USOIL.F ANALYSIS ( Crude Oil Prices )ANTICIPATION OF FED DECISION
The Federal Reserve is meeting this week to decide on a potential interest rate hike. While analysts agree that the central bank will maintain its rates for the first time since March 2022, investors are focused on the tone of the announcement. If the Fed hints at further rate hikes later in the year, as many predict, oil prices could decline further🔻📉.
GLOBAL ECONOMIC CONCERN
The Eurozone has entered a technical recession, and there are concerns about the U.S. economy facing a similar fate due to potential interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve in response to high inflation. The economic data from China, the world's largest oil importer, also showed a decrease in exports for the first time this year, raising concerns about short-term global oil demand.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
As per the technical analysis of USOIL in a DAY-TF,WEEKLY-TF & MONTHLY-TF are showing downtrend ( STRONG SELL ). Apart from this, Moving Average ( MA5 (SELL 69.28), MA10(SELL 70.47), MA50 ( SELL 73.88), MA200 (SELL 78.20)) & Technical Indicator ((RSI(14)SELL), (STOCH(9,6)OVERSOLD), (MACD(12,26)SELL)) are showing strong sell.
Decision
Trading Decision Flowchart - Checklist Before placing tradeTrading Decision - Checklist Before placing trade
Traders always encounter a thought when analyzing their trade history - I would have been in this much profit if I had avoided this particularly trade/trades(mostly losing trades). There are many reasons behind why traders take up some trades which they should not be taking - reason could be fear of missing out, recovering losses, revenge trading or simply boredom trade.
One of the essential thing needed to become a good successful trader is to avoid certain trades where
- You don't have conviction
- You are Over-trading/Revenge trading
- You have already lost your day's worth of losing limit you have set for yourself
- You don't have proper setup
- You don't have a Good Risk Reward Ratio
- Target does not look easy
- Trade does not fit on your trading rules
- and so on.
Traders should try to avoid these trades- one such tool which will be useful will be a trading checklist - which should be checked before placing any trade. This idea is to share one such checklist that I use for trading NIFTY/BANKNIFTY options.I hope this is useful to some folks out here.
Cheers,
Santosh