#CHOLAFIN - VCP / C&H BO in DTF📊 Script: CHOLAFIN
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 VCP in DTF
📈 BO with Volume
📈 MACD gave a Bounce
📈 Price consolidated for 85Days
📈 One can go for Swing Trade
⚠️ Over All Market condition is bad, Practice paper trading
🟢 If you have any questions regarding the setup, please feel free to leave your inquiries in the comments, and I will respond promptly.
BUY ONLY ABOVE 1435 DCB
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 1433
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 – 6%
⚠️ Stoploss ☠️🚫 – 2.90%
⚠️ Important: Always Exit the trade before any Event.
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
✅#Boost, #Like & #Follow to never miss a new idea! ✅
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
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Cupandhandlepattern
Cords Cables-Can it continue to be a multibagger?Cords Cables is a small cap company which is available at a perfect position technically.
Zone of 140-150 was a supply zone earlier which now should become a demand zone.
If stock manages to bounce from here with good volumes, it can continue its multibagger journey towards big targets.
However, if this zone is breached, stock can fall rapidly so it sis make or break level for stock technically.
Very risky. Keep in watchlist to study and learn.
Not a recommendation.
Senores Pharma: Cup & Handle - Ready for Some Action?NSE:SENORES
Senores Pharma is forming a potential cup and handle on the daily timeframe. A breakout attempt on Feb 6, 2025, failed to sustain above ₹607.35 as selling pressure came in second half.
Now, the cup and handle pattern is progressing, making next week crucial. A close above ₹607.35 is the key level to watch for confirmation.
Volumes are rising, with today's volume (Feb 21, 2025) nearly 5x yesterday's. The stock's resilience despite market pressure indicates strength.
Cup and Handle pattern usually don't disappoint so would be interesting to watch.
Senores Pharmaceuticals is a research-driven company focused on developing specialty pharmaceutical products for regulated markets. The company has shown impressive financial performance:
Recent Financials (Q3 FY25):
Net Sales: ₹106.4 crore (up 35% YoY from ₹78.7 crore in Q3 FY24)
QoQ Performance: Increased from ₹104.4 crore in Q2 FY25 (up 1.92%)
EBITDA: ₹29.1 crore (up 92% YoY)
PAT: ₹17.2 crore (up 142% YoY from ₹7.1 crore in Q3 FY24)
9MFY25 Performance:
Total Revenue: ₹288.1 crore (up 157% YoY from ₹112.1 crore in 9MFY24)
PAT: ₹40.7 crore (up 162% YoY)
Market Position : The stock has outperformed its sector and the broader Sensex, achieving consecutive gains over the past month and trading above multiple moving averages.
Future Projections : Management anticipates a top-line growth of 50%-60% for FY26, with plans to launch five new products in the current quarter.
Strategic Focus : Continued investment in R&D and infrastructure development is expected to enhance manufacturing capabilities and expand product offerings.
USD/INR - Where the rupee is heading, Will it reach the 90s?FX_IDC:USDINR
Looking at the daily chart of USD/INR we can see a breakout at 86.68 level. And now there is a retracement from 87.95 levels. The question is whether it will make a new high or not, should we remain bullish on USD?
Let's refer the history to find a high probability answer.
From Oct'18 prices consolidation for 1.5 years. During this period there was cup and handle (C&H) formation followed by a breakout in Feb-20 @72.5 INR.
Note that the base of the handle was at 70.55 INR.
The momentum continued till 77 Rs in Apr-20.
If we draw a fibo extension from 70.55 to 77 (Δ 6.45), and apply it from the next C&H breakout at 77 Rs in May-22. The upmove followed this breakout made a high @ 83.285Rs. which is approx equal to (B/o pt + Δ) = (77+6.45 = 83.45).
Now Lets apply this concept to find the high of current bull run.
Let draw Fibo extension from base of the handle to top of the the entire run i.e from 75.288 to 83.285 (Δ ≈ 8)
And apply it from the B/o of C&H pattern @83.41 Rs.
