Analysis of Bank NiftyDt. - 23-02-2021
Candlestick took the support of the horizontal line yesterday and today. Today index made a Doji-like candle. The trend may reverse from here and it may start moving upward from tomorrow. If it starts falling again than the next support is placed at 32,668 points.
Educational
Short strangle in Nifty for December 2021 series.#Nifty #December21
Series
Sold 1 Lot of 17000 CE at 440
Sold 1 lot of 10000 PE at 115
Total Points collected = 555
Upper Side BEP = 17555
Lower Side BEP = 9445
We will get full profit if it will expire B/w 10000 & 17000
As of now i am hedging my profile with this trade.I will close my trade when i will get 70-80% profit.
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Ascending Triangle Definition:
An ascending triangle is a type of triangle chart pattern that occurs when there is a resistance level and a slope of higher lows.
It is defined by two lines:
. A horizontal resistance line running through peaks.
. An uptrend line drawn through the bottoms.
The higher lows indicate more buyers are gradually entering the market and buying pressure increases as price consolidates moving further towards the apex.
An ascending triangle is classified as a continuation chart pattern.
If price can break through the resistance level, that level will now act as a support level.
Breakouts can also happen in both directions. Statistically, upward breakouts are more likely to occur, but downward ones seem to be more reliable.
In most cases, the buyers will win this battle and the price will break out past the resistance. But Sometimes the resistance level is too strong, and there is simply not enough buying power to push it through. Therefore you should be ready for movement in EITHER direction.
ENTRY:
We would set an entry order above the resistance line and below the slope of the higher lows.
TARGET:
Target is approximately the same distance as the height of the triangle formation.
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The 90-90-90 rule - Why do traders fail?"Many are called, but few are chosen". Ever heard this proverb?
This is certainly true for trading, in fact, there is even a rule in trading about this, the 90-90-90 rule. So what does this rule say?
"90% of traders lose 90% of their money in 90 days"
😱😱😱
That's right, statistics show that 90% of people who start trading lose the majority of their money in less than 3 months. But why is that so? In this post I will try to lay out the reasons for failure, if you are a new or struggling trader, I'm sure you'll find this useful. Let's get into it ...
🤯 EXPECTATIONS
•
Many start trading because they've seen or read about success stories, people becoming rich overnight, they might even have a friend who has been successful in trading and they think (to say it in Jeremy Clarckson's famous words) "How hard can it be?. With this approach, failure is imminent...
📐 NOT HAVING A PLAN
•
"If you fail to plan, you are planning to fail - Benjamin Franklin . Trading without a plan results almost certainly in failure. Your trading plan should include the definition of your setup, entry, stop loss, profit taking, trade management, risk management and money management.
🔄 NOT TESTING YOUR PLAN
•
OK, you have determined how you will trade, what defines your entries and exits, how much of your capital you will risk and how you will manage your trades. But do you know what is the expectancy of that plan? Do you know how much trades you will win on average, and how many you will lose? How much money can you expect to make?
Backtesting your plan, executing it flawlessly time after time on historical data will give you that information and the confidence to execute your plan time and time again without hesitation.
😱 EMOTIONS - THIS IS THE BIG ONE!
•
If did not take the time to create a trading plan and backtest it, you don't really know what you are doing and emotions will have the best of you.
Fear, greed, hope, excitement, anxiousness, boredom and frustration will drive your hard earned capital away from you.
Results of these emotions are : trading too much, letting your losers run and cutting winners short, revenge trading, overleveraging etc...
I could write an entire post about each of the emotions and how they can affect you while trading, but it would make this post too lengthy. Just know that emotions are your biggest enemy when trading, for best results you should be in a stoic state when trading.
🕺 EGO
•
"The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.". If you want to prove the market that you are right, you are doomed to fail. The market is always right, no matter what happens, so you better learn to accept that your analysis or prediction of what would happen was wrong and cut your losses. Fast!
📚 LACK OF EDUCATION
•
It takes many years to learn a skill or a profession, trading is no different. If you think about making lots of money without putting the time in to learn and test, you pretty much guarantee yourself to fail.
You wouldn't want a lawyer without education to defend you in court, or a self-proclaimed surgeon who learned on YouTube to operate on you, would you?
💰 STARTING CAPITAL TOO LOW
•
If you're starting with a low capital, you will tend to try and make it grow fast, resulting in taking too many trades, too high of a risk, too high leverage. If you start with a low capital, you'll have to be OK with the fact that it will grow slowly and that it will take (a lot of) time to build up a sizeable account.
🚦 BUYING OR FOLLOWING SIGNALS
•
"There is no such thing as easy money." You might think that you don't have the time to learn about trading, making and backtesting a trading plan. So why not follow signals?
Ask yourself what you know about this service? How profitable is it (and don't just go from the claims they make)? Do you know anything about the reason for a signal, why was it triggered?
