Economic Cycles
WALCHAND NAGAR IND | Multi Year Triangle Breakout.NSE:WALCHANNAG
Walchandnagar Industries Ltd. engages in the manufacture of engineering products. It operates through the following segments: Heavy Engineering, Foundry and Machine Shop, and Others. The Heavy Engineering segment engages in the engineering, fabrication, and manufacturing of machinery for sugar plants, cement plants, boilers and power plants, industrial and marine gears, mineral processing and EPC, petrochemicals, and space, defense, and nuclear power businesses.
Walchand Nagar Ind. Technical Analysis on weekly time frame:-
1. Price has rebound from the strong support zone after a breakdown has failed.
2. The Symmetrical triangle is been in formation for the last 3.2 years and the location on the symmetrical triangle is bullish as it has formed around the support zone, so we can say Its extrinsically is bullish in nature and intrinsically too.
3. The Price is been Trading above 200 SMA which is a Bullish sign.
4. The price is been in a range for over 1.5 Decades and is currently at lower range support.
Entry Aggrassiv can enter now and safe investors should wait for a retest of the triangle breakout zone it will add more confirmation to it.
Target levels and stop-loss is mentioned on the chart.
Walchand Nagar Ind. Fundamental Analysis Points:-
1. Company Turned into Net profit after many Years.
2. Revenue is increased and Long Term has been Reduced.
3. EPS is improving Marginally.
4. Although one concern is a reduction in assets.
The above information is for educational purposes only, Before acting on any investment idea please do your own analysis and follow proper risk to reward.
I Hope you found this helpful.
Please like and comment.
Keep Learning,
Happy Trading!
NIACL - Weekly chart Reversing Set up NIACL - Weekly chart Reversing Set up. Stock is coming out of Good base of 6 years and satisfying the Stein Weinstein Stage analysis.
This is not a buy sell reccomdation. This is for my learning and recording purpose.
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Is TCS looks Weak? My answerQ: Do you think TCS looks weak on chart?
My answer is "NO" as far as chart is concerned. Remember, it must have nothing to do with the fundamentals.
As you can see in the Monthly charts of TCS, their isn't a "single low broken" since March 2020. Let's analyze each Month's lows.
Mar 2020: Rs 1506.05
April 2020: Rs 1650
May 2020: 1865.20
June 2020: 1981.10
July 2020: 2079.50
Aug 2020: 2216.45
Sept 2020: 2241.30
Oct 2020: 2492.30
Nov 2020: 2600.05
Dec 2020: 2624.45
Jan 2021: 2879
Feb 2021: 2880
Mar 2021: 2901.80
April 2021: TBC
Q: Can we short or will it fall if the monthly low is broken?
My answer is nope, absolutely not. The stock is still in uptrend. Trend has more importance than each particular candle's high or low. Therefore, it will require massive selling pressure and/or Fundamental Causes to make the stock fall.
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article is of my own, you're solely responsible for any decision taken in the markets. The analysis I've shared is just for educational purposes only.
Q&A_ What is meant to never sell at a loss?Namaste!
You must have heard the words of great investor of all time.
Mr. Warren Buffett once said, “The first rule of an investment is don't lose . And the second rule of an investment is don't forget the first rule."
Losing money means, in simple terms means, selling at a loss . People get fearful and sell when the stock starts falling. There can be unlimited reasons for this happening, we will never going to find it out. What we can do, is just two things:
Buy and Sell .
As long as our sell price is greater than our buy price, we're not losing: that's our purpose here . It is a very key thing and hard to implement though.
I often wonder why the retail people don't sell, when the stock get's them 3 times profit of their buy price. This is also the case with institutions. They don't sell, when the stock gave them 3 times, but they do, when the stock has been came down up to their buying price , and they get happy thinking, that at least I have saved my capital from eroding further. NO brother, you lost opportunity cost. As soon as you sell, some of the great minds and investor buy from you (including WB). It is very very simple logic, but people make it difficult. If you can somehow counter this, a gate to investing success will open.
Anyways, look at the stock Tata Steel. Many could have bought it and sold it at a loss, between a very long period of consolidation (i.e. 13 years).
Okay, let's assume, you could have bought the stock at around Rs 516 (which is an average of swing highs and lows). Buying at a high is another a very big mistake, but I will explain it any other time.
You would be getting a return of (132% price appreciation + 3% dividend yield for 13 years = Total 171% return). That's around 13% annual average returns.
Did you lose money?
A: Of course, who sold it at a loss, loosed money. But the people who held it for these years, have made 171% return at minimum. Congratulations, you beat the market.
I know some people will say me that, why did you chose Tata Steel, why not Rpower, Unitech, Rcom, etc.
Well, I couldn't have placed all eggs in one basket. Sure some of the stocks in my portfolio will get negative returns, and even become zero. But, I am 100% sure, than there will many companies in my portfolio, which will be compensating them, and eventually make me money.
Important: "Portfolio diversification isn't important to maximize gains, but to reduce risks" . Sure, you can add some risky stocks (like small and micro-cap) to increase your returns, but primary objective here is to reduce risks. But don't overdo it i.e. more than 2-3 companies in a portfolio of 10 companies.
And, I have a method which, doesn't allow me to add more of any stock, if it is continuously falling.
Disclaimer: The analysis I have shared is based on my understanding and experience in the markets. Investment carries an element of financial risk. Please do your analysis and/or consult your financial advisor before investing. I already have some shares and may/will add more if I get another opportunity.
Q&A_ When to sell Ultratech?Namaste!
I often wonder why do retail people and even institutions sell when the stock has been already fell. Why didn't they sell when the stock was rising?
I follow a simple principal. Either sell it at a profit or don't sell.
Anyways, In the weekly chart of the ultratech, you must have noticed the circles I've drawn.
These circles represent the price as well as volume candles.
Rising prices should mostly be supported by the rising volumes. But in this case, the volume is falling. This can be a fake-breakout. And the number 3 is very strong indication.
This isn't the 1st time for Ultratech. The stock has proved the above statement two times previously.
Opinion to investors: Well, investors should never sell any stock they own. This isn't limited to this stock, but to any stock. But, if you were planning to add more (buy more) shares, you can wait for a correction.
Opinion to traders: Well, you can trail your stop loss to either Rs 6510 or Rs 6584. Again, both the prices has importance of their own, so don't get excited for the high SL price. The first price is based on the weekly candles and second is daily.
Disclaimer: The analysis I have shared is based on my understanding and experience in the markets. Investment does not guarantee a fixed return due to volatile nature of markets and may result in a loss. Please do your analysis and/or consult your financial advisor before investing.
Triple bottom done don't missI'm very positive on this company, actually it's infrastructure gas companies. It's my long term investment at least 5 years time frame
Yesterday it's results came & also provide conference to share my idea
As per t. A. Folling wedge petern form in daily charts
Today we can see break out