Real Jackpot - SME IPOAfter trying to see what works for me and what not, trying various intraday, swing etc on different stocks and derivatives (and still unclear what's going to work for me), I stumbled upon the IPOs, specifically the SME IPOs.
Just look at the listing of these SME IPOs..... what a staggering gains they give on listing. SEBI had to actually come up with a restriction of 90% listing for these SME IPOs.
Only if there were some kind of sure shot way to get an allotment....
Daytrading
Day 37: Day Trading JournalDay 37: After a gap of about 15 days during which I was not trading, and trying to figure out if I can find a better algo strategy or trying to find out if manual trading is better. Since the algo that I had deployed was doing good in paper trade but real trade is a way different battle since the market gives you the worst of price at both times - entry and exit, it resulted in a breakeven after a month, now I decided to focus on my manual trading instead.
I realised that when trading manually, decision making is very complex and cannot be fit in a simple algorithm even when I am looking at just one indicator. The brain actually analyses many different things without even we realising. Most of the time, brain picks up correct entry signals. I tested out my strategy by paper trading and backtesting on different stocks than which I normally follow and I found that the strategy is good and I do good and I am profitable in that. The issue however arises when real money is involved as the most difficult part to master i.e. our emotions, are not involved in backtesting or paper trading. We need to trade live only for that and build that mindset. Nothing else can prepare me for that, so its all real trade for me now, very small positions but rigorously testing the same strategy on different stocks untill I have mastered the emotions.
Day 36: Day Trading JournalDay 36 : Today, I put a halt on algo trading as well as day trading. After algo day trading for @14 days, I realised that I was not making profit, whatever profit had accrued was taken away by market. So I went back to my algo backtesting and stress tested it for worst case conditions and that actually came very close to my real time trading. Then I realised that day trading is not gonna make money.
So I have decided to stop day trading and figure out a way to trade swing, now to see whether to follow the hourly chart or the daily chart and if any rule can be applied to it. For the next few days I will focus on trying to find that, meanwhile any trade I do manually will be a swing (holding overnight) to see how it goes.
Day 35 of Live algo Day Trading JournalDay 35: Not much movement today. Remained negative during the day.
I am increasingly getting this feeling that intraday is not worth pursuing. The time market is open is very less, the first half hour or the full hour goes just in trying to figure out where the market wants to go and by the time you think what you'd like to do, it stalls and gets into a range. By the time it ends, the market timings are over and everybody wants to pack up. Where is the time to chase any strategy, where is the time for any strategy to develop.
I think I will try looking for a swing trading strategy and see if that is profitable or not.
Progress/Setback : Nothing much on both counts, will have to explore more.
Day 34 of Live Algo Day Trading JournalDay 34: What a bad day it has turned out to be. Market gyrations has given me losses for all the trades taken. The algo was correct, the logic captured the direction of the market, however the intraday pullback of the market was beyond its normal limits (or as per the set calculated limits over a certain time) and kept hitting SL everytime. Took four trades, all wrong.
Setback: today's market has made me thinking if I should incoporate something else in the logic to figure out the major direction and take trades only in that direction? This will keep me occupied for the weekend.
Day 33 of Live Algo Day Trading JournalDay 33: Good day but did not turn out good for me today. Algo gave me entry in the morning, turned out profitable, but subsequent two entries took away all the profit. Overall a negative with minor loss.
Progress: Stuck to the algo even when was sure that we are near the support and should have taken profit. So, no manual trading today.
Learning/ to ponder: When market takes away your earnings, should you solely rely on algo ? I am thinking of changing it to stop it once a desired profit target has been achieved and take no more trades......
What are your thoughts on this ? Let it run or stop and get out ?
Day 32 of Live Algo Day Trading JournalDay 32: Day opened good, however could not sustain bullish momentum and gave up all the gains. Algo waited till it got the pullback. First trade turned out to be loss making as market played mischief and got me out. On the second trade also market tried to play mischief but the sellers were very strong and did not allow it to go beyond my SL and hence was saved. Getting to the target was a long patient wait. Had to wait for two and half hours to get it. For most of the time market just tried to push beyond the limits and kept on fooling people on both sides but my algo kept on holding. Finally at last it did go in my direction and got profit.
Progress/Learnings: PATIENCE pays. Got jittery at a time when market was close to my stop loss and thought it might get hit but did not do anything manually and held on. Patience and faith on the system pays.
Day 31 of Live Algo Day Trading JournalDay 31: Day opened bullish, my stock opened and immediately ran up to its high point. Algo did not trigger as it is deisgned to get in on a pullback. Got an entry; market tried to cheat but could not succeed and was saved. However later on the market cheated and threw me out with a minor profit. Algo again got triggered but in the wrong direction, suffered small loss. Third time algo got triggered but came out at parity.
Progress : Did not do any manual trade today even when felt like taking a bullish position manually(in hindsight looks like I was correct), but idea is to build the habit of only algo trading, no manual trading, so good, did not get into temptation.