Have you talked to other users who used the service, what do they think about it? Why is this person/company selling signals if they are so successful as they claim? Philanthropy ? 🤔
📉 INDICATORS OVERLOAD
•
Indicators can help you make decisions for trading, but too many indicators can and will lead to opposite signals or "analysis paralysis.
Most indicators are derived from price, so it makes sense to learn how to read price action and discover the story behind the candles.
🆕 THE NEXT SHINY OBJECT SYNDROME
•
You took the time to develop a trading plan and even tested it, but you run into a drawdown... Rather than counting on your experience and the expectancy that you know is there, you look for a new shiny method of trading, until the same thing happens again with this new method ... Rinse & repeat, never giving the chance for your original method, which you know was working when you tested it, to prove its worth ...
Alright, I think I have provided the main reasons why new or inexperienced traders fail. Knowing why they (or you) fail is one thing, doing something about it is not a small feat. But with enough dedication, persistance and the right mindset, you can prove these statistics wrong!
Feel like reasons are missing, let me know in the comments below.
So what is your story?
Are you a successful trader now but recognize these reasons for failure?
Are you a new trader? Was this helpful?
What did/will you do to overcome this?
What did/do you struggle most with?
Help the TradingView community by commenting below.
"Trading is a ruthless business that does not take any hostages, so you better come prepared." - Nico Muselle
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Inverted Hammer in Monthly Chart** The shooting star candlesticks pattern, also known as the Pinbar (or bearish pinbar/inverted Hammer) by some, is one of the most popular candlestick patterns among price action traders. It was the first candlestick signal that I relied on, and one that I still use today, although I trade it much differently than most other price action traders.
# What is a Shooting Star Candlestick Pattern?
*The shooting star consists of a long upper wick (shadow) that is, at least, twice the size of the
real body. It should have a relatively small lower wick or none at all. Its real body can be bearish or bullish (see in the chart) and is usually relatively small in comparison to previous candlesticks.
*The shooting star candlestick pattern, like all the other candlestick entry signals, must be traded
within the context of the market. In other words, a true shooting star candlestick signal can only
come after an uptrend in price (see the chart).
Note: Never trade a candlestick formation that looks like a shooting star from consolidating price
action or a tight ranging market.
A shooting star candlestick pattern is a strong reversal signal, and unlike most other price action
signals, this one does not need another candle for confirmation, according to the standard trading
technique.
However, the proprietary filters that I personally use to qualify a good shooting star are quite
different, so let’s go over those now.
#What Makes a Good Shooting Star (Pinbar/Inverted Hammer) Pattern?
** Some of the filters that I use to qualify a good shooting star make taking the entry completely
different than the standard method. In my experience, these filters have drastically improved my
strike rate with the shooting star candlestick pattern.
# Confirmation Close
The first filter that I want to talk about is the confirmation close. This is probably the most important filter that I use on the shooting star, and it’s also the filter that changes the way you must take your entry with this pattern. Basically, as a sign that the uptrend is actually ending, after the shooting star signal, you want to see a bearish candlestick that closes below the real body of the previous candlestick and You can add in your strategy for more accuracy.
** Historically in Nifty 50 when in monthly chart Pinbar/shooting star/inverted hammer appears at top that sign of bearish trend .(see in the chart)
Kindly Let me know if you have any questions.
Thank You
Double Top Pattern* A double top is a strong bearish reversal pattern. It occurs when an uptrend fails to make a higher
high and instead, makes an equal (or near equal) high.
* The psychology behind the pattern is that the failure to make a higher high could be an early sign
that the momentum is leaving the uptrend. The equal high is an indication that the previous high
is being tested and confirmed as resistance. All this means that a reversal is likely to happen.
* As you can see from the image above, two horizontal lines are drawn off the double top. The top
line is the resistance line. The second line marks as support line where you can enter in trade after breakdown.
*To get your profit target for this pattern, you measure from the resistance line to the breakout
line. Then you take that measurement.
Kindly Let me know if you have any Questions.
Thank you .
INDUSIND BANKINDUSIND BANK :: Short
INDUSIND BANK is looking bearish on chart and this trade is looking very attractive with good RRR
Follow my page and inbox me for the Entry/Target/SL
Disclaimer:
>>Do your own analysis or consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
>>I may or may not initiate this trade.
>>Strictly for educational purpose only..
Three Black Crows Candlestick Pattern ??Nifty Made a three black crows pattern/ pattern activated after today low break.
1) What is Three Black Crows Pattern ??
Three Black Crows got its name from its resemblance to three crows looking down from their perch in a tree. This signal, occurring after a strong uptrend, indicates the crows looking down or lower prices are to come. Each of these candles should close very near the low for the day. This pattern, as will be seen, is the opposite of the Three White Soldiers.
