Elliottwaveprojection
Hdfc ltd conditional trade...Hdfc Ltd spot cmp 2500
Time frame :- Daily
Study : Elliot wave
Wave 1 :- Wave 1 is first impulse wave of impulse phase,, in this case study first wave consist of 470 points in terms of points and 32% in terms of percentage,, first wave is generally of no confidence movement,, buyers still dont have confidence that the trend will change and the upside impulse move will start,, so it spends time in that reversal zone.
Wave 2 :- wave 2 is first corrective wave of impulse phase, in this case study second wave consist of 325 points and have retraced around 78.6% of wave 1,, general rule as per theory is wave 2 retraces around 50 to 88.6% of wave 1,, the retracement of wave 2 is sharp in nature and are of very short period,, and wave 2 low can not be below the low point of the start of the impulse phase..
Wave 3 :- wave 3 is second impulse wave of impulse phase,, in this case study third wave consist of 1268 points in terms of points and 78% in terms of percentage,, 3rd wave is longest and strongest wave of impulse phase,, once price breaks out above high price of wave 1 traders jumps into the trade and wave 3 is extended wave of wave one,, it can extend from 1.618% to 3.618% of wave 1 in both terms of points and in terms of percentage,, in this case wave 3 have extended around 2.618% of wave 1 in terms of price and percentage.. wave 3 also consist of minor impulse phase which is shown as part wave of 1-2-3-4-5 of wave 3.
Wave 4 :- wave 4 is second corrective wave of impulse phase, in this case study forth wave consist of 542 points and have retraced around 38.2% of wave 3,, general rule as per theory is wave 4 retraces around 23.6% to 50% of wave 3,, the retracement of wave is slow and in zig zag manner,, generally triangles and flats,, and are time consuming,, and wave 4 can not go below the peak levels of wave 1,, in this case study wave 4 is in form of symmetrical triangle,, descending triangle and on smaller time frame last leg have bullish wolf wave formation,,
Wave 5 :- Wave 5 is third and final impulse wave of impulse phase, in this case study we are pre assuming the wave 4 have matured and wave 5 will unfold from this levels,, reason for the same is breakout from symmetrical triangle formation of wave 4 , breakout from wolf wave on smaller internal wave formed in wave 4,,bullish divergence in RSI indicator,, MACD on verge to give positive cross over and breakout from falling trend line,, this all are consideration for wave 5 to unfold,, now wave 5 are ephoric in nature, move are in form of parabolic steep and in rising wedge formation,, wave 5 are equivalent to wave one and are 61.8% of wave 3,, if we go as per this calculation wave 5 can end around 3110 to 3190,, as per price action breakout of symmetrical triangle gives same amount of move after breakout that will lead to 3110,, now as per wave 1 in terms of points wave 5 will be of 480 points than counter may head towards 2840 levels,, and as per % terms of wave 1 move of 32% would lead counter to levels of 3190,, which also coincides with 61.8% of wave 3,,
Much more can be included in this but will not be able to do so,,
Note :- personally holding this counter from 2400 levels..
Good bullish formation..
MARUTI GOOD bullish formationMaruti spot cmp 7200
Time frame :- 240 mins
.
Study :- Elliot wave
Counter have given reversal from maturity levels of corrective wave 4, now if wave 5 unfolds can give good upmove,,,
Rsi have given breakout from falling trend line
Macd on verge to give positive crossover,,
Hidden bullish divergence seen in both indicators where price making higher low and Indicators making lower low,,
FAlling parallel channel formation in wave 4,, once price breakout is confirmed from this parallel channel good short covering can be seen in counter,,
Panic low done in price with highest volume in whole swing,, low of the panic selling not broken ,, means follow through selling is missing and all the traders are on one side of the trade ,, no more left to go short in this counter,, now on reversal all will be forced to cover their shorts..
Good bullish formation for the counter
Banknifty projection for next 2-3 sessionBanknifty looks to have completed Wave "a" 5 wave structure and currently in wave "b" which double zig zag correction towards 0.618 fibonacci level.
Short can be initiated if opens below 35533 for target 34400-300 with SL 35623
From zones near 0.618 fibonacci level 34400-300 expected to take support and bounce up as wave "c" for any of 3 targets 35000-300-450
Just for study purpose only and should not be interpreted as a proposition to buy or sell in any securities. Investment are subject to market risk.
This analysis can go wrong as well so trade at your own risk. Won't be responsible for any loss.
Nifty pvt bank bullish candidateNifty pvt bank cmp 17975
Elliot wave study
Daily time frame
At the moment index is trading at pre covid all time high levels of index,, which are in range of 17950 to 18030.
It strong demand zone and is being respected in past history so the index can be considered at support levels .
Wave 1 :- wave 1 consist of 3494 points and 41.17% move from the bottom,, this is the first impulse wave of impulse phase.
