EWT: NSE United Spirits Multiple Time frame studies
United Spirits has started wave cycle from 85.20 .
Wave ((1)):
Wave ((1)) is an impulse pattern that occurred in 201.
Wave ((2)):
Wave ((2)) is a zigzag pattern that occurred at 95.55 .
Wave ((2)) retraced 100% of wave ((1)).
Rule 1: Wave ((2)) can never overlap the starting point of wave ((1)).
Wave ((3)):
Wave ((3)) is an impulse with extensive nature 3.618% of wave ((1)) occurred at 816.
Rule 2: Wave ((3)) can never be the shortest impulse wave.
Wave ((4)):
Wave ((4)) is a triangle pattern with a five-wave structure retraced 50% of the wave ((3)).
A: 594
B: 801
C: 438
D: 742
E: 442 (terminating wave)
Price surged after the breakout of the B_D trendline.
Rule 3: wave 4 can never enter the price territory of wave 1
Wave ((5)):
Currently, price is forming an impulsive wave ((5)). Wave ((5)) has retraced 161.8% reverse Fibonacci of wave ((4)), which is the most acceptable retracement for wave ((5)).
Let's check the Fibonacci extension of the wave.
Wave ((4)) extended 78.6% of wave ((1)) through ((3)) at 1020, and the price had made a high of 1019. It is also an ideal level for wave ((5)).
We still have a 100% Fibonacci extension level for wave ((5)). Our next step is to analyze the lower time frame chart and study the sub-wave behavior of waves ((5)).
I am working on the lower timeframe, and I will update it here.
It will remove your confusion.
Thank You :)
Elliottwaveretracement
SILVER MCXSILVER MCX in the near term 70500 - 70600 are the resistance zone for silver mcx, it has possibly completed wave ii in three wave decline, and now possibly wave iii is unfolding. If our wave counts are going correct then above resistance zone silver can show 79000 plus, where wave iii would be equal to wave i.
Currently price is sustaining above RK's stop line and also above RK's cloud along with buy signal in RK's Magic on daily chart, which is a good positive sign itself, if we see price is also above 20DMA and 20WMA, macd is also positive in both daily and weekly time frames, RSI on weekly is uptick, stochastic on daily is supporting same bias.
On the way down immediate supports are pegged at 67050 as a RK's stop line, and major support at 65298 to watch out for upcoming sessions.
Overall wave structure on weekly chart
macd positive in weekly and also above zero line
macd positive crossed in daily chart
RK's indicator also suggesting to go long
Price above 20WMA above mid bollinger in Weekly chart
Price above 20DMA above mid bollinger in daily chart
rsi in weekly uptick
stochastic in daily going positively uptick
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
CNXMETAL - NIFTY METAL INDEXNifty Metal Index is possibly completed as a leading Diagonal wave 1 of wave 5 circle, where wave 5 is shorter than 3, and wave 3 is shorter than 1 ( Leading Diagonal )
If its right than possibly wave 2 of wave 5 is now Due or ready to unfold, in macd and RSI we are witnessing negative divergences, along with Negative crossover in Stochastic and MACD, also RSI is Down tick, Lets see what happens next.
Overall wave structure could be like this
macd also turned negative cross along with Negative Divergence
macd negative crossover in hourly
RSI negative Divergence
RSI Down Tick
stochastic in daily time frame negative crossover
stochastic in hourly time frame negative crossover
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
TORRENT PHARMA: Its a DIAGONALTRADING STRATEGY: Sell on rise keeping SL of 3230 and look for the target of 2530/2350 in coming weeks.
Theory:
DIAGONAL:
Diagonal are the motive waves like an impulse wave, but diagonals are different from impulse wave in that they do follow the first two Sutras (rules of impulse wave) for wave analysis, but it does not follow the third one i.e. Wave 4 should not intervene the territory of the wave 1. In a diagonal wave 4 always enters into the price territory of the wave 1.
Properties Of Diagonals:
Diagonals can be contracting or expanding type being expanding diagonal a rare one.
