Elliott Wave
Nifty50: We are at The Cusp of a mega PRE-ELECTION Rally !!NSE:NIFTY as per EW on hourly charts is suggesting that terminal 5th pattern is ongoing.
Short term correction is going on downside in form of wave 4 of Terminal pattern and then wave 5 can start which can be the final rally, you can also call it as a pre election rally before a major top is in place for 2024.
A meaningful top can be form after summer solstice which is due in June 2024.
The summer solstice marks an important change of season, when scientists describe the sun to stand still at a point in the horizon where it appears to rise and set, before moving off in the reverse direction.
This cosmic two-step stealth pattern, of a momentary rise, followed by a sharp reversal, is in-line with our bearish projected roadmap for the equity market, here and now.
We had also shared the diametric pattern outlook in our earlier forecast seems it will play out in late June.
So rally possible till election outcome followed by a meaningful top in late June.
#Banknifty directions and levels for April26.Bank Nifty slightly differs from the sup-wave count. Even if it rejects around the supply zone, initially, we can expect only a minor correction, which may reach the 23 to 38% fib level. If it finds support there, then we can expect a range market. Alternatively, if it breaks the 38% fib level, then it may turn into a correction. Here also, the probability is very low.
An alternate variation mirrors the previous sentiment. If the gap-up doesn't sustain, then initially, we can expect only a minor correction. After that, if it finds support at 48,377, then it will reach the previous high again. On the other hand, if it breaks the level of 48,377, it may turn into a correction, but the probability is very low
#Nifty directions and levels for April26."Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for April 26th:
There have been no significant changes in the global market trend. It remains moderately bearish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment indicates a moderately bullish trend.
Nifty showed a solid pullback structure in the last session, so structurally, there will be no big correction, even if it rejects around the supply zone. If it does reject there, we can expect a maximum correction of 23 to 38% in the minor swing. If it finds support at 38%, then it may reach the previous high again. Simply put, if this happens, it's a range market.
Reversal will only occur if it breaks the previous day's minor swing high.
An alternate variation mirrors the previous sentiment. If the gap-up doesn't sustain, then initially, we can expect only a minor correction. After that, if it finds support at 38 or 50%, then it will reach the previous high again. On the other hand, if it breaks the 50% fib level, it may turn into a correction, but the probability is very low.
Hang Seng Tech - Defining MomentHSTECH has gone through a deep correction in last few years.
My wave counts suggest that the bottom has been made and it's the beginning of the next leg up/ or at least a big enough pullback of the entire fall - in any case a good bullish trade.
We have completed Wave 1 and 2 and Wave 3 has begun.
Within wave 3, just minor 1 and 2 have been done and we are in 3 of 3.
View negates if we break 2990.
MAHKTECH is an ETF in India for trading this index.
Disclaimer: Invested.
Nasdaq - Correction Due anytime!Nasdaq has done really well in last 15 months - rallied 70% since Jan '23 and 30% since Oct '23.
EW counts suggest that we are close to the end of a weekly impulse.
There are 2 alternatives counts - however, my bias is with the blue one, which suggests that there is a correction around the corner.
Reason is that there is a topping structure on daily chart.
However, the time for the topping structure to play out is anybody's guess.
My hunch is that it should happen in next one week (for reference check BTC chart for last 2 weeks - expecting a similar breakdown).
#Banknifty directions and Levels for April 25th.BankNifty slightly varies from Nifty. We have a clear correctional variation: if the market sustains the gap-down, it may go into flat correction, reaching a minimum of 47853 to the 38% Fibonacci level. One more thing, if it finds support around 47853-50, then we can expect a range market, possibly reaching the previous high again. But there's no problem if it's in the 38%, so here also, don't take advance long positions at the 38% Fibonacci level.
The alternate variation suggests that if the gap-down doesn't sustain and takes an immediate pullback, then it might undergo further range market. After that consolidation, if it breaks the previous high, then we can expect a rally continuation.
However, if the market opens against the sentiment, which means if the market opens neutral or gap-up, then we can expect a rally, potentially breaking the previous high.
#Nifty directions and Levels for April 25th.Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for April 25th:
The global market trend is moderately bearish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment indicates a moderately bullish trend. It might open with a gap-down start, as suggested by GiftNifty, showing a decrease of -70.
Nifty had closed with consolidation in the last session. In this session, if it opens neutral to gap-up, then we can expect a range breakout, but GiftNifty indicates a slightly negative start. So, it might take a little correction, retracing to a minimum of 23% to 38% Fibonacci level. If this happens, don't take any advance long positions around the 38% level because the structure may not be clear here compared to BankNifty. so If it consolidates around the 38%, then the correction continues further, and you can fix the next target Fibonacci level at 50%
The alternate variation suggests that if the gap-down doesn't sustain and takes an immediate pullback, then it might undergo further range market. After that consolidation, if it breaks the previous high, then we can expect a rally continuation.
