#DXY:- US Dollar Index Analysis for short to medium term
What is DXY? DXY is the U.S. dollar index (USDX) is a measure of the value of the U.S. dollar relative to the value of a basket of currencies of the majority of the U.S.'s most significant trading partners. This index is similar to other trade-weighted indexes, which also use the exchange rates from the same major currencies.
The US Dollar Index is used to measure the value of the dollar against a basket of six world currencies - Euro, Swiss Franc, Japanese Yen, Canadian dollar, British pound, and Swedish Krona.
The index was established shortly after the Bretton Woods Agreement dissolved in 1973 with a base of 100, and values since then are relative to this base.
The value of the index is a fair indication of the dollar’s value in global markets.
Interpreting and Trading U.S. Dollar Index (USDX)
An index value of 120 suggests that the U.S. dollar has appreciated 20% versus the basket of currencies over the time period in question. Simply put, if the USDX goes up, that means the U.S. dollar is gaining strength or value when compared to the other currencies. Similarly, if the index is currently 80, falling 20 from its initial value, that implies that it has depreciated 20%. The appreciation and depreciation results are a factor of the time period in question.
The U.S. dollar index allows traders to monitor the value of the USD compared to a basket of select currencies in a single transaction. It also allows them to hedge their bets against any risks concerning the dollar. It is possible to incorporate futures or options strategies on the USDX. These financial products currently trade on the New York Board of Trade. Investors can use the index to hedge general currency moves or speculate. The index is also available indirectly as part of exchange-traded funds (ETFs), options, or mutual funds.
Source: - Investopedia .com site
Elliot Wave Analysis of DXY: -
We seem to have completed the 5th Wave of correction around 89, the immediate resistance is around is 91.238, after which we might see a sharp up move, which is a serious threat to the global stock market because it is inversely related to equities.
DXY
The U.S. Dollar Index rise in the short-termThe U.S. Dollar Index ( DXY ) rise in the short-term, but will downtrend in the long term.
Jan.06 2021, U.S.Capitol riots
U.S.Dollar index rebounded, because capitol riots that be global markets money entry U.S.Dollar.
U.S.Dollar index rebounded until Jan.20 presidential inauguration, and U.S.Dollar index will downtrend.
Reliability: 3-10 Markets Days.
Are we on the verge of a US Market drop?Hello.
My name is François Normandeau
Here is an ADX-BRIEFING related to the 10-Year US Treasury Notes .
Currently, on the daily charts ,
all the indicators we are using are mentioning that the US Dollar Index
TVC:DXY
is currently in a confirmed downtrend.
Historically, there is a strong positive correlation between the US Dollar Index and the US Treasury Notes.
if DXY drops, ZN1! drops... if DXY rises, ZN1! rises... relatively speaking and all things being equal.
If anyone is currently keeping a major long position related to the US Bond market,
then this correlation is worth considering.
More details about this post, as well as a video analysis, later today, on our site .
Wishing you a great week,
François Normandeau
Institutional Research Director at ADX-BRIEFING
Weekly analysis for XAUUSD, Oct 26-30Gold against Dollar pair , has traded sideways in the month of October , traded between the range between 1874 - 1932, price closes last week at 1902, it looks like the price actions supports the bearish move in the upcoming week, if it breaks the levels of 1880 at the bottom, it might go deep down of 1856 ,
If its not breaks the level of 1880 , then there is fair chance of going upwards and pave its new path for November ,
Note - analysis given for education purpose only.
DXY has broke the upperside trend line and .50Fibonaaci aheadDXY has managed to broke the trend line yesterday with strong bullish candle and reached 93.50 level and currently DXY is in consolidation phase.93.67 and the .50 Fibonacci will act as decent resistance for the bull. If this levels are broken then we may expect DXY will reach 94.75 level
THE BIG FIVE...CORRELATIONOCT. 7 and OCT. 19. (in purple)
NASDAQ : USDYEN : EURUSD : DXY : SILVER
These BIG FIVE have consistent direct and inverse relationships with each other
(for example: the USDYEN predicts the movement of the US-indices)
AND on these two(2) dates their EW-WAVES area ALL lining up.
According to my count which has been unfolding since last Friday
Dollar Rebound - RSI/MACD Divergence & Stretched PositioningShort term dollar bottom?
Stretched CFTC net long positioning has started to unwind a little as well.
Plus Euro which is a big component, also has seen stretched positioning and now we are seeing resurgence of cases in most major European countries.
XAUUSD , WEEKLY ANALYSIS SEP 7-11Gold against Dollar , have been trading within a triangle almost a month , last Friday , it did tries to do escape out of the August Triangle. unsuccessful but made a initiative there to go short from that triangle..this week it may hit the resistance at 1965 area, then the breakout from triangle may happen.expect it go down till 1890..overall anticipating a bearish XAUUSD move..
note- only for education purpose, technical analysis are subjected to change..
DXY - Inverted Head and shoulders reversal An inverted head and shoulders pattern has formed in DXY hourly. Watch for a level above 93.70 for a move to 94.80. This may very well be the reversal on the shorter term chart which would confirm that DXY has bottomed and on a path towards 98 in a few weeks/months time.
if this pattern is confirmed, we can see some corresponding correction in Metals and EM equities.
Risk to dollar or the basket currencies ?DXY is on edge of the support at 96. RSI has formed positive divergence but yet not turned up. Circle marks the perfect support which should be touched by 23-26th July, if it has to work. The overall frame of the trend is still pointing 94 but positive divergence can't be ruled out. Better to be on the sideline and see which support is in motion. If it comes to 94 then the overall trend, started at 103, will get complete and we might see a bounce from there towards 96-98 zone.