GODREJAGRO – Base Breakout Attempt | Sector Tailwind📈 GODREJ AGROVET (GODREJAGRO) – Base Breakout Attempt | Sector Tailwind
🔍 Technical Overview:
Attempting a breakout from a broad base structure.
Entry: Above ₹814 only if accompanied by strong volume.
Current volume is picking up, but a decisive spike is still awaited for confirmation.
A VCP (Volatility Contraction Pattern) was forming earlier, but recent market volatility disturbed the structure — hence, wait for a clean breakout.
📊 Price Levels:
📍 Entry Trigger: ₹814+
📍 Stop Loss: ₹734.50 (around 10% risk, on closing basis)
📍 First Resistance / Target: ₹879.50 (previous ATH)
🎯 Strategy:
Position Sizing is crucial. Risk 1–1.5% of your capital depending on your style.
Gradual buying is advised. Avoid full allocation on a single entry.
Add on strength if price crosses ₹879.50 cleanly with strong volume.
🌾 Sector Outlook:
Agro / Fertilizer / Agrochem sectors are showing early strength amid broader market uncertainty.
Tailwinds include food security, rural demand, and government focus on the agri sector.
🌐 Macro View:
2025 remains highly unstable globally (geopolitical tensions, macro uncertainty).
Shakeouts and pullbacks are common — hence, disciplined risk management is imperative.
"In unstable markets, discipline is your best edge. Protect your capital, let opportunities come to you."
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not a recommendation to buy or sell. Always do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing. Manage your risk as per your trading style.
Darvasbox
Welspun Corp Ltd - Breakout Trade Setup📌 Trade Plan
📈 Entry: Above ₹892
📉 Stop Loss (SL): ₹758 (Closing Basis) (Risk: ~15% from entry)
🔄 Retest Level to Watch: ₹844 (Wait for a retest for further addition)
📍 CMP: ₹872
📌 Why This Setup is Interesting?
✅ Strong Uptrend – Higher High (HH) & Higher Low (HL) structure intact
✅ Resilient Stock – Minimal decline during market corrections
✅ Base Breakout – Consolidated for 7 months, now breaking out
✅ No Overhead Resistance – Trading in open space with no historical supply
✅ Above Key DMAs – Trading above critical moving averages
✅ Channel Structure – Stock is inside a rising channel; 📌 Channel top might act as resistance
✅ Breakout Volume – Today’s volume confirms strength
📌 Market Context & Risks ⚠️
⚠️ Nifty & Overall Market just closed above the 50 DMA but is still weak. Wait for 200 DMA reclaim for confirmation.
⚠️ Breakouts are risky in a fragile market. FOMO can be costly—trade with patience.
⚠️ Position Sizing is Key! – Do not go all in; start small and scale gradually. If the market corrects and the stock remains strong, add later.
📌 Fundamental Snapshot 📊
Market Cap: ₹22,865 Cr
Stock P/E: 15.4
Book Value: ₹230
Dividend Yield: 0.61%
ROCE: 20.2%
ROE: 19.8%
Face Value: ₹5
📈 Pros:
✔️ Reduced Debt
✔️ Healthy Dividend Payout (34.9%)
✔️ Improving Sales YoY
⚠️ Cons:
❌ Stock trades at 3.51x Book Value
❌ Low ROE (11.5%) over the last 3 years
❌ Earnings include ₹873 Cr of other income
🛑 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Risk management is crucial – ensure proper position sizing & stop-loss discipline. The market is still fragile, and breakouts can fail. Always do your own research before taking any trade. 🚀
Narayana Hrudayalaya Ltd - Trade Setup📊 Trade Plan:
Ideal Entry: ₹1,455 (Breakout level)
Current Entry: Small position above ₹1,701, wait for a possible retest to ₹1,455
Stop Loss: ₹1,290 (Closing basis)
Risk Percentage (From ₹1,701 to ₹1,290): 24.15%
Target: To be assessed post-retest confirmation
📈 Why This Stock?
