Possible Wave Counts on Daily Time Frame Chart of DXYMost investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
In this study we used Elliott Wave Theory & Structures, here we have plotted possible wave counts on daily time frame chart of DXY Dollar Index, it involves multiple possibilities, and the analysis presented focuses on one potential scenario. The provided information is for educational purposes only, not trading advice. There's a risk of being completely wrong.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com/u/RK_Charts/ is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
DXY
TRADE IDEA ON SHORT SIDE - US DOLLAR INDEX (DXY)Symbol - DXY
DXY is currently trading at 109.16
My reversal setup has formed in DXY & I'm seeing a trading opportunity on sell side.
Shorting DXY at CMP 109.16
I will add more position if 109.65 comes & will hold with SL 110.05
Targets I'm expecting are 108.00 - 107.30 & below.
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
USDCHF - TRADE ON SHORT SIDESymbol - USDCHF
USDCHF is currently trading at 0.9118
I'm seeing a trading opportunity on sell side.
Shorting USDCHF pair at CMP 0.9118
I will add more quantity at 0.9165, If comes. Holding with SL 0.9210
Targets I'm expecting are 0.9010 - 0.8945 & 0.8880
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
GBPUSD LONG - TRADE IDEA FOR HUGE PROFITSymbol - GBPUSD
GBPUSD is currently trading at 1.2310
I'm seeing a trading opportunity on buy side.
Buying GBPUSD pair at CMP 1.2310
I will be adding more if 1.2270 comes & will hold with SL 1.2240
Targets I'm expecting are 1.2430 - 1.270 & above
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
Bearish Divergence on DXY , What’s Next?The DXY appears primed for a significant drop. On the daily timeframe, a clear bearish divergence has formed, suggesting potential downside movement. Key support levels should be monitored, particularly in relation to the RSI. If the RSI holds around the 50 level, we could see a potential bounce; however, a continued drop into the oversold zone is also possible. The DXY's movement may also be influenced by the FOMC minutes release on January 9th, adding another layer of significance to these levels.
Bearish Divergence on DXY , What’s Next?The DXY appears primed for a significant drop. On the daily timeframe, a clear bearish divergence has formed, suggesting potential downside movement. Key support levels should be monitored, particularly in relation to the RSI. If the RSI holds around the 50 level, we could see a potential bounce; however, a continued drop into the oversold zone is also possible. The DXY's movement may also be influenced by the FOMC minutes release on January 9th, adding another layer of significance to these levels.
DXY $ since 1972, FED Pivots and What now for ALTS coins ?DXY $ since 1972 and Rate Cuts
When the FED cuts rates, the $ Drops in value most of the time as can be seen here on the chart below
( I have not "Boxed" the current FED Rate cuts to make it easier to see the PA )
This time it has continued to Rise for a number of reasons.
In Fact, ever since that Banking "Accident" in 2008, the DXY has gained in value, on average, but thats another story.
FED has said that Cuts may not occur in 2025. This Could once again make the $ a more attractive buy if other markets are falling. Then the $ could Stop being propped up !
Normally, as $ rises, Crypto struggles - again, we have seen BTC rise at the same time as the $ since July this year.
It is ALTS that have struggled and this may very well continue.
Normally, we wait for BTC/D to drop and then the Money flows into ALTS.. but if the money remains in Bitcoin, the ALT market requires an alternative source of income.
Could we see the DXY $ loose that money ?
But the pause in Rate Cuts may stop that
That War in Finance continues.
TradFi Lost round 1 and now Bitcoin is accepted, used, alllowed and is King. This is why the $ Will remain in Bitcoin, ETF's etc. We may see outflows every now and then but certainly Not the amount that drives the ALT market normally.
Will we even see a bear market again ?
ALTS however, they are the Minions that may yet suffer
The War continues and DeFi, for example, needs to step up and REALLY make it self a Lot more user friendly, attractive and bigger gains in use, stake cases.
2025 is going to be very interesting and Volatile
Don't Get Burnt. Be Cautious, the gains could be huge....as could the losses
USDCAD - SWING TRADE IDEA ON SHORT SIDESymbol - USDCAD
USDCAD is currently trading at 1.4325
I'm seeing a trading opportunity on sell side.
