Part [A] Basic of Wave Principle
Elliott Wave background
In the 1930s, R.N Elliott identified the price of the stock trends and reversed a specific pattern. This pattern is repetitive in form and, the patterns have predictive value. He decided to use this pattern (Elliott wave theory) to predict the market. The Elliott wave is not primarily a trading system. It is a detailed description of how the market acts. The Elliott wave is part of technical analysis. Also, the Wave principle is the reassembled form of dow theory.
-Elliott Wave Principle The key To Market Behavior]
Waves in the market?
We all know that price never moves in a straight line. It will neither fall in a straight line nor rise in a straight line.
Price will create highs and lows. And this high and low creates waves. Elliott wave theory is all about counting waves and, we are going to use the Elliott wave to trade the market.
Now, the concept of waves is acceptable for you.
Elliott wave theory is made of 5+3= 8 waves.
Let me show you that structure in both trends.
In bull market ( UP Trend ) :
Figure 1.1 This is the Elliott wave structure in an uptrend. As we discussed, Elliott's wave theory is made up of 5+3=8 waves. Where five waves move with the trend and three waves move against the trend.
In Bear market (downTrend) :
Figure 1.2 This is an example of Elliott wave theory in the Bear market. We can see that five waves move with the trend and, three waves move against the trend.
Take a deep breath, I know you have lots of doubts in your mind. Let me solve some.
1. Elliott wave theory works in any time frame.
2. These 5+3=8 waves will give us a market edge. It will provide strong trends & trend reversals.
3. The accuracy of Elliott wave theory is 84% of you are using the wave principle correctly.
Practical Example of Elliott wave theory :
In the Bull market :
Figure 1.3 This is the TATA MOTORS 4 hour timeframe chart. I used bar charts because It is easy to recognize Elliott's waves in bar Patterns. Well, it works for me to recognize if you feel that you can recognize patterns in another chart, go ahead with bar charts!
In Bear Market:
Figure 1.4 : This is the ITC daily time frame chart. It shows the beautiful Elliott wave structure in the Bear market.
Elliott wave structure :
Now, we all know that Elliott is made of a 5+3= 8 wave structure. So, Let's start getting into it!
To understand the wave principle, we have divided the wave structure (5+3=8) into two Phases which are an Impulse phase/structure & a corrective phase/structure.
Figure 1.5 This picture illustrates Two phases of the Elliott wave principle.
The impulse phase is made up of 5 waves and, the corrective phase is made up of 3 waves.
Figure 1.6: This picture divides the wave principle into two phases.
1. Impulse phase/structure ( which includes five waves and, which moves with the trend you can see in bull market impulse phase is going upward and in a bear market, impulse phase is going down which is directional move.)
&
2. Corrective Phase/structure ( which includes three waves and which moves against the trend, you can see that in bull market corrective phase is going downward and
In bear markets, the corrective phase is going upward, which is a counter-trend move.
Figure 1.7 , Elliott wave has 2 phases. motive/Impulse phase ( directional move ) and corrective phase(counter trend move). We can divide these 2 phases into two types of waves. Impulsive waves and corrective waves.
Let’s zoom in on the impulse phase to understand the underlying structure and wave behavior.
Motive/Impulse Phase :
Important things about the impulse phase
1). Motive/Impulse phase is a Five wave structure that includes wave1,2,3,4 & 5.
2). motive/Impulse phase is a directional move ( moves with the trend.)
3). The Ending point of the impulse phase is the starting point of the corrective phase.
4). motive/Impulse structure is powerful than corrective structure.
5) Impulse phase can divide into two types of waves
i) Impulse waves: 1, 3,5 ( move with Trend of impulse Phase )
ii) Corrective waves: 2,4 ( Moves against the trend of Impulsive Phase)
Let me give you a quick understanding because we are going to cover these waves in-depth,
Impulsive waves are trend-following moves. We can find this type of wave structure in both phases. Impulsive waves create trends.Impulsive waves are (1,3,5,A,C)
Corrective waves are counter-Trend moves. We can find this type of wave structure in both phases. Corrective waves provide pause to continue the trend,
Corrective waves : (2,4,B)
Motive/Impulse Phase in Bull market
Figure 1.8(A) , wave 1,3,5 is an impulsive wave of impulse phase because The trend of impulse phase up and, Impulsive wave are following the trend and heaving upward move.
And
wave 2,4 is the corrective wave of an impulse phase because the trend of the impulse phase is up but, the corrective wave is moving down, which is against the trend.
Motive/Impulse Phase in Bear Market :
Figure 1.8(B), wave 1,3,5 is an impulsive wave of impulse phase because the trend of Motive/impulse phase down and Impulsive wave are following trend and heaving downward move.
