Dow Futures Trading Strategy 05th December 2024Trading Strategy for Dow Futures:
Buy Strategy:
Entry Point: Enter a long position (buy) above the high of the candle that closes above 45230 on a one-hour timeframe. This means if a one-hour candle closes above 45230, you will buy once the price exceeds the high of that candle.
Stop Loss: Set a stop loss slightly below the low of the breakout candle to manage risk. For instance, if the breakout candle has a low of 45100, you might set your stop loss at 45090 to protect your capital.
Target: Determine your target based on historical resistance levels or a risk-reward ratio. For example, if you're risking 140 points (45230 to 45090), aim for a reward of at least 280 points (e.g., a target of 45510).
Sell Strategy:
Entry Point: Enter a short position (sell) below the low of the candle that closes below 44870 on a one-hour timeframe. This means if a one-hour candle closes below 44870, you will sell once the price drops below the low of that candle.
Stop Loss: Set a stop loss slightly above the high of the breakdown candle. For example, if the breakdown candle has a high of 45000, you might set your stop loss at 45010 to mitigate risk.
Target: Determine your target based on historical support levels or a risk-reward ratio. For example, if you're risking 140 points (44870 to 45010), aim for a reward of at least 280 points (e.g., a target of 44600).
Risk Management:
Use Stop Losses: Always use stop losses to protect your capital and limit potential losses.
Position Sizing: Never risk more than a small percentage (e.g., 1-2%) of your trading capital on a single trade.
Regular Review: Continuously monitor the market and adjust your strategy based on evolving conditions and new information.
Market Context:
Economic Indicators: Pay attention to key economic indicators such as employment data, GDP figures, and interest rate announcements that can impact Dow futures.
Geopolitical Events: Be aware of geopolitical events and developments that can cause significant market volatility.
Disclaimer:
Trading in financial markets involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for every investor. The strategies and opinions expressed are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Microsoft. Users should perform their own research and consult with a financial advisor before making trading decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Dowtheory
SEQUENT SCIENTIFIC By KRS ChartsDate: 4th July 2024
Time: 10:42 AM
Why Sequent Scientific ?
LH- Lower High, LL - Lower Low
HH- Higher High, HL- Higher Low
1. Applied Simple Dow Theory from year 2022 , It was consistently making LHs and LLs and very first time in Feb 2024 it breaks previous high and makes new HH , which is considered as a beginning of reversal.
2. After that on 3rd June Price action made new HL for first time without breaking previous LL level and moving upwards with strong candles and volume.
3. Meanwhile, on weekly TF price took support from 100EMA too and makes strong upward moves.
Target 1 - ~203 Rs.
Target 2 - ~260 Rs.
SL- Weekly Closing below 100EMA
QUESS CORP By KRS ChartsDate: 23rd July 2024
Time: 7:20PM
Why Quess Corp?
1. Fundamentally Good Company with decent P/E Ratio.
2. Since Quess Corp listed it, movement is sideways within specific range if we check bird view of it.
3. According to Dow Theory, it was making LH LL (Downtrend) but very first time in 2023 it made Higher Low and moving continuously upside and now sustain price near All-time resistance.
Once it Break this resistance there is Buy Trade for Quess Corp for new Higher High ~1000Rs.
And for Early Entry individual can enter small Qty at current price with SL of 591 Rs.
Trident NSE Date - 22 March 2024
Time - 10:30 AM
WHAT is,
1. VAH& VAL- The upper limit of the Value Area is called Value Area High (VAH), while the lower limit is referred to as Value Area Low (VAL). These levels can serve as potential entry and exit points for trades.
2. POC- The price level for the time period with the highest traded volume.
-As we can see, since last year Trident is doing HH and HL. (Bullish)
-After using Fixed Range Volume Tool for both long and medium time periods we have find that 36-37 Rs is where long term VAH volume and medium term POC + 100 Ema is also meeting at same price and creating strong support.
