break out, it will hit it earlier.
In my head, I always have that Still open CME Gap at 77K - 82K
This is a perfect opportunity to buy Bitcoin at a discount if we get down there.
I do have an open SPOT BUY order at 78600 just in case. I would not expect PA to remain down there for very long, so I have placed my order above what I consider to be the possible Low.
None of this may happen BUT I find it prudent to be aware of all possibilities.
BITCOIN PA got rejected by the same Fib Circle as Nov 2021 ATH
This may not really Mean anything other than to show how amazing Fib Circles are and how they have a legacy in the past, even if the anchors are in the future.
Let me Explain.
To Draw a Fib circle, on the whole, we place one Anchor on a Low point of PA and then place a 2nd on a high
These Fib Circles have their Anchors in Early 2023
But Look how these Circles cross PA back in 2021.
The Current Circle that PA just went through and then turned down in the 2.618
On the Left side of the chart, see that Fib Circlwe that rejected March 2021 ATH..thats the 3.618 which we will cross again from July 2025
See what happened with the inner circle, the 1.618, on both occasions the PA ran into it.
Just somethin to think about while we wait for BTC PA to Dip down to 77K and bounce back up ;-)
Could Bitcoin PA head down to fill CME Gap at 82K-77K usdt
And the answer is "Very possibly"
50 SMA ( RED ) -100 SMA ( BLUE ) - 128 SMA ( GREEN ) - 200 SMA ( YELLOW )
For a start, Lets Look at what the 50 SMA did in the previous range.
PA bounced off that 50, having tested it 4 weeks previously ( see wick down )
I can see no reason why that would not happen again if PA reaches this point.
But we are now seeing the 50 beginning to flatten out after 3 months of PA ranging.
The CME Gap exists since 11 Nov 2024
Price range of Gap is 80720 down to 77535
On the main chart, See how that 50 SMA is currently flattening out just under this range ?
If PA comes down to the 50 SMA for support, it will fill that CME gap.
Notice also how there is a similarity to the pattern of PA from that Range in 2024, though it seems we are experiencing a contracted version.
As mentioned in previous posts, this range is also different in that we are under a 618 Fib Ext.
Little Support below.
This does not mean we will not bounce, indeed, I think we will but ultimately, I can see PA visiting that CME Gap, even if it is just a flash Wick down.
It is a superb opportunity to buy BTC at a lower price
Here is why Bitcoin cycle ATH in Q4 maybe @ 250 K USDT
This is my oldest chart
I trust this chart - Keeping iot simple
See the Pennant PA is currently in, under resistance of the 2.618 Fib Ext.
Previous 618 Ext have been support this cycle and this leads me to think we will remain here a while.
The Rising line of support we are in pushes PA to an apex in June and PA will react shortly before that time. ( PA may drop below support and then return before June)
Weekly MACD currently falling Bearish, resetting and should be Neutral by June and so I am seeing PA rising from there.
See how PA reacts to a Fib Circle. In this Cycle,
Note that this apex of the triangle we are currently in is just after the 9.618 Fib Circle.
IF we range into the Fib circle in June, I fully expect PA to Rise after
Last time we ranged into a Fib circle with a Neutral MACD, was in Jan 2023 on the 4.618.
This lead to a rise of just under 100%
The Upper Blue Trend Line is the Ascending line of the previous Bitcoin ATH Tops, back to 2017 on this chart but to 2013 on Longer range charts.
Many charts have confluence for a cycle Top in Q4 2025 and so, using that blue line, the expected push higher from BTC PA when it breaks out of pennant in June ( or near June), we end up around the 250K USDT mark
This would, like in Jan 2023, lead to a increase in Price around 100% ( a little more actually )
While this is all based on Assumptions that PA remains Calm and in Range while the MACD resets itself from Oversold, it has happened before and there exists the chance it will again
Obviously, PA may fall through the floor and so we all need to have plans for Both Bullish and Bearish scenarios. ( there is a strong possibility of a Dip to Mid 70K and swift return )
But over all, I find THIS chart to point towards a more realistic cycle Top ATH of 250 K
Some LOG charts point to a near 1Million USDT Cycle top and that, given the market Cap required, is probably not going to happen THIS cycle....... But it will one day
As ever, we take Bitcoin PA as it comes.....and react accordingly.