In contracting type, wave 3 is shorter than wave 1, wave 5 is shorter than wave 3, and wave 4 is shorter than wave 2.
In expanding type, wave 3 is longer than wave 1, wave 5 is longer than wave 3, and wave 4 is longer than wave 2.
Types Of Diagonals:
LEADING DIAGONAL
ENDING DIAGONAL
LEADING DIAGONAL : In a leading diagonal , waves 1,3, and 5 are all impulsive in nature or all in corrective form of zigzags. Wave 2 and wave 4 are always present in a zigzag form. A leading diagonal suggests the starting of a new wave & that is why it can develop wave 1 of a impulse wave and a first wave of a zigzag pattern.
ENDING DIAGONAL : This is the most common diagonal that can be found out at the ending of a main trend or main correction. It consists of all the waves 1-2-3-4-5 in a single or multiple zigzags. They can be found placed at 5th wave of an impulse wave or can been seen as a wave ‘C’ of a corrective waves zigzags or flat. After the termination of the ending diagonal, a swift & a sharp reversal takes place which bring the prices back to the level from where the diagonal beagan.
SILVERAfter sideways correction, Recently Silver started new impulse move, and now setup suggests that probably wave a-b-c decline in wave ii is complete,
Silver retraced nearly 61.8% of the recent rise, also retested its triangular breakout point and recovered sharply.
Once it gives positive close above 0-B trendline (purple resistance trendline) then it confirms that wave iii has started.
RK's buy signal activated on daily time frame
Support from rk's stop loss line along with lower bollinger band
Silver retraced nearly 61.8% of recent rally
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
GOLD Gold retraced 61.8% of previous rise, it tooked support perfectly from 61.8% and lower bollinger band on daily time frame, and it had once again managed to hold above the RK's stop loss line on the closing basis, after taking support & closing that doji type red hammer candle, next candle closed positive and also given good follow up upwards, also buy signal generated in RK's Magic Buy.
Most possibly it is confirmation that reversal started now and may be wave ii completed and wave iii can unfold.
retraced 61.8% levels
macd in hourly positive above zero line
macd in daily converging towards upwards
rsi in hourly uptick
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
NSE Devyani - Buy This Stock Now! *Read This Report carefully to get an accurate entry level for buyers.*
Devyani International has created an all-time high of 198.90. Price faced supply pressure that bulls couldn't hold their power, and it has started correcting for upcoming impulsive structure. After counting the wave, we can name this correction 4th corrective wave, and the all-time high was impulsive wave 3. We know one basic rule of wave principle, " the ending point of the corrective wave is the starting point of the impulsive wave."
What pieces of evidence do we have for the ending point of a corrective wave?
+ Price retraced back from 61.8% at 142.50 (from the low of 107.55 to the high of 198.99)
+ Wave 4 can occur at the 4th wave of a lower degree. The 4th wave has retraced back from the price territory of wave (4). If Devyani breaks the low of wave (C), it may complete the final move near the price territory of wave (4).
+ Price has already retraced 61.8% of wave 3. Wave C has created a throw-out which suggests the accomplishment of wave (C). But I am not a big fan of deciding without confirmation. Let the market commit first before you commit to the market.
+ Wave (A) = Wave (C). Wave C has retraced 100% of wave A.
The trader can wait for a pullback to generate a new entry. If Devyani breaks wave (C), traders can wait for the gray zone. However, price has to break wave (B) to confirm its bull trend.
Trade Setup
Entry: Pullback
Invalidation: wave 2 can never overlap the starting point of wave 1.
Note: Never trade without confirmation.
Short-term traders can trade for the following targets: 172-180
Positional targets for 5th wave: 187 - 200 - 230+
I will update further information soon.
Is Bajaj Auto at The Tipping Point To Start Bearish Move?Key Level: 3631
Quick explanation:
Bajaj auto has started rejecting demand pressure.
Price is bullish above pivot level 3629, But if the price fails to break the crucial pivot, traders can go short for the following targets: 3573 - 3441 - 3345.
