Part [A] Basic of Wave Principle
Elliott Wave background
In the 1930s, R.N Elliott identified the price of the stock trends and reversed a specific pattern. This pattern is repetitive in form and, the patterns have predictive value. He decided to use this pattern (Elliott wave theory) to predict the market. The Elliott wave is not primarily a trading system. It is a detailed description of how the market acts. The Elliott wave is part of technical analysis. Also, the Wave principle is the reassembled form of dow theory.
-Elliott Wave Principle The key To Market Behavior]
Waves in the market?
We all know that price never moves in a straight line. It will neither fall in a straight line nor rise in a straight line.
Price will create highs and lows. And this high and low creates waves. Elliott wave theory is all about counting waves and, we are going to use the Elliott wave to trade the market.
Now, the concept of waves is acceptable for you.
Elliott wave theory is made of 5+3= 8 waves.
Let me show you that structure in both trends.
In bull market ( UP Trend ) :
Figure 1.1 This is the Elliott wave structure in an uptrend. As we discussed, Elliott's wave theory is made up of 5+3=8 waves. Where five waves move with the trend and three waves move against the trend.
In Bear market (downTrend) :
Figure 1.2 This is an example of Elliott wave theory in the Bear market. We can see that five waves move with the trend and, three waves move against the trend.
Take a deep breath, I know you have lots of doubts in your mind. Let me solve some.
1. Elliott wave theory works in any time frame.
2. These 5+3=8 waves will give us a market edge. It will provide strong trends & trend reversals.
3. The accuracy of Elliott wave theory is 84% of you are using the wave principle correctly.
Practical Example of Elliott wave theory :
In the Bull market :
Figure 1.3 This is the TATA MOTORS 4 hour timeframe chart. I used bar charts because It is easy to recognize Elliott's waves in bar Patterns. Well, it works for me to recognize if you feel that you can recognize patterns in another chart, go ahead with bar charts!
In Bear Market:
Figure 1.4 : This is the ITC daily time frame chart. It shows the beautiful Elliott wave structure in the Bear market.
Elliott wave structure :
Now, we all know that Elliott is made of a 5+3= 8 wave structure. So, Let's start getting into it!
To understand the wave principle, we have divided the wave structure (5+3=8) into two Phases which are an Impulse phase/structure & a corrective phase/structure.
Figure 1.5 This picture illustrates Two phases of the Elliott wave principle.
The impulse phase is made up of 5 waves and, the corrective phase is made up of 3 waves.
Figure 1.6: This picture divides the wave principle into two phases.
1. Impulse phase/structure ( which includes five waves and, which moves with the trend you can see in bull market impulse phase is going upward and in a bear market, impulse phase is going down which is directional move.)
&
2. Corrective Phase/structure ( which includes three waves and which moves against the trend, you can see that in bull market corrective phase is going downward and
In bear markets, the corrective phase is going upward, which is a counter-trend move.
Figure 1.7 , Elliott wave has 2 phases. motive/Impulse phase ( directional move ) and corrective phase(counter trend move). We can divide these 2 phases into two types of waves. Impulsive waves and corrective waves.
Let’s zoom in on the impulse phase to understand the underlying structure and wave behavior.
Motive/Impulse Phase :
Important things about the impulse phase
1). Motive/Impulse phase is a Five wave structure that includes wave1,2,3,4 & 5.
2). motive/Impulse phase is a directional move ( moves with the trend.)
3). The Ending point of the impulse phase is the starting point of the corrective phase.
4). motive/Impulse structure is powerful than corrective structure.
5) Impulse phase can divide into two types of waves
i) Impulse waves: 1, 3,5 ( move with Trend of impulse Phase )
ii) Corrective waves: 2,4 ( Moves against the trend of Impulsive Phase)
Let me give you a quick understanding because we are going to cover these waves in-depth,
Impulsive waves are trend-following moves. We can find this type of wave structure in both phases. Impulsive waves create trends.Impulsive waves are (1,3,5,A,C)
Corrective waves are counter-Trend moves. We can find this type of wave structure in both phases. Corrective waves provide pause to continue the trend,
Corrective waves : (2,4,B)
Motive/Impulse Phase in Bull market
Figure 1.8(A) , wave 1,3,5 is an impulsive wave of impulse phase because The trend of impulse phase up and, Impulsive wave are following the trend and heaving upward move.
And
wave 2,4 is the corrective wave of an impulse phase because the trend of the impulse phase is up but, the corrective wave is moving down, which is against the trend.
Motive/Impulse Phase in Bear Market :
Figure 1.8(B), wave 1,3,5 is an impulsive wave of impulse phase because the trend of Motive/impulse phase down and Impulsive wave are following trend and heaving downward move.
