#Banknifty August 1st week directions and levels.Bank Nifty
Bank Nifty's structure is a bit different from Nifty. It hasn’t pulled back as much, but the trend is still positive. Bank Nifty is currently in the 5th wave, indicating a bullish move. However, since the 5th wave is usually slower, we expect a less aggressive rally, possibly at a 40 to 50-degree angle. We’re targeting 52,674 for this rally. This is our main view.
Alternatively, if the market faces resistance at the 50 or 61% levels, it may correct further. Initially, the market might move within a range, and a break of this range could lead to more correction.
Elliott Wave
#BankNifty directions and levels for July 26th.**Bank Nifty:**
>Bank Nifty has a bearish sentiment, but RSI doesn't support that much due to the huge pullbacks. So, if the gap-up doesn't sustain, we can expect a range market between 23% and the previous low. After that, if it breaks down, we can expect correction continuation.
>Alternatively, if the gap-up sustains above the level of 23%, then we can expect a move to the 38% level.
>But Even if it takes a pullback, structurally it could be the 4th wave. So, after that pullback, if it rejects around the 38% Fibonacci level, then we can expect a correction.
#Nifty directions and level for July 26th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the market directions for July 26th:
The global market has a bearish sentiment (based on the Dow Jones). Our local market has a structurally moderately bearish sentiment. Today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-up start, as indicated by the GIFT Nifty, which shows +40 points at 8.00 am.
**Nifty:**
In the previous session, Nifty closed with a pullback, and today it may continue this trend because GIFT Nifty indicates that. However, if you look at the wave count, every swing has a three-wave count. There are many variations with three-wave structures, but here we can take these two variations for simplicity:
1. **Diagonal Variation:**
- In this variation, it shouldn't close the candle above the level of 24,473. If it happens, we can expect a correction.
- This means if the market initially declines sharply or, after the gap-up, if it rejects around the level of 24,473, then it may turn into a correction.
- However, confirmation is expected from the 38% Fibonacci level breakout in the minor swing. If this happens, we can expect a minimum of 50%, 78%, and 24,175.
- If it doesn't break this level, it will continue the moderately bullish sentiment. This is our current variation.
2. **Pullback Continuation:**
- In this variation, we could complete the correction to the first three swings from the start of the correction. So, if the gap-up sustains above the level of 24,473, then we can expect pullback continuation with some consolidations. The targets are a minimum of 24,588 to 24,635. This is our alternate variation.
Bank Nifty View in 15 mins TF - July 8thWave Analysis:
Bank Nifty is trading in a range with a bearish bias. It has completed waves A and B and now appears to have entered wave C, suggesting we might see a sharp one-sided (wave 3 of wave C) move in the coming days.
Based on wave analysis and Fibonacci extension, Bank Nifty can reach the mentioned demand zones. This view will become inactive if it breaches the mentioned levels.
Ichimoku Cloud:
Bank Nifty is trading below the Tenkan-Sen (TS) and Kijun-Sen (KS) in the 1-hour time frame and is standing at the cloud bottom support. If it moves below the cloud, it will turn completely bearish. If the mentioned inactive level breaks, the price will come out of TS and KS, resuming its uptrend.
Disclaimer:
We are not SEBI registered. The content presented here is based on personal opinions and for education purpose only. Conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Fin Nifty Budget Day Expiry - Wave Counting Fin Nifty spent the last few days moving sideways after a significant fall from 161.8% (24,000). The corrective wave has completed waves A and B, and today, the price almost touched 61.8% (minimum C wave Fibonacci level). However, the C wave often extends further in a flat correction, making it highly likely to hit 100% or more.
Resistance Levels: 23,719, 23,815, 24,000
Support Levels: 23,433, 23,183, 23,005, 22,777
Fin Nifty might reach these mentioned support zones if it continues to trade below 23,719.
Disclaimer: We are not SEBI registered. The content presented here is based on our personal opinions. Please conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Bank Nifty Short Trade with small SLWhy Shorting Bank Nifty?
Initially we expected Bank Nifty to touch 53500 but wave 5th failed by 150 points. High made 53357.
Bank Nifty is entered downtrend by breaking IChimoku TS KS in 1hour and price action levels.
CMP: 52641
Entry: 52600
Stop Loss: 52985
Target: 51675
Disclaimer: We are not SEBI registered. The content presented here is based on our personal opinions. Please conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Reliance set for fresh RallyI am not too optimistic about Reliance in short term, however, I feel that Reliance has made 1-2-1-2 structure, and all set for a fresh rally starting Thursday. It should be a quick rally to cover about 200 points or 5-6 percent, before the budget, post which it should enter sideways zone..
Hourly Chart can show that its resting on 78% retracement, and a clear AbC wave.
Targets -
3275
3350
3450
#Nifty directions and levels for July 24th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the market directions for July 24th:
The global market has a bearish sentiment (based on the Dow Jones). Our local market, however, maintains a structurally moderately bullish sentiment. Today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-down start, as indicated by the Gift Nifty, which shows -60 points at 8 am.