✅ Strong Volume Spike: Recent breakout was supported by 4x-5x volume surge
✅ Broke Out of Consolidation: Now sustaining above previous range
✅ Resilient to Market Correction: Held strong despite broader weakness
✅ Trading Above Key DMAs: Indicates bullish structure
✅ Trading Inside a Strong Uptrend Channel: Stock has been respecting the trendline consistently
✅ RSI in Healthy Zone: Indicating potential room for further upside
✅ Clear Higher Highs & Higher Lows: Confirms the bullish momentum
📊 Key Fundamentals:
Market Cap: ₹33,616 Cr
Current Price: ₹1,645
52-Week High/Low: ₹1,692 / ₹1,080
Stock P/E: 42.9 (Relatively Low vs Sector Peers)
Book Value: ₹157
Dividend Yield: 0.24%
ROCE: 26.5% (Strong Capital Efficiency)
ROE: 31.4% (Healthy Profitability)
⚠️ Risks Involved:
❌ Deep Stop Loss (24.15%) – Requires high conviction, not suitable for short-term traders
❌ Potential Retest of ₹1,455 – Need to watch for confirmation before aggressive entry
❌ Sector Sensitivity: Hospitals & healthcare stocks can be affected by regulatory changes
🚨 Disclaimer:
⚠️ This is not financial advice. The trade involves high risk (24.15% SL) and we are trading against the broader trend. Ensure you do your own analysis and manage risk appropriately before taking any position. Trade cautiously! 🚀
India Shelter Finance (NSE:INDIASHLTR) - Early Breakout Alert📌 Trade Setup:
Entry: Above ₹811 (Preferably wait for a daily close above this level).
Stop Loss: ₹699 (Closing basis).
Target: ₹1,050+ (Positional).
Risk-Reward Ratio (R:R): ~2.0+ (Depending on entry confirmation).
📊 Technical Overview:
✅ The stock has been consolidating in a base and is attempting a breakout today.
✅ The candle structure looks strong and wide, indicating momentum.
✅ RSI is in a good zone, signaling strength.
✅ Trading above 200 DMA and 50 DMA, indicating bullish structure.
✅ The finance sector is showing early signs of recovery.
💡 Volume is key! While there's a slight improvement, we need stronger volume confirmation for conviction.
📈 Key Fundamentals:
Metric Value
Market Cap ₹8,770 Cr.
Current Price ₹813
Stock P/E 25.3
Book Value ₹231
Dividend Yield 0.00%
ROCE (Return on Capital Employed) 12.2%
ROE (Return on Equity) 14.0%
Face Value ₹5.00
💡 Fundamental View: The stock is trading at a P/E of 25.3, which is reasonable for a growing financial company. ROE of 14% and ROCE of 12.2% indicate decent profitability. No dividend yield as the company is focused on growth.
⚠️ Risk Considerations:
🚨 This is a counter-trend trade! The broader market is still uncertain, so we are taking a test position, NOT an aggressive bet.
🚨 This is NOT a guaranteed move up. The trade idea is to alert about a potential mover once the dust settles.
🚨 Risk management is crucial. Do NOT go all-in, thinking the market has found a bottom. Another round of fall is still possible.
📌 Trade Plan:
Buy in small quantities above ₹811 and wait for follow-through confirmation or a potential retest.
If the breakout sustains, consider adding more positions gradually.
If the stock closes below ₹699, exit.
📌 Do your due diligence! This is an early-stage breakout attempt, and risk-reward should be managed carefully. 🚦
📢 Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and NOT financial advice. Stock markets are subject to risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making any investment decisions. 🚨
Nicholas Darvas: The Dancer Who Became a Trading Legend!Hello Traders! Imagine going from being a professional dancer to one of the most successful traders of all time! That’s the story of Nicholas Darvas , a self-taught trader who turned $25,000 into $2.25 million in just a few years using his famous Darvas Box Trading Strategy . His journey proves that you don’t need to be a Wall Street expert to make it big in trading! Let’s dive into his trading principles and strategy.
1. Who Was Nicholas Darvas?
Darvas was a professional dancer who stumbled into the stock market while touring the world.
He developed a technical approach to trading , known as the Darvas Box Theory , which helped him ride strong trends and avoid noise.
Without any insider knowledge, he used chart patterns, price momentum, and volume breakouts to make millions in the market.
2. Darvas’ Key Trading Principles
Follow the Trend: Darvas only bought stocks in strong uptrends. He believed in riding momentum rather than predicting reversals.
Ignore Market Noise: He didn’t listen to news, tips, or opinions —only price action and volume mattered to him.
Let Winners Run, Cut Losers Quickly: He never sold his winning stocks early and immediately exited losing trades without hesitation.
Use Stop-Losses & Protect Capital: Darvas always set stop-losses below key levels to avoid deep losses.