Detailed study:
Bajaj Auto has been forming a downtrend channel for more than 14 months. It has created an all-time high of 4361 and started its secondary downtrend move. Bajaj auto has three rejections on the upper band & lower band.
Currently, the price is on the top upper band of the parallel channel and facing resistance.
If the price fails to break the parallel channel, traders can expect a price touch on the control line.
The Control line has seven confirmation points, which validates the strength of the control line. We can see a pivot level of 3629 with five flip-flop confirmations. Bajaj auto is bullish above 3629, but the breakdown of this level will create concern for the buyers.
BankBarodaBankBaroda has posibly started an impulse towards north, recently it has retraced 61.8% of last rise, which we can say wave 2nd of some degree has been completed near 92 level, we can assume that now new impilse as a wave 3rd of some degree has been possibly started, which can show levels towards north upto 144 or more, trend indicators are also suggesting same, One can go long at current price or on any dips (if any ). On the way down 101 is now an immediate support and 90.75 is a major support.
fibonacci retracement
wave structure and key levels are mentioned on chart
macd in weekly is positive
macd in daily just given positive crossover
rsi in daily uptick
Disclaimer
I am not sebi registered Analyst.
My studies are for Educational purpose only.
Please consult your Financial Advisor before Trading or Investing.
Nifty Outlook: Is This The End Of The Bull Market?After breaking the parallel channel, the price entered the value area.
Price has started a seller initiative by going out of the price zone.
Buyers responded more to sellers' initiatives with an excess.
At this juncture, the price has entered the value area.
The lower band indicates the demand pressure.
If the price does not stay above the lower band at 17250, it could move downwards to the lower levels - 16628-16410 , because the price didn't break the 78.6% level.
Otherwise, the price will surge towards 17369- 17487-17612.
Note that if the price does not break the control line, it can not reach the upper band.
Time frame: hourly
NSE AJMERA's Corrective Wave Is Ready For its Last Leg Down
Price has broken down the wave (a) at 382.
We can see a corrective channel, which has held the corrective structure.
Wave c can travel for the following targets: 360-356-342+.
Price has also created the head and shoulders pattern, and the right shoulder has broken down the neckline.
Impulsive wave will start after the breakout of the corrective wave channel.
I will update further information.
NSE PEL Is Preparing for 2400 - 2301Targets:
Traders can initiate short positions for the following targets:
2400 - 2376 - 2301 - 2279
BUT DON'T TRADE BLINDLY . Read this following research to get how it is making selling opportunities for the intraday traders.
PEL is forming a double combination pattern on the 4-hour timeframe chart. Price has constructed LL(lower-low) and LH(lower-high) to confirm the bear's existence.
Wave Formations:
Wave (W) is a double zigzag formation with seven wave structures.
Wave (X) is a contracting triangle with five sub-wave structures.
Wave (Y):
Sub-wave wave A & B has occurred, and wave C is progressing.
Sub-wave B has completed at 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of wave A at 2531 .
The culmination point of wave C:
Wave C can end at 61.8% of wave A at 2279 .
Wave C can cease at 50% of wave A at 2333 .
Wave C can conclude at the control line, and 61.8% of wave ((w)) at 2376.
After completion of wave C, the price will start its bull run.
Part [A] Basic of Wave Principle
Elliott Wave background
In the 1930s, R.N Elliott identified the price of the stock trends and reversed a specific pattern. This pattern is repetitive in form and, the patterns have predictive value. He decided to use this pattern (Elliott wave theory) to predict the market. The Elliott wave is not primarily a trading system. It is a detailed description of how the market acts. The Elliott wave is part of technical analysis. Also, the Wave principle is the reassembled form of dow theory.
-Elliott Wave Principle The key To Market Behavior]
Waves in the market?
We all know that price never moves in a straight line. It will neither fall in a straight line nor rise in a straight line.
Price will create highs and lows. And this high and low creates waves. Elliott wave theory is all about counting waves and, we are going to use the Elliott wave to trade the market.