So the next targets are {(B/o pt + Δ) = (83.41+8 = 91.41)} or {(B/o pt + 1.618*Δ) = (83.41+1.618*8 = 96.35)}
Hindustan UnileverHello & welcome to this analysis
FMCG sector appears to be doing better then other sectors after a very long time with Hindustan Unilever having a large weightage in the sector
Strength signal -
Since 2008 it has never violated the Quarterly Ichimoku Base line nor the Monthly Ichimoku Cloud. Near these support levels it becomes a very attractive value buy. This time also in 2024 it did the same.
After giving a Cup & Handle breakout in the weekly time frame its seen a pullback since October 2024 along with the rest of the market. In the last 3 weeks its gone sideways whereas we have seen other sectors continue to see sharp selling. Once again highlighting that current level is seeing consistent buying support. The pullback appears to have been completed as it bounced back from its rising trend line.
A daily falling wedge breakout has also witnessed a pullback now. As long as it now holds the rising trendline at 2350 it has good potential for upside suggesting a decent low risk high reward set up from short to medium term.
Upside levels one can look out for above 2400 are at 2700 / 3100 / 3300 / 3600
All the best for your trading and investing
My last video on the stock link is shared
Redington Ltd – CNH & Inverse H&S Trade with Caution!🚀 Pattern Highlights
Cup and Handle & Inverse Head and Shoulders:
Redington is showing a potential Cup and Handle (CNH) formation alongside an Inverse Head and Shoulders, signaling a breakout at ₹238–₹240.
📊 Technical Levels
Entry: ₹238–₹240 (Breakout Level)
Stop Loss: ₹181 (24% below, on a daily closing basis)
Target: ₹340 (~42% upside, positional/medium-term)
Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:1.75
🕵️♂️ Observations
1️⃣ The stock is trading within an ascending channel, forming higher lows.
2️⃣ It's below its 52-week high but not correcting much during this bearish phase.
3️⃣ The channel top may act as a key resistance.
4️⃣ Still in Higher High (HH) and Higher Low (HL) format while many other stocks have transitioned to Lower High (LH) and Lower Low (LL) structures.
5️⃣ Volume confirmation will be crucial for a breakout.
⚠️ Risks to Consider
Market Sentiment: Current market conditions are bearish, with indices correcting and most sectors showing weakness.
Bearish Transition?: No confirmation if this is a bull market correction or the start of a bear market.
Earnings Season: Quarterly results are around the corner, which could bring surprises.
📌 Why Risk Management Is Key
Example: Newgen Software recently broke out at ₹1,548 (ATH), moved ~15%, but then plunged 41% in just 9 trading sessions, trapping bulls.
Solution: Trade light with 7–10% of your usual position size (e.g., buy 7 shares if you usually buy 100). This limits risk while keeping you involved.
🏁 Conclusion
Trade cautiously: Position size, risk management, and patience are your best tools here.
If the stock doesn’t fall further, it could be an ideal candidate when the market reverses and bottoms out.
For Beginners: Avoid this trade for now. Add it to your watchlist and observe.
✨ Final Thoughts
Redington is trading tightly above its key DMAs with narrow-range candles. This indicates strength despite market weakness. Watch closely for a breakout confirmation.
🔍 Disclaimer
This is not financial advice. Do your own research (DYOR) and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions. Trading involves risks, and capital is at stake. This idea is shared for educational purposes only.
Motherson Sumi-Can it fly from here?Motherson Sumi is now available at a very beautiful demand zone.
It is retesting previous cup and handle breakout and also is near a trendline support.
Any bounce from this zone will give good returns in stock.
Levels are mentioned on chart. One of the best stock within auto ancillary sector.
If you trust EV theme, this stock should be on radar.
CarTrade Tech- CnH FnP. Keep on Radar📊 CarTrade Tech - Technical Analysis 🚗
Reason for Picking This Stock:
CarTrade Tech has been in an uptrend since March 2023, trading within a rising channel. The stock tends to take support near the 50 DMA and the channel bottom, showcasing strong demand in those areas.