2)Criteria-
1. Three long black bodies occur, all of nearly equal length.
2. The prior trend should have been up.
3. Each day opens within the body of the previous day.
4. Each day closes near its low.
3) Pattern Psychology-
*After an uptrend a long black candle forms. The uptrend has now reached levels where the sellers have started to step in. The first long black candle body is followed by two more long black bodies. Each having opened in the previous day’s body indicates that buying was occurring early each day but the bears kept forcing prices down by the end of the day. This more consistent process of selling provides a stronger downtrend potential versus a rapid overselling period. (See Nifty chart ).
Kindly Let me Know if You have any question.
IDEA Analysis Very Very big momentum. 100% max target.Vodafone Idea share price rose almost 10% in Friday's early trade after the telecom major announced that it has sold its 11.15% stake in Indus Towers for Rs 3,760 crore. Now it can go more higher. and ichimoku cloud is also giving a signal of strong buy. in this analysis take entry after when trend line breaks and sustains and starts shooting up.. targets are given. Feel free to ask anything.
Why Trendlines are less reliable compared to Horizontal Lines* I am always trying to avoid trend lines when Open a chart.
* You can find Support and Resistance with help of trend line but if want to initiate a trade trend lines are less reliable as compared to Horizontal Boundary.
# Thats why i always preferred Horizontal Boundary lines when initiate my trade.
Kindly let me know if you have any questions.
Analysis of reliance.. Take a look. Take entry after trend line breakout and it starts moving up. it can also go downside. but its the first retest and there are more chances to take support another reason is that today most of the stocks were also bullish. so there are more chances to succeed in retest..
After reaching Target 1 price will have resistance and will form double top pattern. now you can hold your position if price is crossing target 1 and going towards target 2. and if it is shooting downside you can take a small target of short up to trend line, drawn in graph..
Study this graph in shorter time frame.
Feel free to ask or tell anything.
Trading Style - Types Of Traders - What Type Of Trader Are You?Scalping
Scalping is a very rapid trading style. Scalpers often make trades within just a few seconds of each other, and often in opposite directions (i.e., they are long one minute, but short the next).
Scalping is best suited to active traders that can make immediate decisions and act on those decisions without hesitation. Impatient people often make the best scalpers because they expect their trades to become profitable immediately, and will exit the trade promptly if it goes against them.
Being a successful scalper requires focus and concentration. So, it is not a suitable trading style for people who are easily distracted or who often find themselves daydreaming, so if you've been thinking about something else while reading this, then scalping is not for you.
Day Trading
Day trading as a style is more suitable for traders that prefer starting and completing a task on the same day. For example, if you were painting your kitchen, and you would not go to bed until the kitchen was finished, even if that meant staying up until 3:00 AM.
Many day traders would not consider making swing or position trades because they would not be able to sleep at night knowing that they had an active trade that could be affected by price movements during the night (such as those that cause opening gaps).
Swing Trading
Swing trading is compatible with people that have the patience to wait for a trade, but once they have entered a trade, they want it to become profitable quite quickly. Swing traders almost always hold their trades overnight, so it is not suitable for people that would be nervous holding a trade while they were away from their computer. Swing trading generally requires a larger stop loss than day trading, so the ability to keep calm when a trade is against you is a necessity.
Position Trading
Position trading is the longest term trading of all and often has trades that last for several years. Therefore, position trading is only suitable for the most patient and least excitable traders. Position trading targets are often several thousand ticks, so if your heart starts beating fast when a trade is 25 ticks in profit, position trading is probably not suitable for you.
Position trading also requires the ability to ignore popular opinion because a single position trade will often hold through both bull and bear markets. For example, a long position trade may need to be held through an entire year when the general public is convinced that the economy is in a recession. If other people easily sway you, then position trading is going to be difficult for you.
Being Faithful to Your Trading Style
Choosing a trading style requires the flexibility to know when a trading style is not working for you, but also requires the consistency to stick with the right trading style even when it is not performing optimally.
One of the biggest mistakes that new traders often make is to change trading styles (and trading systems) at the first sign of trouble. Constantly changing your trading style or trading system is a sure way to catch every losing streak. Once you are comfortable with a particular trading style, remain faithful to it, and it will reward you for your loyalty in the long run.
Stock Analysis of Credit Access Grameen Ltd.Price - 773 Dt. - 13-01-2021
The stock is moving in a channel and become weak from the last 3 trading sessions. Stock is facing resistance at the green line and started falling after touching. The stock gave the close below the 21 DEMA as well. We are expecting the stock to fall till 50DEMA which is placed at 754 and bounce back. RSI is neutral.
If stock starts moving up then buy after it breaks the green resistance line.
Power Grid losing it's powerpower grid is looking weak below 189
1:a short entry can be made below 188.5 for positional targets of 185-184 and 175-174 sl:-191.5
2:Risk Reward Ratio:-1.75
3:do share your thoughts in comment section
4:these are our personal views please take up the trade with a space and acceptance that it may go wrong
also please consult your financial advisor as i am not a SEBI certified advisor
5:i repeat consult your advisor before taking up a trade we are not responsible
Let's HOPE things go on our side
Thanks for reading have a good day