Only Trade High-Volume Stocks: He focused on stocks that showed strong volume spikes, as these indicated institutional interest.
3. The Darvas Box Trading Strategy
Identify a Stock in a Strong Uptrend: Darvas looked for stocks that were consistently making new highs with rising volume.
Draw a "Box": He identified support and resistance levels , creating a box around price action.
Buy on Breakout: He entered only when price broke above the box’s resistance level, signaling a continuation of the uptrend.
Set a Stop-Loss: His stop-loss was placed just below the support level of the box.
Sell When the Trend Weakens: If price broke below the lower boundary of the box, he exited immediately.
4. What Traders Can Learn from Darvas
Price Action is King: You don’t need complex indicators— price and volume are enough.
Stick to Strong Stocks: Focus on high-momentum stocks rather than chasing random trades.
Discipline Beats Emotion: Trade with a clear system , don’t rely on market opinions.
Have a Risk Management Plan: Always use stop-losses and protect your capital.
Trend Trading Works: The best profits come from riding big trends—not predicting tops and bottoms.
Conclusion
Nicholas Darvas’ journey from a dancer to a millionaire trader proves that anyone can succeed in the stock market with the right strategy, discipline, and risk management. His box trading strategy is still used by traders today, helping them ride trends and maximize profits while minimizing risk.
Have you tried the Darvas Box strategy? Let’s discuss in the comments!
Kamat Hotels - Bullish Breakout with Massive VolumeKamat Hotels - Bullish Breakout with Massive Volume 🚀
📊 Timeframe: Daily
Trade Setup
🔹 Entry Level: ₹273.20
🔹 Stop Loss (SL): ₹226.11 (~17.23% below entry)
🔹 Target Levels:
T1 (Pivot High of April 2024): ₹315.45 (+15.46%) 🟢
T2 (Positional Target - ATH): ₹374.00 (+36.93%) 🏆
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (R:R):
R:R for T1: 0.89
R:R for T2: 2.14
Technical Highlights
🔥 Volume Spike:
Breakout supported by 4-5x higher volumes than recent sessions. Volume is the key reason for this suggestion.
📈 Price Journey:
The stock started its upward journey in March 2020, slowly rising while trading inside a channel.
Made a peak (ATH) in January 2024, followed by a sharp fall.
After the fall, the stock formed a base and consolidated, leading to the current breakout.
📈 Resistance Levels:
Immediate Resistance: ₹292.45 (Pivot High from May 2024 – 8 months ago).
Target 1: ₹315.45 (April 2024 Pivot High).
🌟 Candle Analysis:
Strong, clean candle with no upper shadow, showing bullish strength.
📊 Trend Consideration:
While technically bullish, keep in mind this is against the broader trend, which increases the risk of failure.
💡 Pyramiding Opportunity:
Consider adding positions gradually (pyramiding) on follow-through price action.
Fundamental Perspective
⚠️ Fundamentals: Nothing extraordinary here; this is purely a technical trade driven by a volume-backed breakout.
Actionable Advice & Risks
🔍 Wait and Watch:
Look for follow-through price action before committing significant capital.
⚡ Sharp Retracement Risk:
Breakouts can often retrace sharply, especially against the trend. Consider adding only small quantities or trade according to your risk appetite.
❗ Trend Risk:
2 out of 3 trades fail if the market sentiment turns bearish, so trade cautiously when going against the prevailing trend.
Disclaimer
This idea is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Please consult your financial advisor and trade according to your risk tolerance.
Summary:
The stock shows a technically strong breakout, supported by massive volume, and has been gradually rising since March 2020, trading inside a channel. It made an ATH in January 2024, followed by a sharp fall, formed a base, and consolidated before breaking out. Immediate resistance lies at ₹292.45, followed by T1 at ₹315.45, and positional traders can aim for the ATH of ₹374. While fundamentals are not strong, the volume-backed breakout and clean price action make this a compelling technical setup. Be cautious of retracements and manage your risk effectively.
Asso Alcohol-Darvas box breakout and Retest done.
✅Stock is in an uptrend
✅Broke out of a base and retested
✅Trading above Key DMAs
✅consolidating right above the base forming base on
base with narrow-range candles
Keep this in your sight and find long opportunity.
CMP: 1128.75
Entry: 1132
SL: 935(Closing Basis)
Risk: 17.3%
Reward: 20.7%
The view shared is for educational purposes. Please do your due diligence.