✨ Key Highlights:
1️⃣ Breakout from 3.5-Year Resistance: The stock has broken above a significant 3.5-year-old resistance level of ₹1,622.85 and gave a weekly closing above it.
2️⃣ Chart Patterns:
Cup and Handle (CnH) formation near the 3.5-year resistance.
Flag and Pole (FnP) pattern adds conviction to the breakout.
3️⃣ No Overhead Resistance: The left side of the chart shows no major resistance, providing room for upside movement.
4️⃣ Relative Strength in Market Correction: The stock has held strong during the broader market correction.
🎯 Trading Levels & Risk-Reward (R:R):
Entry: ₹1,835
Stop Loss (Closing Basis): ₹1,514
Positional Target: ₹2,543
SL %: 17.5%
R:R: 1:2
📌 How to Trade:
✅ Wait for Confirmation: A clear breakout with volume and a wide-range candle will strengthen the setup.
✅ Small Position Size: As the market trend is bearish, trade with reduced risk.
✅ Pullback Entry: Look for a pullback to the 50 DMA region or channel bottom for better risk-reward entries.
✅ Add on Base Formation: If the stock consolidates above the breakout level and breaks out again, consider this as a further entry point.
⚠️ Risk Considerations:
🚨 The broader market is trading well below the 50 DMA and 200 DMA, with a death cross in play. Committing large capital at this point may not be advisable.
🚨 This is a pure technical call on a fundamentally weak company. Perform your own due diligence before trading.
💡 Key Points to Watch:
1️⃣ Clear breakout from the Flag and Pole (FnP) and Cup and Handle (CnH) patterns.
2️⃣ The channel top may act as a resistance, so monitor price action near those levels.
3️⃣ Broader market stabilization above the 200 DMA and 50 DMA is crucial for larger capital deployment.
🚦 Final Thoughts:
CarTrade Tech is showing relative strength in a falling market—a key factor for stock selection during corrections. The intention is to highlight opportunities in stocks performing well despite broader market weakness. Trade cautiously and stick to strict risk management. 💪 and do not wait for target to be achieved in this market condition. Try to book partial and trail SL.
📉 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
#LAURUSLABS - Potential Stage 1 Breakout 📊 Script: LAURUSLABS
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 C&H formation in weekly chart.
📈 Price gave a good up move
📈 Went Side Ways, wait for more consolidation near Resistance
📈 Volume spike must be seen on BO
📈 MACD Bounce
📈 One can go for Swing Trade.
BUY ONLY ABOVE NA DCB
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 602
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 – NA%
⚠️ Stoploss ☠️🚫 – NA%
⚠️ Important: Always Exit the trade before any Event.
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
✅Boost, Like and follow to never miss a new idea! ✅
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat 🔁
Happy learning with MMT. Cheers!🥂
Bajaj Healthcare - Fresh Opportunity for Upside Move! 📈 Bajaj Healthcare - Fresh Opportunity for Upside Move! 🚀
🔍 Key Observations:
Stock is forming a CNH (Continuation Narrowing Pattern) on the daily timeframe.
Broke out of a 3-year-old trading range on 18th Dec 2023.
Consolidating in a narrow range since 19th Dec 2023.
Volume confirmation (3x-5x) and a strong candle needed for breakout confirmation.
Broader markets are still in a weak structure (LL-LH), so trade cautiously.
🎯 Trade Setup:
Entry: Above 717 (Breakout level).
Stop Loss (SL): Closing below 595 (17.01% risk).
Target 1 (Positional): 942 (31.38% reward).
📊 Risk-Reward (RR):
RR Ratio: 1:1.8
💡 Trading Strategy:
Initial Entry: Buy above 717 with a small test quantity (limit position size).
Add More: On breakout and retest (if it occurs).
Overall Position Size: Keep it low as we are trading against the broader market trend.
Wait for Confirmation: Broader markets need to show signs of reversal (closing above 50-200 DMAs) for scaling in further.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not investment advice. Trade at your own risk.
The broader market is still in a weak structure (LL-LH), and the probability of failure is high.
Always use proper risk management and limit position size.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
📌 Key Takeaways:
CNH pattern suggests a potential breakout.
Volume confirmation is critical for validity.
Trade cautiously in a weak market environment.
RR of 1:1.8 offers a favorable setup if the breakout sustains.
🚨 Final Note:
Personally, I will scale in only when the broader markets show signs of reversal (closing above 50-200 DMAs).
Until then, trade lightly and stay disciplined!
V2 Retail Ltd: CnH Breakout Setup🛒 V2 Retail Ltd: CnH Breakout Setup
Entry: ₹2,002.85
Stop Loss (SL): ₹1,687 (on closing basis; -15.77%)
Target:
🎯 Positional Target: ₹2,323 (+15.98%)
🚀 Why this trade?
Chart Pattern: Clear Cup and Handle (CnH) breakout with the stock trading in an ascending channel.
Trend Confirmation: The stock is maintaining its position above key Daily Moving Averages (DMAs), confirming strength in the uptrend.
Sectoral Tailwind: Budget 2025 brings a positive outlook for the consumption and FMCG sector, supporting this trade's fundamentals.
Volume: Increasing, but it still needs improvement to strengthen the breakout signal.
⚠️ Key Observations and Risks:
Resistance Ahead: The channel top may act as resistance, so price action near these levels should be watched carefully.
Market Context: Broader market trends are weak, making this a counter-trend trade that adds an element of risk.
Volume Concerns: Volume is yet to fully confirm a breakout; a retest is possible.
📚 Educational Insights:
Channel Tops as Resistance: In ascending channels, the upper boundary often acts as dynamic resistance; breakout strength depends on volume.
Risk Management: With a wide stop loss (closing basis), position sizing becomes critical to limit exposure.
This is a positional trade, so short-term fluctuations shouldn’t influence decisions prematurely.
✅ Suggested Approach:
Take small positions initially to minimize risk while testing the market.
Monitor volume and sector strength for additional confirmation.
Avoid over-leveraging in trades with broad SLs, especially in counter-trend setups.
📈💡 "Adapt to market behavior, but always trade with discipline and patience."
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Please consult with your financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions. Always manage your risk and trade responsibly.
DCM Shriram - Continuation PatternA Continuation pattern is being formed. It may take some time to breakout, but it looks certain that when the breakout happens it could fly.
Strong ability to service debt as the company has a low Debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.09 times
The company has declared positive results in Dec'2024 after 3 consecutive negative quarters
PBT LESS OI(Q) At Rs 344.43 cr has Grown at 102.5 %
PAT(Q) At Rs 262.14 cr has Grown at 101.1 %
CASH AND CASH EQUIVALENTS(HY) Highest at Rs 1,756.50 cr
With ROE of 7.9, it has a Fair valuation with a 2.7 Price to Book Value
The stock is trading at a premium compared to its average historical valuations
While the stock has generated a return of 12.40%, its profits have risen by 5.3%
PEG ratio of the company is 6.26
Deepak Fertilizers - Cup and Handle ContinuationAs you all can see there is a beautiful cup followed by a handle on the Weekly timeframe.
After the pattern broke out, the stock managed the market sell off pretty well by retesting its previous supply zone (now demand zone) and maintained the sideways trend without spoiling the pattern.
This sudden surge implies that the stock is ready to continue its uptrend.
Talking about fundamentals:
- High Management Efficiency with a high ROCE of 17.10%
- The company has a high Debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.88 times
- Healthy long term growth as Operating profit has grown by an annual rate 40.09%
- Positive results in Dec 24
- OPERATING PROFIT TO INTEREST(Q) Highest at 4.94 times
- NET SALES(HY) At Rs 5,325.74 cr has Grown at 24.53 %
- DEBT-EQUITY RATIO(HY) Lowest at 0.67 times
- With ROCE of 14.4, it has a Fair valuation with a 1.9 Enterprise value to Capital Employed
- The stock is trading at a discount compared to its average historical valuations
- Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of 106.57%, its profits have risen by 0.5%
- High Institutional Holdings at 20.38%. Their stake has increased by 0.7% over the previous quarter.
