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Dollar

DXY Building Momentum — "Cash is King" Narrative Returns?📌 DXY is showing clear signs of recovery on the H4 timeframe — and that tells us something deeper: risk sentiment is shifting. Investors are pulling capital from risk-on assets and moving to cash. Yes, "Cash is King" might be making a comeback. 🔍 What’s Driving the Move? As fear ripples through global markets: 📉 Equities are shaky. 🟡 Gold dropped sharply under profit-taking pressure. 🪙 Crypto lacks new capital. Now, capital is rotating back into USD — not necessarily because of strong fundamentals, but due to defensive positioning. 🔺 On the geopolitical side, Trump’s aggressive tariff threats are shaking confidence. As import/export tension rises, the global appetite for USD-denominated assets (especially U.S. bonds) is also climbing. 🧭 Key Technical Levels (4H Chart) Support Zones: 🟦 101.467 – historical structure low 🟦 102.113 – minor intraday demand 🟦 102.660 – neckline & retest zone (key area to hold) Resistance Zones: 🟧 103.803 – consolidation top 🟥 104.506 – key resistance and EMA crossover zone 🟥 105.632 / 106.157 / 106.622 – higher-timeframe targets if momentum continues 🔮 Outlook by AD | Money Market Flow The market is on the edge right now. If U.S. equities fail to bounce and global risk sentiment continues to deteriorate, we could see: ✅ A strong USD breakout ✅ DXY bottoming and reclaiming the 104–106 zone ✅ Major asset correction across risk-on markets (Gold, Stocks, Crypto) “When markets panic, smart money rotates to USD. It’s not bullishness — it’s protection.” — AD | Money Market Flow 🔁 What to Watch: Fed’s next steps (Will they ignore Trump’s tariffs and focus on growth?) Global equity market reactions Bond yields (demand for U.S. debt could rise again) 📌 Stay sharp and follow the money. DXY is giving early signals — don’t ignore the shift. 🧠 Manage risk. Protect capital. Let the market come to you.
TVC:DXYLong
by MMFlowTrading
DXY Monthly Analysis: Key Support Holding, Bullish Move Ahead?📊 DXY Monthly Chart Analysis (March 27, 2025) Key Observations: Current Price Action: The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is trading near 104.267, with notable resistance ahead. Price is consolidating within a key demand zone (~102.5–104) after rejecting higher levels. Technical Levels: Support Zone: 100.2–104 (Highlighted in purple) Resistance Zone: 112.5–114.7 (Highlighted in purple) Major Resistance: 114.77 (Previous high, acting as a supply zone) 200-MA Support: Located below current price, offering a long-term bullish confluence. Market Structure: Price remains in a higher time-frame bullish trend but is experiencing a correction. The "BOSS" level (Break of Structure) suggests a prior bullish breakout. If the demand zone holds, a bullish continuation towards 112.5–114.7 is possible. Projected Move: A bounce from 102–104 could trigger a rally toward the upper resistance zone (~112.5). A break below 100.2 could indicate a shift in trend and further downside. Conclusion: DXY is at a critical decision point. Holding the current support zone (~102–104) could fuel a bullish continuation toward 112–114, while a breakdown below 100.2 would weaken bullish momentum.
TVC:DXYLong
by MrStellanSight
U.S. Job Growth Slows: Impact on USD and Indian Investors​In the first two months of 2025, the U.S. economy experienced a notable slowdown in job creation, as reflected in consecutive Nonfarm Payroll (NFP) reports falling short of expectations. According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, February saw an addition of 151,000 jobs, below the anticipated 160,000, though an improvement from January's revised 125,000. ​ reuters.com +1 tradingeconomics.com +1 Impact on the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) 📉 The consecutive underperformance in job growth has exerted pressure on the U.S. Dollar, leading to a decline in the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the greenback against a basket of major currencies. As of March 10, 2025, the DXY stood near a four-month low at 103.59, reflecting diminished investor confidence in the U.S. economy. ​ reuters.com Federal Reserve's Response 🏦 Weak labor market data often prompts the Federal Reserve to reassess its monetary policy stance. With two consecutive NFP reports missing expectations, the Fed may consider slowing the pace of interest rate hikes or even exploring economic stimulus measures to support growth and employment. However, any policy adjustments will also weigh factors such as inflation trends and overall GDP growth.​ Implications for Indian Investors 🇮🇳 The U.S. labor market's performance holds significant implications for global economies, including India:​ Currency Exchange Rates 💱: A weakening U.S. Dollar can lead to the appreciation of the Indian Rupee, affecting export competitiveness and import costs.​ Gold Prices 🪙: Traditionally, a softer USD boosts gold prices. Indian investors, who have a cultural affinity for gold, might see increased returns on their gold investments. ​ m.economictimes.com Stock Market 📈: Global equity markets, including India's, often react to U.S. economic indicators. A slowing U.S. economy might lead to cautious sentiment among Indian investors, influencing market dynamics.​ Expert Insights 🧠 Economists note that while recent U.S. job data indicates a slowdown, it's essential to consider the broader economic context. Factors such as consumer spending patterns, international trade policies, and geopolitical developments play pivotal roles in shaping both U.S. and global economic landscapes.​ Conclusion 📝 The recent underwhelming NFP reports serve as a cautionary signal regarding the U.S. economy's momentum. For Indian investors, staying informed about these developments is crucial, as they can influence currency valuations, commodity prices, and equity markets. A diversified investment approach, coupled with vigilance, can help navigate the potential ripple effects stemming from shifts in the U.S. economic environment.
