An Analysis in Harmony Top-Down Approach chart studyHello Friends,
Today, we have something special in store as we take a top-down approach to analyze a specific stock - Tata Communications in the world of trading. By employing this multi-time frame method, we'll be diving into various charts, starting from the big picture down to smaller timeframes.
Before we begin, please remember that trading carries risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. The analysis we're about to discuss is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
Alright, let's kick off our analysis with the big picture - the monthly chart of Tata Communications. Here, we've identified an exciting Elliott wave count - the third wave of the fifth wave. According to Elliott wave theory, markets move in a series of five waves in the direction of the main trend, followed by three waves in a corrective direction. The third wave is well known for its strength and often the longest in a trending market. So, on the monthly chart of Tata Communications, we're witnessing this powerful third wave within the fifth wave, indicating potential significant moves ahead for the stock.
Next, we'll move down to the weekly chart to gain more insights. On this timeframe, we observed a thrilling development - the "inverted head and shoulders" pattern. This pattern aligns perfectly with the larger Elliott wave count on the monthly chart, supporting the idea of a trend reversal and a potential new uptrend for Tata Communications.
Finally, we'll zoom in even closer to the daily chart. Here, we have another intriguing pattern - a "flag and pole" pattern in the forming stage. This daily pattern further reinforces the notion of an upcoming bullish move for Tata Communications, in line with both the weekly inverted head and shoulders breakout and the monthly Elliott wave count.
On daily time frame Flag and pole chart patterns, flag in formation and still breakout is pending
By utilizing the top-down approach, we've gained a comprehensive understanding of Tata Communications' potential direction. The monthly Elliott wave count provided us with the big picture, the weekly inverted head and shoulders confirmed the trend reversal, and the daily flag and pole pattern hinted at a continuation of the upward movement for the stock.
But remember, trading involves risks, and there are no guarantees. So, it's essential to approach it with caution and use risk management strategies to protect your capital.
In conclusion, we've taken a top-down approach to analyze Tata Communications, considering the monthly Elliott wave count, the weekly inverted head and shoulders breakout, and the daily flag and pole pattern in the forming stage. Keep a close eye on these patterns and the stock's price action, and remember to trade wisely and make well-informed decisions.
I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Thank you for joining us on this exciting trading journey !
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Elliottwaveanalyis
Part [A] Basic of Wave Principle
Elliott Wave background
In the 1930s, R.N Elliott identified the price of the stock trends and reversed a specific pattern. This pattern is repetitive in form and, the patterns have predictive value. He decided to use this pattern (Elliott wave theory) to predict the market. The Elliott wave is not primarily a trading system. It is a detailed description of how the market acts. The Elliott wave is part of technical analysis. Also, the Wave principle is the reassembled form of dow theory.
-Elliott Wave Principle The key To Market Behavior]
Waves in the market?
We all know that price never moves in a straight line. It will neither fall in a straight line nor rise in a straight line.
Price will create highs and lows. And this high and low creates waves. Elliott wave theory is all about counting waves and, we are going to use the Elliott wave to trade the market.
Now, the concept of waves is acceptable for you.
Elliott wave theory is made of 5+3= 8 waves.
Let me show you that structure in both trends.
In bull market ( UP Trend ) :
Figure 1.1 This is the Elliott wave structure in an uptrend. As we discussed, Elliott's wave theory is made up of 5+3=8 waves. Where five waves move with the trend and three waves move against the trend.
In Bear market (downTrend) :
Figure 1.2 This is an example of Elliott wave theory in the Bear market. We can see that five waves move with the trend and, three waves move against the trend.
Take a deep breath, I know you have lots of doubts in your mind. Let me solve some.
1. Elliott wave theory works in any time frame.
2. These 5+3=8 waves will give us a market edge. It will provide strong trends & trend reversals.
3. The accuracy of Elliott wave theory is 84% of you are using the wave principle correctly.
Practical Example of Elliott wave theory :
In the Bull market :
Figure 1.3 This is the TATA MOTORS 4 hour timeframe chart. I used bar charts because It is easy to recognize Elliott's waves in bar Patterns. Well, it works for me to recognize if you feel that you can recognize patterns in another chart, go ahead with bar charts!
In Bear Market:
Figure 1.4 : This is the ITC daily time frame chart. It shows the beautiful Elliott wave structure in the Bear market.
Elliott wave structure :
Now, we all know that Elliott is made of a 5+3= 8 wave structure. So, Let's start getting into it!
To understand the wave principle, we have divided the wave structure (5+3=8) into two Phases which are an Impulse phase/structure & a corrective phase/structure.
Figure 1.5 This picture illustrates Two phases of the Elliott wave principle.
The impulse phase is made up of 5 waves and, the corrective phase is made up of 3 waves.
Figure 1.6: This picture divides the wave principle into two phases.
1. Impulse phase/structure ( which includes five waves and, which moves with the trend you can see in bull market impulse phase is going upward and in a bear market, impulse phase is going down which is directional move.)
&
2. Corrective Phase/structure ( which includes three waves and which moves against the trend, you can see that in bull market corrective phase is going downward and
In bear markets, the corrective phase is going upward, which is a counter-trend move.
Figure 1.7 , Elliott wave has 2 phases. motive/Impulse phase ( directional move ) and corrective phase(counter trend move). We can divide these 2 phases into two types of waves. Impulsive waves and corrective waves.
