Elliottwaveforecasts
NSE SAIL Is Preparing For A Bull RunSAIL has been forming descending channels for more than 47 weeks . It has accomplished corrective structure((4)) at 61.8% of wave ((3)).
Wave ((4)) is a double combination pattern. After creating a low of 84.35, the price started marching upward.
If the price breaks out of the corrective channel, traders can trade for the following levels: 123 - 143 - 162+
Stransfin can go long.As seen in the chart Minute Wave C is completed, which completes the Minor Wave 4. So, one can expect the Start of Minor Wave 5,
Minutte Wave 1, is formed as Leading Diagonal Wave 3 can be go up in big move, as seen in HFCL one can go through my HFCl analysis. If the price broke the invalidation level then it needs to recount.
Note - before taking trade please do your own Research above shared views are for educational purpose.
Expecting Fall in Nifty NSE:NIFTY
Hi Everyone
This is our nifty continuation forecast of nifty. As you can see nifty is falling for last 2 weeks and its going further down. So to understand our complete view please watch the video.
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Thank You.
This is our weekly chart with medium degree neowave count.
SILVER MCXSILVER MCX in the near term 70500 - 70600 are the resistance zone for silver mcx, it has possibly completed wave ii in three wave decline, and now possibly wave iii is unfolding. If our wave counts are going correct then above resistance zone silver can show 79000 plus, where wave iii would be equal to wave i.
Currently price is sustaining above RK's stop line and also above RK's cloud along with buy signal in RK's Magic on daily chart, which is a good positive sign itself, if we see price is also above 20DMA and 20WMA, macd is also positive in both daily and weekly time frames, RSI on weekly is uptick, stochastic on daily is supporting same bias.
On the way down immediate supports are pegged at 67050 as a RK's stop line, and major support at 65298 to watch out for upcoming sessions.
Overall wave structure on weekly chart
macd positive in weekly and also above zero line
macd positive crossed in daily chart
RK's indicator also suggesting to go long
Price above 20WMA above mid bollinger in Weekly chart
Price above 20DMA above mid bollinger in daily chart
rsi in weekly uptick
stochastic in daily going positively uptick
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
VOLTASVoltas, this stock has been consolidated in a parallel channel since October 2021, and now very first time it has closed just out of that same channel's top on daily time frame,
Also it has been closed above 20DMA from last 15 days and sustaining on same.
As per elliot wave structure we can assume that from the low of 8th March fresh impulse wave 1 started and on the 17th March wave 2 was started and completed on 28th March, So now possibly wave 3 is in unfolding phase.
RK's Magic indicator is also showing cloud impulse buy on daily chart, along with macd turned positive crossover on weekly chart.
Overall it looks good candidate to go long, at current levels or in dips ( if any ).
on the way up side 1457 is the level where wave 1 and wave 3 would be equal, and on the way down RK's stoploss line which is pegged at 1244, can be a good support level to watch out for in forth coming days.
Wave structure on daily also all key levels are mentioned on chart
macd positive crossover on weekly
macd positive on daily
rsi breakout and uptick on daily
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
NIFTY SPOT CHART ELLIOT WAVE COUNTSNIFTY spot chart is showing good impulsive moves, This week's price actions are adding good confidence to the view that a new upward trend has started now.
We should continue higher as long as support near 17003 holds it can head towards 18170 next, and break above 18170 can move towards more north direction like 18761 and more,
Wave counts are suggesting same and gaining confidence along with MACD supporting as same, also RK's Magic indicator is also suggesting to go long,
One more thing is markable that price is closed above 20Week average for the first time since January.
On the way down major support is pegged at 17003 which is recent weekly swing low. Overall looking bullish.
Overall wave structure on weekly chart
current scenario on daily chart
macd positive crossover in weekly chart
macd positive in daily chart
price is closed above 20Week average for the first time since January
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
GOLD Gold retraced 61.8% of previous rise, it tooked support perfectly from 61.8% and lower bollinger band on daily time frame, and it had once again managed to hold above the RK's stop loss line on the closing basis, after taking support & closing that doji type red hammer candle, next candle closed positive and also given good follow up upwards, also buy signal generated in RK's Magic Buy.