TVC:DXYShort
by MMFlowTrading
1
Monstrous Volatility following Tariffs and NFP ForecastsHello Traders, It's that time of the month! :D Not what you are thinking.. But It's NFP Week! What an eventful week it's been already for the Euro. 450 Pips and we still have 3 more trading sessions to complete. I looked back two years and still did not find a week of matched volatility. A Major upside push has seen EurUsd tear it's way back from the depths of near Par (1.04) to well back inside the Monthly range between 1.104 and 1.056. Trump Tarriff speeches, and fueled further by weak U.S. ADP data on Wednesday has given the Euro a monstrous exscuse to gain more value than it's seen in Years aginagst the dollar. Prepare for a wild end of the week with Jobs data forecasted to improve slighlty across the past data point. What prices do we like moving into NFP day? -Bullish targets are a tap into 1.08740, Weekly Resistaance Level -Bearish targets could be 1.074 Otherwise we have some 1hr and 4hr Zones in the middle which could provide good risk/reward trade ideas. Please leave a Rocket if you enjoyed and Follow for more Analysis.
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
DXY Bullish Breakout – USD Strengthening Towards 120+?📊 DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) Monthly Chart Analysis 🚀 📈 Breakout in Progress: The chart shows a breakout from a horizontal resistance zone (previous highs). This signals bullish momentum. 📊 Trend & Structure: Higher Lows & Higher Highs indicate an uptrend. Price has been moving within an ascending channel for years. 📉 EMA 200 Support: The 200-month EMA (95.63) is well below the current price, acting as a strong long-term support level. 🔮 Future Projection: A potential pullback to confirm support, followed by a strong bullish move toward 120-125 levels. Chart Projection Suggests: 🚀 Upside continuation if support holds. 🔥 Key Levels to Watch: ✅ Support: 104-108 (Breakout retest zone) 🎯 Target: 116-124 (Upper trendline) 💡 Conclusion: Bullish bias remains strong. If DXY holds above 108, the dollar could gain more strength in 2025. 🚀📊
TVC:DXYLong
by MrStellanSight
$ - Sell ?For several months $ was weak but as US Equity reached new ATH $ was making accumulation at lower levels and took lot of time to rise. Right now $ index is at golden ration level and I expect possibilities are distribution and price could fall in coming days and I do not expect $ index to rise further higher. with new president having plans to make US exporter and wanted a weak dollar combined with BRICS and world nations following non-dollar trades. So I am expecting $ index to fall and its right time to sell Dollars and Buy Euro and Yen.
TVC:DXY
by venkatfx
Dollar Looks Vulnerable : Here’s My Take on What’s Coming Next!Price has recently taken out an Old High and has now reached an Imbalanced price range, which is more evident on the Weekly Timeframe. This move has presented buyside liquidity for sellers by taking out the Old High and simultaneously offered fair value by entering into an imbalanced price range (FVG / SIBI - 1W Timeframe). From here, price may now head lower towards the Draw on Liquidity, with Sellside Liquidity as the next objective, as shown in the chart. This is how I see it, though I’d advise you to do your own analysis.