And
Wave 2,4 is the corrective wave of an impulse phase because the trend of the Impulse phase is down but, the corrective wave is moving upward, which is against the trend.
Corrective Phase/structure :
Important things about the impulse phase
1). The Corrective Phase is a three-wave structure that includes waves A, B, C.
2). The corrective phase is a counter-trend move ( moves against the trend.)
3). The Ending point of the corrective phase is the starting point of the Impulse phase.
4) correction phase can divide into two types of waves
i) Impulse waves: A, C ( move with Trend of correction Phase )
ii) corrective waves: B ( moves against Trend of correction Phase )
Corrective Phase in a bull market:
Figure 1.9(A ): wave A, C is the impulsive wave of the Correction phase because the trend of the correction phase is down and Impulsive waves are following the trend and heaving downward move.
And
Wave B is the corrective wave of a Correction phase because the trend of the Corrective Phase is down but, the corrective wave is moving upward which is against the trend.
Correction phase in Bear Market :
Figure 1.9(B) : wave A, C is the impulsive wave of the Correction phase because the trend of correction phase Up and Impulsive waves are following the trend and heaving Upward move.
And
Wave B is the corrective wave of a Correction phase because the trend of the Corrective Phase is Up but, the corrective wave is moving down, which is against the trend.
[ Note : here, the correction phase moves against the trend. That's why the market has a Downtrend but, the correction phase is in an uptrend.]
Impulsive wave structure :
1. Impulsive waves are directional moves that are bigger than corrective waves.
2. Impulsive waves create trends.
3. Impulsive waves are subdivided into five waves.
( that means wave 1,3,5, A, C which moves with the trend will have five sub-waves.)
4. Impulsive waves are easy to recognize.
(Impulsive waves can also be called motive waves)
5. Ride of impulsive wave can give us a high probability trade setup with high Rewards
We are going to cover impulsive wave formations in the next part.
(diagonals,extensions,Impulse,Truncation)
Figure 1.10: As we discussed, Impulsive waves subdivide into five waves.
Here wave 1,3,5, A, C has five subwaves which you can see in the chart.
Elliottwaveprojection
Tata Chemicals : Swing Buy, Buy for IntradayTata Chemicals Limited is an Indian global company with interests in chemicals, crop protection and specialty chemistry products headquartered in Mumbai, India.
CMP: 944.05
Target: 976-1003
In Tata Chemical Sideway trend completed also given breakout and form 1st Elliott Wave. Best for Long term.
For Intraday On 31st Jan 22 Watch opportunity to buy. ( Must watch Bullish Candlestick Pattern, Stop loss as per Candle Stick Pattern)
Feel free to share your feedback and queries.
If you want to know about your stock please mention in comment.
Note: This is not Paid only for Educational purpose.
EWT: Will Crude Oil Reach 7000?Crude oil is forming impulsive waves ((5)).
After the completion of wave ((3)), the price had started complex running flat of the corrective wave ((4)).
Wave B has crossed the high of wave ((3)), but wave B couldn't break the low of wave A.
Price has made a failure of swing low, which was a rejection of a downtrend, and crude oil gained momentum.
Price has exceeded the sub-wave B of wave ((4)).
Sub-wave 4 of wave ((5)) is in progress.
If their price breaks out the high of wave 3, we can expect the following target for final sub-wave 6697-6785-6865+ . It means the price has bullish sentiments above wave three and vice versa.
Breakout of the parallel channel shows the weakness of the impulsive wave. Note that wave four can never overlap the starting point of wave 1.
EWT: High confidence Trade-setup for ACE Construction.ACE construction is forming a contracting triangle of waves ((4)).
To draw parallel lines, I have connected wave ((2)) & wave ((4)) and merged with wave ((3)).
Wave ((1))
- Five wave impulse
wave ((2))
- Sharp correction
- 50% retracement of wave ((1))
Wave ((3))
- Five wave impulse
- Power extend
Wave ((4))
- Contracting triangle
- sideways correction
- 38.2% of wave ((3))
Wave ((5))
- Wave ((5)) can be equal to wave ((1)).
- It can end near a 1.618% extension of wave ((4)).
We can expect the following targets of 273 - 292 - 320+ after the breakout of the B-D trendline.
In case if price breaks the A-C trendline to completed wave E, it can fall up to 139 . According to Elliott wave, wave (4) ends near the lower degree of wave 4.
Price action Perspectives:
In this chart, we can see the crossover of multi-exponential moving averages. And the price is formed a value area for more than two months.
If the price breaks out of this value area range, we may see an upward move for our targets.
Nifty more consolidation ahead wave Z startedNifty enter more consolidation phase as wave Z looks have started will take 2-3 days more.