Let’s zoom in on the impulse phase to understand the underlying structure and wave behavior.
Motive/Impulse Phase :
Important things about the impulse phase
1). Motive/Impulse phase is a Five wave structure that includes wave1,2,3,4 & 5.
2). motive/Impulse phase is a directional move ( moves with the trend.)
3). The Ending point of the impulse phase is the starting point of the corrective phase.
4). motive/Impulse structure is powerful than corrective structure.
5) Impulse phase can divide into two types of waves
i) Impulse waves: 1, 3,5 ( move with Trend of impulse Phase )
ii) Corrective waves: 2,4 ( Moves against the trend of Impulsive Phase)
Let me give you a quick understanding because we are going to cover these waves in-depth,
Impulsive waves are trend-following moves. We can find this type of wave structure in both phases. Impulsive waves create trends.Impulsive waves are (1,3,5,A,C)
Corrective waves are counter-Trend moves. We can find this type of wave structure in both phases. Corrective waves provide pause to continue the trend,
Corrective waves : (2,4,B)
Motive/Impulse Phase in Bull market
Figure 1.8(A) , wave 1,3,5 is an impulsive wave of impulse phase because The trend of impulse phase up and, Impulsive wave are following the trend and heaving upward move.
And
wave 2,4 is the corrective wave of an impulse phase because the trend of the impulse phase is up but, the corrective wave is moving down, which is against the trend.
Motive/Impulse Phase in Bear Market :
Figure 1.8(B), wave 1,3,5 is an impulsive wave of impulse phase because the trend of Motive/impulse phase down and Impulsive wave are following trend and heaving downward move.
And
Wave 2,4 is the corrective wave of an impulse phase because the trend of the Impulse phase is down but, the corrective wave is moving upward, which is against the trend.
Corrective Phase/structure :
Important things about the impulse phase
1). The Corrective Phase is a three-wave structure that includes waves A, B, C.
2). The corrective phase is a counter-trend move ( moves against the trend.)
3). The Ending point of the corrective phase is the starting point of the Impulse phase.
4) correction phase can divide into two types of waves
i) Impulse waves: A, C ( move with Trend of correction Phase )
ii) corrective waves: B ( moves against Trend of correction Phase )
Corrective Phase in a bull market:
Figure 1.9(A ): wave A, C is the impulsive wave of the Correction phase because the trend of the correction phase is down and Impulsive waves are following the trend and heaving downward move.
And
Wave B is the corrective wave of a Correction phase because the trend of the Corrective Phase is down but, the corrective wave is moving upward which is against the trend.
Correction phase in Bear Market :
Figure 1.9(B) : wave A, C is the impulsive wave of the Correction phase because the trend of correction phase Up and Impulsive waves are following the trend and heaving Upward move.
And
Wave B is the corrective wave of a Correction phase because the trend of the Corrective Phase is Up but, the corrective wave is moving down, which is against the trend.
[ Note : here, the correction phase moves against the trend. That's why the market has a Downtrend but, the correction phase is in an uptrend.]
Impulsive wave structure :
1. Impulsive waves are directional moves that are bigger than corrective waves.
2. Impulsive waves create trends.
3. Impulsive waves are subdivided into five waves.
( that means wave 1,3,5, A, C which moves with the trend will have five sub-waves.)
4. Impulsive waves are easy to recognize.
(Impulsive waves can also be called motive waves)
5. Ride of impulsive wave can give us a high probability trade setup with high Rewards
We are going to cover impulsive wave formations in the next part.
(diagonals,extensions,Impulse,Truncation)
Figure 1.10: As we discussed, Impulsive waves subdivide into five waves.
Here wave 1,3,5, A, C has five subwaves which you can see in the chart.
EURCHF: Is it the starting of Stormy 3rd wave ?In this video detailed explanation of applying elliott wave principle has been discussed taking an example of current price structure of a currency pair EURO-SWISS. i.e. EURCHF .
One should go long in the region of 1.07000 - 1.70400 keeping a SL of 1.06618 for the target zone of above the wave 1 highs that is above 1.08710
Nifty /Gold / USDINR - The Important Juncture Thanks from Bottom of my heart to "Sir John Murphy" for giving us such a wonderful book on Intermarket Analysis - "Profiting from Global Market Relationships"
Special thanks to my friend & follower who wrote - Think beyond Red & Green Colours. I would love to have your comment once again here in this idea as well.
Wish You all a Happy & Colorful Holi
This video idea talks about long term outlook on various asset classes such as
Gold
USDINR
Nifty
& get some clue for these asset classes.
Starting with last stock update - Indusind Bank which was published in Jan 2020 & suggested the fall from 1565 to 1050 - all targets were done & stock touched the channel bottom at 913 lows. Kindly check the idea below
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Indusind Bank - Never miss channel bottoms
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
USDINR Ideas
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
24th March 2019 Idea - USDINR - The Box Match at 69
10th Jan 2020 Idea - USDINR - The Next Path (Holding 70.35 - Expect 72.25 & 74.50
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gold Futures
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
17th Sep 2018 Idea - Plausible 1350-1375 Zone
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
India Nifty
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
29th Feb 2020 Idea - Nifty (India -Buy & Hold) - C-Wave or Corona Wave - What Next ?
12th Jan 2020 Idea - Nifty - Stellium Effect - How I cracked the top at 12295
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Thanks for checking the idea. Wishing you all once again a happy holi -