MCX Natural Gas – Elliott Wave projectionNatural gas has completed the impulsive cycle at 801 and started collapsing to form the corrective process. In this corrective cycle, the price has accomplished the corrective wave B and started constructing wave C of normal zigzag correction.
There are two reversal points for natural gas:
1) Wave C can occur near wave (4)
2) wave C can accomplish its corrective cycle at 219.8 where wave A=C.
If the price sustains below the lower band of the channel, traders can expect the following targets: 288 – 275 – 267 . According to Elliott waves, correction can occur near wave (4) of the previous cycle. I already mentioned expected reversal points.
Elliottwaveretracement
NSE AAVAS: Impending AdvanceNSE AAVAS accomplished wave (5) of wave C at 1698 and started an impulsive cycle from the parallel channel's lower band. Prices are forming into the downtrend channel, and wave (4) breakout can give a steady uptrend for bulls.
Fibonacci Clusters:
1) Cluster range of 1749 - 1738.6 . Trend-based Fibonacci extension of 0.5 at 1749, and 1.618 reverse Fibonacci of 4th wave at 1738.6 .
2) Fibonaaci externtion of 0.618 at 1683.6 .
Trading Plan:
If the price sustains a cluster range of 1749 - 1738.6, traders can trade for the following targets: 1835 - 1885 - 1945. Safe entry is possible after a pullback.
Invalidation : Below wave (5)
USDINR Analysis as per Elliott Wave TheoryUSD-INR after such a steep rise looks like it is in the 5th wave of bigger degree .
Within this bigger 5th wave, which should ideally be the last wave of a Major Rise, normally consists of 5 sub waves in smaller degree .
Now, Market is looking in 3rd wave of sub degree of bigger 5th wave that I was talking about in the previous two lines.
EWT - Is EICHERMOT Forming Wave (5) Of Its WaveCycle?Timeframe: Daily
NSE EICHER motors have accomplished the corrective wave (4) and started forming impulsive waves (5). The price is currently forming sub-waves of the impulsive waves (5).
Wave (2) was a sharp zigzag, so wave (4) formed the choppy structure triangle. Since wave (3) was an extensive wave, we cannot expect wave (5) to extend with a high probability.
Eicher motors have given a good breakout and broken out wave 2 of the triangle and impulsive wave (3). If the price sustains above 3790 , traders can trade for the following targets: 3948 -3992 - 4030+ .
I will update further information soon.
Nifty spot possible wave countsNifty is still looking towards south to complete very short term correction.
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I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
TATA STEEL: CorrectionAfter a five wave rally stock is correcting in a three wave fashion. The five wave rally can be considered as a wave-1 of higher degree and the subsequent fall should be taken as wave-2. Hence,stock is likely to correct towards 100/97 area which is also a 50%-61.8% fibonacci retracement zone, which suits better retracement for wave-2.
Trading strategy: Sell 103 , SL: 106 tgt: 100/97
NIFTY-50 1D 19-07-2022We in last analysis expecting NIFTY to retrace from 16118-20 level for its original retracement area of 15600-700.
The Nifty broke out of our invalidation area, and sustained. Now it looks like we may find resistance at the upper trend line and NIFTY might retrace from the same area of trend line.
This is just a view and there are many other possibilities available, it is one of them.
Please do your own research and take advice of your expert for any trade/investment purpose.
Thank you for watching this analysis.
Regards.
USOIL CRUDE OIL US oil overall trend is still bearish, but counter trend pull back rally is now due, not only due but it's now ready to go towards north directions
Buy on Dips is suggested, all the key levels are mentioned on chart
Overall running wave structure
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I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
BankNifty Elliot wave counts - Chart says everythingAs per wave structure, currently we are forming pattern as a W-X-Y, in which we have already completed W and we have also completed 1st sub-division of X as a wave W of X and possibly now we are going to unfold X of wave X (X inside X).