Day 30 of Live Algo Day Trading JournalDay 30: Made a mistake today. Market was bearish in the morning and algo took a position which went on to be incorrect. Again algo took another position and this also turned out to be a loss making trade. After the fall over last few days, I was bullish while the algo signals were all bearish. So, after two wrong trades by my algo, I thought let me take the next trade manually and I went long. Market punished and threw me out. Then again I took two more trades (even when algo was quiet and did not give any signal), made up the loss that I had made in my manual trade. Overall, a loss making day, losing bit less than 1%, but the worst part was losing my patience and getting overconfident on my skills. Bad idea.
Setback: Manual trade.... i think due to getting overconfident by looking at the chart, getting influenced by a certain call, bad impact...
Day 29 of Live Algo Day Trading JournalDay 29: Good day today. After falling for almost week, market took a breather and the bulls tried to put a stop to selling.
My algo got me into a bullish position in the morning and the momentum gave me my target pretty soon. Had to be away so did not trade later on, but the algo did very well on paper trades.
Had a not so good day yesterday and was not feeling good yet continued with the algo without touching it during the day, turned out to be a wise decision.
Progress: Overcame the sadness of losing yesterday and did not do any manual trade, let the algo run its course.
Day 27 of Live Algo Day Trading JournalDay 27: Another trending day. Algo gave good entry and exit, perfect as per coding.
Progress : No chasing/FOMO/anxiety (well almost)
Learning : Need to chase profit and not let it slip away, market is supreme and smartest of all. Money is more important than getting the math right. Will chase with TSL manually when putting a stretch target.
Day 26 of Live Algo Day Trading JournalDay 26: It turned out to be a good trending day today. Right from the morning the market decided to fall and kept falling. Yesterday I had tweaked my algo to take entry on pullback. Unfortunately, the morning pullback was not strong enough to get me a signal, so missed the morning trade. However, algo caught the afternoon pullback and gave me a good profit of around half a percent.
Internet consistency is an issue which is pestering me since long (now I realise that its this thing which made all my algos go wrong when I used to subscribe to other algo developers/websites). Will have to do something to raise an alarm or a flag whenever there is a drop in internet.
This drop made me take two manual decisions - one to get out when I saw that all the exit levels were broken and yet I was not getting any signal (that's when I realised that the data is not coming) and second time when algo did take the entry (because of wrong data), and then I got anxious as there wasn't enough time left and thought that the market might reverse as everyone would start closing their positions.
Progress : stuck to algo and let it run its course
Setback : Took manual decisions and got panicky/anxious when there wasn't enough time left.
Day 24 of LiveAlgoDayTradingJournalDay 24 of DayTrading:
Let the algo run from morning. Did not tinker with it the whole day. Algo gave correct signals, however the market volatility got me and took away my profits. During the day, had the feeling that now I shoud stop the algo since I was in profit of >1%, however, let it run as I need to develop faith on my algo. Overall, an OK day, but the mindset and discipline is getting better.
Day 23 of LiveAlgoDayTradingJournalDay 23:
As expected, today being the day after a holiday (a trading break day), turned out to be a bad day. The markets remained range bound the whole day (for my stock) and just kept on hitting SL on both sides, frustrating (now, it's more like trying to frustrate). Anyways, I stuck to the algo, not doing any manual trades and the algo did not fall for anything, just the usual bearable defined losses.
Realised that I dont trust all other algo websites from where I used to subscribe, is due to this; the drop in continuous internet. This is the culprit that makes my program lose data and give wrong results. So... will have to compensate for it.
Progress: No FOMO, Anxiety, or front running, or anything else. No such emotion arose, I just let the algo do its job even when I can see that it missed the signals due to data loss.
So, a bit more progress today.
Day 22 of DayTradingJournalDay 22 of DayTradingJournal:
Let the algo run from the morning. Algo did a good job. Had an issue with internet in later part @2:30 when it stopped downloading data and hence no signals. This eroded my profitablility, otherwise later on I checked up eod data and ran a backtest to see the discrepancies in the live vs backtest data. Surprisingly, both matched. Other than the internet issue everything else is OK.
Progress: No FOMO, no temptation (or controlled it), faith in system.
Day 20 of DayTradingJournal - LiveAlgoFirstTestDay 20 of DayTradingJournal:
Today I did my first test of the algo that I have been trying to make. I put it live right from the morning and let it take all the trades that comes its way. Surprisingly, the algo did very well. (I think if I did manually, I might not have been so good).
Learnings for today: Keep the faith on the system, it pays well.
Since TV does not allow publishing of live data, I made a video of it to check for later. You can check the live trade of algo on my YT channel at hiren2517 (TV doesn't allow me to paste the link here)
How to set an alert for BankNifty Intraday Strategy [5min TF] ? Set Alert on 77% Profitable Bank-Nifty Back-tested Intraday Strategy with FREE TRIALS
Trend Follower Intraday for 5 minute Time-Frame (Adjustable) , that has the time condition for INDIAN | CRYPTO | FOREX Markets
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Unlike the Free Scripts - Risk Management , Position Sizing , Partial Exit etc. are also included .