Shorting USDCAD pair at CMP 1.4325
I will add more quantity at 1.4350 & 1.4380, If comes. Holding with SL 1.4420
Targets I'm expecting are 1.4250 - 1.4200 & 1.4155
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
DXY Bearish Setup Update - DXY is currently trading at 105.7 and it exactly got rejected from my POI
- DXY looks all set to mitigate 103.8, bringing more upside to all pairs denominated by USD, risky assets like Crypto, and Stocks.
- Watch out for 103.8 and 101.9 to expect another leg up from
- We have a market structure shift from 103.3 if we flip below that on a weekly TF, we might soon see DXY turning bearish.
- DXY can soon show impulsive moves on Monday post bullish commentaries
Gold : The fundamental context and goals have both changedOANDA:XAUUSD The breakout of the local downtrend channel has disadvantaged sellers. The fundamental background is changing, despite continued USD buying and the prevailing risk-off environment, which overall favors gold as a safe-haven asset during times of crisis.
The stronger USD, supported by the ongoing "Trump trade" rally, and US bond yields have rebounded across various maturities.
Despite the optimism around the USD, gold prices remain resilient and benefit from escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine.
Therefore, gold prices are likely to continue their growth in the near term before today’s scheduled news (PMI)... However! Since this is pre-news before session closing, reactions may consolidate for sellers before further strengthening.
Technically, gold has every opportunity to retest the boundaries of the previously broken channel. However, based on fundamental news and technical factors, we can conclude that further growth may continue.
Prices are heading toward a liquidity zone, from which a correction may occur, followed by expected further strengthening in the near term. But in any case, I prioritize and consider buying upon a clear breakout of gold at 2686 - 2700, targeting the medium-term highs as outlined on the chart.
DXY PARABOLIC SETUP Update- DXY is currently trading at 107.4
- DXY has made a lot of USD-denominated pairs bleed and they are still getting slaughtered
- DXY is currently at a point where there's a lot of limit sell stops above the buy side liquidity
- Once the orders are consumed we might see another round of Impulse up to the marked displacement of 110-111$
- DXY pumping along with the Equity market, Crypto isn't a good sign there's a negative smart money divergence laying that's trapping and sucking liquidity from retail suckers.
- Sit at the sidelines and keep locking in gains until you see DXY flipping its structure to bearish
- Retail pattern traders might get flushed when they call this a double bottom.
Dollar Looks Vulnerable : Here’s My Take on What’s Coming Next!Price has recently taken out an Old High and has now reached an Imbalanced price range, which is more evident on the Weekly Timeframe.
This move has presented buyside liquidity for sellers by taking out the Old High and simultaneously offered fair value by entering into an imbalanced price range (FVG / SIBI - 1W Timeframe).
From here, price may now head lower towards the Draw on Liquidity, with Sellside Liquidity as the next objective, as shown in the chart.
This is how I see it, though I’d advise you to do your own analysis.
Gold-> Buyer Back Yet?After suffering significant losses last week, gold has regained its recovery momentum and is trading positively above $2,600 on Monday. The fundamental backdrop supports this recovery. Key resistance levels at $2,518 and $2,628 now divide the market into two distinct zones.
Meanwhile, market participants are awaiting moves from several Fed officials this week to gain further insights into the U.S. interest rate trajectory.
The most likely scenario at the moment is a slight recovery in gold prices following the recent steep sell-off, with expectations for gold to climb higher after several reversals in the USD.
In the medium term, bulls need to reassess U.S. policy planning in December, as the Fed is expected to hold rates steady in January. This has not been fully priced into the market, so any adjustments could pose challenges for gold.
Technically, since the market opened, prices have climbed considerably, increasing the likelihood of resistance capping further upward movement. A false breakout at $2,589 and subsequent consolidation below this zone would strengthen selling pressure. However, there is potential for a retest of $2,618 (Order Block).
Similarly, a failed breakout could trigger selling momentum. But if the fundamentals align strongly in favor of gold, the market may have a chance to shift the local trend from the $2,618 zone.
GBPUSDFX:GBPUSD Back to the liquidity test above after the free fall. The pair lacks bullish conviction amid a stable US dollar and as investors choose to wait for the Bank of England (BoE) Monetary Policy Report Hearing before placing strong bets.