Structurally, both Nifty and Bank Nifty are range-bound, so they might continue in this manner today.
In the previous session, both Nifty and Bank Nifty experienced significant movements due to the budget announcement but closed with a solid pullback at the end of the day. Structurally, this indicates potential for further continuation.
It's important to note that The budget announcement of the previous session may affect the market today, so we should trade cautiously. However, I have analyzed my sentiments for Nifty and Bank Nifty, so let's examine them one by one.
Today's sentiments:
Nifty:
If the gap-down sustains and breaks the 38% Fibonacci level, it may again enter the range market. This is difficult to trade, but my expectation is if it breaks the 38% Fibonacci level, it may reach the 78% with some consolidation. This is our first variation. In this variation, after that correction if it also breaks 78%, the correction may continue further.
Alternatively, if the decline finds support around the 38% Fibonacci level, it’s a sign of a bullish bias. We can expect a pullback continuation if it breaks the minor swing high. Until then, it may consolidate between the minor swing high and the 38% Fibonacci level.
Note:
If the market opens with a gap-up and breaks the minor swing high, the rally will continue. The upside levels remain the same.
#Banknifty directions and levels for July 24th.Bank Nifty:
Bank Nifty also has a range-bound structure, so the next movement is expected only if it breaks out of the range. Until then, it may continue within the current range.
Due to the market closing within the range, precise levels are difficult to determine. However, if it breaks 52,502, it may continue the correction to a minimum of 51,325 to 51,186.
Alternatively, if the gap-down doesn’t sustain and finds support around 51,502, then structurally it may continue within the range, with an expected upside to a minimum of 52,086 and up to the 61% Fibonacci level.
Note:
If the market opens with a gap-up and breaks the minor swing high, the rally will continue. The upside levels remain the same
Strong Wave 5th is happening! -Nifty Wave Analysis in DTFWhere are we standing according to Elliott Wave in Nifty?
Wave Counting:
The impulse that started after the COVID crash is almost near it's completion.
Currently, we are in Wave 5th of the bigger Wave 5th.
Wave 3rd completed in October 2021.
Wave 4 (truncated) completed in March 2023.
The Wave 5th started in March 2023 , and we are in the sub-waves of this final wave. This wave can extend since Wave 3 of Wave 5 was truncated (failed to reach 161.8%).
The targets for Wave 5 of Wave 5 can be:
23897 (127% - minimum)
24608 (161.8%)
25394 (200%)
261.8% (maximum) - rare case
Disclaimer: We are not SEBI registered. The content presented here is based on our personal opinions. Conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
#Nifty levels for July 23rd.Good morning, friends. Today, the Honorable Finance Minister, Nirmala Sitharaman, is presenting the first Union Budget of the Modi 3.0 government. The market may move based on this event, and technical factors might not be as effective. I am simply sharing my Fibonacci levels. I expect directional movement to start from tomorrow onwards. Have a nice day🙏.
#banknifty levels for July 23rd.
Good morning, friends. Today, the Honorable Finance Minister, Nirmala Sitharaman, is presenting the first Union Budget of the Modi 3.0 government. The market may move based on this event, and technical factors might not be as effective. I am simply sharing my Fibonacci levels. I expect directional movement to start from tomorrow onwards. Have a nice day🙏.
#Banknifty directions and levels for July 19th.Banknifty:
Bank Nifty is still maintaining its range, so it might continue today as well. However, if it breaks the range, we can expect a move of a minimum of 50% to 78% to the upside. On the downside, if the market breaks the 50% Fibonacci level, we can expect a downside move to 78% to the swing low.
#Nifty directions and levels for July 19th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for July 19th:
In the last session, the Dow Jones fell drastically, indicating a negative bias. Our local market has a mixed bullish sentiment. Today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-up start, as indicated by the Gift Nifty, which shows a +10 points.
Nifty and Bank Nifty are showing different structures. Nifty has a solid bullish structure, while Bank Nifty is in consolidation. Let's look at this one by one.
Nifty:
In the previous session, Nifty had a huge movement at the end of the day, making a new high with a solid handle. What’s next? I will explain step by step to help you easily understand.
Point 1: If you roughly look at the chart, it shows a solid bullish structure. You can expect the rally to continue if it breaks the previous high. This is the basic structure.
Point 2: But even if made a new high with solid candle The RSI did not break the previous high in 4H, 1H, or even 15min. At the same time, the Dow Jones also fell drastically.
Point 3: And if u look at the Bank Nifty it did not participate in this rally. but it has a consolidation. If it breaks the consolidation, it may help continue the rally. The probability is uncertain.
Considering these three points, it’s complicated to conclude the direction. Here’s my opinion: if the market breaks the previous high and Bank Nifty supports it, we can enter a long position, which may yield better results. Alternatively, if there is a solid breakout candle, you can enter, but the decision is yours. This is our bullish variation.
Bearish view:
Alternatively, if the market declines initially, we could wait for the 38% Fibonacci level breakout. If it breaks, we can expect a correction of a minimum of 50% to 78%. On the other hand, if it doesn’t break 38%, then it will maintain the bullish bias.