However, if the market opens against the sentiment, which means if the market opens neutral or gap-up, then we can expect a rally, potentially breaking the previous high.
BSE: Buy Asia's Oldest Exchange for Multibagger return !!!NSE:BSE is one of the oldest stock exchanges in the world is surely a value pick at current levels.
Elliott wave is a simple yet powerful technique to form a good trading setup!
It is important to understand this concept properly before trading or investing. If applied prudently with proper understanding it is very much possible to take investment or trading decisions right from the smallest time frame for Intraday trading to long-term charts for investment decisions.
BSE is trading at the fresh record high. Stock is moving up by following classic Elliott wave theory. Currently Primary wave 5 is ongoing on the upside. As per guidelines wave 5 target is equal to wave 1.
So, Investors can continue to Accumulate at current levels and on dips for a move towards 10/20k marks by 2026/2027
Also the intrinsic value of investments along with its future plans makes it an exciting stock.
Considering the investments it has, the core business is available at a cheap price
suggesting the current market cap is less than the investments/cash it has in the books.
#Banknifty directions and levels for April 23rd.Banknifty also has the same sentiment, although it didn't experience as much of a pullback yesterday. So, here also, if the gap-up sustains, then we can expect a rally continuation with minor pullbacks. Alternatively, if it rejects around the supply zone or if the market initially declines sharply, then we can expect a minimum of 38% to 50% fib correction.
#Nifty directions and levels for April 23rd.Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for April 23rd:
The global market trend is moderately bullish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment also indicates a moderately bullish trend. It might open with a gap-up start, as suggested by GiftNifty, showing a +30 point increase.
Nifty experienced a minor pullback with some consolidation in the last session. There have been no changes in the previous sentiment. GiftNifty suggests a minor gap-up start, so the market may open positively; after that, if it sustains, we can expect a rally continuation with minor consolidation, targeting a minimum of 22476. If you're wondering whether it may reach the fib level of 78%, the answer is, if the rally has a solid structure, then it may reach the fib level of 78%; otherwise, it will be rejected above the level of 22476.
Similarly, alternative variations also suggest the same bullish sentiment. Until the market breaks the previous minor swing low, it may take a range market to rally continuation. On the other hand, if it breaks structurally, we can expect a minimum of 38% fib correction.
#Banknifty directions and levels for April 22nd.BankNifty also has the same sentiment. It had a solid pullback in the last session, so here also we can expect minor correction only if it rejects around the immediate resistance level. However, if the gap-up sustains or breaks the immediate resistance with a solid structure, then the rally will likely continue.
#nifty directions and levels for April 22nd.Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for April 22nd:
The global market trend is bearish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment also indicates a moderately bullish trend. It might open with a gap-up start, as suggested by GiftNifty, showing a +160 point increase.
Nifty had a solid pullback in the previous session. GiftNifty suggests that the pullback will continue into today's opening. The market may open with a minimum of 100 points positive; however, if it rejects around the immediate resistance level, it could retrace by a minimum of 23% to 38%. If this correction occurs, could we take it as a bearish trend structurally? The answer is no. Because the previous pullback occurred in a three-wave structure, then we can consider this correction as bearish. If the pullback were in a straight line, representing a single wave, then the bearish bias would be much less. After the minor correction, it may resume another pullback, indicating a range-bound market.
Alternatively, if the opening market has a solid structure, then it may further rally with minor consolidations.
Stay Ahead: Essential Tips to Avoid Trading PitfallsHello TradingView Community!
I'm excited to share some valuable insights on trading pitfalls and how to navigate them effectively. Trading in financial markets can be a challenging journey, but understanding common pitfalls and methods to avoid them can significantly enhance your success. Here are 10 pitfalls traders often encounter and actionable strategies to help you steer clear of them:
Having No Trading Plan:
Entering trades without a plan can lead to impulsive decisions. Develop a clear trading plan outlining your goals, strategies, entry and exit points, and risk management.
Using Strategies That Don't Match Your Personality:
Align your trading strategies with your personality, risk tolerance, and lifestyle. A good match helps you stay consistent and focused.
Having Unrealistic Expectations:
Set realistic goals based on your initial capital and risk tolerance. Trading is not a quick path to wealth, so be patient and persistent.
Taking Too Much Risk:
Avoid over-leveraging and using excessive position sizes. Implement risk management techniques like stop-loss orders and diversification.
Not Having Rules to Follow:
Create a set of trading rules to guide your decisions. These rules provide structure and help you stay disciplined.