Most possibly it is confirmation that reversal started now and may be wave ii completed and wave iii can unfold.
retraced 61.8% levels
macd in hourly positive above zero line
macd in daily converging towards upwards
rsi in hourly uptick
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
BAJFINANCEThis stock has crossed his weekly swing high, and overall wave structures are suggesting impulse ahead, also macd and other indicators are supporting our bias to go long.
all the key levels are mentioned on chart.
Overall wave structure
macd in daily positive uptick
macd in weekly converging upwards
RSI in daily
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
GSPL Diagonal Breakout Expected.Above provided Chart of GSPL, is based on Technical analysis and Elliott wave theory, where one can see there is a formation of Diagonal pattern in the minute wave C, of the minor wave 4, here there is a POSSIBILITY of ending wave 4, and start of Wave 5. If 5th wave is started one expect above targets.
Note - View's provided are for Educational purposes only, please do your own Research.
CIPLA: BULLISH FLAGStock is has formed a bullish flag pattern on weekly chart being the support region near 850 zone & resistance area at 1000 zone. Any sustained move above the level of 1000 will lead the stock to the new highs in a very sharp upside rally. Stock is consolidating from last 1 year , so the momentum after the breakout wil be strong.
Trading strategy:
Buy above 1000 with SL of 920 and look for the immediate target of 1100 and 1150. The measured bookish target for the bullish flag is coming about to be in the region of 1250.
NSE AJMERA's Corrective Wave Is Ready For its Last Leg Down
Price has broken down the wave (a) at 382.
We can see a corrective channel, which has held the corrective structure.
Wave c can travel for the following targets: 360-356-342+.
Price has also created the head and shoulders pattern, and the right shoulder has broken down the neckline.
Impulsive wave will start after the breakout of the corrective wave channel.
I will update further information.
Part [A] Basic of Wave Principle
Elliott Wave background
In the 1930s, R.N Elliott identified the price of the stock trends and reversed a specific pattern. This pattern is repetitive in form and, the patterns have predictive value. He decided to use this pattern (Elliott wave theory) to predict the market. The Elliott wave is not primarily a trading system. It is a detailed description of how the market acts. The Elliott wave is part of technical analysis. Also, the Wave principle is the reassembled form of dow theory.
-Elliott Wave Principle The key To Market Behavior]
Waves in the market?
We all know that price never moves in a straight line. It will neither fall in a straight line nor rise in a straight line.
Price will create highs and lows. And this high and low creates waves. Elliott wave theory is all about counting waves and, we are going to use the Elliott wave to trade the market.
Now, the concept of waves is acceptable for you.
Elliott wave theory is made of 5+3= 8 waves.
Let me show you that structure in both trends.
In bull market ( UP Trend ) :
Figure 1.1 This is the Elliott wave structure in an uptrend. As we discussed, Elliott's wave theory is made up of 5+3=8 waves. Where five waves move with the trend and three waves move against the trend.
In Bear market (downTrend) :
Figure 1.2 This is an example of Elliott wave theory in the Bear market. We can see that five waves move with the trend and, three waves move against the trend.
Take a deep breath, I know you have lots of doubts in your mind. Let me solve some.
1. Elliott wave theory works in any time frame.
2. These 5+3=8 waves will give us a market edge. It will provide strong trends & trend reversals.
3. The accuracy of Elliott wave theory is 84% of you are using the wave principle correctly.
Practical Example of Elliott wave theory :
In the Bull market :
Figure 1.3 This is the TATA MOTORS 4 hour timeframe chart. I used bar charts because It is easy to recognize Elliott's waves in bar Patterns. Well, it works for me to recognize if you feel that you can recognize patterns in another chart, go ahead with bar charts!
In Bear Market:
Figure 1.4 : This is the ITC daily time frame chart. It shows the beautiful Elliott wave structure in the Bear market.
Elliott wave structure :
Now, we all know that Elliott is made of a 5+3= 8 wave structure. So, Let's start getting into it!