Genesys Trying to breakout from ConsolidationStock: Genesys Intl Corp Ltd (GENESYS)
Entry: ₹1,055.35 (after a closing above this level for confirmation)
Stop Loss: ₹919.70 (on a closing basis)
Target: ₹1,230.85
Setup Overview:
Pattern: Trying to Breakout from a consolidation zone.
Volume: Moderate, confirming a breakout attempt, but needs more conviction.
Key Levels:
Entry after a confirmed close above ₹1,055.35 for safe traders.
Target: ₹1,230.85
Risk Considerations:
Trading against the broader trend; breakout setups in such cases have a higher failure probability.
Manage risk with appropriate position sizing.
Trade light to mitigate potential losses.
Mahanagar Gas Limited: A Breakout OpportunityThe stock is in a solid consolidation phase, forming a bullish pattern of higher highs and higher lows. Patience is key, so I'm playing it smart by waiting for a decisive breakout above ₹1339 on a closed candle. Once confirmed, I'll buy above that high for a strong entry point.
📊 Technical Insight:
RSI is showing strength, hinting at momentum building up. Fingers crossed that we get a smooth breakout without an overly sharp spike!
💼 Fundamentals Check:
With robust financials and a leading position in the gas distribution sector, Mahanagar Gas is a powerhouse in the energy space. Strong market fundamentals and positive technical signals make it one to watch closely!
Let’s see if this one fuels up for a big move!
SRF Update – Trading Near a 3-Year Range Watch for breakout📌 Cheat Entry: ₹2704
📌 Entry: ₹2864 (ATH Level)
📌 Stop Loss: ₹2259.8 (Closing Basis, -16.6%)
📌 Target 1: ₹3386 (+25%, R:R 1:1.5 from Cheat Entry)
📌 Positional Target: ₹3910 (+44.6%, R:R 1:2.7 from Cheat Entry)
💡 How to Trade:
1️⃣ Test Quantities: Add small quantities above the Cheat Entry (₹2704).
2️⃣ Full Entry: Add the rest above the ATH breakout level (₹2864).
3️⃣ Look for a clean breakout with a wide-range candle supported by strong volumes.
⚠️ Position Sizing Tip:
The market remains weak. Trade only 10% of your usual position size.
Example: If you usually buy 100 stocks, buy 3 above Cheat Entry and the rest above ₹2864 (ATH breakout).
✅ Why Trade This Setup:
🏷️ Stock has been in a range since Oct 2021 and is now trading below its ATH.
📈 Once the ATH is broken, no resistance remains, setting the stage for a potential Stage 2 breakout.
🚀 Stock gapped up on Jan 9, 2025, with volumes 7x-8x higher than previous sessions—a potential breakaway gap.
🔑 Trading above key DMAs, showing resilience in a falling market.
⚠️ Risks to Watch:
Nifty 50 & Overall Market: The structure remains Lower-High, Lower-Low (LL-LH). Any bounce could be just a natural pullback within this structure.
If Nifty or the broader market falls further, the probability of failure increases significantly.
Until Nifty & broader market close above 200 DMA & 50 DMA, and change the structure to HH-HL, the risks are amplified.
Probability: 2 out of 3 trades may fail in such conditions.
💡 Pro Tip: Trade small quantities unless you’re skilled at managing risk. Missing a rally is better than burning your capital.
📜 Disclaimer:
This analysis is shared for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell securities. Please consult with a certified financial advisor and consider your risk tolerance before making any trading or investment decisions.
🔍 Final Thoughts:
📊 This trade aligns with the potential for a major breakout, but it’s crucial to manage risk and position sizing carefully. Make decisions based on your risk appetite and always do your due diligence.
RGL Global Ltd. Base Breakout!Analysis of Renaissance Global Ltd (RGL)
Technical Overview:
Base Breakout: Immediate resistance at ₹217.62.
Safe Traders: Wait for the ₹217–₹218 level to break with high volume and a strong Wide Range Candle (WRC) for confirmation.
Entry Level: ₹205.77.
Stop Loss (SL): ₹179.27 (12.88%).
Target 1 (T1): ₹251.60 (+22.28%).
Target 2 (T2): ₹297.10 (+44.45%).
Risk-Reward (R:R): 1:1.73 for T1, 1:3.45 for T2.
Technical Highlights:
Volume: Significant increase, indicating accumulation.
RSI: Gaining strength, showing bullish momentum.
