DHANI |Rectangle Consolidation Breakout | Daily
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### 📈 **Breakout Overview:**
✅ **Rectangle Consolidation Breakout**
* **Consolidation Range:** ₹49.85 to ₹66.41
* **Breakout above:** ₹66.41
* **Current price:** ₹71.09 (+14.42% move today!)
* **Target projection:** ₹82.89–85 zone (based on rectangle height projection).
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### 📊 **Key Chart Signals:**
* **Volume Surge:** Big spike in volume confirms breakout strength.
* **RSI:** RSI above 70 (around 80) signals strong momentum.
* **Rectangle height move:** Rectangle height (\~₹16.48) added to breakout level projects target around ₹82.89–85.
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### 🔍 **What’s Next?**
* If the breakout sustains above ₹66.41, momentum likely to push price towards ₹82.89–85.
* Monitor for potential retest of the breakout zone (₹66–67) which would act as support.
* RSI being overbought (\~80) suggests possible minor pullback or consolidation before moving higher.
---
### 💡 **Key Takeaway:**
DHANI has **successfully broken out** of a long consolidation zone, with **volume and momentum** supporting further upside towards **₹82.89–85**.
Dhaniservices
Dhani BO: Ready for Its Next Rally After 80% Correction?NSE:DHANI Breakout: Is This Med/Fin Tech Stock Ready for Its Next Rally After 80% Correction?
Price Action Overview:
- Stock has undergone a significant correction from highs of ₹109.88 to lows of ₹47.05, representing nearly a 57% decline
- Currently trading at ₹71.09 with recent bullish momentum showing +14.42% gains
- Price action suggests a potential bottoming process after prolonged consolidation
Volume Spread Analysis:
- Significant volume spikes observed during major price movements
- Recent breakout accompanied by above-average volume (4.22M vs average 30.03M)
- Volume concentration during earnings announcements (marked 'E' on the chart) indicates institutional participation
- Higher volume during recent uptick suggests renewed interest
Key Technical Levels:
Support Levels:
- Primary Support: ₹50-52 zone (previous consolidation area)
- Secondary Support: ₹47.05 (absolute low)
- Immediate Support: ₹62-65 (recent breakout zone)
Resistance Levels:
- Immediate Resistance: ₹82.71 (marked horizontal level)
- Major Resistance: ₹96.79-₹109.88 (previous highs zone)
- Intermediate Resistance: ₹75-78 (previous resistance turned support)
Base Formation:
- Extended consolidation base formed between ₹50-₹68 over 4-5 months
- Classic rectangle/range-bound pattern with multiple tests of support and resistance
- Recent breakout from the upper boundary of this base suggests the completion of the accumulation phase.
Technical Patterns:
- Descending triangle pattern from February to April 2025
- Internal Flag & Pole Breakout
- Recent breakout from the consolidation rectangle
- Potential inverse head and shoulders formation on smaller timeframes
- Rising volume during breakout confirms pattern validity
Trade Setup:
Entry Strategy:
- Primary Entry: ₹68-₹70 (on pullback to breakout level)
- Aggressive Entry: Current levels ₹71-₹72 (momentum play)
- Conservative Entry: ₹65-₹67 (retest of breakout zone)
Exit Levels:
- Target 1: ₹82-₹85 (immediate resistance zone) - Risk: Reward 1:2
- Target 2: ₹95-₹98 (major resistance area) - Risk: Reward 1:3.5
- Target 3: ₹110-₹115 (previous highs extension) - Risk: Reward 1:4.5
Stop Loss:
- Conservative Stop: ₹62 (below recent consolidation)
- Aggressive Stop: ₹58 (below key support cluster)
- Trailing Stop: Implement an 8-10% trailing stop after the first target achievement
Position Sizing:
- Risk per trade: Maximum 2% of portfolio
- Position size calculation: Portfolio value × 2% ÷ (Entry price - Stop loss)
- For ₹1,00,000 portfolio with ₹70 entry and ₹62 stop: Position size = ₹2,000 ÷ ₹8 = 250 shares
Risk Management:
- Maximum exposure to single stock: 5% of total portfolio
- Sector exposure limit: 15% to financial services
- Use of stop-loss orders mandatory
- Position review after every 10% move in either direction
- Risk-reward ratio minimum 1:2 for all trades
Sectoral Backdrop:
Fintech Sector Overview:
- Digital lending sector experiencing regulatory scrutiny, but long-term growth prospects intact