To understand the wave principle, we have divided the wave structure (5+3=8) into two Phases which are an Impulse phase/structure & a corrective phase/structure.
Figure 1.5 This picture illustrates Two phases of the Elliott wave principle.
The impulse phase is made up of 5 waves and, the corrective phase is made up of 3 waves.
Figure 1.6: This picture divides the wave principle into two phases.
1. Impulse phase/structure ( which includes five waves and, which moves with the trend you can see in bull market impulse phase is going upward and in a bear market, impulse phase is going down which is directional move.)
&
2. Corrective Phase/structure ( which includes three waves and which moves against the trend, you can see that in bull market corrective phase is going downward and
In bear markets, the corrective phase is going upward, which is a counter-trend move.
Figure 1.7 , Elliott wave has 2 phases. motive/Impulse phase ( directional move ) and corrective phase(counter trend move). We can divide these 2 phases into two types of waves. Impulsive waves and corrective waves.
Let’s zoom in on the impulse phase to understand the underlying structure and wave behavior.
Motive/Impulse Phase :
Important things about the impulse phase
1). Motive/Impulse phase is a Five wave structure that includes wave1,2,3,4 & 5.
2). motive/Impulse phase is a directional move ( moves with the trend.)
3). The Ending point of the impulse phase is the starting point of the corrective phase.
4). motive/Impulse structure is powerful than corrective structure.
5) Impulse phase can divide into two types of waves
i) Impulse waves: 1, 3,5 ( move with Trend of impulse Phase )
ii) Corrective waves: 2,4 ( Moves against the trend of Impulsive Phase)
Let me give you a quick understanding because we are going to cover these waves in-depth,
Impulsive waves are trend-following moves. We can find this type of wave structure in both phases. Impulsive waves create trends.Impulsive waves are (1,3,5,A,C)
Corrective waves are counter-Trend moves. We can find this type of wave structure in both phases. Corrective waves provide pause to continue the trend,
Corrective waves : (2,4,B)
Motive/Impulse Phase in Bull market
Figure 1.8(A) , wave 1,3,5 is an impulsive wave of impulse phase because The trend of impulse phase up and, Impulsive wave are following the trend and heaving upward move.
And
wave 2,4 is the corrective wave of an impulse phase because the trend of the impulse phase is up but, the corrective wave is moving down, which is against the trend.
Motive/Impulse Phase in Bear Market :
Figure 1.8(B), wave 1,3,5 is an impulsive wave of impulse phase because the trend of Motive/impulse phase down and Impulsive wave are following trend and heaving downward move.
And
Wave 2,4 is the corrective wave of an impulse phase because the trend of the Impulse phase is down but, the corrective wave is moving upward, which is against the trend.
Corrective Phase/structure :
Important things about the impulse phase
1). The Corrective Phase is a three-wave structure that includes waves A, B, C.
2). The corrective phase is a counter-trend move ( moves against the trend.)
3). The Ending point of the corrective phase is the starting point of the Impulse phase.
4) correction phase can divide into two types of waves
i) Impulse waves: A, C ( move with Trend of correction Phase )
ii) corrective waves: B ( moves against Trend of correction Phase )
Corrective Phase in a bull market:
Figure 1.9(A ): wave A, C is the impulsive wave of the Correction phase because the trend of the correction phase is down and Impulsive waves are following the trend and heaving downward move.
And
Wave B is the corrective wave of a Correction phase because the trend of the Corrective Phase is down but, the corrective wave is moving upward which is against the trend.
Correction phase in Bear Market :
Figure 1.9(B) : wave A, C is the impulsive wave of the Correction phase because the trend of correction phase Up and Impulsive waves are following the trend and heaving Upward move.
And
Wave B is the corrective wave of a Correction phase because the trend of the Corrective Phase is Up but, the corrective wave is moving down, which is against the trend.
[ Note : here, the correction phase moves against the trend. That's why the market has a Downtrend but, the correction phase is in an uptrend.]
Impulsive wave structure :
1. Impulsive waves are directional moves that are bigger than corrective waves.
2. Impulsive waves create trends.
3. Impulsive waves are subdivided into five waves.
( that means wave 1,3,5, A, C which moves with the trend will have five sub-waves.)