ELGIEQUIP cup and handle patternA cup and handle price pattern on a security's price chart is a technical indicator that resembles a cup with a handle, where the cup is in the shape of a "u" and the handle has a slight downward drift.
The cup and handle is considered a bullish signal, with the right-hand side of the pattern typically experiencing lower trading volume. The pattern's formation may be as short as seven weeks or as long as 65 weeks.
Key Takeaways
A cup and handle is a technical chart pattern that resembles a cup and handle where the cup is in the shape of a "u" and the handle has a slight downward drift.
A cup and handle is considered a bullish signal extending an uptrend, and it is used to spot opportunities to go long.
Technical traders using this indicator should place a stop buy order slightly above the upper trendline of the handle part of the pattern.
The pattern was first described by William J. O'Neil in his 1988 classic book on technical analysis, How to Make Money in Stocks.
Price target of 574
Bullish Outlook on #AIIL#AIIL Authum Investment & Infrastructure Ltd. has shown a promising breakout from a prolonged consolidation phase, forming a Cup and Handle pattern on the daily chart. Key
observations:
Volume Confirmation: The breakout is accompanied by a significant rise in volume, confirming strong buying interest .
All-Time High Potential: The price is moving toward uncharted territory, suggesting strong bullish momentum.
Support Zone: The consolidation range now acts as a strong support zone for any pullback.
Relative Strength: The stock is outperforming its peers, showcasing superior relative strength.
Recommendation:
Entry Point: Buy on dips near the breakout level (around ₹1,850–₹1,900) for optimal risk-reward.
Target: ₹2,100 and above, based on pattern projections.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below ₹1,750 to manage risk.
Authum appears to be in Stage 2 (Advancing), making it an attractive candidate for positional traders. Fundamentals and further price action will dictate long-term potential.
Epack looks Enticing? Will it live up to our expectations? I am Back with another Cup and Handle.
Nice structure. CnH on DTH. It looks enticing for the long term.
This is just my view. Kindly study the chart.
The only gripe here is that the stock Hits UC/LC often. So you need to be extremely cautious when trading this.
ELGIRUBCO breaking out of C&H!⚠️Risky Bet.
1⃣Entry: Above 143. Safe to wait for day closing.
2⃣SL: 113.7 Closing basis. Risk is 22% so trade very light or tweak SL as per your appetite.
Technicals:
1⃣C&H on on DTF.
2⃣Volume Buildup with price movement.
3⃣Good Relative Strength
4⃣Wide Range Candles.
Risks ⚠️
1⃣Circuit stock(LC/UC)
2⃣Bearish Market.
The chart is shared for educational purposes only. Please do your due diligence.
UCAL Breakout with Huge Volume. Add to your WLKey Highlights
1⃣ Breakout of Consolidation: The stock has decisively broken out of a long-term consolidation range.
2⃣ Strong Volume Support: Backed by significant volume, indicating probable institutional participation.
3⃣ Above Key DMAs: Trading above critical daily moving averages (DMAs), reinforcing bullish momentum.
Pattern Insights
📦 Consolidation Breakout: A breakout from a long-term consolidation box (marked in green).
📈 Ascending Channel: An ascending channel pattern within the consolidation range suggests bullish accumulation.
🌀 Bullish Patterns: Formation of an Inverse Head & Shoulders and a Cup and Handle within the ascending channel adds to the bullish narrative.
Trade Plan
📥 Entry: Above ₹254.60, or on dips close to ₹230-₹220 levels.
🎯 Targets:Target 1: ₹300
🎯Target 2: ₹338.50
❌ Stop Loss: ₹205 for long-term/positional trades.
💡 Potential Upside: A close above ₹338.50 could trigger a fresh rally, with potential targets in the ₹400-₹450 range.
Key Reminder
1⃣ Market Condition: The overall market is currently bearish. Exercise caution.
2⃣ Risk Management: Position sizing and disciplined risk management are critical in the present scenario.
3⃣ Market Trends: Long setups are failure-prone if the market continues its downtrend.