Now, the concept of waves is acceptable for you.
Elliott wave theory is made of 5+3= 8 waves.
Let me show you that structure in both trends.
In bull market ( UP Trend ) :
Figure 1.1 This is the Elliott wave structure in an uptrend. As we discussed, Elliott's wave theory is made up of 5+3=8 waves. Where five waves move with the trend and three waves move against the trend.
In Bear market (downTrend) :
Figure 1.2 This is an example of Elliott wave theory in the Bear market. We can see that five waves move with the trend and, three waves move against the trend.
Take a deep breath, I know you have lots of doubts in your mind. Let me solve some.
1. Elliott wave theory works in any time frame.
2. These 5+3=8 waves will give us a market edge. It will provide strong trends & trend reversals.
3. The accuracy of Elliott wave theory is 84% of you are using the wave principle correctly.
Practical Example of Elliott wave theory :
In the Bull market :
Figure 1.3 This is the TATA MOTORS 4 hour timeframe chart. I used bar charts because It is easy to recognize Elliott's waves in bar Patterns. Well, it works for me to recognize if you feel that you can recognize patterns in another chart, go ahead with bar charts!
In Bear Market:
Figure 1.4 : This is the ITC daily time frame chart. It shows the beautiful Elliott wave structure in the Bear market.
Elliott wave structure :
Now, we all know that Elliott is made of a 5+3= 8 wave structure. So, Let's start getting into it!
To understand the wave principle, we have divided the wave structure (5+3=8) into two Phases which are an Impulse phase/structure & a corrective phase/structure.
Figure 1.5 This picture illustrates Two phases of the Elliott wave principle.
The impulse phase is made up of 5 waves and, the corrective phase is made up of 3 waves.
Figure 1.6: This picture divides the wave principle into two phases.
1. Impulse phase/structure ( which includes five waves and, which moves with the trend you can see in bull market impulse phase is going upward and in a bear market, impulse phase is going down which is directional move.)
&
2. Corrective Phase/structure ( which includes three waves and which moves against the trend, you can see that in bull market corrective phase is going downward and
In bear markets, the corrective phase is going upward, which is a counter-trend move.
Figure 1.7 , Elliott wave has 2 phases. motive/Impulse phase ( directional move ) and corrective phase(counter trend move). We can divide these 2 phases into two types of waves. Impulsive waves and corrective waves.
Let’s zoom in on the impulse phase to understand the underlying structure and wave behavior.
Motive/Impulse Phase :
Important things about the impulse phase
1). Motive/Impulse phase is a Five wave structure that includes wave1,2,3,4 & 5.
2). motive/Impulse phase is a directional move ( moves with the trend.)
3). The Ending point of the impulse phase is the starting point of the corrective phase.
4). motive/Impulse structure is powerful than corrective structure.
5) Impulse phase can divide into two types of waves
i) Impulse waves: 1, 3,5 ( move with Trend of impulse Phase )
ii) Corrective waves: 2,4 ( Moves against the trend of Impulsive Phase)
Let me give you a quick understanding because we are going to cover these waves in-depth,
Impulsive waves are trend-following moves. We can find this type of wave structure in both phases. Impulsive waves create trends.Impulsive waves are (1,3,5,A,C)
Corrective waves are counter-Trend moves. We can find this type of wave structure in both phases. Corrective waves provide pause to continue the trend,
Corrective waves : (2,4,B)
Motive/Impulse Phase in Bull market
Figure 1.8(A) , wave 1,3,5 is an impulsive wave of impulse phase because The trend of impulse phase up and, Impulsive wave are following the trend and heaving upward move.
And
wave 2,4 is the corrective wave of an impulse phase because the trend of the impulse phase is up but, the corrective wave is moving down, which is against the trend.
Motive/Impulse Phase in Bear Market :
Figure 1.8(B), wave 1,3,5 is an impulsive wave of impulse phase because the trend of Motive/impulse phase down and Impulsive wave are following trend and heaving downward move.
