15 Mar ’24 — Nifty falls below the support again, goes bearish ⬇Nifty Analysis - Stance Bearish⬇️
Recap from yesterday: “If you look at the higher time frame, today’s price moves might be between 38.2 to 50% Fibonacci retracement levels and what might have formed could be a lower high.”
4mts chart
Nifty was not able to sustain the gains yesterday, within the opening 15 minutes itself it breached the support level of 22051 and stayed below that for the entire day. Since we broke the SR level, we had to change the stance from neutral to bearish today. Even though we went down, it was not accompanied by a huge momentum or an avalanche build-up. The reason is, the next support level of 21913 was not tested today.
The only reason we pushed through the resistance yesterday was because of NiftyIT. And today NiftyIT started with cuts of -0.9%. Do you agree with me now that the main villain is NiftyIT which is preventing Nifty50 for a smooth directional trend?
On the higher timeframe, looks like the lower high is formed perfectly. It has to be complemented with a new lower low. And when that happens the support of 21913 will have to give away and we might even have to retest the 21491 levels. After reading the “electoral bonds scam” and “small and mid cap stress tests” news, I strongly feel we might have uncertain times ahead, at least for a short while.
63mts chart
Electoralbonds
14 Mar ’24 — BankNifty's price action overshadowed by NiftyITBankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️
Banks were performing as expected today, even though we had a neutral view we ended up losing 0.41% for the day. The stance for tomorrow also continues to be neutral as BN did not breach support or resistance today. The starting candle was perfect as per the script, from there we rose 666pts ~ 1.43% to reach the HOD of 47231 by 11.43. The staling was obvious as there were no special triggers to take up even near the resistance level of 47465.
4mts chart
The fall of 536pts ~ 1.14% from the day’s high also made perfect sense. Unfortunately, Nifty50 does not convey the real truth that happened with the banks as that index was overshadowed by stocks like Adani and NiftyIT components.
On the 63mts time frame, the lower high formation looks much better than N50. Our stance continues to be neutral and would go short if we enter the bearish channel and would go long if the 47465 resistance is breached.
63mts chart
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Algo Trading
Our algo trades ended today with a gain of Rs21565. Even though we had a quick dip in profits by 10.37, the system recovered and closed in green.