And
Wave 2,4 is the corrective wave of an impulse phase because the trend of the Impulse phase is down but, the corrective wave is moving upward, which is against the trend.
Corrective Phase/structure :
Important things about the impulse phase
1). The Corrective Phase is a three-wave structure that includes waves A, B, C.
2). The corrective phase is a counter-trend move ( moves against the trend.)
3). The Ending point of the corrective phase is the starting point of the Impulse phase.
4) correction phase can divide into two types of waves
i) Impulse waves: A, C ( move with Trend of correction Phase )
ii) corrective waves: B ( moves against Trend of correction Phase )
Corrective Phase in a bull market:
Figure 1.9(A ): wave A, C is the impulsive wave of the Correction phase because the trend of the correction phase is down and Impulsive waves are following the trend and heaving downward move.
And
Wave B is the corrective wave of a Correction phase because the trend of the Corrective Phase is down but, the corrective wave is moving upward which is against the trend.
Correction phase in Bear Market :
Figure 1.9(B) : wave A, C is the impulsive wave of the Correction phase because the trend of correction phase Up and Impulsive waves are following the trend and heaving Upward move.
And
Wave B is the corrective wave of a Correction phase because the trend of the Corrective Phase is Up but, the corrective wave is moving down, which is against the trend.
[ Note : here, the correction phase moves against the trend. That's why the market has a Downtrend but, the correction phase is in an uptrend.]
Impulsive wave structure :
1. Impulsive waves are directional moves that are bigger than corrective waves.
2. Impulsive waves create trends.
3. Impulsive waves are subdivided into five waves.
( that means wave 1,3,5, A, C which moves with the trend will have five sub-waves.)
4. Impulsive waves are easy to recognize.
(Impulsive waves can also be called motive waves)
5. Ride of impulsive wave can give us a high probability trade setup with high Rewards
We are going to cover impulsive wave formations in the next part.
(diagonals,extensions,Impulse,Truncation)
Figure 1.10: As we discussed, Impulsive waves subdivide into five waves.
Here wave 1,3,5, A, C has five subwaves which you can see in the chart.
Elliottwaveforecasts
Corrective Wave Pattern- PHILIPCARBHope the above chart helped you in understanding about how the Elliott Corrective Wave Theory works! So we have the example of PCBL here which was in a correction, forming the Elliott five waves and now is under accumulation phase. It has already broken the trendline and is now expected to break the consolidation phase and then complete our wave theory according to which the downtrend ( correction phase) is now over and now it is ready to start a new uptrend. During accumulation we can notice good volumes getting in and we can therefore expect 20% move in the near future. Feel free to give your views on my analysis. DYOR as well 👍
Happy Trading1
NIFTY ELLIOTT WAVE SHORT TERM UPDATE HELLO FIRENDS,
Bottom line : Primary count has been strengthened with the open gap up to 17,539 levels. Alternate count is now less probable, but still on the table (not shown in this post).
In the very short term, price is likely to decline to 17,050 ~ 17,250.
Primary count : Price remains in wave c up of a bearish triangle on the daily chart to 17,700 ~ 17,800.
DLF: BULLISH SEQUENCEFollowing the 'rule' of wave theory , ''wave 4 should not enter into the territory of the wave 1" , stock has managed to keep its bullish outlook intact. moreover we have a HH HL formation on daily time frame which suggest that stock should move higher in wave 5 for new high in coming weeks.
Buy on cmp add on dips keep SL of 390 & look for the target of 440-50 .
Dollar Index (Review)- WaveTalks: The Bounce from 89.55Heading in the suggested direction & getting a close opportunity at 89.55 in April/May 2021 gave dollar bulls a better grip.
Falling below 88-89 only will trigger the next downside move or it will touch the (a) - (c) trendline & finish (e) wave within the next higher degree wave-4. Thanks
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Last Idea - Dollar Index -Rise & Collapse-Part 1- Feb2021
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
HDFC - Wave 5- What it could be unfolding ? - 2390 to 3000+ DoneTarget done at 2900+ for Traditional Chart Patterns. The stock rallied 25% from the bottoms of 2400 since July 2021 in running Wave-5.
What could be unfolding here in wave 5? Are you ready for the next move?
