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Kamat Hotels - Bullish Breakout with Massive VolumeKamat Hotels - Bullish Breakout with Massive Volume 🚀 📊 Timeframe: Daily Trade Setup 🔹 Entry Level: ₹273.20 🔹 Stop Loss (SL): ₹226.11 (~17.23% below entry) 🔹 Target Levels: T1 (Pivot High of April 2024): ₹315.45 (+15.46%) 🟢 T2 (Positional Target - ATH): ₹374.00 (+36.93%) 🏆 Risk-to-Reward Ratio (R:R): R:R for T1: 0.89 R:R for T2: 2.14 Technical Highlights 🔥 Volume Spike: Breakout supported by 4-5x higher volumes than recent sessions. Volume is the key reason for this suggestion. 📈 Price Journey: The stock started its upward journey in March 2020, slowly rising while trading inside a channel. Made a peak (ATH) in January 2024, followed by a sharp fall. After the fall, the stock formed a base and consolidated, leading to the current breakout. 📈 Resistance Levels: Immediate Resistance: ₹292.45 (Pivot High from May 2024 – 8 months ago). Target 1: ₹315.45 (April 2024 Pivot High). 🌟 Candle Analysis: Strong, clean candle with no upper shadow, showing bullish strength. 📊 Trend Consideration: While technically bullish, keep in mind this is against the broader trend, which increases the risk of failure. 💡 Pyramiding Opportunity: Consider adding positions gradually (pyramiding) on follow-through price action. Fundamental Perspective ⚠️ Fundamentals: Nothing extraordinary here; this is purely a technical trade driven by a volume-backed breakout. Actionable Advice & Risks 🔍 Wait and Watch: Look for follow-through price action before committing significant capital. ⚡ Sharp Retracement Risk: Breakouts can often retrace sharply, especially against the trend. Consider adding only small quantities or trade according to your risk appetite. ❗ Trend Risk: 2 out of 3 trades fail if the market sentiment turns bearish, so trade cautiously when going against the prevailing trend. Disclaimer This idea is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Please consult your financial advisor and trade according to your risk tolerance. Summary: The stock shows a technically strong breakout, supported by massive volume, and has been gradually rising since March 2020, trading inside a channel. It made an ATH in January 2024, followed by a sharp fall, formed a base, and consolidated before breaking out. Immediate resistance lies at ₹292.45, followed by T1 at ₹315.45, and positional traders can aim for the ATH of ₹374. While fundamentals are not strong, the volume-backed breakout and clean price action make this a compelling technical setup. Be cautious of retracements and manage your risk effectively.
NSE:KAMATHOTELLong
by sagartharayil
Genesys Trying to breakout from ConsolidationStock: Genesys Intl Corp Ltd (GENESYS) Entry: ₹1,055.35 (after a closing above this level for confirmation) Stop Loss: ₹919.70 (on a closing basis) Target: ₹1,230.85 Setup Overview: Pattern: Trying to Breakout from a consolidation zone. Volume: Moderate, confirming a breakout attempt, but needs more conviction. Key Levels: Entry after a confirmed close above ₹1,055.35 for safe traders. Target: ₹1,230.85 Risk Considerations: Trading against the broader trend; breakout setups in such cases have a higher failure probability. Manage risk with appropriate position sizing. Trade light to mitigate potential losses.
NSE:GENESYSLong
by sagartharayil
Mahanagar Gas Limited: A Breakout OpportunityThe stock is in a solid consolidation phase, forming a bullish pattern of higher highs and higher lows. Patience is key, so I'm playing it smart by waiting for a decisive breakout above ₹1339 on a closed candle. Once confirmed, I'll buy above that high for a strong entry point. 📊 Technical Insight: RSI is showing strength, hinting at momentum building up. Fingers crossed that we get a smooth breakout without an overly sharp spike! 💼 Fundamentals Check: With robust financials and a leading position in the gas distribution sector, Mahanagar Gas is a powerhouse in the energy space. Strong market fundamentals and positive technical signals make it one to watch closely! Let’s see if this one fuels up for a big move!