4. Impulsive waves are easy to recognize.
(Impulsive waves can also be called motive waves)
5. Ride of impulsive wave can give us a high probability trade setup with high Rewards
We are going to cover impulsive wave formations in the next part.
(diagonals,extensions,Impulse,Truncation)
Figure 1.10: As we discussed, Impulsive waves subdivide into five waves.
Here wave 1,3,5, A, C has five subwaves which you can see in the chart.
Corrective Wave Pattern- PHILIPCARBHope the above chart helped you in understanding about how the Elliott Corrective Wave Theory works! So we have the example of PCBL here which was in a correction, forming the Elliott five waves and now is under accumulation phase. It has already broken the trendline and is now expected to break the consolidation phase and then complete our wave theory according to which the downtrend ( correction phase) is now over and now it is ready to start a new uptrend. During accumulation we can notice good volumes getting in and we can therefore expect 20% move in the near future. Feel free to give your views on my analysis. DYOR as well 👍
Happy Trading1
NIFTY ELLIOTT WAVE SHORT TERM UPDATE HELLO FIRENDS,
Bottom line : Primary count has been strengthened with the open gap up to 17,539 levels. Alternate count is now less probable, but still on the table (not shown in this post).
In the very short term, price is likely to decline to 17,050 ~ 17,250.
Primary count : Price remains in wave c up of a bearish triangle on the daily chart to 17,700 ~ 17,800.
DLF: BULLISH SEQUENCEFollowing the 'rule' of wave theory , ''wave 4 should not enter into the territory of the wave 1" , stock has managed to keep its bullish outlook intact. moreover we have a HH HL formation on daily time frame which suggest that stock should move higher in wave 5 for new high in coming weeks.
Buy on cmp add on dips keep SL of 390 & look for the target of 440-50 .
Dollar Index (Review)- WaveTalks: The Bounce from 89.55Heading in the suggested direction & getting a close opportunity at 89.55 in April/May 2021 gave dollar bulls a better grip.
Falling below 88-89 only will trigger the next downside move or it will touch the (a) - (c) trendline & finish (e) wave within the next higher degree wave-4. Thanks
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Last Idea - Dollar Index -Rise & Collapse-Part 1- Feb2021
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HDFC - Wave 5- What it could be unfolding ? - 2390 to 3000+ DoneTarget done at 2900+ for Traditional Chart Patterns. The stock rallied 25% from the bottoms of 2400 since July 2021 in running Wave-5.
What could be unfolding here in wave 5? Are you ready for the next move?
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Last Idea - HDFC- WaveTalks- Pattern, Patience & Penultimate Correction
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AUDUSD: Inverse H&S with Leading diagonal with Third waveAfter falling near the level of 0.74800 AUDUSD has found its bottom near the level of 0.717000. If we observe carefully we can see an inverse Head & Shoulder pattern whose neckline has been broken decisively in today's session. From the perspective of Elliottwave analysis , we can see a Leading Diagonal & a three wave correction followed by a rally above the neckline. It clearly suggest that AUDUSD is rising in its third wave of an impulse 12345. The measured target of the Inverse H&S is coming about to be near the zone of 0.74200-0.74400 which can also be treated as a target for wave 3 .
Trading strategy:
As long as AUDUSD is maintaining above the level of 0.72270 , one should look for buying opportunity on any minor dip or on cmp for the target zone of 0.74100-0.74400.
HINDALCO: CASE OF ENDING DIAGONALENDING DIAGONAL : This is the most common diagonal that can be found out at the ending of a main trend or main correction. It consists of all the waves 1-2-3-4-5 in a single or multiple zigzags. They can be found placed at 5th wave of an impulse wave or can been seen as a wave ‘C’ of a corrective waves zigzags or flat. After the termination of the ending diagonal, a swift & a sharp reversal takes place which bring the prices back to the level from where the diagonal began.
Trading strategy:
One should go short on current levels keeping SL of 510 & look for the target area of 440/420/400