(DXY) Short Setup: Reversal Expected from Resistance Zone1. Entry Point: ~102.430
The price is currently below this level at 101.583, suggesting a potential short setup once the entry level is reached or confirmed.
2. Stop Loss: ~103.196
This is the price level where losses are limited if the trade moves against the intended direction. It's placed above a strong resistance zone.
3. Resistance Point: ~100.580
This was a previous resistance level which has now been broken, indicating a bullish push. The current price is above this, which may signal a breakout.
4. EA Target Point: ~97.857
The take-profit level, significantly lower, indicating a bearish target. This suggests a short position is intended from the entry point.
Indicators and Signals
The chart uses moving averages (likely 50 EMA and 200 EMA), and the price has surged above them, often a bullish signal.
However, the analysis seems to anticipate a reversal from the 102.430 level, expecting a drop back down toward 97.857.
The move from the current price to the target would be a 4.40% decline, a significant move for an index.
Trade Plan Summary
Trade Type: Likely a short/sell from the 102.430 level.
Risk: ~0.77 (103.196 - 102.430)
Reward: ~4.57 (102.430 - 97.857)
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Approx. 1:6, which is favorable if the setup works out.
Dxysignals
"Plan the Short: DXY Targeting 98.004 "2. Current Price:
Around 99.587 💵
3. Indicators:
EMA 70 (Exponential Moving Average) ➡️ 99.442 📈
Price is dancing around the EMA, meaning trend is a bit bullish for now.
4. Chart Pattern:
Price moving inside an ascending channel 📈➰
Bouncing between channel support and resistance levels ⚡
5. Trading Plan:
Wait for price to reach the blue resistance zone ⬛ (around 100.5 to 100.9)
Look for sell (short) signals after reaching there ⛔
Expecting a reversal and drop down to target 98.004 🎯
6. Stop Loss & Target:
STOP LOSS: 🔴 100.870 (above resistance zone)
TARGET: 🎯 98.004
7. Key Observations:
Current Trend: Short-term bullish 📈 inside channel
Expected Move: Reach blue box ➡️ sell ➡️ fall toward 98.004 📉
News Events: Upcoming 📅🔔 (could create volatility)
Summary:
* 📈 Uptrend inside a channel.
* ⬛ Wait for price to hit the blue zone (100.5–100.9).
* ⛔ Look for short signals in the zone.
* 🔴 Stop Loss: 100.870.
* 🎯 Target: 98.004.
* ⚡ Watch out for news events that can move the market!
"DXY Bearish Setup: Sell from SBR Zone with Target at 97.800"1. Trendline Support Break:
🟡🟡🟡🟡
These yellow dots mark previous higher lows on the ascending trendline — now broken, hinting at a possible bearish reversal.
2. EMA (7):
🟠 ➖
This orange line is the 7-period EMA, hovering above the price, showing bearish momentum in the short term.
3. SBR + DBD Zone (Sell Zone):
🔵 SBR/DBD Zone
📍 Entry Point: 99.880
❌ Stoploss: 100.390
This blue zone is a Sell on Rally area. The chart suggests price might revisit this zone and then face rejection.
4. Price Projection Path:
↗️🔁📉
A potential retest of resistance followed by a strong drop is projected. The zigzag line drawn shows the expected movement.
5. Target Point:
🎯 Target: 97.800
📉 Expected drop of 2.04% from entry.
This is the price where the trade aims to take profit.
6. Summary:
🔽 Bearish Bias
🎯 Sell near 99.880
❌ SL at 100.390
✅ TP at 97.800
EMA 30 (Red Line): Currently at 99.700 — tracks short-term trendEMA 30 (Red Line): Currently at 99.700 — tracks short-term trend, and price is hovering near this level.
EMA 200 (Blue Line): At 100.935 — indicates long-term trend, acting as dynamic resistance above.
📈 Trade Setup
✅ Entry Point:
Price: 99.699
Rationale: This level has been tested multiple times, forming a support zone. A bounce here signals a potential long entry.