Wave 2 :- Wave 2 have retraced 0.786% of wave 1,as per theory it can retrace from 0.50 to 0.886% of wave 1
wave 3 :- wave 3 consist of 10629 point and 112.% upmove from the bottom of wave 2, it is longest and strongest impulse wave of the whole impulse phase,, point wise comparision of wave 3 with wave 1,, wave 3 have extended 3.14 time of wave 1 which is considered as pie number and is important number in geometry and fibo numbers,, percentage wise wave 3 have extended 2.618 time of wave 1,,as per theory it can extend from 1.618 to 3.618% of wave 1.. so all criteria of wave 3 matches the elliot wave theory.
Wave 4 :- Wave 4 have retraced 0.382% of wave 3, as per theory it can retrace from 0.23 to 0.50% of wave 3
pre assumption of wave 5 :- wave 5 is last impulse wave of impulse phase and it can be euphoric in nature,, it should be smaller than wave 3 and can be equivalent to extended compared to wave 1. Now if we consider wave 5 as equivalent of wave 1 in terms of percentage it gives upmove of 6695 points,, which is almost 2 times of wave 1 which can be considered as extended 5 wave of wave 1 in terms of points and equivalent wave 5 to wave 1 in terms of percentage,, now same calculation if compared with wave 3 it is 0.618% of wave 3 in terms of points.. so most criteria matched for this calculation.
Index is trading around support zone of previous life time high,, if index manage to reverse from this levels and wave 4 matures,, if wave 5 unfolds from current levels it may lead to levels of 22800-23000,, RSI is around support levels of trend line of symmetrical triangle formation indicate strength around this levels..
Good bullish formation as per elliot wave in this index,,,
Nifty Outlook for Monday onwardNifty consolidated in tight range of 15600-15960 from past one month approx, now its ready to breakout this range and move higher side.
Elliottwave Point of view, sideways double correction pattern done at recent low 15575. From there we witnessed Buying attraction in market.
Next level to watch on higher side is 15975 and 16070 zone.
As we entered into last week of Monthly expiry, I am expecting sharp moves on higher side once nifty able to surpass 16070 level.
IT and Banking and Finance sectors likely to support nifty to move higher.
Traders and Investors can initiate fresh long positions with stoploss below 15750 spot level.
Regards,
suryadev bandari
research analyst
Banknifty Elliott Wave V towards all time high 37708Banknifty Elliott Wave count plotted best to my knowledge.
After Wave iv which is complex correction new leading diagonal wave has been seen.
New impulse should start taking it towards lifetime high.
DISCLAIMER:There is no guarantee of profits nor exceptions from losses.
Technical analysis provided on the chart is solely the personal views of my research.
You are advised to rely on your own judgments while taking any investing/Trading decisions.
Past performance is not an indicator of future returns. Investment/trading is subject to market risks.
Seek help of your financial advisors before investing/trading.
Not recommended to take FnO positions based on this analysis
I may or may not trade this analysis. Details in description.
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Nifty Zig Zag Correction possible X wave towards 15800Nifty formed today falling wedge pattern after few hours opening. This is also called ending diagonal appearing in wave 5 or C wave.
Wedge broken channel price was thrown under channel made low 15637.
Entire ABC move from 15916 completed near 15637.
Wedge had confirmed upside with 15688 breakout point.
Today it completed A wave of correction going up to 15710 then B was down to 15665
Currently C wave started expected to go towards 15808 or 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of move 15916-15637.
Move above 15770 to 15808 is expected to make price Throw Over channel.
DISCLAIMER:There is no guarantee of profits nor exceptions from losses.
Technical analysis provided on the chart is solely the personal views of my research.
You are advised to rely on your own judgments while taking any investing/Trading decisions.
Past performance is not an indicator of future returns. Investment/trading is subject to market risks.
Seek help of your financial advisors before investing/trading.
Not recommended to take FnO positions based on this analysis
I may or may not trade this analysis. Details in description.
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Nifty good long candidateNifty spot cmp 15680
Elliot wave counts of this last swing from 14200 to 15900,,
last impulse wave of impulse phase is pending,,
good upmove coming if manage to sustain above last swing low,,
Good conditional long trade,, the move will be violent as the consolidation is longer,,
Nifty - Sell Only Below 15800 - Potential Gartley / Bat HarmonicFrom The Last Idea Published..... Closing comment - "Struggling to go below 15800 ---------------Avoid Selling ---------------Do not Sell-------If Index holds above 15800-------Thanks & Best Luck.
Trading Strategy
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Plan 1 - Sell Only Below 15800 - Do not trade if Nifty holds above 15800
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Target - 15675
Target 2 - 15565
Target 3 - 15505
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Plan 2 - Buy Once Bullish Harmonic Pattern Completes
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Gartley Pattern completes if Index halts close to 15565 (Target 2) mentioned in Plan 1.
Bat Pattern completes if Index halts close to 15505 (Target 3) mentioned in Plan 1.
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Thanks for your precious time. Wishing all of you happy weekend.
Mold-Tek Technologies 3rd wave spoted. Long near 65 SL 54 target 80-100
DISCLAIMER:There is no guarantee of profits or no exceptions from losses. The study provided is solely the personal views of my research. You are advised to rely on your judgment while investing/Trading decisions. Past performance is not an indicator of future returns. Investment is subject to market risks. Seek help of your financial advisors before investing/trading.
I may or may not trade this analysis
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