Fundamental Overview:
Market Cap: ₹1939 crore.
P/E Ratio: 26.2 (compare with sector P/E for evaluation).
ROCE: 8.25%, reflecting mediocre efficiency.
Fundamentals aren't highly attractive but technicals suggest good potential.
Key Risks:
Sector Comparison: Evaluate P/E and ROCE against industry peers.
Breakout Strength: Ensure price sustains above ₹217–₹218 with robust volume for safer entry.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trade based on your risk tolerance.
Aegis Trying to breakout of a long consolidation. Observations:
1⃣Trying to break out of consolidation/DarvasBox.
2⃣Closed Right below previous ATH/Resistance.
3⃣Huge Volume
5⃣Inverse Head &Shoulders on DTF.
6⃣Dry Volume During Consolidation/Pullback.
1⃣Action Plan:
➡️Entry Strategy: Enter on a retest of ₹969.5 in case of a gap-up opening or Enter Above 1017.25 with 50% qty and wait for a retest.
2⃣Risk Management: Place a stop loss at ₹843(Day Closing Basis).
➡️Use trailing stops to lock in profits as targets are reached.
➡️Volume Confirmation: Monitor for sustained volume above average to ensure the breakout is genuine.
➡️The confluence of the Inverse Head and Shoulders and Darvas Box breakout significantly strengthens the bullish case.
Market is very weak. So exercise extreme caution and manage the risk.
Jash Enginering. Watch for a Base Breakout!Stock: Jash Engineering Ltd.
Chart Pattern: Breakout from a consolidation range.
Key Levels:Entry: ₹655.5
Stop Loss (SL): ₹545.10
Expected T1: 777
Observations:
- Strong bullish momentum with a 10.23% move today.
-Price consolidating and forming a base
-Above key moving averages.
-Resilient in Bearish Market
-Volume spike indicates strong buying interest.
-Strong RSI
-Stock is in an Uptrend.
-Takes Support at 50 and 200 DMA on each pull back.
Risk-Reward: Favorable setup for swing traders.
⚠️Overall Market is Bearish. We are trading against the trend. Risk Management is important. If your Risk Management is poor then please do not trade.
Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only, not financial advice.
C2C. Trading in a BOX. Potential Stage 2 candidate.C2C Advanced System. A recently listed IPO, broke out of IPO high and after a continuous bull run now consolidating and forming a base. Watch for base breakout. It looks good positionally.
🟢Entry: 926.5( Preferably wait for a day close)
Enter with 30% and wait for a retest.
🟢SL 779(Day Closing Basis)
🟢Target: 1146+
🟢RR: 1:1.5
⚠️ The broader market is bearish. The probability of breakouts failing will increase. If you are a beginner do not trade, or trade very lightly. Position sizing is really important.
Shaktipump. Breakout and Retest done. Watch for follow through.Breakout Alert: Price breaking out of a long consolidation range and retested..
Current Price: ₹1015.45, showing strong momentum.
SL at ₹828.10.
Moving Averages:
30 SMA at ₹836.48 (acting as dynamic support).
200 SMA far below, indicating a long-term bullish trend.
Volume Surge: Bullish breakout confirmed with higher volumes.
Trend Outlook: Potential upside as breakout gains strength; watch for follow-through and plan the trade. The market is still weak so be cautious and position size accordingly.
ITI Technically looks Good. Potential stage 2 Underway.📈 Stock Analysis: Indian Telephone Industries Limited (ITI) - Daily Chart 📊
🟪Setup Overview:
➡️Entry Zone: ₹408.65
➡️Current Price: ₹379.20
➡️Stop Loss: ₹323.70 (Closing Basis)-Deep SL. Manage risk and position size properly.
➡️Target 1: ₹501.20
➡️Probable Long-Term Target: ₹718.85
🟪Key Observations:
➡️Volume Spurt: Recent bullish candles are accompanied by notable volume spikes, indicating accumulation and strong buying interest.
➡️Range Breakout in Progress: The stock has been consolidating in a tight range for several months and is now showing signs of breaking out above the upper boundary.
➡️Technical Strength: The breakout aligns with a well-defined risk-reward setup.
Higher volume near resistance increases the probability of a sustained move.
➡️Risk-Reward Ratio: With the stop-loss defined at ₹323.70 (closing basis), this setup offers a favorable risk reward for positional traders.