This week is going to be Fun
End of Month on Friday - Monthly patterns showing some interesting things.
I'll explain those next week after month close.
BTCUSD updated viewA resistance zone was created on BTCUSD at the 99113 - 99944 level.
Also at the same level from top to bottom one resistance trend line shows strong resistance in that area. while looking at the HNS pattern in RSI on a closing basis and both the resistance zone and trendline we need a strong closing above the zone with the trendline breaking, then we can see the bigger target in BTCUSD.
otherwise, BTCUSD will take the resistance from the trendline and zone and can see the support level again.
I already shared what-if support level breaks.
How would Bitcoin react? Btc/Usdt Chart analysis Bitcoin on Hourly chart is has formed HH & HL (HIGHER HIGH, HIGHER LOW). Trend is definitely bullish but after a massive move every assets goes for a correction. Looking at hourly chart we can see that Bitcoin is trading in range bound and it need to take any side liquidity for any trade to be executed. For buy we would suggest to wait for the ATH (All time high) to be breaken out. So sell side we would suggest to wait for a MSS( Market structure shift). Weekends are usually slower for Crypto market. We will wait for the first Asian session of the day to start and will trade plan accordingly
Bitcoin Still bearish till $55000Bitcoin remains bearish as I predicted!
CRYPTOCAP:BTC perfectly dumped from $64,200, our old Bearish OB. Now, the new Bearish OB is at $62,400. As long as we're below this level, I expect a move toward $55,000. The setup is invalidated only if a 4H candle closes above $62,400.
ETHFI's Bullish Move Or Trap? Critical Levels To Watch Now!Yello Paradisers! Are we on the brink of a massive bullish breakout for #ETHFIUSDT, or is it a trap? Let's dive in and find out.
💎#ETHFI has formed a triangle pattern and is currently showing a W pattern at the demand zone, signaling a potential bullish move. Here's what to watch for:
💎We need an I-CHoCH from here. Alternatively, a breakout of the W pattern can indicate a bullish move, but it comes with risks. If you're planning to trade this, consider setting small profit targets for safety.
💎If the price breaks out and closes above the resistance zone, we can expect a bullish move. This confirmation is crucial for a confident entry.
💎If the candle closes below the demand zone, it will invalidate our bullish idea. In this case, it's better to wait for clearer price action before making any decisions.
Strive for consistency, not quick profits. Treat the market as a businessman, not as a gambler.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
$WIF Elliott Wave Analysis ( Target $20 As Per EW )CRYPTOCAP:WIF Elliott Wave Analysis
- The current EW 5-wave cycle appears complete, entering A-B-C correction.
- Post C-phase correction, anticipate a significant upward rally towards $16-$20 (1200% potential).
- Correction Target: Expecting a dip to 0.382 Fibonacci level ($1.60-$1.30).
- Worst Case: Exit strategy if price breaks below the bull flag's red line.
Stay tuned for updates.
LISK Bull Flag AnalysisLSK/USDT Chart Analysis
LSK/USDT is forming a Bull Flag pattern with a breakout and retest already completed. Based on the chart pattern, a significant move is anticipated from here.
Entry: $1.93 - $1.80
Targets:
$2.00
$2.32
$2.75
$3.25
$5.00
Stop-Loss: $1.75 (and a strong stop loss below the red line)
- Ensure proper risk management at all times.
- Happy trading!
BITCOIN Chart AnalysisWe know that btc currently happened halving.If we consider previous halving btc now at the best time to invest.Its btc longterm chart analysis.
Currently BTC at best support zone.If brake BTC at 56k range there is a possibilities to drop BTC into 51K range.Currently btc at best zone and consider to bullish sign to invest in BTC.Dont invest whole amount one time into btc.Just consider this level as well to buy oppitunity.
