Economic Cycles
India Inc Quarterly Earnings and Nifty Corelation We all know that our beloved NSE:NIFTY has shy of 1500 points in short time, falling from a cliff. Naturally people are eager to guess if the holy grail Bottom is there, or it will test the 4th of June Election Result Day low at least.
Being a price action student, it's always good to look at the history and try to take a leaf out from it. Specifically, when I can recall what happened one year back in October 2023 where there were substantial FII selloffs before Q2 results (of FY 23-24). Of course there is a slight difference in the situation. Last year the moonsoon was not that good, this year above normal.
So I took all the last 4 quarterly result and see what happened around these times in Daily timeframe.
As it's evident:
In 26/10/23 (Q2 results midway) there were a dip to 18850 level when RSI was at oversold region.
Within next two months, the Nifty gave ~15% return.
Again during 24th Jan'24 (Q3 results midway) there is a dip and then Nifty quickly recovered.
Again during 19/04/24 (Q4/annual results midway), there is a dip and then again smart recovery.
The things become even more interesting if we check the RSI beyond this point (last 6 months). Here are the obervations:
19th April'24, 9th May'24, 4th June'24, 5th Aug'24 - the RSI was at 40 level.
Price were more or less around same/similar level. (Except Aug when Nifty was at 24000).
Now the Nifty RSI was at 36. But the price is at 24800.
It's indices Hidden Bullish Divergence
My Expectation:
There can be a little more dip (lets say another 150-250 points, at max 24550).
Then Nifty starts recovering smartly and will try to reclaim the 25500 Resistance level.
We shall see what will happen next.
So essentially end of this week onwards expecting a 800/1000 points recovery, IMO.
Seems too optimistic? May be .. lets see.
Just sharing my personal views. End the day: Market is Supreme and Price Action is the King.
FRESNILLO setting up for its redemption run Fresnillo is an interesting chart. Looks like a major bottom has set in. If by any chance price goes back to 460-455 level, I will not miss the opportunity to buy. If silver moves up towards $60-70 zone. This scrip will hit a home run. Onwards and Upwards.
Stoploss can be placed at 450.
Tour d'horizon paires Forex: GBPJPY/GBPCAD/EURCAD/USDCAD/USDCHFBonjour à toutes et à tous,
Petit tour d'horizon des paires forex citées dans le titre.
Horizon: swing moyen terme.
Le but de cette vidéo est de partager ma vision sur ces paires forex et d'obtenir vos retours constructifs.
Je ne fais pas la météo de la veille en disant: "il aurait fallu...".
Merci par avance de vos retours constructifs.
Que diriez vous d'échanger en live sur un créneau en fin de journée?
NB: Il ne s'agit en aucun cas de conseils en investissements.
Merci pour vos retours et votre soutien
Laurent
Coforge Swing Idea Weekly timeframe is bullish
Daily timeframe is bullish and price has tapped into daily demand zone and reacted positively
4HR is also bullish
Also, Nifty and CNX IT is also bullish
Company is also 10% away from all time highs because of that the stock can rip high
Note : this is not Financial advise
Ashapura logistics Leading asset-based integrated logistics service provider. Downside looks limited, ipo price is @144. Buy at cmp... it looks like upper circuit..but not according to order book... you can still enter
HDFC bank breaking a major resistance Bank Nifty has underperformed this year compared to benchmark nifty largely due to NIM. Also it is expected that the RBI may cut rate before their US counterpart . In such a scenario HDFC is a good value bet plus it is about to test a major trendline giving an opportunity to make an ideal entry. However it may take a month or so to see some major moves. Upcoming gov. policy may also trigger big moves.
BLS classical retracement in a bull run.The stock has had many bull rallies in the past and has been a multibagger. Despite the significant price movement, the stock is not considered inflated, as the fundamentals have kept pace with the increasing price demand. Historically, the stock moves in cycles of rallies and consolidations, and it is currently transitioning from a consolidation phase to a rally phase.