➡️Sectoral Support: ITI is part of a growing sector with robust demand potential, which adds a fundamental tailwind to this technical setup.
🟪Strategy:
A decisive close above the Entry Zone (₹408.65) could trigger the next upward leg toward Target 1 (₹501.20).
Long-term investors can look for a potential rally toward ₹718.85 if the trend sustains.
Maintain strict discipline with the stop-loss to manage risk effectively.
⚠️Fundamentally very weak.
⚠️Still we are in a sell-on-rise market.
⚠️High Chances of breakouts failing. Once again reiterating the importance of risk management.
📢 Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please do your own research before making any trading or investment decisions. 🙌
ESTER. VCP Pattern, Wait for a breakout.Key Levels:
Entry Level:
₹178.72 (Breakout level above the resistance).
Stop Loss (SL):
₹147.80 (Below the consolidation zone's support, ensuring risk management).
Target 1:
₹215
Target 2:
243
Strategy:
Entry Confirmation: Wait for a daily close above ₹178.72 with strong volume to confirm the breakout.
Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable, as the potential upside to ₹215 outweighs the downside risk to ₹147.80.
Volume: Increasing volume during the breakout will strengthen the bullish signal.
Zydus forming a base after a fall. Offers Good RR.Key Levels:
Support Zone:₹915.75 is the critical support level, below which the trend could turn bearish.
Entry Level:₹1,012.65 is the suggested entry point, marking a potential breakout above the consolidation zone.
Targets:T1: ₹1,091.95 (short-term target).
T2: ₹1,159.65 (medium-term target).
T3: ₹1,323.20 (long-term target).
entry-level
The stock has been in a consolidation phase (rectangle area) and is now attempting a breakout.
Sustaining above the entry level with volume will confirm the bullish trend.
Moving averages indicate that the stock is approaching a recovery phase but needs to hold above key levels.
Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Place below ₹915.75 to manage downside risk in case of a false breakout.
Next Steps:
Wait for confirmation of a breakout above ₹1,012.65 with volume.
Monitor price action near ₹1,091.95 (T1) to decide on partial profit booking or trailing the stop loss.
Watch for the overall market trend before entering. Chart shared only for educational purposes only.
#Zydus #StocksToBuy
Jubilant Pharma-Consolidation breakout can give good returnsJubilant pharmova has been trading in a big range since last few years.
Stock has managed to close above the resistance and has also retested the breakout.
Stock has potential to fly from this levels.
Keep stock in watchlist. A nifty500 stock and hence can be relatively safer option.
Not a recommendation.
Infosys Ltd. Watch for Darvas Box Breakout.
📉 Current Price Action:
Infosys is consolidating within a Darvas Box pattern, trading close to a 3-year-old resistance zone near ₹1,953.7. The stock is forming a base after a pullback, suggesting potential for a breakout.
📈 Trade Setup:
Entry: ₹2,002.1 (above the resistance zone)
Stop-Loss (SL): ₹1,707.6 (on a closing basis)
Target: ₹2,335.8 (medium-term potential)
🚩 Key Observations:
The stock is holding above its Key DMAs, indicating near-term strength.
Consolidation near a key resistance signals a build-up for a breakout, but volumes need to support the move.
If the breakout fails, watch for price action near the lower support zone (₹1,707) for signs of reversal.
⚠️ Caution:
Wait for a confirmation candle with good volume before entering.
Avoid premature entries as the stock could continue consolidating within the current range.
Nifty IT Sector Context:
Nifty IT is showing signs of base formation after a significant pullback. A sectoral breakout above 44,317 could drive momentum across IT stocks, including Infosys.
💡Follow the price action and adjust your strategy based on market cues. A clean breakout could lead to strong upward momentum.
Consolidation Breakout with a Pullback . Watch for Reversal!📊 Stock: KFin Technologies Ltd.
📅 Timeframe: Daily Chart
🚀 Consolidation Breakout with a Pullback
The stock recently broke out of a consolidation box and is now experiencing a pullback. A potential bullish reversal could be on the cards!
🔑 Key Levels to Watch:
1️⃣ Resistance Zone: ₹1,450-1,500 (Key hurdle to clear)
2️⃣ Support Zone: ₹1,300-1,350, 1200 (Demand zone from the breakout box)
3️⃣ Potential Targets:
🎯 Short-Term: ₹1,600
🎯 Medium-Term: ₹1,750+
🌟 Why This Pullback is Interesting:
✅ Volume Insights: The breakout was accompanied by strong volume, reflecting buyer interest.