- Increasing digital adoption post-pandemic, supporting fintech growth
- RBI guidelines on digital lending create compliance costs but also barriers to entry
- Consolidation is expected in the sector, favouring established players
Industry Trends:
- Growing smartphone penetration is driving digital financial services adoption
- The government push for financial inclusion through digital means
- Rising interest rates are impacting borrowing costs but improving net interest margins
- Increasing focus on data analytics and AI-driven lending decisions
Fundamental Backdrop:
Company Overview:
- Dhani Services operates in the digital financial services space
- Diversified business model including lending, insurance, and investment services
- Strong technology platform enabling scalable operations
- Focus on serving underbanked population segments
Recent Developments:
- Quarterly earnings showing revenue growth trajectory
- Management focuses on improving asset quality and reducing NPAs
- Strategic partnerships for expanding product offerings
- Regulatory compliance improvements undertaken
Financial Health Indicators:
- Need to monitor debt-to-equity ratios given the lending business nature
- Asset quality metrics are crucial for long-term sustainability
- Revenue diversification, reducing dependence on single income streams
- Technology investments supporting operational efficiency
Catalyst Factors:
- Potential regulatory clarity on digital lending norms
- Expansion of credit underwriting capabilities
- Strategic alliances or acquisition opportunities
- Improved economic conditions support loan demand
Risk Factors:
- Regulatory changes in the fintech space
- Competition from established banks entering the digital space
- Credit risk in unsecured lending segments
- Technology and cybersecurity risks
- Dependence on external funding for growth capital
My Take:
This technical setup suggests a potential medium-term opportunity with proper risk management, though investors should monitor both technical levels and fundamental developments closely.
Keep in the Watchlist.
NO RECO. For Buy/Sell.
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Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
DHANI : Short Term (1-3 Months) #DHANI #breakout #swingtrade #momentumtrade
DHANI : Weekly Chart
>> Moving Avg Setup
>> Trending Setup
>> Momentum Stock
>> Good Strength & Volumes
>> Good Upside Potential
Swing Traders can lock 10% profit & keep trailing
Best of Setup's can Fail in Current Market Scenario, so Trade Good Setups with Proper Risk Management, position Sizing & logical Stop-loss Rules
Please give a Boost or comment if u r Liking the analysis & Learning from it. Keep showing ur Love by following
Disclaimer : This is not a Trade Recommendations & Charts/ stocks Mentioned are for Learning/Educational Purpose. Do your Own Analysis before Taking positions.
Dhani : Breakout Candidate#Dhani #Breakout #Trianglepattern #patterntrading #patternbreakout #momentumtrade
Dhani : Weekly (1-3 Months)
>> Momentum Trade
>> Breakout Soon
>> Triangle Pattern
>> Good Strength & Volume Build up
>> Low Risk High Reward Trade
I believe it can move towards 100 Ema (60 Levels)
Swing Traders Can lock thier profits at 10% and keep trailing
Disclaimer : Charts Shared are for Learning Purpose & not a Trade Recommendation. Consult your Financial Advisor before taking position in it.
A stock for for high risk takersDhani is a stock which has crashed in the past few years and I am not a big fan of trading in such stocks.
However, the stock is looking technically attractive for minimum target of 60 and above.
Reason:-Trendlune breakout with higher high, higher low formation wit a positive RSI divergence
Try to enter at around 35 with an SL below 26 DCB.
This is an high risk high reward setup and kindly trade only if you are comfortable with my idea.
This idea is shared for educational purposes only and is not a recommendation.
Long Dhani ServicesDhani Services
Cmp - 177
Stop - 150 on DCB
Expectation -
T1 - 390
T2 - Open, Review at 390
Expected Holding Period - 180 trading days or earlier for T1
View:- Positional
Disclaimer:-
Ideas being shared only for educational purpose
Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing