Would You Stake Yourself?Hey everyone! 👋
Last week, we took a look at a hypothetical scenario, where a rich acquaintance of yours needed help deciding between two traders he's thinking about staking. This led to the question: "Who would you stake?".
This post will continue right where that one left off.
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After getting the contact info, you reach out to interview the two traders.
You speak with Trader #1 , and he appears to be quite intelligent, with wide and deep market knowledge. He’s shown you a few market predictions that he’s already gotten correct, and walks you through how he finds opportunities. You’re impressed.
You speak with Trader #2 , and he also appears to be quite intelligent, with broad market knowledge, in addition to a history of profitable investment/trade ideas. He walks you through how he finds opportunities, and, similar to Trader #1, you’re quite impressed. In addition, he also presents you with written details about how he plans to manage risk, his maximum drawdown, and a whole litany of other clearly defined rules that keep risk under control and quality trade ideas coming.
Assuming we are still in the position of choosing which trader to stake, most, if not all, individuals in this situation would pick Trader #2 because of his attention to preparation and risk control, in addition to having a ‘business plan’. Trader #1 may be smart and highly capable, but he’s shown no evidence that he has a process to continually generate good trade ideas while ensuring that he doesn’t lose everything. Trader #2 has “done the work”, and proven that he’s worthy of the capital.
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Whether they know it or not, anyone who manages their own money is constantly faced with the same decision. If you step outside of yourself, are you more like trader #1 or #2? Is your trading plan worthy of investment? Would you invest in someone else who’s taken the same trades that you have? Does that person have a plan? Have they “done the work”?
Keeping yourself honest about what is working and what isn't is a superpower!
Hopefully, this emphasizes the importance of building a trading plan. Next week we will take a look at what factors are typically needed in order to build an effective one.
If you’re not like Trader #2, comment below about the steps you’re taking to become better prepared for what the market throws at you!
-Team TradingView
If you missed last week’s post, you can catch up here:
Community ideas
MARUTI: Ascending TriangleThis is also a converging triangle formed with one flat horizontal line on the top & an inclined line meeting at a common point as illustrated in the chart.
The flat horizontal line act as a resistance for the prices & the on the inclined line the prices take support. It’s not necessary that the ascending triangle formation takes place only in the bull market, they can be formed in a bearish trend also.
Here also you should concern with the key point “The Third Touch”. The five significant points help us to make our decision in a better way. Here, each points suggesting a reversal point & as soon as price got it’s third touch on the inclined supporting line the price shoot up & a breakout happened.
The target for this pattern is the maximum vertical range of the triangle.
Trading strategy:MARUTI: BUY 9285-75 SL: 9050 TGT: 9545/9850
EURO/USD (Neowave Analysis)FX:EURUSD
Hi Everyone
Its been a long time almost an year EUR/USD had been falling. We were falling in an structure of L series (mean long term wave ) and recently we have completed L5 a 0.98132. Now its time for an ABC correction structure which we represent with LC1, LC2. ( C stand for correction).
Let see structure equation,
1) We are in (LC 1 >)
in which we have completed M1 ( m stand for medium term waves) and progressing with M2
(LC 1>M2 ?)
2) Further if we brake down M series you will see s series( s stand for short term wave)
(LC 1>M2 > SC 2?)
3 ) This mean after correction wave in wave M2, we will definitely see an 5 or 3 wave structure in s series as long as we are above invalidation levels.
Note - This equation is just for your memory. Let me know if this is helpful or not.
If you does not understand our coding structure plz check out below chart.
Thank You
Who would you Stake?Hey everyone! 👋
In the next few posts, we'll be looking at the key elements involved in building a solid trading plan, but today, to introduce the concepts in a fun way, we will be looking at a completely hypothetical situation.
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Let’s say that you’re walking down the street, and a stranger approaches you with a business proposal; he’s recently sold his business, and come into a significant amount of capital - 1,00,00,000 INR. Additionally, word of the sale has gotten to two separate aspiring traders, who have approached him asking him if they can manage his money in return for a fee.
The stranger has heard from a family friend that you’re interested in trading, and he wants your help in picking out which trader to invest the money in. In return for your help, He’s going to split the profits he makes 50-50 with you.
Obviously, it’s in your best interest to help him make a decision that will make the most money for the longest period of time, with the least amount of risk.
The stranger then pulls out contact information for both traders and asks you to interview them separately.
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Here's our question to you: if you only get to ask the traders three questions to gauge their likely future performance, what would you ask them? What questions dive to the heart of risk, reward, and sustainability?
We look forward to your replies, and in next week's post, we will begin looking at how some of the likely responses can go towards building out a consistent, profitable process!
- Team TradingView
Feel free to check us out on Instagram , Telegram , and YouTube for more awesome content! 💘
Why am I bullish on Marico. Analysis on Daily, Weekly & MonthlyPatterns play an important role in trading. Especially when the same patterns appear on the different time frames.
In Marico we see the formation of triangle patterns on Daily, Weekly and Monthly time frames.
Daily Chart - Ascending Triangle Pattern
In two trading sessions the price had tested the upper and lower length of the triangle.
So, from this we predict the price is ready for a move.
Weekly / Monthly Chart - Symmetrical Triangle Pattern
This triangle pattern has a success rate of more than 70%.
And the price is near the upper length of the triangle on both time frames.
If we see the broader picture of these 3 time frames the stock looks bullish as it tries to move upside.
The price may be volatile on the daily time frame. The probability of the volatility is very high.
The volatility on the daily time frame makes the price comfortable on the weekly and monthly time frames.
MAXHEALTH near ATH Breakout NSE:MAXHEALTH BSE:MAXHEALTH
Time Frame – Weekly
Observations :-
* Trading in Right-Angled Ascending Broadening Wedge pattern
* ATH Breakout above 458.05
* Symmetrical Triangle BO and small range (395-345) BO done last week
* Good Consolidation & Range formation going on in 320 – 458.05 range
Resistance – 555 / 665 / 765 / 870
Support – 395 – 345 zone & Daily 200 SMA
DISCLAIMER : NCFM Certified Technical Analyst. I am not SEBI registered analyst. All posts are for educational purpose only. I am not responsible for your any loss or profit. Consult your adviser before taking any trade. I help people to learn technical analysis & charts reading.
Why do I think the IT index is going to rally soon?Hi all, hope you guys are doing well.
Over the last 2 months, we have seen a great rally in the majority of the indices, except one - The IT index. Read this post to find out why I think IT is going to pump soon!
1. The IT index has been strongly underperforming the benchmark as well as all other sectoral indices for the last few months. I have taken the June lows as a reference because the market started rallying from there onwards. Observe how the IT index is lagging far behind all other indices.
2. In the last few days, the IT index has been strongly improving, suggesting a mean reversion towards the benchmark index - Nifty. Notice the angle of the curve. On the other hand, all other indices seem to be more or less flat. If the market is able to consolidate the gains and maintain the bullish to sideways narrative, the IT index can really perform well in the coming weeks.
3. This is also in line with the structure. If you notice, the index seems to be forming the Wyckoff accumulation schematic in which the "Spring" seems to have been established on 15 July. Currently, the price appears to be bouncing off the range low and may head towards the range high.
4. The market structure has started to shift to the upside. As we can notice, after the formation of the low on 15 July, the price rallied higher creating a higher high. This caused a shift in the market structure.
5. If we get a move above the range high at 31k, it will confirm that the short-term structure has turned bullish and we can expect higher prices, possibly a move towards 34k.
6. All the IT stocks have been forming a similar structure. I am attaching a few charts for reference.
🔹 Wipro:
🔸 Infosys:
🔹 Mphasis:
🔸 Coforge:
Thanks for reading. I hope you found this helpful! 😊
Disclaimer : This is NOT investment advice. This post is meant for learning purposes only. Invest your capital at your own risk.
Happy learning. Cheers!
Rajat Kumar Singh (@johntradingwick)
Community Manager (India), TradingView
One candlestick pattern - The MarubozuHey everyone!
In this post, we are going to talk about a candlestick pattern known as Marubozu, along with a few exhibits that may help you solidify your understanding of this pattern.
Please remember this is an educational post to help all of our members better understand concepts used in trading or investing. This in no way promotes a particular style of trading!
The candlestick charts offer a quick picture into the psychology of buyers and sellers. Before proceeding further, a few things to keep in mind:
→ A bearish candlestick indicates the opening price of the session being higher than the closing price.
→ Similarly, a bullish candlestick indicates the opening price of the session being lower than the closing price.
→ The shadow at the top and bottom represent the high and low for the session.
→ The size of the real body is indicative of the strength of the trend.
What is a Marubozu pattern?
A Marubozu is a candlestick with a full real body and no shadows. This solid body indicates a strong trend, be it in any direction. The name Marubozu comes from the Japanese and means "close-cropped", indicating a candle with no shadow.
Marubozu can be divided into two types, depending on the bias.
∎ Bullish marubozu
∎ Bearish marubozu
A Marubozu can appear anywhere in the chart irrespective of the prior trend; the trading implication remains the same.
⚠️ Please notice the textbook definition of a Marubozu is a candle with no shadows. However, in practice, the ideal setups rarely occur. Hence, there is a little bit of wiggle room on either side.
🟩 Bullish Marubozu
→ In a bullish Marubozu, the lack of the upper and lower shadow indicates that the low and high are equal to the open and close, respectively. However, there may be some shadows in reality, therefore we must be versatile within limits.
→ A bullish Marubozu indicates that market participants are willing to buy the stock at any price point throughout the day. As a result, the stock closes near the session's high.
→ In general, the occurrence of a bullish Marubozu indicates that the sentiment has strongly shifted to the upside and we can see higher prices in the coming sessions. Hence a trader should look for buying opportunities whenever the price pulls back to lower levels.
Exhibit 1: Bullish Marubozu
Exhibit 2: Bullish Marubozu with subsequent uptrend
🟥 Bearish Marubozu
→ In a bearish marubozu, the open price is almost equal to the high whereas the session closes near the low price.
→ A bearish Marubozu indicates a strong bearish sentiment because the market participants are willing to sell the stock at any price point throughout the day.
→ In general, the occurrence of a bearish Marubozu indicates that the sentiment has strongly shifted to the downside and we can see lower prices in the subsequent sessions. Hence a trader should look for selling opportunities whenever the price pulls back to higher levels.
Exhibit 1: Bearish Marubozu
Exhibit 2: Bearish Marubozu with subsequent down trend
Thanks for reading! Hope this was helpful!
See you all next week. 🙂
– Team TradingView
Feel free to check us out on Instagram , Telegram , and YouTube for more awesome content! 💘
EXIDE BREAKOUTExide looks strong on weekly chart by breaking falling trendline resistance with good volume jump and breaking Bollinger upper band too and gives a bullish closing on above both so that we can see coming bullishness in this counter.
Cause of long-:
1- Falling resistance breakout.
2- Bollinger bands breakout.
3- Volume breakout.
INDTERRAIN price action changing??NSE:INDTERRAIN BSE:INDTERRAIN
Time Frame – Weekly
Observations :-
* Trading in Ascending broadening wedge pattern
* Facing Resistance in 75-65 zone
* Major BO above 75
* Trendline resistance break with good volume
* Weekly 200 SMA break with good volume
* Good volume activity seen
* If weekly / monthly closed above 75 then Price action is changing
Resistance – 100 / 125 / 155 / 185 / 220 / 253
Support – Weekly 200 SMA & 48 - 58 range
DISCLAIMER : NCFM Certified Technical Analyst. I am not SEBI registered analyst. All posts are for educational purpose only. I am not responsible for your any loss or profit. Consult your adviser before taking any trade. I help people to learn technical analysis & charts reading.
AXISBANK 75m.. Cup and Handle within Head and ShouldersAXISBANK 75m chart is exhibiting a cup and handle bottom formation within a broader tilted Head and Shoulders formation. Bulls and bears fighting for dominance, although bulls seem to be winning with this cup and handle in place.
Would be interesting next few days to see which side the tide turns and therefore which side do we need to turn and enter our position.
Channel Bo in Exide Industries daily?Channel breakout in Exide Industries
Stock has broken its previous major resistance with significant volume.
Also, we can observe a Inverted Head and shoulder breakout in hourly time frame. For further strong momentum in the stock, price has to close above 174 in daily chart.
Price between 165-170 is a good range to enter the trade. Stop loss can be placed at 149.
This is just a view, not recommendation to trade. Do your own analysis before taking any trade.
NSE:EXIDEIND
Symmetrical triangle breakout in FSLChart -> FSL Daily
Today FSL has given a symmetrical triangle breakout with a huge volume bar.
CMP: 114
Targets: 125 and 140
SL: 106, daily close
Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only, not any recommendations to buy or sell. As I am not SEBI registered, please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
Thanks to the greatest teacher 'THE MARKET' !!!This publication is dedicated to thanking one of the greatest and strict teacher the ‘Stock Market’.
The lessons of the market not only help one to succeed in the stock market but also helps throughout life.
This 5th September i.e. Teacher’s day let’s have a detailed look at 5 Great Learnings of Stock Market and thank her for these
life-awakening learnings.
-> Discipline: The most important teaching in markets is discipline. As the wording of Jim Rohn states “Discipline is the bridge between goals and accomplishment” stock market develops that bridge.
The market has its way of teaching and punishing, I think all of us had witnessed its punishment whether in form of not keeping stop loss or not following your trade system.
Discipline plays a vital role in an individual’s life. As said by Horace “Rule your mind or it will rule you. ”The disciplined person has the power to rule his mind whereas others lack this ability.
-> Patience: Another gem cultivated by markets in our personality and harvested by us throughout life. One of the familiar names of our school time Benjamin Franklin says “He that can have patience can have what he will.” market first teaches this gem to us then offer us what we wish.
We all have at least once missed taking the real profit by not waiting till the target is achieved but leaving the trade in midway though it was moving in our direction the reason is we lack patience and the market gives profit only to eligible ones so, either you be eligible or market will make you fit for it by its own way.
-> Ability to conquer 3 gateways of hell: According to ‘The Bhagavad Gita’ there are 3 gateways to hell i.e. Lust, Greed, and Anger.
The market helps its students in conquering those strong emotions. The beginner in the stock market has a strong lust for making money very quickly and greed for making lots of money without that kind of effort and when he fails in his motive anger gets born in his personality from where degradation or hell starts.
Those few people who still have not left the hands of the market get the knowledge to conquer those emotions throughout their journey in markets.
-> Faith in yourself: One of the famous quotes by Ralph Waldo Emerson is “The best lightning rod for your protection is your own spine.” market strengthen that spine so that we as its student can withstand any kind of storm in our life.
Before taking any trade based on your analysis requires self-belief on the early days people hesitate but later they rely on their analysis because the market has taught them self-belief.
-> Crush your arrogance: Market is popular in crushing the arrogant guy along with this removing any trace of arrogance in his personality. The famous wording says “Close some doors today. Not because of pride, incapacity, or arrogance, but simply because they lead you nowhere.” market as a kind teacher keep a keen eye on her student for arrogance as she knows that as soon as arrogance arises person starts his fall.
All of us had witnessed that whenever we start thinking that we have mastered markets and try to neglect discipline market slaps us badly to awaken us that we are still newbies and still had to learn a lot.
According to me, these 5 are the most valuable learnings of markets but if you have any learning of market much valuable in your life please mention in comments.
Also, comment which subjects teacher in your school life is as strict as the stock market, for me its 2nd language(Hindi) teacher.
Finally great thanks to 'The Market' for these great teachings.
The stock market gives success only to eligible ones so, either you be eligible or the market will make you fit for it in its own way.