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The Timing can be changed to fit other markets, scroll down to "SQUARE-OFF TIME" to know more.
The commission is also included in the strategy .
The basic idea is when ,
1) EMA1 crosses above EMA2 , is a Long condition.
2) EMA1 crosses below EMA2 , is a Short condition.
3) Green Section indicates Long position.
4) Red Section indicates Short position.
5) Allowed hours specifies the trade entry timing .
6) ATR STOP is the stop-loss value on chart , can be adjusted in INPUTS.
7) Target 1 is the 1st target value on chart , can be adjusted in INPUTS.
8) RISK is Maximum Risk per trade for the intraday trade can be changed .
9) Total Capital used can be adjusted under INPUTS.
10) ATR TRAIL is used for trailing after entry , as mentioned in the inputs below.
11) Check trades under the list of trades .
12) Trade only in liquid stocks .
13) Risk only 1-5% of total capital.
14) Inputs can be changed for better back-test results, but also manually check the trades before setting alerts
15) SQUARE OFF TIME - As you change the time frame , also change the square-off time to the candle's closing time.
Eg: For 3min Time-frame , Hour = 2Hrs | Minute = 57min
16) Strategy stops for the day if you have a loss .
17) COMMISSION value is set to 10Rs and SLIPPAGE value is set to 1 . Go to properties to change it .
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BACKTESTED PIVOT INTRADAY STARTEGY [INDIA MARKET TIMING]A Back-tested Profitable Strategy for Free!!
A PIVOT INTRADAY STRATEGY for 5 minute Time-Frame , that also explains the time condition for Indian Markets
The Timing can be changed to fit other markets, scroll down to "TIME CONDITION" to know more.
The commission is also included in the strategy .
The basic idea is when ,
1) Price crosses above ema1 ,indicated by pivot high line in green color .
2) Price crosses below ema1 ,indicated by pivot low line in red color .
3) Candle high crosses above pivot high , is the Long condition .
4) Candle low crosses below pivot low , is the Short condition .
5) Maximum Risk per trade for the intraday trade can be changed .
6) Default_qty_size is set to 60 contracts , which can be changed under settings → properties → order size .
7) ATR is used for trailing after entry, as mentioned in the inputs below.
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// ————————> INPUTS <————————— //
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Leftbars ——————————> Length of pivot highs and lows
Rightbars —————————> Length of pivot highs and lows
Price Cross Ema —————> Added condition
ATR LONG —————————> ATR stoploss trail for Long positions
ATR SHORT ————————> ATR stoploss trail for Short positions
RISK ————————————> Maximum Risk per trade for the day
The strategy was back-tested on RELIANCE ,the input values and the results are mentioned under "BACKTEST RESULTS" below .
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// ————————> PROPERTIES<——————— //
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Default_qty_size ————> 60 contracts , which can be changed under
Settings
↓
Properties
↓
Order size
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// ————————> TIME CONDITION <————————— //
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The time can be changed in the script , Add it → click on ' { } ' → Pine editor→ making it a copy [right top corner} → Edit the line 25 .
The Indian Markets open at 9:15am and closes at 3:30pm .
The 'time_cond' specifies the time at which Entries should happen .
"Close All" function closes all the trades at 3pm , at the open of the next candle.
To change the time to close all trades , Go to Pine Editor → Edit the line 103 .
All open trades get closed at 3pm , because some brokers don't allow you to place fresh intraday orders after 3pm .
NSE:RELIANCE
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// ————————> BACKTEST RESULTS ( 128 CLOSED TRADES )<————————— //
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INPUTS can be changed for better back-test results.
The strategy applied to NSE:RELIANCE ( 5 min Time-Frame and contract size 60) gives us 61% profitability , as shown below
It was tested for a period a 6 months with a Profit Factor of 1.45 , Net Profit of 21,500Rs .
Sharpe Ratio : 0.311
Sortino Ratio : 0.727
The graph has a Linear Curve with consistent profits.
The INPUTS are as follows,
1) Leftbars ————————> 3
2) Rightbars ——————— > 5
3) Price Cross Ema ———> 150
4) ATR LONG ——————> 2.7
5) ATR SHORT —————> 2.9
6) RISK —————————> 2500
7) Default qty size ——> 60
NSE:RELIANCE
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#NIFTY & #BANKNIFTY analysis for Expiry Day Trading - 10/03/2021So far, #NIFTY and #BANKNIFTY were trending upwards; however, the overall structure is still trading in a broad bracket.
Will markets stay within this bracket?
I have tried to explain this concept in this video. Kindly let me know your feedback or questions in the comments:)
Thank you:)