As per Fibonacci retracements it can retrace 0.382% to 0.50% as per healthy retracement which are measurement of wave (w) of X, and retracement levels are pegged at 34300 to 33900, co-incidentally 100 ema and 200 ema of same time frame are also pegged at same areas.
Everything as per study is shared and mentioned on chart, chart says everything, so go through it.
Once this support line is gone on 15 min chart, then we can say it has triggered.
Also this a neckline on head and shoulder pattern on 15 min time frame
RK's sell signal is activated in 15 min chart
Bearish Divergence with RSI and MACD on 15 min chart
ema 50, 100, and 200 on hourly chart can provide support
macd turned negative in hourly time frame
Histogram is decreasing on daily chart
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I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Nifty spot Possible Elliot wave counts and Fibonacci retracementIf market doesn't supports sentiments, then here are some possible elliot wave countswhich fits on current scenario.
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However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
NaturalGas Pull-back is to start as per Elliot Wave AnalysisAfter sharp fall from top of the wave 5 or we can say top of June month, it has fallen in five subdivided pattern as a wave A, which clearly shows that correction is in zigzag pattern, we all know some basic rules for zig-zag correction, that it comes in three subdivisions like A-B-C, and wave A always subdivides into an impulse or leading diagonal, and wave B always subdivides into a zigzag, flat, triangle or combinations, so here we are assuming that wave A has almost at the wedge of completion, and possibly wave B his ready to start as a A-B-C towards north directions, which can lead towards 61.8% of recent fall (wave A), which is near $7.571 or more towards $7.976, on the way down $5.30 is a support area to watchout for. However, pullback will just be a counter trend rally and once wave B rally is completed, then wave C will unfold, and decline of wave C should probably be equal to wave A.
Overall scenario
Sub divisions in wave A
Fibonacci retracement levels
Trigger point
Can be like this as per rules
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My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
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MCX Gold Elliott Wave Projection For July 2022Gold has accomplished the final correction wave (Y) of wave ((B)) and has begun to form sub-waves of the corrective wave ((C)).
Currently, the price is at 100 EMA & the lower band of the parallel channel. It appears that the movement of gold is being dominated by bears, as it is making lower lows and lower highs.
If the price breaks down the parallel channel, traders can initiate a short position for the following targets: 50153 – 49600 – 48560 . It should be noted that the breakdown of the parallel channel is also the breakdown of the 100 EMA.
49600 is a pivot zone for gold. If the price sustains below 49600 , traders can expect rapid bearish momentum.
NIFTY IT SECTOR CNXIT WAVE STRUCTUREThis sector has completed corrective waves as wave A-B-C and now possibly wave X has been started as a retracement, Once it closes above 20DMA (middle Bollinger band on daily chart), then it can show good strength and go towards north directions, up to 38.2% of whole recent fall as wave A-B-C. Some price actions and some indicators are suggesting reversals after bearish fall, which are mentioned below.
Hammer Sentiments, on merging last two candles on weekly chart
price action is bullish piercing candle on weekly
macd positive crossover on daily chart
Stochastic positive on daily chart
After oversold, now RSI is again above 40 levels on daily chart
dmi adx positive on hourly chart
dmi adx converging towards positive in daily chart
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My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
S&P 500 INDEX S&P, After impulse move in 1-2-3-4-5 waves on weekly chart, now we have witnessed entire fall as a leading diagonal as a wave A, and now we are in wave B, possibly it can retrace up to 38.2% of wave A entire fall, or maximum up to high of wave 4 in wave A, these levels are pegged near 4050 and 4177, all other parameters are supporting same bias to go long, which are shared below as a snap shots.
Here is a trigger point to go long. RK's mass psychological cloud buy activated, along with support of RK's stop line, and also RK's momentum Buy activated.