Broken and closed above 0.382 fibonacci levels today next aiming for 0.618 fibonacci level at 17770
Bearish view will get activated as soon as breaks 17244.
DISCLAIMER:There is no guarantee of profits nor exceptions from losses.
Technical analysis provided on the chart is solely the personal views of my research.
You are advised to rely on your own judgments while taking any investing/Trading decisions.
Past performance is not an indicator of future returns. Investment/trading is subject to market risks.
Seek help of your financial advisors before investing/trading.
Not recommended to take FnO positions based on this analysis
I may or may not trade this analysis. Details in description.
Maruti: Best to dip Buy..
CMP:8550.95
Upcoming Target: 8212, 9182.
After Completing W Pattern Target Now Maruti Go for Elliot Wave theory.
In Maruti can see the stock price starting to fall after the completion of the 1st Elliot wave . The downside target is 8203. The correction wave may take the 12345 pattern.
You also go for Long term buy on dip strategy with five time investment.
Feel free to share your feedback and queries.
If you want to know about your stock please mention in comment.
Nifty Outlook: Will the seller crash the remaining bull?Nifty is occurring a corrective wave ((iv)) on the hourly timeframe chart.
It has broken the previous corrective (iv) of a lower degree and price fall to 17377 .
The bullish scenario is valid till the price is above 17150 .
According to the Elliott wave principle, wave ((iv)) can never enter the price territory of wave ((i)).
Wave ((iv)) has retraced 78.6% , and it can't retrace more than 78.6% if there is a bull power on the other hand.
If the nifty breaks 78.6% at 17156, it will also break the invalidation level point of 17150 .
Nifty is creating a downtrend channel, where bull power has controlled by sellers.
If the price breaks out of the channel downtrend, we can see a sharp upward move soon.
However, nifty has to confirm its bull run by breaking the breaking supply zones.
Previous Idea:
Other ideas:
Use the play button to see the results.
Nifty wave 4 correction to startNifty looks be in deep correction currently in 4th wave which should be flat, triangle or complex correction towards 0.382 fibonacci levels.
5th wave to start after this correction.
Alternative
DISCLAIMER:There is no guarantee of profits nor exceptions from losses.
Technical analysis provided on the chart is solely the personal views of my research.
You are advised to rely on your own judgments while taking any investing/Trading decisions.
Past performance is not an indicator of future returns. Investment/trading is subject to market risks.
Seek help of your financial advisors before investing/trading.
Not recommended to take FnO positions based on this analysis
I may or may not trade this analysis. Details in description.
NIFTY Research Report 2: Elliott Wave And Price Action analysis--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Timeframe: 1- Day
Theory: Elliott Wave
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Click here to read research report 1:
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Timeframe: 1- hour
Theory: Elliott Wave
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Let's zoom the 5th impulsive wave of wave ((5)) to know the current situation of the Wave cycle.
The ending point of wave 4 is the starting point of wave 5.
After the accomplishment of, triple zigzag, the price has started an impulsive wave, and it has broken the X wave.
X was had holder the correction, and break out of X wave increased public participant in nifty.
Wave formations of the impulsive wave 5 of wave ((5)).
Wave ((i)) is a leading diagonal.
Wave ((ii)) is a zigzag correction, retraced 50% of wave ((i)).
Wave ((iii)) is a five-wave impulse where sub-wave v is near to being completed.
After the completion of wave ((iii)) , the price will start the corrective wave ((iv)). The question is, how to know if the corrective wave started or not?
The best way to find the starting point of the corrective structure is the breakout of the base channel.
If the price breaks the base channel, it may end near the previous wave (iv). I have already mentioned levels in the daily time-frame analysis.
If the price couldn't break down the parallel base channel, it can create a new high, but it will give a short pullback to increase public participants.
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Timeframe: 1- hour
Theory: Price Action Analysis
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Price has broken out the downtrend channel and started an upward move.
However, the current bullish move looks strong, but the price can't make a new high without proper retracement.
Nifty can't get public participants Without trend pause( correction).
If the price breaks the parallel channel, we can expect the following support level: 18232-17944-17604-17261
Please note that the price is bullish above 18250 .
If the price takes support on the parallel channel, it can go for 18600-18845+ to touch the upper band of the channel.
BITCOINAfter completing 12345 impulse move Bitcoin showing that it is currently in final corrective phase C of ABC.
When bitcoin broke the rising channel it was the 1st sign that possibly the entire move up is 3 waves. after completing wave B of ABC, now it has broken 2nd support level marked on chart, this confirms that the entire rise was wave B, and currently we are in wave C of ABC, The parallel channel around the entire structure gives us the downside level of 30800 for wave C to complete.