And
Wave 2,4 is the corrective wave of an impulse phase because the trend of the Impulse phase is down but, the corrective wave is moving upward, which is against the trend.
Corrective Phase/structure :
Important things about the impulse phase
1). The Corrective Phase is a three-wave structure that includes waves A, B, C.
2). The corrective phase is a counter-trend move ( moves against the trend.)
3). The Ending point of the corrective phase is the starting point of the Impulse phase.
4) correction phase can divide into two types of waves
i) Impulse waves: A, C ( move with Trend of correction Phase )
ii) corrective waves: B ( moves against Trend of correction Phase )
Corrective Phase in a bull market:
Figure 1.9(A ): wave A, C is the impulsive wave of the Correction phase because the trend of the correction phase is down and Impulsive waves are following the trend and heaving downward move.
And
Wave B is the corrective wave of a Correction phase because the trend of the Corrective Phase is down but, the corrective wave is moving upward which is against the trend.
Correction phase in Bear Market :
Figure 1.9(B) : wave A, C is the impulsive wave of the Correction phase because the trend of correction phase Up and Impulsive waves are following the trend and heaving Upward move.
And
Wave B is the corrective wave of a Correction phase because the trend of the Corrective Phase is Up but, the corrective wave is moving down, which is against the trend.
[ Note : here, the correction phase moves against the trend. That's why the market has a Downtrend but, the correction phase is in an uptrend.]
Impulsive wave structure :
1. Impulsive waves are directional moves that are bigger than corrective waves.
2. Impulsive waves create trends.
3. Impulsive waves are subdivided into five waves.
( that means wave 1,3,5, A, C which moves with the trend will have five sub-waves.)
4. Impulsive waves are easy to recognize.
(Impulsive waves can also be called motive waves)
5. Ride of impulsive wave can give us a high probability trade setup with high Rewards
We are going to cover impulsive wave formations in the next part.
(diagonals,extensions,Impulse,Truncation)
Figure 1.10: As we discussed, Impulsive waves subdivide into five waves.
Here wave 1,3,5, A, C has five subwaves which you can see in the chart.
Nifty Outlook: Will the seller crash the remaining bull?Nifty is occurring a corrective wave ((iv)) on the hourly timeframe chart.
It has broken the previous corrective (iv) of a lower degree and price fall to 17377 .
The bullish scenario is valid till the price is above 17150 .
According to the Elliott wave principle, wave ((iv)) can never enter the price territory of wave ((i)).
Wave ((iv)) has retraced 78.6% , and it can't retrace more than 78.6% if there is a bull power on the other hand.
If the nifty breaks 78.6% at 17156, it will also break the invalidation level point of 17150 .
Nifty is creating a downtrend channel, where bull power has controlled by sellers.
If the price breaks out of the channel downtrend, we can see a sharp upward move soon.
However, nifty has to confirm its bull run by breaking the breaking supply zones.
Previous Idea:
Other ideas:
Use the play button to see the results.
NIFTY Research Report 2: Elliott Wave And Price Action analysis--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Timeframe: 1- Day
Theory: Elliott Wave
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Click here to read research report 1:
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Timeframe: 1- hour
Theory: Elliott Wave
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Let's zoom the 5th impulsive wave of wave ((5)) to know the current situation of the Wave cycle.
The ending point of wave 4 is the starting point of wave 5.
After the accomplishment of, triple zigzag, the price has started an impulsive wave, and it has broken the X wave.
X was had holder the correction, and break out of X wave increased public participant in nifty.
Wave formations of the impulsive wave 5 of wave ((5)).
Wave ((i)) is a leading diagonal.
Wave ((ii)) is a zigzag correction, retraced 50% of wave ((i)).
Wave ((iii)) is a five-wave impulse where sub-wave v is near to being completed.
After the completion of wave ((iii)) , the price will start the corrective wave ((iv)). The question is, how to know if the corrective wave started or not?
The best way to find the starting point of the corrective structure is the breakout of the base channel.