🎯 Target Point (Take Profit):
Price: 102.738
Distance: ~3.04 points or 3.43% potential move upward.
Note: Marked as EA TARGET POINT, which suggests a calculated area possibly based on previous resistance or algorithmic strategy.
🛑 Stop Loss:
Price: 98.624
Reasoning: Just below the defined support zone (highlighted purple area), ensuring protection against downside breakouts.
📊 Risk-to-Reward Ratio
Entry: 99.699
Target: 102.738 → Gain of ~3.04
Stop: 98.624 → Risk of ~1.08
R/R Ratio: ~2.8:1 — favorable setup
📌 Overall Sentiment
This chart indicates a bullish reversal setup from a strong support zone, possibly targeting a mean reversion or trend reversal toward the 200 EMA and beyond.
However, keep in mind:
The price is currently below both EMAs, so the trend is still bearish.
The trade is counter-trend, relying on support holding and momentum shifting.
"USD Index Short Setup – Bearish Rejection from Supply Zone (DBD📉 Downtrend confirmed
➖ Lower highs and lower lows
➖ EMA (7) is sloping downward and acting as resistance
➖ Bearish momentum continues
Key Zones & Levels
🔵 Supply Zone (DBD)
🔹 Zone: 99.540 – 99.681
🔹 Label: “Drop-Base-Drop”
🔹 This is where sellers stepped in before – price is retesting it
🔹 Expecting a rejection from this area.
Trade Setup
📍 Entry Point:
🔹 Enter short around 99.540 – 99.681
❌ Stop Loss:
🔺 Set above the zone at 100.211
🚫 Protects against fakeouts
🎯 Target Point:
🔻 Target at 97.300
💰 Risk-Reward: 1:2.4 (Good!)
Visual Summary
📍 Entry: 99.540
❌ Stop Loss: 100.211
🎯 Target: 97.300
📉 Overall Bias: Bearish
✅ Strong RR setup with trend confirmation
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) –Key Resistance& Bearish Target Analysis📊 Key Observations:
🔵 Resistance Zone (📍~103.5 Level)
A strong resistance area (🔵 blue box) is marked, indicating potential selling pressure if the price reaches this level.
The price is moving upwards (📈) towards this resistance, so watch for rejection or breakout.
🔵 Support/Target Zone (📍~101.5 Level)
A lower support zone (🔵 blue box) is marked as the bearish target 🎯.
If the price fails at resistance, it may head downwards (📉) to this level.
📉 Recent Price Action:
🚀 Sharp drop followed by a rebound (📈).
The price is currently moving back up (🔼), possibly forming a lower high before another drop.
📌 Exponential Moving Average (DEMA 9 - 102.488)
The price is hovering above the 9-period DEMA (📏), showing short-term bullish momentum.
If the price rejects resistance and falls below the DEMA, a bearish continuation (📉) is likely.
🚀 Potential Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Breakout: If price breaks above 🔵 resistance, it may continue rising (📈) to higher levels.
❌ Bearish Rejection: If price fails at resistance, expect a drop (📉) towards 101.5 🎯.
DXY Ready to Soar?📈 DXY Analysis & Forecast (US Dollar Index) 🚀
Current Structure:
The DXY appears to be in the middle of an impulsive wave sequence based on Elliott Wave theory, currently moving within the 4th wave correction phase. The overall structure shows a clear upward trend, supported by a rising trendline that has consistently held as support. We can observe a potential breakout setup, with a contracting triangle pattern indicating a breakout to the upside.
Key Technical Points:
Wave Count Analysis:
🌀 Wave (1) initiated a strong bullish move after breaking out of the downward channel.
🔄 Wave (2) saw a retracement, respecting the previous resistance level that turned into support.
🚀 Wave (3) was an impulsive rally, taking the DXY to new highs and confirming bullish momentum.
📉 Wave (4) is forming a consolidation, resembling a bullish pennant pattern, indicating a continuation of the uptrend.