NSE:MGLLong
by iamrk7
SRF Update – Trading Near a 3-Year Range Watch for breakout📌 Cheat Entry: ₹2704 📌 Entry: ₹2864 (ATH Level) 📌 Stop Loss: ₹2259.8 (Closing Basis, -16.6%) 📌 Target 1: ₹3386 (+25%, R:R 1:1.5 from Cheat Entry) 📌 Positional Target: ₹3910 (+44.6%, R:R 1:2.7 from Cheat Entry) 💡 How to Trade: 1️⃣ Test Quantities: Add small quantities above the Cheat Entry (₹2704). 2️⃣ Full Entry: Add the rest above the ATH breakout level (₹2864). 3️⃣ Look for a clean breakout with a wide-range candle supported by strong volumes. ⚠️ Position Sizing Tip: The market remains weak. Trade only 10% of your usual position size. Example: If you usually buy 100 stocks, buy 3 above Cheat Entry and the rest above ₹2864 (ATH breakout). ✅ Why Trade This Setup: 🏷️ Stock has been in a range since Oct 2021 and is now trading below its ATH. 📈 Once the ATH is broken, no resistance remains, setting the stage for a potential Stage 2 breakout. 🚀 Stock gapped up on Jan 9, 2025, with volumes 7x-8x higher than previous sessions—a potential breakaway gap. 🔑 Trading above key DMAs, showing resilience in a falling market. ⚠️ Risks to Watch: Nifty 50 & Overall Market: The structure remains Lower-High, Lower-Low (LL-LH). Any bounce could be just a natural pullback within this structure. If Nifty or the broader market falls further, the probability of failure increases significantly. Until Nifty & broader market close above 200 DMA & 50 DMA, and change the structure to HH-HL, the risks are amplified. Probability: 2 out of 3 trades may fail in such conditions. 💡 Pro Tip: Trade small quantities unless you’re skilled at managing risk. Missing a rally is better than burning your capital. 📜 Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell securities. Please consult with a certified financial advisor and consider your risk tolerance before making any trading or investment decisions. 🔍 Final Thoughts: 📊 This trade aligns with the potential for a major breakout, but it’s crucial to manage risk and position sizing carefully. Make decisions based on your risk appetite and always do your due diligence.
NSE:SRFLong
by sagartharayil
RGL Global Ltd. Base Breakout!Analysis of Renaissance Global Ltd (RGL) Technical Overview: Base Breakout: Immediate resistance at ₹217.62. Safe Traders: Wait for the ₹217–₹218 level to break with high volume and a strong Wide Range Candle (WRC) for confirmation. Entry Level: ₹205.77. Stop Loss (SL): ₹179.27 (12.88%). Target 1 (T1): ₹251.60 (+22.28%). Target 2 (T2): ₹297.10 (+44.45%). Risk-Reward (R:R): 1:1.73 for T1, 1:3.45 for T2. Technical Highlights: Volume: Significant increase, indicating accumulation. RSI: Gaining strength, showing bullish momentum. Fundamental Overview: Market Cap: ₹1939 crore. P/E Ratio: 26.2 (compare with sector P/E for evaluation). ROCE: 8.25%, reflecting mediocre efficiency. Fundamentals aren't highly attractive but technicals suggest good potential. Key Risks: Sector Comparison: Evaluate P/E and ROCE against industry peers. Breakout Strength: Ensure price sustains above ₹217–₹218 with robust volume for safer entry. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trade based on your risk tolerance.
NSE:RGLLong
by sagartharayil
Aegis Trying to breakout of a long consolidation. Observations: 1⃣Trying to break out of consolidation/DarvasBox. 2⃣Closed Right below previous ATH/Resistance. 3⃣Huge Volume 5⃣Inverse Head &Shoulders on DTF. 6⃣Dry Volume During Consolidation/Pullback. 1⃣Action Plan: ➡️Entry Strategy: Enter on a retest of ₹969.5 in case of a gap-up opening or Enter Above 1017.25 with 50% qty and wait for a retest. 2⃣Risk Management: Place a stop loss at ₹843(Day Closing Basis). ➡️Use trailing stops to lock in profits as targets are reached. ➡️Volume Confirmation: Monitor for sustained volume above average to ensure the breakout is genuine. ➡️The confluence of the Inverse Head and Shoulders and Darvas Box breakout significantly strengthens the bullish case. Market is very weak. So exercise extreme caution and manage the risk.