Overall wave structure on Weekly chart
Current fall was in leading diagonal
may be retrace upto 38.2% or wave 4 high of recent fall
reversal chart pattern head and shoulder on hourly chart
Breakout with good intensity of Volume in hourly chart
macd positive in hourly above zero line
macd uptick and ready to cross positive in daily chart
Bullish Divergence
rsi uptick in daily chart
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I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
BriatanniaBritannia has shown clean 5 wave decline in wave A, indicating that the short term structure is bearish, but near term pullback is due as a wave B which can maximum retrace upto 50% or 61.8% of wave A, possibly near 3500 levels. Once the pullback is complete wave C would be ready to start journey towards south directions Down towards 3200-3300 range.
Overall wave structure on hourly chart
Price in buy signal as per RK's mass psychological cloud and stop line
macd in daily uptick
macd in hourly is uptick above zero line, but yet not crossed positive
RSI in hourly is uptick above 50 and near 60
price closed above 20HMA
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My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
LTI - Elliot wave structure of LARSEN & TOUBRO INFOTECHLTI is showing wave structure like, either larger wave A-B-C is done and now deeper retracement is possible as a wave X, or after wave 1-2-3 is done and now possibly in wave 4, where wave A-B is done and now wave C is unfolding.
This stock can see good pullback towards north direction nearly above 4600 where wave C would be equal to wave A, on the way down 4000 and 3897 would be a crucial support levels to watch out for.
All other trend indicators are also allowing to go long with mentioned levels on chart, RK's mass psychological cloud has confirmed buy signal on hourly chart along with support of RK's stop line which is good enough to rely on as always.
Overall wave structure on daily chart
price entered in RK's mass psychological cloud, along with RK's stop line support
EMA's positive golden cross done on hourly chart
Price closed above previous closing based highs on hourly chart
macd positive crossover on hourly chart
macd already in positive crossover and now uptick on daily chart
RSI uptick and now its above 60 levels on hourly chart
RK's Momentum is also positive crossed on hourly chart
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Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
NIFTY SPOTFinally, after 7 trading days Nifty closed positive green today, So now what's our trigger point to initiate fresh buying here, its nothing but mass psychological RK's cloud buy signal, above RK's stop line and also RK's momentum buy signal activated on 15 mins time frame, which is good enough to rely on.
Over all wave structure is also suggesting pullback is due before fresh fall down, once price give close above 20HMA which is pegged at 15370 currently only 20 points far from here, then definitely more action could be seen on chart.
Breakout in rsi on hourly chart along with uptick and rsi entered above 40 levels.
Breakout in macd noticed on hourly chart, also breakout in histogram noticed on hourly chart.
Current wave structure on hourly time frame
Breakout in histogram noticed on hourly chart
Breakout in macd noticed on hourly chart
Breakout in rsi on hourly chart along with uptick and rsi entered above 40 levels
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However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
NIFTY OVERALL WAVE STRUCTUREHere is possibilities of what does Nifty overall wave structure says.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Nifty Analysis For TodayDaily:
Nifty rejected bullish momentum from 200 EMA and closed below 50 EMA.
The big candle is evidence of supply pressure.
16841 is the pivot point because it has worked as support and resistance eight times.
Rejection of 17841 is a clear signal of resumption of a downtrend. Bulls have to keep prices above this level to overcome supply pressure.
However, Bearish momentum is more favorable but may create Lower highs.
30 Min:
If nifty gives a pullback of 16722, traders can make a selling setup with targets: 17639 - 16535 - 17400.
17400 is the support level, and the breakdown of this level will make it nifty more bearish.
Gap down is possible as Dji and SGX nifty are bearish.
Breakdown of wave 4 is the confirmation of bearish momentum.
I will update more information soon.
Weekly log scale . Depth of corrective waves (1) Wave (iii) is a wave with a 1st wave extension . It has corrected by wave iv till 38.2% . Wave iv has corrected to wave ii of one lesser degree as per Elliott guide line regarding depth of corrective waves .
(2)See the alteration between wave (ii) - Flat and wave (iv) - Zig Zag .
Long with with SL of 3450 as today a close above 3519 will complete a bullish reversal three inside up pattern