Key Support & Resistance Levels:
Support: The price is currently holding above the key support zone at 106.20, which aligns with the trendline.
Resistance: The next target for the bulls would be the previous swing high at 107.40, which is the completion zone for Wave (5).
Indicators & Patterns:
📊 The ascending trendline continues to support the bullish bias.
🔼 A breakout above the 106.80 - 107.00 range could trigger a push towards the 107.40 level.
⚡ Watch for potential fake-outs; a break below 106.20 may invalidate the bullish scenario.
📅 Forecast:
The DXY is poised for an upward move as long as the 106.20 support holds. If the breakout above 106.80 is confirmed, we could see the DXY reaching the 107.40 mark, completing the 5th wave of the current bullish cycle. A decisive close above 107.40 might lead to further gains, potentially aiming for the 108.00 level.
📊 What are your thoughts on this setup? Are you bullish on the DXY? Drop yourcomment below! 👇
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DXY Analysis: Bearish Trend Signals Potential Drop📊 DXY Analysis (2H Chart) 🧐
The U.S. Dollar Index is currently in a consolidation phase around the 104.50 level after a sharp drop from the recent highs. Let’s break down what the technicals are signaling:
1. Bearish Structure 📉:
• The index has been trading within a descending channel, which indicates a prevailing bearish trend.
• A significant Cross Doji candle at the top hints at a potential reversal, followed by strong bearish momentum.
2. Key Levels to Watch 🔍:
• Resistance Zone: The DXY is consolidating below the 104.60 level, which is acting as a key resistance. Multiple rejections around this area could signify strong selling pressure.
• Support Zone: The next major support lies around the 103.60 level, aligning with the lower boundary of the channel.
3. EMA Dynamic Resistance 💡:
• The 50-period EMA (green line) is currently acting as a dynamic resistance. A sustained move below this EMA can add further downside pressure.
4. Potential Scenario 🔮:
• If the DXY fails to break above the 104.60 resistance, we could see a drop towards the 104.00 level initially.
• A break below the 104.00 support might accelerate the move toward the 103.60 zone, completing the bearish leg.
📉 Bearish Outlook: Unless we see a breakout above the consolidation zone and a close above the descending channel, the bias remains bearish for the DXY in the short term.
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DXY 1D Timeframe ProjectionDXY 1D Timeframe Projection
DXY - Data Global forecasts say it will decline. Yes, it may, but the dollar is still rising today.
DISCLAIMER: All labelling and wave counts are done by me manually and I will keep changing according to the LIVE MARKET PRICE ACTION. So don't be bias, hope on my trade plans...try to learn, and make your strategy... Following is not that easy...
DXY next week overview - !06.500 or !03.800 ???the upcoming week ahead bring alot of volatility have days with events and major ones
Recap -
the previous week was more based on sharp turns that has tested important level and broken important level
but left behind some imbalance that given a strong sign or outperformance by DXY
What to Expect - 104.300 the price breakout now the upside potential liquidity would be 105
and there after we have higher time frame (M, W) bearish order block
but the price with big bars has left behind some fair value area
which might holding some good liquidity to fuel if the price expect the upside momentum
Key Area -
keep eye on 103.700 > 103.400 > 102.850
conclusion try to buy with limit order on key area rather than going short
dxy analysistargets green
entry point blue
sl red
..RRR 1:2 , 1:4
Considering the ABC correction wave in DXY, a potential short opportunity arises during the B-wave's rebound. This setup offers an attractive risk-reward ratio, targeting the expected C-wave decline. Caution: Monitor closely for any sudden changes.
Dollar Index Chart over H4 Chart.US Dollar Index in 20-year peaks
The index extends the optimism seen at the beginning of the week and trade beyond the 108.00 mark for the first time since October 2002, always underpinned by the unabated sell-off in the euro.
The move higher in the dollar comes on the back of diminishing US yields, as recession concerns seem to prompt investors to seek shelter in the safe haven universe for the time being.