If the price breaks the base channel, it may end near the previous wave (iv). I have already mentioned levels in the daily time-frame analysis.
If the price couldn't break down the parallel base channel, it can create a new high, but it will give a short pullback to increase public participants.
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Timeframe: 1- hour
Theory: Price Action Analysis
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Price has broken out the downtrend channel and started an upward move.
However, the current bullish move looks strong, but the price can't make a new high without proper retracement.
Nifty can't get public participants Without trend pause( correction).
If the price breaks the parallel channel, we can expect the following support level: 18232-17944-17604-17261
Please note that the price is bullish above 18250 .
If the price takes support on the parallel channel, it can go for 18600-18845+ to touch the upper band of the channel.
Nifty spot ChartNifty spot chart Elliot wave counts updated
zoomed view in corrective phase subdivided counts
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Will bull traders drive Apollotyer above Rs.300?Preface
APOLLOTYER is preparing for a bull run. After completion of the 3rd wave at 261.2. Price had started a corrective wave ((4)) and took 38 weeks to finish this structure.
A trader can trade impulsive wave ((5)) to make a high confidence trade setup.
Wave Formations and Fibonacci relationships:
Wave ((1))is an impulse with a 5-3-5-3-5 wave structure.
Wave ((2)) is a zigzag move. Fibonacci retracement of wave 2 is 50% of 1st impulsive wave at 109.55. Sub-wave of wave 2 fulfilled the rule of equality (wave A= wave C)
Wave ((2)) is not exceeding the starting point of wave 1.
Wave ((3)) is an extensive impulse. 3rd wave has 261.8% retracement of 1st impulsive at 261.
Wave ((4)) is a triple three with a 3-3-3-3-3 wave structure.
It retraced 38.2% of the 3rd wave and did not overlap the starting point of wave 1.
What will happen next?
Completion of sub-wave z indicates that the corrective wave has ended. Price has started forming sub-waves of wave 5.
The sub-wave z of wave ((4)) has formed a descending channel.
If the price breaks descending channel and close above sub-wave ((b)) at 237, it will confirm the impulsive behavior.
(Note that the ending point of the corrective wave is the starting point of an impulsive wave.)
A trader can expect the following targets:237-250-279-297+
Target 1: 237
Target 2: 250
Target 3: 279
Target 4: 297+
The safe traders can wait for the breakout of wave X.
If the price fails to break the wave X, correction is about to make a new leg down.
They can enter on the pullback to enter where they can manage risk with tight stop loss.
Invalidation: pullback can't break the low of wave ((4))
IOC 1HOUR CHARTIn this post I will show you IOC stock✌
Now a time market go to reach the level of previous swing..
Day trading is available in this time
Wait for previous level break out after go to entry.
It's just for education purpose, trade is your own risk
Follow me
And commend here for next stock
XRPINR IN 4HOUR CHARTHi, helo banakam
Tool>>EWF
IF BREAK THE LEVEL. OF PREVIOUS SWING AND RETEST THE LEVEL AFTER GO TO ENTRY
STOPLOSS WILL 5S BELOW THE LEVEL OF ENTR....
(----------)IF Doesn't break the level of previous level , day traders only go to trade because of R2R level 1.1ratio so Don't go to entry , are u in a positional trader
Important point:
This is only education purpose.not for pratical trade
Trade is your own risk..
Thanksyou
Elliott WaveElliott Wave Theory is a way to organize the market into waves and sub - waves . This strategy is useful for identifying patterns in several timeframes . These structures usually follow Fibonacci Retracements . The main structure is a five - wave patterns ( or impulse ) for a rally or drop . The ABC ( or consolidation ) pattern Usually acts as the next wave movements .
Nifty good long candidateNifty spot cmp 15680
Elliot wave counts of this last swing from 14200 to 15900,,
last impulse wave of impulse phase is pending,,
good upmove coming if manage to sustain above last swing low,,
Good conditional long trade,, the move will be violent as the consolidation is longer,,