#ETHEREUM READY FOR NEW ALL TIME HIGH #ETHEREUM READY FOR NEW ALL TIME HIGH
1⃣ Breakout Triangle Resistance & did Perfect Retest
2⃣ Also Formed Inverse H&S Pattern NECKLINE Breakout & Retest Done
3⃣ CRYPTOCAP:ETH Must Hold $3450 Support for New ATH
4⃣ Next Targets Would be $4068/$5000
5⃣ Always Use Stop Loss as per your Risk Reward Ratio
Share/Comments if you agree with My Setup.
NFA
GMT Trade Setup - GMT looks good to me after looking at it's recovery from the recent drop it made
- IMO GMT can move 50-100% up from here as long as Bitcoin stays up or sideways
- Your holding period in GMT should be for 3months at least because I don't believe in overnight pumps
- Don't risk anything in crypto if you can't afford to lose the same
BNB/Binance Coin Trade Idea - BNB is currently trading in a zone where all its FUD has evaporated
- The structure looks super strong except for the inducements that it's certainly going to have
- I will look to add BNB swings once it starts retracing and hold it until it gives me a strong gain of 30-50%
- Risk minimized to 10%
APT Analysis: Testing Resistance with Bearish Bias
💎 APT is currently testing the resistance trendline of a descending channel. Additionally, a closer look at the candles reveals that red candles are larger than green ones, suggesting a higher likelihood of a bearish trend.
💎The price is also indicating CHoCH, and it's currently at the bearish OB, coinciding with the Fibonacci 0.618 level and the resistance trendline of the descending channel. These factors collectively support a bearish outlook for APT at this level.
💎For confirmation of the bearish scenario, we would ideally need to see a bearish engulfing candlestick pattern. Previous price action has shown bearish reversals following such patterns at every low-high point.
💎However, if the price manages to break above the bearish OB, we may witness a bullish movement. Still, it's important to exercise caution as such moves can be deceptive. Therefore, I would advise against considering bullish scenarios for APTUSD at this juncture.
APE Analysis: Bullish Breakout Potential 💎 APE has broken out of a descending channel and is also displaying signs of CHoCH in the price, indicating a potential bullish move from here or after a pullback from the Bullish OB zone.
💎If APEUSDT breaks out directly from its current position, we can anticipate targets until the next resistance zone. Alternatively, if APE experiences a pullback from its current position and starts finding support at the Bullish OB zone, it could form a W pattern, a bullish reversal pattern. This setup would offer an entry opportunity with a small stop loss.
💎Nevertheless, if the price breaks below the Bullish OB level, I will provide updates accordingly. Considering the overall market conditions, a breakdown below the OB level may prove challenging
SNX Analysis: Bullish Breakout Signals Potential Upside Momentum💎 SNX has broken out of the resistance zone, which is now acting as support. Additionally, it has broken out of a falling wedge pattern and formed a W pattern in the support zone, increasing the likelihood of a bullish trend.
💎 Moreover, the price has exhibited a CHoCH (Change of Character) or a breakout of the previous swing, indicating a bullish trend. Given these factors, we can anticipate a bullish move from this point. Alternatively, there might be a retracement towards the demand area & expect a bounce from it. In either case, we can expect the price to move towards resistance levels, although it might be advisable to book small positions at each small resistance level.
💎 However, if SNX breaks down below the demand area, it would raise the probability of a bearish move.
SHIB: Bullish Momentum Building with W Pattern Formation💎 SHIB has broken out of a falling wedge pattern and is currently forming a W pattern on the demand level. There is also a possibility of a further retracement back to the demand area to gather more support.
💎For confirmation of the bullish reversal W pattern, we would need to see a candle closing above the resistance level of 948. This would validate the pattern, and we could then anticipate targets up to the next resistance levels of 1035 and 1107.
💎However, if the price declines below to the demand area, there could be a bearish move. Yet, considering the overall bullish sentiment in the market, it might be prudent to focus more on potential bullish opportunities and perhaps disregard bearish scenarios for now.