NSE:AEGISLOGLong
by sagartharayil
2
Jash Enginering. Watch for a Base Breakout!Stock: Jash Engineering Ltd. Chart Pattern: Breakout from a consolidation range. Key Levels:Entry: ₹655.5 Stop Loss (SL): ₹545.10 Expected T1: 777 Observations: - Strong bullish momentum with a 10.23% move today. -Price consolidating and forming a base -Above key moving averages. -Resilient in Bearish Market -Volume spike indicates strong buying interest. -Strong RSI -Stock is in an Uptrend. -Takes Support at 50 and 200 DMA on each pull back. Risk-Reward: Favorable setup for swing traders. ⚠️Overall Market is Bearish. We are trading against the trend. Risk Management is important. If your Risk Management is poor then please do not trade. Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only, not financial advice.
NSE:JASHLong
by sagartharayil
1
C2C. Trading in a BOX. Potential Stage 2 candidate.C2C Advanced System. A recently listed IPO, broke out of IPO high and after a continuous bull run now consolidating and forming a base. Watch for base breakout. It looks good positionally. 🟢Entry: 926.5( Preferably wait for a day close) Enter with 30% and wait for a retest. 🟢SL 779(Day Closing Basis) 🟢Target: 1146+ 🟢RR: 1:1.5 ⚠️ The broader market is bearish. The probability of breakouts failing will increase. If you are a beginner do not trade, or trade very lightly. Position sizing is really important.
NSE:C2CLong
by sagartharayil
Shaktipump. Breakout and Retest done. Watch for follow through.Breakout Alert: Price breaking out of a long consolidation range and retested.. Current Price: ₹1015.45, showing strong momentum. SL at ₹828.10. Moving Averages: 30 SMA at ₹836.48 (acting as dynamic support). 200 SMA far below, indicating a long-term bullish trend. Volume Surge: Bullish breakout confirmed with higher volumes. Trend Outlook: Potential upside as breakout gains strength; watch for follow-through and plan the trade. The market is still weak so be cautious and position size accordingly.
NSE:SHAKTIPUMPLong
by sagartharayil
ITI Technically looks Good. Potential stage 2 Underway.📈 Stock Analysis: Indian Telephone Industries Limited (ITI) - Daily Chart 📊 🟪Setup Overview: ➡️Entry Zone: ₹408.65 ➡️Current Price: ₹379.20 ➡️Stop Loss: ₹323.70 (Closing Basis)-Deep SL. Manage risk and position size properly. ➡️Target 1: ₹501.20 ➡️Probable Long-Term Target: ₹718.85 🟪Key Observations: ➡️Volume Spurt: Recent bullish candles are accompanied by notable volume spikes, indicating accumulation and strong buying interest. ➡️Range Breakout in Progress: The stock has been consolidating in a tight range for several months and is now showing signs of breaking out above the upper boundary. ➡️Technical Strength: The breakout aligns with a well-defined risk-reward setup. Higher volume near resistance increases the probability of a sustained move. ➡️Risk-Reward Ratio: With the stop-loss defined at ₹323.70 (closing basis), this setup offers a favorable risk reward for positional traders. ➡️Sectoral Support: ITI is part of a growing sector with robust demand potential, which adds a fundamental tailwind to this technical setup. 🟪Strategy: A decisive close above the Entry Zone (₹408.65) could trigger the next upward leg toward Target 1 (₹501.20). Long-term investors can look for a potential rally toward ₹718.85 if the trend sustains. Maintain strict discipline with the stop-loss to manage risk effectively. ⚠️Fundamentally very weak. ⚠️Still we are in a sell-on-rise market. ⚠️High Chances of breakouts failing. Once again reiterating the importance of risk management. 📢 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please do your own research before making any trading or investment decisions. 🙌
NSE:ITILong
by sagartharayil
ESTER. VCP Pattern, Wait for a breakout.Key Levels: Entry Level: ₹178.72 (Breakout level above the resistance). Stop Loss (SL): ₹147.80 (Below the consolidation zone's support, ensuring risk management). Target 1: ₹215 Target 2: 243 Strategy: Entry Confirmation: Wait for a daily close above ₹178.72 with strong volume to confirm the breakout. Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable, as the potential upside to ₹215 outweighs the downside risk to ₹147.80. Volume: Increasing volume during the breakout will strengthen the bullish signal.