Overall wave structure could be like this
macd in weekly
macd in daily
rsi in daily
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Nifty spot ChartNifty spot chart Elliot wave counts updated
zoomed view in corrective phase subdivided counts
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
BankNifty Spot ChartBank nifty spot levels Elliot wave structure is suggesting to go long.
zoomed view of corrective phase
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Will bull traders drive Apollotyer above Rs.300?Preface
APOLLOTYER is preparing for a bull run. After completion of the 3rd wave at 261.2. Price had started a corrective wave ((4)) and took 38 weeks to finish this structure.
A trader can trade impulsive wave ((5)) to make a high confidence trade setup.
Wave Formations and Fibonacci relationships:
Wave ((1))is an impulse with a 5-3-5-3-5 wave structure.
Wave ((2)) is a zigzag move. Fibonacci retracement of wave 2 is 50% of 1st impulsive wave at 109.55. Sub-wave of wave 2 fulfilled the rule of equality (wave A= wave C)
Wave ((2)) is not exceeding the starting point of wave 1.
Wave ((3)) is an extensive impulse. 3rd wave has 261.8% retracement of 1st impulsive at 261.
Wave ((4)) is a triple three with a 3-3-3-3-3 wave structure.
It retraced 38.2% of the 3rd wave and did not overlap the starting point of wave 1.
What will happen next?
Completion of sub-wave z indicates that the corrective wave has ended. Price has started forming sub-waves of wave 5.
The sub-wave z of wave ((4)) has formed a descending channel.
If the price breaks descending channel and close above sub-wave ((b)) at 237, it will confirm the impulsive behavior.
(Note that the ending point of the corrective wave is the starting point of an impulsive wave.)
A trader can expect the following targets:237-250-279-297+
Target 1: 237
Target 2: 250
Target 3: 279
Target 4: 297+
The safe traders can wait for the breakout of wave X.
If the price fails to break the wave X, correction is about to make a new leg down.
They can enter on the pullback to enter where they can manage risk with tight stop loss.
Invalidation: pullback can't break the low of wave ((4))
Dhampur Sugar wave 5 in progressStock looks to hgave broken out of consolidation 4th wave and started 5th wave
DISCLAIMER:There is no guarantee of profits nor exceptions from losses.
Technical analysis provided on the chart is solely the personal views of my research.
You are advised to rely on your own judgments while taking any investing/Trading decisions.
Past performance is not an indicator of future returns. Investment/trading is subject to market risks.
Seek help of your financial advisors before investing/trading.
Not recommended to take FnO positions based on this analysis
I may or may not trade this analysis. Details in description.
Alembic Pharmaceuticals is preparing for Rs. 140+Alembic is having a double zigzag( W-X-Y) correction of wave ((4)).
Price is stuck on the ending diagonal of wave Y.
According to the Elliott wave principle, if the price breaks up the ending diagonal, the price is supposed to reach the targets of 114-123-139 and more .
However, the price must confirm the trend by breaking the wave (X).
In case if price breaks the low of wave Y, it can fall up to 79 .
At this level, wave W has traveled 100% of wave Y. After that, it will initiate an uptrend for the above targets.
NSE IDFCFirstBank Bullish Cycle Started
Preface:
IDFC First bank is ready to march upward. After making the high of 69.30, the Price has started the corrective wave four and took 179 days to complete. The ending point of wave 4 is the starting point of impulsive wave 5.
Wave Formations And Fibonacci Relationships:
Wave 1 is a Leading diagonal which has a 3-3-3-3-3 sub-wave structure.
Wave 2 is a combination where wave 'W' is a zigzag & wave 'Y' is a triangle. Fibonacci retracement of wave 2 is 38.2% of wave 1.
Wave 2 is not exceeding the starting point of wave 1.
Wave 3 is an extensive impulse. 3rd wave has 261.8% retracement of wave 1.
Wave 4 is a zigzag correction with a 5-3-5 wave structure.
Sub-wave of wave 4 fulfilled the rule of equality (wave A= wave C).
Wave 4 retraced 78.6% of wave 3.
What will happen next?
Completion of sub-wave C indicates that the corrective wave has ended. Price has started forming sub-waves of wave 5.
Wave (ii) retraced 78.6% of wave (i).
If the IDFC First Bank breaks the high of wave 1, it will confirm the impulsive behavior of wave (iii).
(Note that the ending point of the corrective wave is the starting point of an impulsive wave.)
A trader can expect the following targets: 64-74.64- 86.2+
Target 1: 64
{Clusters: high of wave B,161.8% of wave (iii), 78.6% of reverse Fibonacci retracement of wave 4}
Target 2: 74.64
{Clusters: 2.618% of wave (i) through (iii), 161.8% of wave 1 through 3}
Target 3: 86.23
{Clusters:78.6% reverse Fibonacci retracement of wave 4, dynamic resistance}