TVC:DXYShort
by Vulnerable_human_x
Very Bullish on Silver Any one who interest to invest in silver ... This is the best time to buy silver as we can see that silver has give a big time breakout above the 26 dollar so its a clear sign that the buyer has come to flow upward price of the silver . . . As you also know that the silver and gold is a good asset class . so wants to beat inflation with minimum risk can go with the silver and gold as well gold is also asset class but today my idea is specific about only one that is silver. . . remember this line . TRADE OF DEACDE IS SILVER RIGHT NOW DATED(05/04/2024) In my opionion here are best available instrument in the area of silver to invest in india:- 1:-Tata silver etf (in my opinion this is best than nippon silver etf) 2:-Buy physical silver directly from your nearest jwellery shop this 2 option is best to invest in silver in india . . . if you want to purchase etf then you only want a demat account and you can easily purchase this tata silver etf Disclaimer i invested in silver already Disclaime:-i am not sebi registered all loss as well as profit you totally yours , i am not responsible for any kind of profit or loss solely you are responbile for that my resoposbility is to share idea with you which i think that . thanks for reading waiting for your profitable comment
NSE:TATSILVLong
by Parthupadhyay67
1
Wondering where the Dollar is headed next? He're is a hint. Analysis A five wave decline from 107.34, the high on Oct 03, 2023 to 100.62, the low on Dec 28, 2023. In Elliott terms, this impulse structure tells us that the movement at the next larger degree of trend is also downwards. Within this impulsive structure, wave (i) is a Leading Diagonal, wave (ii) is a Flat which neatly predicts a Zigzag wave (iv) by guideline of Alternation. Both waves (iii) and (v) are extensions. The impulsive decline holds well within the parallel trend channel as is often expected. A five wave move is always followed by a three wave corrective pullback or variation thereof, irregardless of degree; in this case, a rally wave ((ii)). To where? The Elliott wave guideline on the depth of corrective waves suggests that price action should ideally end within the span of travel of the previous fourth wave of one lesser degree. Second, the ensuing correction, wave (ii) is unfolding as a sharp Double Zigzag correction labelled (w)-(x)-(y) with waves (w) and (x) completed, wave (y) in progress. In ratio relationships, sharp corrections tend more frequently to retrace 61.8% of the previous wave particularly when they occur as wave (ii) of an Impulse or wave (b) in a larger Zigzag. Also, the actionary waves in a Double Zigzag correction namely waves (w) and (y) are often related by equality or Fibonacci (0.618) in time or amplitude. wave (y) = 0.618 X (w) at 104.87; this level falls neatly within the previous guidelines. Thus, the cluster of evidence suggest the rally is nearing its end and a reversal is onset; a third wave. Trade Plan 1) Conservative Approach Entry: Short at 104.879; the 0.618 retracement. Protective Stop: 107.34; in an Impulse wave (ii) CAN NEVER retrace more than 100% of wave (i). Target: 10.87 decline; in an impulse the third wave commonly travels 1.618 times the loss of the first, as in: wave ((i)) = -6.72 (100.62-107.34), wave ((iii))= 1.618 X (-6.72) equals (-10.87) Risk-Reward: 1:3 2) Aggressive Approach Requires price action to break below a recent swing low; wave b of a Zigzag, that will virtually suggest the rally has ended and a reversal was underway. Entry: Break below 103.89 Protective Stop: Recent swing high Targets: Below 100.62 Risk-Reward: Greater than 1:3 NOTE: Stay tuned to get follow-up adjustments to stops as we monitor the move through completion.
TVC:DXYShort
by Aquanet_Market_Forecast
3
Technical Outlook of Crude oil ( WTI )Crude oil prices experienced a decline, reaching the lowest point since November, attributed to a growing surplus in supply. Despite the OPEC+ official announcement, oil prices have maintained relative stability in the aftermath. Participants within OPEC+ are recognizing the missed opportunity and attempting to mitigate the situation through additional comments, such as those made by the Saudi Energy Minister. In terms of technical analysis, the $80.00 mark serves as a crucial resistance level. If crude oil manages to surpass this threshold, the next resistance is anticipated at $84.00 (represented by the purple line), where selling pressure or profit-taking may occur. Conversely, the soft support near $74.00 is currently under pressure, acting as the final defense before potentially entering a range of $70.00 and below. Traders should monitor the $67.00 level, marked by a triple bottom from June, as the next significant support level. Revised Support Levels: $71.50 to $70.80 Revised Resistance Levels: $73.50 to $74.80
BLACKBULL:USOIL.FShort
by tradewith_ritik