-Today's price movement is confirming strong support at 36-37 Rs.
So, with a SL of 32.40 (Prev HL) We can LONG Trident for Medium Term.
Thank You!
Have A Good Day!
MuthootFin Priceaction BullishMuthoot On a Higher Timeframe making significant
Higher High and Higher Low
Stock rejected from Previous High and came down for retracement.
Stock Retested the Previous Breakout level and currently forming a
Strong #PriceAction.
So the Stock shd move from Higher Low to Previous Swing High then New ATH.
Dow theoryA Dow theory is a chart pattern which can be either bullish or bearish .
BULLISH DOW THEORY
High is broken but low is not broken
Higher high, Higher low
If low is broken, Trend change
BEARISH DOW THEORY
Low is broken but high is not broken
Lower low, Lower High
If high is broken, Trend change
Mastering Trade Setup with simplicity of dow theorySimplifying Trade Strategies with Dow Theory Wisdom
Welcome to the world of trading, where the Dow Theory can be your trusty guide. Let's break down an easy trade strategy that suits different market situations.
Dow Theory Insights
Dow Theory, a key tool in technical analysis, says understanding trends is crucial. Figuring out the trend is where we start, setting the stage for smart trade decisions.
Bullish View
If we're feeling positive
Higher Lows: Check if prices keep going up.
Near Support: Make sure prices are close to a support zone.
Reversal Signs: Look for any candle patterns signaling a turnaround.
Buying Setup:
Stoploss: Think of it like a safety net, set it at the recent lowest point.
Execute a buy trade when these factors line up, always keeping an eye on that stoploss.
Bearish View
If we're feeling negative
Lower Highs: Check if prices keep going down.
Near Resistance: Make sure prices are close to a resistance zone.
Reversal Hints: Look for any candle patterns signaling a potential shift.
Selling Setup:
Stoploss: Your safety measure, set it at the recent highest point.
Execute a sell trade when these conditions come together, always mindful of that stoploss.
Sideways View
For a market that's just hanging out
Draw Lines: Sketch lines above and below the current prices (Support and Resistence Trendlines)
Be Patient: Hang tight until prices break above or below those lines.
Only jump into a trade when the market decides where it's going.
In the lively world of trading, Dow Theory keeps us wise. By using these strategies, along with clever stoploss placements, you can navigate the markets with ease
This post is for educational purposes only. Trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always do your research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. I am not sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
RELIANCE to Dip via Inverted Cup & Handle ??!!Chart patterns look good for a short trade in Reliance industries
REASONS
1. RELIANCE has been trading inside an Ascending Channel and currently it is down under its Downswing move inside the channel
2. There is a Monthly breakdown (shown in chart) out of a 5 year old trendline support
Monthly timeframe chart below -
3. In weekly chart shown below, we can clearly witness lower high and lower low formed recently confirming Bearishness!!
4. In daily timeframe , it is trading in the form of an Inverted Cup & Handle and its due for Breakdown!!
5. Target levels mentioned as Horizontal dashed green lines
6. SL can be day candle closing out of the purple slanting trendline
7. Safe Entry can be after 2hr Breakdown out of the Inverted cup & handle pattern.
Let's wait & watch, how it moves!!!
NOTE - Just Sharing my View....not a tip nor advice!!!!
MSTC Looking Good to go LONG ??!!!Chart insist me to go with the above titled opinion....
Reasons :
1. Stock has been respecting the expanding triangular pattern .
2. MSTC has given BREAKOUT with extra ordinary volume on 28th November.
3. Respecting the DOW theory and has formed HIGHER LOW and then BREAKOUT.
4. REVERSAL from perfect trendline Support .
Target and SL mentioned in chart...
High risky SL can day candle closing below the green bottom trendline.
Ever since the Breakout , its been in tight consolidation and retracement....RIGHT TIME FOR ENTRY!!!
Let's see how its going to move!!!
Note- Just Sharing my view...not a tip nor advice !!!!
