DXY #Dollarindex Trade Setup DXY/Dollar Index is currently trading near an overhead supply
- It will be very crucial to watch how it exactly reacts to its overhead supply
- IMO even if we see a good reaction from the overhead supply it will be still important to watch the reaction.
- From a long perspective it's better to wait out and first let the breakout happen - let the base form - let it take some grabs and then scout for longs
#dollarindex #dxy
DXY
dxy analysisTrade Idea:
📍 Entry: 🎯 Target: ⛔ Stop Loss: (MARKED IN CHART)
💡 RISK REWARD 1 : 3 ,5 ,10
💰 Risk 1% of your trading capital.
⚠️ Markets can be unpredictable; research before trading.Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Elliott Wave analysis and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions.Informational onLY !!!!
EUR/USD Trade Setup - The Euro still looks bullish when compared to the USD
- The USD has shown some huge downside, now we can expect some relief and bounce back
- The Euro still shows signs of bearishness IMO.
- The Euro can rip your longs if you are looking for one, prefer setting up long-only bias once the base is set and the trend in intact.
Inverse 🥶If Dxy sustain on 103 ( marked in the chart) then a upside momentum to (110 feb 2024)--(115 sep 2024) is possible, which could impact the US stock market and in some cases Indian market too .
Disclaimer :
It's a personal view not a financial advise and I assume no responsibility and liability whatever outcome arises.
The USD decreased later, but will recover after the Fed raises iData released last week raised hopes that the Fed could begin easing monetary conditions sooner than expected after the job market slowed and price inflation showed signs of cooling. Lower interest rates put downward pressure on the dollar and bond yields, increasing the appeal of non-interest-bearing bullion.
The decline in the DXY index paused last week. Last week, this index sometimes fell to its lowest level and has rebounded from that mark. Although developments over the past week are bringing some positive signs for the USD, in the long term, the greenback's upward momentum is still weak. Therefore, any recovery in the near term will be short-lived and it is likely that the USD can only rise to a certain threshold.
DXY fell sharply after weak US economic dataWeak economic data, along with CPI and PPI data released earlier this week, reinforced the view that the Fed's rate hike cycle is over. This has strongly affected US government bond yields and caused the 10-year government bond yield to fall below 4.45%, approaching the lowest level since the end of September.
With the market expecting the Fed to gradually loosen monetary policy, gold prices may maintain an upward trend in the short term. This scenario will be confirmed if US economic data continues to weaken.
DXY: DXY technical analysis todayThe three major US stock indices continued to eke out small gains while bonds
rebounded from Monday’s corrective move lower, pushing yields down again.
Several Fed speaks turned out hawkish still despite last week’s dovish pause
and data weakness seen in the labour and services sectors. Fed Logan said
inflation still remains too high. Fed Waller said the spike in yields was an
“earthquake” for the bond market, while Fed Bowman said it was too soon for
policy makers to know the full effects of the recent rise. Earlier in European
and Asian sessions, stocks ended in the red as weaker than expected China
exports stoke fear growth in the economic giant is cooling much more than
expected. Futures are pointing to mixed openings in the Asia markets today.
• Global bonds rebounded and drove yields lower again by and large. The UST
curve shifted lower by 2-9bps across the curve led by the long ends, bull
flattening the curve. 10Y European bond yields also fell about 8-10bps with
the German bunds losing 8bps to 2.66% while the UK gilts shed 10bps to
4.27%
DXY: The trend I predict todayLast week, the DXY Index fell below the 106 mark, then continued to fall to the 105.50-105 range. In the short term, the risk of a trend reversal will only appear if the DXY index slips below 105. The decline is driven by the Fed's dovish stance and that will likely cause the greenback to decline. at least for a short while.
DXY : Today it is likely to recover slightly and continue to dec DXY today is likely to recover slightly and continue to decline, currently DXY is still in the bearish channel and today the news may be bad for DXY because non-agricultural employment is forecast to be bad so the possibility of a decrease in DXY is huge
DXY formed a downtrendThe DXY chart on the 1D frame formed a bullish leaf, but yesterday DXY had a false breakout, so it is likely that today DXY will tend to decrease, tomorrow there will be news of Non-Farm Employment Change, if the news is bad, DXY may dropped to 104.28, on the 1D chart stochastic is in the overbought area and is trending down, RSI is also trending down. On the H4 chart, stochastic is falling very strongly and so is RSI, so it is likely that DXY today will fall in the range of 106.12 - 105.68 and 105.68 also coincides with the 200 EMA, tomorrow there is news that DXY may fall to 104.28.
DXY : is likely to decrease slightly and recover today. Yesterday DXY fell quite strongly and today the 1D DXY frame is likely to fall forming a head and shoulders pattern, on the daily chart the histogram has begun to gradually decrease and the stochastic has left the overbought area and is showing a downward trend, at The H4 stochastic chart is below the oversold area and the histogram has a negative value, so DXY is likely to decrease slightly and recover today.
Crazy times aheadLooks like the consolidation over for DXY and its ready to fly "Higher for Longer"
Some may call it a flag pattern breakout.
Momentum Oscillator also after retracing back to 77-80 is rising again.
Super move ahead!
Equities, commodities are in for a roller-coaster ride.
Saavdhan Rahein Surakshit Rahein