Dollarindex
DXY Technical Analysis - Dollar Index took out Liquidity from its previous swing high and reacted after grabbing Liquidity
- Equal Interim highs are now made and the reaction is bearish as well
- I expect the next two candles to be red or bearish and the price should continue to fall further, anticipating good numbers from the US it's going to be negative for USD and positive for Stocks/Crypto
DXY #Dollarindex Trade Setup DXY/Dollar Index is currently trading near an overhead supply
- It will be very crucial to watch how it exactly reacts to its overhead supply
- IMO even if we see a good reaction from the overhead supply it will be still important to watch the reaction.
- From a long perspective it's better to wait out and first let the breakout happen - let the base form - let it take some grabs and then scout for longs
#dollarindex #dxy
Rupee best performer 2023. 2024 looks even better.Rupee stayed almost flat against the $ in 2023, depreciating 2% whereas other EM currencies depreciated more than 4%.
Equities soared in 2023 and if things go as they are appearing, then 2024 promises to be even better. There is lot of hop and optimism in the air already about Indian economy and that will most likely translate into higher returns for Indian equity investors.
If you are not in India - You are missing the biggest global party!
Fed stays pat. Equities soar. India's Goldilocks periodIndia has managed to keep its public finance in control and focus on capex led growth. That has ensured that India managed to stay afloat during the storm and now that the storm has subsided, India is on its way to race at higher knots.
This video is an update on the latest global macro developments
Inverse 🥶If Dxy sustain on 103 ( marked in the chart) then a upside momentum to (110 feb 2024)--(115 sep 2024) is possible, which could impact the US stock market and in some cases Indian market too .
Disclaimer :
It's a personal view not a financial advise and I assume no responsibility and liability whatever outcome arises.
If there is a global party on...India's gonna lead!As the US Inflation numbers came soft, all doubts about Fed hiking rates in December were gone. That led to all currencies strengthening against the $. US Yields colled off, Dollar Index came down and US Equities soared.
Indian markets also joined the party. The Rupee made strong gains making new multi week highs. G Sec Yields came off highs and Sensex and Nifty just took off to the skies.
As global uncertainity eases, India stands to benefit the most over the next few decades when we rise up the ranks as a global economic superpower.
DOLLAR INDEX --BEARISH?As Per daily Price Action Dollar Index Broke Lower Side Range 105 level and Sustain Below and Also Price Cross below 50 Ema And RSI Also Cross Below 40 Which Is not Good Sign For Index . We Can See Further Down move In Dollar Index.
Wait For Decent bounce In 1 hour Time Frame It Could Be Good Lower Side positional trade ..
Stop loss :- Above 106 Level
Target:- 104.193
Please consult your financial advisor before investing
All research is for educational purposes only.
Implications of small changes in US Bond Yields and USDINR As US Yields cool off a tad bit, it results into Dollar index cooling and Rupee strengthening. Our Forex Reserves increased, our yields fell and our benchmark equity indices soared. India's maiden 50 year bond issue was oversubscribed and that shows how much interest and confidence there is about India over the coming few decades.
India's largest Festival season - Diwali is on and that is adding to the positive mood and momentum.
Technicals also seem to be changing from sell to buy - but it is early days yet.
So the script works just fine in these conditions as in all other ones. If market makes a new low as compared to previous candle, it buys one unit, thereby effectively pulling the average cost down.
USDINR - all time highs will be taken out in November?USD is making some serious inroads. INR trailing behind unable to maintain the equilibrium.
83.4210 is the current ATH. Today we went up to 83.3010. TVC:DXY at 107.
Continued FII selling will only add fuel to the fire. When the Indian media houses are gung-ho about the decadal that belongs to India & its growth story - the people outside are not that interested.
TVC:US30Y quoting 4.945% looks exciting from a debt perspective !
--
A rising USDINR means the INR is getting devalued. Calendar year 2022 saw an erosion of 11.07%, YTD is only 0.61% - will the rising US yield + war in middle east further erode the Indian Rupee??
Trend is about to get strongerChart is self explanatory.
Ideal scenario will be a day or two consolidation at current levels which will make the momentum oscillator cool off to 78-82 range.
Post this consolidation, we may see the explosive move.
And everyone knows, an explosive move in this index means a lot for riskier asset classes.
Savndhan Rahein Surakshit Rahein
DOLLAR INDEXHello & welcome to this analysis
In the daily time frame it has now come to a falling trendline resistance which has also activated a Bearish Harmonic Reciprocal ABCD pattern. Coincidentally, the swing low was also formed with a Bullish Harmonic ABCD pattern.
A retracement from here could take it to 102.75 and below that 102.15. The pattern would be considered negated above 103.90
Dollar Index Bullish signals - SOONAlthough, jumping a bit earlier, Dollar Index seems readying itself to JUMP UP. COT reports are STARTING to Show Bullish Signs. Daily Momentum has turned UP. BUT weekly momentum is yet to turn Up. Look for BULLISH SIGNS on Lower Time frames in Coming Weeks and Months. (Although, i will more comfortable if it Dips to one more Low on Weekly and then Goes up. But that is not an essential requirement)
Key Dollar resistance zoneThis is a very important dollar index level, if this were to hold up then we can get some more rally in the gold and the other metals. Equities as well. But if dollar breaks through this level then we will possibly get some sharp corrections in the commodities and the equities as well. The bet still will be that the level will hold up, but the oscillators are bouncing from the oversold levels hence it could do some time correction before the next leg of fall.
Dollar index bullish breakout Dollar index saw a sharp rally previous week and we saw some retracement in the index on friday, however we are now seeing another round of rally and this time is looks like a consolidation pattern is being formed and the breakout from the pattern will be bearish for bullion and even equities. The index took support from the pivot level and then is bouncing up which confirms the trend more. There is likely to be more pressure if we see the breakout sustain, this is also coming after a significant rate hike by the ECB last week which was a bit of a surprise. Despite that the pound did not gain significantly against the dollar which means the market participants are anticipating the fed to also raise the rates in line with the ECB decision. Overall it will be interesting to see if the index holds up above these levels. If it does so for a period of time a sharp rally cannot be ruled out. Any forex pair will have to be traded keeping the same in mind.






