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Last Idea - HDFC- WaveTalks- Pattern, Patience & Penultimate Correction
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AUDUSD: Inverse H&S with Leading diagonal with Third waveAfter falling near the level of 0.74800 AUDUSD has found its bottom near the level of 0.717000. If we observe carefully we can see an inverse Head & Shoulder pattern whose neckline has been broken decisively in today's session. From the perspective of Elliottwave analysis , we can see a Leading Diagonal & a three wave correction followed by a rally above the neckline. It clearly suggest that AUDUSD is rising in its third wave of an impulse 12345. The measured target of the Inverse H&S is coming about to be near the zone of 0.74200-0.74400 which can also be treated as a target for wave 3 .
Trading strategy:
As long as AUDUSD is maintaining above the level of 0.72270 , one should look for buying opportunity on any minor dip or on cmp for the target zone of 0.74100-0.74400.
HINDALCO: CASE OF ENDING DIAGONALENDING DIAGONAL : This is the most common diagonal that can be found out at the ending of a main trend or main correction. It consists of all the waves 1-2-3-4-5 in a single or multiple zigzags. They can be found placed at 5th wave of an impulse wave or can been seen as a wave ‘C’ of a corrective waves zigzags or flat. After the termination of the ending diagonal, a swift & a sharp reversal takes place which bring the prices back to the level from where the diagonal began.
Trading strategy:
One should go short on current levels keeping SL of 510 & look for the target area of 440/420/400
ASIAN PAINTS: Correction AheadWe can clearly identify a five wave structure . No matter which degree wave it is , but after every five waves up there should be a three wave correction. On a lower degree the nature of fall suggests that the correction will be most likely a zig-zag correction. One should go short on current level or on any rise keeping SL of 3500 & look downside for the minimum target of 3000-2950.
KOTAK BANK : BullishEvery impulse wave follows some set of rules which we call them as SUTRAS for wave analysis. They are –
1. Wave 2 cannot move beyond the starting level of the wave 1. That means wave 2 never retrace 100 % of the wave 1.
2. Wave 3 is never the shortest one among the wave 1,3 & 5. It does not mean that it has to be the longest one.
3. Wave 4 never intervene into the price territory of the wave 1.
The stock can be considered in its 4th wave & is about to complete the 4th wave very soon. One should go long on current levels with SL of 1826 & look for the targets of 2170-2200 .
Nifty- WaveTalks: E-Wave Pending ( Rising Wedge +Critical level)From the last idea- WaveTalks: Nifty-Can Bulls Bounce Back?- The Irregular Triangle
Few Adjustments done. Wave- D has been changed to 17941 Highs as discussed over the last idea.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Since Morning @ 8th Oct2021 - How Index unfolded
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
It could be part of the corrective structure. D-Wave could be complex correction & possibly may end as Ending diagonal (Rising Wedge) in the last part (strictly valid only below 17950)
---------------------------------------------
Why 17950- is Critical level???
---------------------------------------------
Irregular Triangle B-Wave High is 17948 crossing above that level structure invalidates & has to be reviewed again.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
As discussed in the last idea suggested above for reference.
150 + Points in the session so far achieved
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Selling below 17950 - dropped 100 points came to 17840-17850 zone
Suggested Minor Support Zone 17840-17850 - If zone holds then bounce can be expected - got the bounce to 17930+
Keep in mind the critical level - 17950 & E- Wave Pending if 17950 is protected. Thanks
GBPUSD: Bullish TriangleGBPUSD has formed a bullish triangular pattern.
Usually this wave structure forms in an impulsive sequence as wave 4 . It consists of 5 sub waves as wave-a , wave-b , wave-c, wave-d and a final setback wave-e . Each of these waves consists of three wave internal structure. Each of the waves should not break their extreme points. The final confirmation to enter the position comes when the price gets close above the level of wave-d. The minimum target of the pattern is just a poke above the level of wave-b and just above the level of wave-3 of the impulsive count. There is also a guideline to predict the target of this pattern which is known as triangular thrust. The triangular thrust is the measurement of the distance from the level of wave-a to the level of wave-b . This measured length should be kept to the breakout level of wave-d to get the target of this pattern.
Trading strategy:
Buy on cmp and add on dips , maintain the sl of 1.35700 & look for the tgt of 1.3800/ 1.3900 /1.4000
M&M FINANCE: Bullish (Ending Diagonal)This is the most common diagonal that can be found out at the ending of a main trend or main correction. It consists of all the waves 1-2-3-4-5 in a single or multiple zigzags. They can be found placed at 5th wave of an impulse wave or can been seen as a wave ‘C’ of a corrective waves zigzags or flat. After the termination of the ending diagonal , a swift & a sharp reversal takes place which bring the prices back to the level from where the diagonal began.
Trading Strategy:
Buy on cmp , add on dips , keep SL of 150 & look for the target of 173/180 zone






