TITAN- Hidden Bearish Divergence SELL!Attached: TITAN Daily Price Chart as of 22nd March 2023
Price has triggered a SELL Signal today on account of the following reasons:
1) Hidden Bearish RSI Divergence as RSI puts in a Higher High but Price puts in a Lower High
2) Price has come back to Retest a Prior Support Zone which now can act as Resistance
3) Dow Theory Structure of Lower Highs and Lower Lows still intact so it is a Down Trend and NO Trend Reversal yet
4) Elliot Wave Count suggest Price is ready to start Wave Z down of its complex correction
Our Plan of Action is:
Short at Current Market Price= 2508
Stop Loss > 2550
for Downside Target Open to 2270
BPCL- Bullish HARMONIC Buy Signal!Attached: BPCL Weekly Chart as of 17th March 2023
Going by Harmonics:
A Bullish Anti Bat Pattern has got activated with this Week's Bullish Power Candle Close above 350. This is a BUY signal!🚀
Going by Dow Theory:
We see that Price has also put in its First Higher Low of 314 since the Lows of 288 back in October 2022. This is a Sign of a Trend Reversal Structure.
The Prior Trend was DOWN on the Weekly TF. Now it appears the Trend is turning on the UPSIDE.
Coming back to the Harmonic Pattern, our Plan of Action for a Positional Trade is:
Buy Entry triggered at Current Market Price of 351✅
Stop Loss can be placed below 52 week low which is ~ < 288⚠️
Upside Targets🎯 as follows:
T1= 380 to 400
T2= 480 to 500
T3= extension beyond 500 level, towards Prior ATH / New ATH
(Also do check out my related idea on BPCL which looks at the Daily TF)
...........
If I were to talk about some Fundamentals,
then BPCL also has a 4.5% Dividend Yield which is quite Attractive in a Rising Interest Rate Environment that the Global Economy currently is in
And so it is also a Buy if you consider the Dividend along with a Capital Appreciation potential📈
Bank Nifty- Bearish HARMONIC Trouble!Attached: BankNifty Weekly Chart as of 17th March 2023
A Bearish Anti Gartley Pattern had got activated in Bank Nifty
on the 23rd Jan Weekly Candle Sell Off (Big Red Candle that caused a 5%+ decline)
Since then there has been a follow up as Price continues to make Lower Highs and Lower Lows as evident in the Weekly Candles that have followed
This Week's Candle has also closed below the round figure mark of 40,000
Conclusion:
BankNifty is in a Bear Market just like Nifty 50 (see my other ideas for the same)
HOLDING BELOW 43,000
A DOWNSIDE TARGET of ~ 34,000 in the Bank Nifty is Open
IOLCP Time to GET IN ??!!!Chart pattern just explains the situation
Reasons
1. Dow theory respected.
2. Breakout with volume .
3. At 4 year old Support Trendline(from 2018).
Target & SL levels mentioned @ chart !!!
Let's wait & watch how it moves!!!!
Note - Just Sharing my view....not a tip nor advice!!!
Dow theory - 3 kinds of trend1. Primary trend (9months to 2 years)
2. Secondary trend (6 weeks to 9 months)
3. Minor trend (few days to few weeks)
> Black line is the primary trend
> Green lines are an example of a secondary trend.
> Blue lines are minor trend.
Always trade with harmony of a primary trend.
Note : only for learning.
New Low in Bank Nifty not confirmedClassic dow theory states that a new low in one index not confirmed by others indicates a potential trend reversal on cards. Nonconfirmation amounts to inter-market divergences that are bullish or bearish. In this situation, the new low in bank nifty today over the last few days is not confirmed by the Nifty. Even more, the outperformance of the Midcap 100 index below compared to the large cap indices shows that the broad market is not participating in the recent fall. All signs of bullish divergences. Ahead of the Union budget, the market is shaking out weak hands. The near triple bottom in Nifty is an interesting setup for the weeks ahead.