A clear bearish wave is forming on the larger timeframe, on the smaller timeframe the downtrend is formed based on negative fundamentals, which only strengthened after Trump's victory. Therefore, any strong resistance can easily hold the market.
On H4, it is trying to break out of the main range, breaking the main support level. A consolidation is forming inside the channel, if sellers hold the 1.269 - 1.277 zone, we can expect a decline towards the areas of interest in the medium term.
Resistance: 1.282 - 1.277 and 1.269
Support: 1.259 - 1.247 and 1.231
The focus is on the resistance level mentioned above, as the further struggle and movement of the market depends on this important zone at this point. The bearish structure will be broken when the local high at 1.282 i.e. (0.5 fib) is broken and the price consolidates above this zone.
Update latest gold price today !Hello everyone!
Gold has been in a steady decline since the start of the week, currently sitting at 2561, with strong indications that this downtrend may persist. The key 2550 level is still fiercely contested, keeping traders on edge.
The market remains clouded with apprehension, especially with recent developments in the U.S. following Donald Trump's election as president. This lingering uncertainty may continue to weigh heavily on gold.
At the moment, all attention is focused on the upcoming October Producer Price Index (PPI) report in the U.S. Analysts are forecasting a year-over-year increase of 2.3% for October, a notable jump from September's 1.8%. If both the CPI and PPI show further inflationary pressure, the Federal Reserve could be pushed to raise interest rates, which could apply even more pressure on gold prices. A stronger U.S. dollar would make gold trading and holding costs more expensive, potentially intensifying the sell-off.
Technically speaking, the battle at 2550 is far from over, and there’s a strong likelihood of a brief pullback before continuing the downward trend. This could mean a possible retest of the 2600-2580 resistance zone before resuming its decline. Chart patterns suggest that if the correction unfolds as anticipated—possibly in line with an Elliott wave impulse—the target could be around 2485, a drop of over 1000 pips from the resistance level.
Stay tuned for more developments as this situation unfolds!
Gold -> How Long Will the Adjustment Last? Emphasis on $2,600Hello, dear friends!
Gold (XAU/USD) extended its recovery early this week, reaching the critical $2,600 mark and ending a six-day losing streak after a false breakout and a retest of $2,546. This rally has been fueled by escalating geopolitical tensions as the U.S. authorized Ukraine to use long-range weapons to strike Russia.
However, the market remains under significant pressure. The USD and bond yields continue to rise, while the Federal Reserve maintains a hawkish stance. Economic struggles in Europe are weakening the euro, driving demand for the USD and further weighing on gold.
This week, the gold market is expected to remain subdued with limited major economic data releases. Key areas to watch include U.S. housing data, the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, and comments from Federal Reserve officials.
Gold is currently testing the critical resistance zone at $2,600–$2,589. A false breakout here could trigger strong selling, reinforcing bearish momentum. Conversely, a modest pullback followed by a decline to $2,546 would solidify a clearer downtrend. Keep a close watch!
DXY Ready to Soar?📈 DXY Analysis & Forecast (US Dollar Index) 🚀
Current Structure:
The DXY appears to be in the middle of an impulsive wave sequence based on Elliott Wave theory, currently moving within the 4th wave correction phase. The overall structure shows a clear upward trend, supported by a rising trendline that has consistently held as support. We can observe a potential breakout setup, with a contracting triangle pattern indicating a breakout to the upside.
Key Technical Points:
Wave Count Analysis:
🌀 Wave (1) initiated a strong bullish move after breaking out of the downward channel.
🔄 Wave (2) saw a retracement, respecting the previous resistance level that turned into support.
🚀 Wave (3) was an impulsive rally, taking the DXY to new highs and confirming bullish momentum.
📉 Wave (4) is forming a consolidation, resembling a bullish pennant pattern, indicating a continuation of the uptrend.
Key Support & Resistance Levels:
Support: The price is currently holding above the key support zone at 106.20, which aligns with the trendline.
Resistance: The next target for the bulls would be the previous swing high at 107.40, which is the completion zone for Wave (5).
Indicators & Patterns:
📊 The ascending trendline continues to support the bullish bias.