NSE:ESTERLong
by sagartharayil
Zydus forming a base after a fall. Offers Good RR.Key Levels: Support Zone:₹915.75 is the critical support level, below which the trend could turn bearish. Entry Level:₹1,012.65 is the suggested entry point, marking a potential breakout above the consolidation zone. Targets:T1: ₹1,091.95 (short-term target). T2: ₹1,159.65 (medium-term target). T3: ₹1,323.20 (long-term target). entry-level The stock has been in a consolidation phase (rectangle area) and is now attempting a breakout. Sustaining above the entry level with volume will confirm the bullish trend. Moving averages indicate that the stock is approaching a recovery phase but needs to hold above key levels. Risk Management: Stop Loss: Place below ₹915.75 to manage downside risk in case of a false breakout. Next Steps: Wait for confirmation of a breakout above ₹1,012.65 with volume. Monitor price action near ₹1,091.95 (T1) to decide on partial profit booking or trailing the stop loss. Watch for the overall market trend before entering. Chart shared only for educational purposes only. #Zydus #StocksToBuy
NSE:ZYDUSLIFELong
by sagartharayil
Infosys Ltd. Watch for Darvas Box Breakout. 📉 Current Price Action: Infosys is consolidating within a Darvas Box pattern, trading close to a 3-year-old resistance zone near ₹1,953.7. The stock is forming a base after a pullback, suggesting potential for a breakout. 📈 Trade Setup: Entry: ₹2,002.1 (above the resistance zone) Stop-Loss (SL): ₹1,707.6 (on a closing basis) Target: ₹2,335.8 (medium-term potential) 🚩 Key Observations: The stock is holding above its Key DMAs, indicating near-term strength. Consolidation near a key resistance signals a build-up for a breakout, but volumes need to support the move. If the breakout fails, watch for price action near the lower support zone (₹1,707) for signs of reversal. ⚠️ Caution: Wait for a confirmation candle with good volume before entering. Avoid premature entries as the stock could continue consolidating within the current range. Nifty IT Sector Context: Nifty IT is showing signs of base formation after a significant pullback. A sectoral breakout above 44,317 could drive momentum across IT stocks, including Infosys. 💡Follow the price action and adjust your strategy based on market cues. A clean breakout could lead to strong upward momentum.
NSE:INFYLong
by sagartharayil
Consolidation Breakout with a Pullback . Watch for Reversal!📊 Stock: KFin Technologies Ltd. 📅 Timeframe: Daily Chart 🚀 Consolidation Breakout with a Pullback The stock recently broke out of a consolidation box and is now experiencing a pullback. A potential bullish reversal could be on the cards! 🔑 Key Levels to Watch: 1️⃣ Resistance Zone: ₹1,450-1,500 (Key hurdle to clear) 2️⃣ Support Zone: ₹1,300-1,350, 1200 (Demand zone from the breakout box) 3️⃣ Potential Targets: 🎯 Short-Term: ₹1,600 🎯 Medium-Term: ₹1,750+ 🌟 Why This Pullback is Interesting: ✅ Volume Insights: The breakout was accompanied by strong volume, reflecting buyer interest. ✅ Trend Continuation: The stock is above the 50-day (green) and 200-day (yellow) moving averages, affirming a strong uptrend. ✅ Healthy Pullback: Retesting the breakout zone signals a potential base for long-term growth. 🛡️ Risk-Reward: A reversal near ₹1,350-1200 offers a low-risk entry with significant upside potential. Watch for volume spikes as confirmation. 📝 Trading Plan: 🔹 Wait for Reversal: ₹1,350-1300-1200. Wait for a confirmation before entering. Or add in parts in these levels. 🔹 Stop-Loss (SL): ₹1,150 (strict) 🔹 Targets: Short-Term: ₹1,600 Medium-Term: ₹1,750+ Exercise extreme caution trading these markets. There is a high chance of long setups failing. New traders trade light or stay on the sidelines and watch. Please protect your capital at any cost. 📌 Tip: Pullbacks to breakout zones often offer excellent risk-reward setups. Look for bullish reversal candles to confirm the bounce.
NSE:KFINTECHLong
by sagartharayil
ABDL: Bullish Setup Post-BreakoutABDL: Bullish Setup Post-Breakout 🔥📈 ✅ Breakout Alert: Price broke out of a long consolidation range, signalling strong momentum. ✅ Retest Success: Retested the breakout zone (~₹373), confirming it as support. ✅ Bullish Pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders confirmed, adding to the bullish outlook. ✅ Volume Pickup: Rising volume aligns with price action, indicating strong buying interest. ✅ Above Moving Averages: Price holds above key 50 & 200 DMAs, reinforcing the uptrend. 🎯 Key Levels: Entry Zone: ₹395-396(Safe Players wait for a day close) Target: ₹471-480 (Medium Term) Stop Loss: ₹359 (Closing Basis) 💡 Risk/Reward: Risk: ~9% Reward: 38%-50% 📌 Note: This setup is for educational purposes only. Please do your due diligence before trading.