Friday’s release of the June Payrolls, however, appear to have mitigated part of those worries and now favour the continuation of the current pace of the Fed’s normalization process.
Speaking about recession fears, the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow sees the economy contracting 1.2% in the April-June period (from a 1.9% contraction recorded previously).
DXYDear traders,
As I have been accustomed to in recent months and this time my technical analysis had an accuracy rate of over 95% and I will try to continue to keep this percentage as long as possible
as I said on last weeks ... DXY reached target 1 which I set from where it rejected to the resistance area of 92600
from here I expect a small retreat and then I will continue BUY to target 2 and complete W
THIS WEEK...this week I will draw a parallel between the 1 week chart and the 1 month chart because the month has just ended and I would like to know what to expect ...
Exactly as I said ... DXY has passed target 1 and is heading towards target 2 which complete W,from where it will have a strong rejection to the 93,500 area and from there even to 91,900 ... from where the ascent begins again ...
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GREAT ATTENTION:
*This information is not a Financial Advice.
DXYDear traders,
As I have been accustomed to in recent months and this time my technical analysis had an accuracy rate of over 95% and I will try to continue to keep this percentage as long as possible
as I said on last weeks ...as I said in the last analysis made on July 4, DXY reached target 1 which I set from where it rejected to the resistance area of 92600
from here I expect a small retreat and then I will continue BUY to target 2 and complete W
THIS WEEK....exactly as I said ... DXY has passed target 1 and is heading towards target 2 which complete W
NOTE: Please, give a LIKE if you find this idea useful!
GREAT ATTENTION:
*This information is not a Financial Advice.
DXYDear traders,
As I have been accustomed to in recent months and this time my technical analysis had an accuracy rate of over 95% and I will try to continue to keep this percentage as long as possible
as I said on last weeks ... a closure even for 1 day over Fibonacci 618 means BUY to Fibonacci 786 as he did and where he rejected!
in the next period I will continue to look for BUY until area 93400-94
THIS WEEK....as I said in the last analysis made on July 4, DXY reached target 1 which I set from where it rejected to the resistance area of 92600
from here I expect a small retreat and then I will continue BUY to target 2 and complete W
NOTE: Please, give a LIKE if you find this idea useful!
GREAT ATTENTION:
*This information is not a Financial Advice.
DXYDear traders,
As I have been accustomed to in recent months and this time my technical analysis had an accuracy rate of over 95% and I will try to continue to keep this percentage as long as possible
as I said on last weeks ... as I said last week DXY rejected and closed in the area 91,900 but below the value of FIBONACCI 618!
in the next period DXY is in a very difficult area and I will look for BUY if it closes even for a day over Fibonacci 618 to Fibonacci 786 and I will look for SELL again for a possible closing below 9130!
anyway ... closing for a month is decisive but I will bet more on BUY because W's formed on the 1 month chart!
THIS WEEK...as I said last week ... a closure even for 1 day over Fibonacci 618 means BUY to Fibonacci 786 as he did and where he rejected!
in the next period I will continue to look for BUY until area 93400-94 but a closure even for 1 day under Fibonacci 618 (91941) forces me to think again about SELLpana in area 91480 or even below ....
NOTE: Please, give a LIKE if you find this idea useful!
GREAT ATTENTION:
*This information is not a Financial Advice.
DXYDear traders,
As I have been accustomed to in recent months and this time my technical analysis had an accuracy rate of over 95% and I will try to continue to keep this percentage as long as possible
as I said on last weeks ... as I was saying last week ... DXY has stopped falling and is starting to form support in this area and form W!
If the next weekly candle will still be green then I will look for BUY around 92,600 or even higher ...
THIS WEEK...exactly as I said DXY reached the 92400 area from where I expect a rejection to the 91900 area and after you will test and the Fibonacci 786 area I will reanalyze!
NOTE: Please, give a LIKE if you find this idea useful!
GREAT ATTENTION:
*This information is not a Financial Advice.