✅ Trend Continuation: The stock is above the 50-day (green) and 200-day (yellow) moving averages, affirming a strong uptrend.
✅ Healthy Pullback: Retesting the breakout zone signals a potential base for long-term growth.
🛡️ Risk-Reward:
A reversal near ₹1,350-1200 offers a low-risk entry with significant upside potential. Watch for volume spikes as confirmation.
📝 Trading Plan:
🔹 Wait for Reversal: ₹1,350-1300-1200. Wait for a confirmation before entering. Or add in parts in these levels.
🔹 Stop-Loss (SL): ₹1,150 (strict)
🔹 Targets:
Short-Term: ₹1,600
Medium-Term: ₹1,750+
Exercise extreme caution trading these markets. There is a high chance of long setups failing. New traders trade light or stay on the sidelines and watch. Please protect your capital at any cost.
📌 Tip:
Pullbacks to breakout zones often offer excellent risk-reward setups. Look for bullish reversal candles to confirm the bounce.
ABDL: Bullish Setup Post-BreakoutABDL: Bullish Setup Post-Breakout 🔥📈
✅ Breakout Alert: Price broke out of a long consolidation range, signalling strong momentum.
✅ Retest Success: Retested the breakout zone (~₹373), confirming it as support.
✅ Bullish Pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders confirmed, adding to the bullish outlook.
✅ Volume Pickup: Rising volume aligns with price action, indicating strong buying interest.
✅ Above Moving Averages: Price holds above key 50 & 200 DMAs, reinforcing the uptrend.
🎯 Key Levels:
Entry Zone: ₹395-396(Safe Players wait for a day close)
Target: ₹471-480 (Medium Term)
Stop Loss: ₹359 (Closing Basis)
💡 Risk/Reward:
Risk: ~9%
Reward: 38%-50%
📌 Note: This setup is for educational purposes only. Please do your due diligence before trading.
Emmbi Industries Ltd Technically checks many boxes.Emmbi Industries Ltd.
📅 Timeframe: Daily Chart
Technical Observations
1. Cup and Handle Breakout:
2. Inverse H&S
3. Base Breakout
The stock has formed a classic Cup and Handle and an inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, which is a bullish continuation setup.
3. Three White Soldiers:
Post-breakout, the stock formed Three White Soldiers (three consecutive bullish candles), a strong bullish indicator.
Fundamental Snapshot
💼 Market Cap: ₹300 Crores (Small Cap).
📊 Current Price: ₹169.
📈 High/Low: ₹172 / ₹87.6 (52-week range).
📚 Book Value: ₹104 (Price to Book Ratio: ~1.63).
📉 PE Ratio: 29.6 (relatively higher compared to industry standards).
💸 Dividend Yield: 0.18% (low yield).
📊 ROCE: 8.43% (moderate efficiency).
📈 ROE: 6.03% (average return for shareholders).
Key Levels to Watch
-Entry Point: ₹172 or wait for multiyear Breakout level
175.
-Stop Loss (SL): ₹129.73 (Below the handle and
consolidation support).
🎯 Targets:
All-Time High (ATH): ₹262.45 (Medium-to-long-term target).
Strengths of the Setup
✅ Volume Confirmation:
Breakout backed by rising volumes, indicating strong market interest.
✅ Trend Alignment:
Stock is trading well above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, supporting the bullish trend.
✅ Healthy Consolidation:
The long consolidation before the breakout reduces the chance of a false move.
Risks and Considerations
⚠️Microcap Company.
⚠️ Valuation Concerns:
PE ratio (29.6) is on the higher side, indicating the stock might be overvalued compared to peers.
⚠️ Dividend Yield:
At 0.18%, the dividend yield is minimal, which may not attract dividend-seeking investors.
⚠️ Broader market conditions (e.g., Nifty 50, Nifty 500) should support bullish sentiment 📉.
Trading Plan
📌 Buy Above: ₹172.0 or wait for breakout of 175
📌 Stop Loss (SL): ₹129.73 (Strictly on closing basis)
📌 Targets:
Medium-Term: ₹262.45 🎯
📊 Watch for a pullback retest of ₹159.00 with rising volumes. It can be an excellent re-entry or adding opportunity.
Do not forget to position size since the SL is extremely Deep. Risk management is the key here. Market conditions are bad and unpredictable. Please excuse Ttypos if any.