🔼 A breakout above the 106.80 - 107.00 range could trigger a push towards the 107.40 level.
⚡ Watch for potential fake-outs; a break below 106.20 may invalidate the bullish scenario.
📅 Forecast:
The DXY is poised for an upward move as long as the 106.20 support holds. If the breakout above 106.80 is confirmed, we could see the DXY reaching the 107.40 mark, completing the 5th wave of the current bullish cycle. A decisive close above 107.40 might lead to further gains, potentially aiming for the 108.00 level.
📊 What are your thoughts on this setup? Are you bullish on the DXY? Drop yourcomment below! 👇
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US DOLLAR INDEX - TRADE IDEA ON SHORT SIDESymbol - DXY
DXY is currently trading at 105.57
My reversal setup has formed in DXY & I'm seeing a trading opportunity on sell side.
Shorting DXY at CMP 105.57
I will add more position if 106.00 comes & will hold with SL 106.30
Targets I'm expecting are 104.75 - 104.30 - 103.73 & below.
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
DXY - TRADE OPPORTUNITY ON SHORT SIDESymbol - DXY
DXY is currently trading at 104.72
My reversal setup has formed in DXY & I'm seeing a trading opportunity on sell side.
Shorting DXY at CMP 104.72
I will add more position if 104.45 comes & will hold with SL 104.75
Targets I'm expecting are 103.25 - 102.75 - 102.15
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
DXY Analysis: Bearish Trend Signals Potential Drop📊 DXY Analysis (2H Chart) 🧐
The U.S. Dollar Index is currently in a consolidation phase around the 104.50 level after a sharp drop from the recent highs. Let’s break down what the technicals are signaling:
1. Bearish Structure 📉:
• The index has been trading within a descending channel, which indicates a prevailing bearish trend.
• A significant Cross Doji candle at the top hints at a potential reversal, followed by strong bearish momentum.
2. Key Levels to Watch 🔍:
• Resistance Zone: The DXY is consolidating below the 104.60 level, which is acting as a key resistance. Multiple rejections around this area could signify strong selling pressure.
• Support Zone: The next major support lies around the 103.60 level, aligning with the lower boundary of the channel.
3. EMA Dynamic Resistance 💡:
• The 50-period EMA (green line) is currently acting as a dynamic resistance. A sustained move below this EMA can add further downside pressure.
4. Potential Scenario 🔮:
• If the DXY fails to break above the 104.60 resistance, we could see a drop towards the 104.00 level initially.
• A break below the 104.00 support might accelerate the move toward the 103.60 zone, completing the bearish leg.
📉 Bearish Outlook: Unless we see a breakout above the consolidation zone and a close above the descending channel, the bias remains bearish for the DXY in the short term.
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DXY gearing up for a big fallDate: 30 Oct’24
Symbol: DXY
Timeframe: Weekly
US Dollar Currency Index currently seems to be in final stages of Wave (e) of B. One more leg up and DXY will be ready to head lower sharply and in a big way. It is likely to head towards 90 and lower. This also means with DXY treading lower, Nifty is likely to witness an up move.
This is not a trade recommendation. Please do your own analysis.
US Dollar Currency Index vartamaan mein Wave B (e) ke antim charan mein lagta hai. Ek aur pair upar aur DXY teji se aur bade paimaane par neeche jaane ke lie taiyaar hoga. Iske 90 aur usase kam kee or badhane kee sambhaavana hai. Iska matalab yah bhee hai ki DXY ke nichale star par chalane se Nifty mein teji dekhne ko mil sakti hai.
Yah koi trade karne ki salah nahin hai. Kripya apana vishleshan khud karen.
Gold : on Hold from last week ..What next?Last week gold printed a indecisive candle on weekly time frame ..the current price action formation is a tringle and price will remain indecisive under this formation ..For Intra day we have to wait for breakout (on confirmation) and then we can trade in direction of breakout...Last week we have seen a good bullish candle on DXY , and we have seen that gold remained under pressure due to that ...For this week also we can expect more higher level on DXY which can push the gold price in lower side ...In lower side we can plan buy trade near weekly S1 (2626) or at weekly S2 (2600 area).
(Overall it's a buy the Dip scenario on Higher TF )