NSE:ABDLLong
by sagartharayil
Emmbi Industries Ltd Technically checks many boxes.Emmbi Industries Ltd. 📅 Timeframe: Daily Chart Technical Observations 1. Cup and Handle Breakout: 2. Inverse H&S 3. Base Breakout The stock has formed a classic Cup and Handle and an inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, which is a bullish continuation setup. 3. Three White Soldiers: Post-breakout, the stock formed Three White Soldiers (three consecutive bullish candles), a strong bullish indicator. Fundamental Snapshot 💼 Market Cap: ₹300 Crores (Small Cap). 📊 Current Price: ₹169. 📈 High/Low: ₹172 / ₹87.6 (52-week range). 📚 Book Value: ₹104 (Price to Book Ratio: ~1.63). 📉 PE Ratio: 29.6 (relatively higher compared to industry standards). 💸 Dividend Yield: 0.18% (low yield). 📊 ROCE: 8.43% (moderate efficiency). 📈 ROE: 6.03% (average return for shareholders). Key Levels to Watch -Entry Point: ₹172 or wait for multiyear Breakout level 175. -Stop Loss (SL): ₹129.73 (Below the handle and consolidation support). 🎯 Targets: All-Time High (ATH): ₹262.45 (Medium-to-long-term target). Strengths of the Setup ✅ Volume Confirmation: Breakout backed by rising volumes, indicating strong market interest. ✅ Trend Alignment: Stock is trading well above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, supporting the bullish trend. ✅ Healthy Consolidation: The long consolidation before the breakout reduces the chance of a false move. Risks and Considerations ⚠️Microcap Company. ⚠️ Valuation Concerns: PE ratio (29.6) is on the higher side, indicating the stock might be overvalued compared to peers. ⚠️ Dividend Yield: At 0.18%, the dividend yield is minimal, which may not attract dividend-seeking investors. ⚠️ Broader market conditions (e.g., Nifty 50, Nifty 500) should support bullish sentiment 📉. Trading Plan 📌 Buy Above: ₹172.0 or wait for breakout of 175 📌 Stop Loss (SL): ₹129.73 (Strictly on closing basis) 📌 Targets: Medium-Term: ₹262.45 🎯 📊 Watch for a pullback retest of ₹159.00 with rising volumes. It can be an excellent re-entry or adding opportunity. Do not forget to position size since the SL is extremely Deep. Risk management is the key here. Market conditions are bad and unpredictable. Please excuse Ttypos if any.
NSE:EMMBILong
by sagartharayil
Rudrabhishek Enterp Ltd (REPL) Breakout with Huge Volume⚠️Risky Bet. 1. Early Entry above 264. SL 215. A retest of 240 levels is possible. Any signs of retest and reversal are an entry opportunity. Retest Level. 240 Or 2. Wait for a fresh breakout above 282 for an entry. SL Below the breakout candle. These are my views and my way of doing things. Please do your due diligence and research. Do not jump into a trade with a huge allocation based on Tips. Reasons to go Long: ✅Huge Volume 4x volume compared to previous sessions. ✅Wide Range clean candle ✅Broke out of Darvas Box ✅Trading right below a 3-year-old resistance. Hence the early entry. ✅Technically Good. ❗️Microcap/Small cap company. ❗️Fundamentally Weak.
NSE:REPLLong
by sagartharayil
DCM Limited Exhibiting good Price Action. Risky proposition. Microcap company. Exhibiting good Pricie Action. -Rounding Bottom. -Darvas Box Breakout -Breakout with Huge Volume. -Wide Range Clean candle without any wick -Dry volume when pulling back. -Break Away Gap. We talked about the positives now let's dwell on the negatives. -Ideal entry missed. -micro-cap company which increases the risk One can trade it in 2 ways. 1. Wait for a retest of 113 levels. Add 30%-50% now and add the rest after retesting. 2. Wait for a breakout of 146, which is the ATH. Keep SL low of the break-out candle. Selecting this stock mainly for -The volume -Good clean candles. -Break away Gap I have laid out the possibility. Now it is time for you to do your due diligence. Remember this is a risky trade. Do not trade solely on tips. Enter only if you understand the Risk, the price action and the company. Peace...
NSE:DCMLong
by sagartharayil