Not Being Flexible to Market Conditions:
Adaptability is key in trading. Monitor the markets and adjust your strategies as conditions change.
Failing to Take Responsibility for Your Results:
Own your successes and mistakes. This mindset empowers you to learn, grow, and improve your trading.
Being Addicted to Volatility:
While volatility can be exciting, avoid chasing it for thrills. Focus on making well-reasoned decisions based on your plan.
Not Having a Process to Keep Track of Your Performance:
Maintain detailed records of your trades and their outcomes. Analyze this data to identify patterns and refine your strategies.
Not Dealing with Your Emotional Risk:
Emotions can cloud your judgment in trading. Practice emotional intelligence and techniques like meditation or journaling to stay composed.
Neglecting Proper Research and Due Diligence:
Relying solely on tips or rumors can lead to poor decisions. Conduct thorough research and due diligence on potential trades and investments.
Overcomplicating Your Trading Strategy:
Complex strategies may not always lead to better results. Simplify your approach to focus on proven methods and avoid overanalyzing the market.
Ignoring the Importance of Continuous Learning:
The markets evolve, and so should your knowledge and strategies. Stay updated on market trends and continuously educate yourself to stay ahead.
There is no trade without a stop-loss:
This point emphasizes the importance of having a stop-loss in place before entering any trade. It highlights risk management as a fundamental part of trading, ensuring that you have a clear exit strategy to limit potential losses.
If you have to re-analyze charts after being in a trade, you might be going in the wrong direction:
This point underscores the importance of trusting your initial analysis and trading plan. It warns against second-guessing or changing your plan mid-trade, which could indicate you may be heading in the wrong direction.
By implementing these strategies, you can enhance your trading experience and improve your performance over time. Remember, successful trading is a journey that requires discipline, patience, and continuous learning.
I hope you find these insights helpful. Feel free to share your thoughts and experiences in the comments. Let's continue to support each other and grow as a community!
Happy trading!
RK💕
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com/u/RK_Charts/ is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
#Banknifty Directions and levels of April 19th."Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for April 19th:
The global market trend is bearish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment also indicates a bearish trend. It might open with a gap-down start, as suggested by GiftNifty, showing a -350 point decrease.
GiftNifty indicates a long gap-down, so I don't know where it will be open. Structurally, the fall may continue Unless the market breaks the fib level of 38% we can expect a decline.
My expectation is correction. The market may undergo some consolidation around any one of the support levels, but there's a possibility of further downside breaks. We can anticipate a minor trend reversal only if it breaks the Fibonacci level of 38%, using the Fibonacci swing from yesterday's high to the upcoming low. If it breaks, we can assume that the minor trend has reversed."
#Nifty Directions and levels of April 19th."Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for April 19th:
The global market trend is bearish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment also indicates a bearish trend. It might open with a gap-down start, as suggested by GiftNifty, showing a -350 point decrease.
GiftNifty indicates a long gap-down, so I don't know where it will be open. Structurally, the fall may continue Unless the market breaks the fib level of 38% we can expect a decline.
My expectation is correction. The market may undergo some consolidation around any one of the support levels, but there's a possibility of further downside breaks. We can anticipate a minor trend reversal only if it breaks the Fibonacci level of 38%, using the Fibonacci swing from yesterday's high to the upcoming low. If it breaks, we can assume that the minor trend has reversed."
Dow Jones its jus Retest of 1 year old breakout pointThe B leg that went deep 95+% of A then failed tells us its flat correction.
After doing year long correction breakout in Dow was seen in Dec 2023
Good Chance is to have sharper up move once retest is completed.
Internal wave count may not be accurate and best if ignore, focus more on support area near breakout point.
Let me know your thoughts below
#Banknifty directions and levels for April 18th."Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for April 18th:
Nifty and BankNifty both consolidated in the previous session, so structurally, if the gap-up doesn't sustain then we can expect further consolidation for correction.
On the other hand, if the market initially takes a pullback, the 23% Fibonacci level will act as crucial resistance. This means that after the pullback, if it rejects around the Fibonacci level of 23%, it will continue the range between the previous bottom and the recent high, and it may undergo correction. On the other hand, if it breaks or sustains (around fib 23%), then we can expect further continuation, and we can fix our next target at 38%.
If we want to simplify it, this is a range market, so we can try range breakout entries."
#Nifty directions and levels for April 18th."Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for April 18th:
Nifty and BankNifty both consolidated in the previous session, so structurally, if the gap-up doesn't sustain then we can expect further consolidation for correction.
On the other hand, if the market initially takes a pullback, the 23% Fibonacci level will act as crucial resistance. This means that after the pullback, if it rejects around the Fibonacci level of 23%, it will continue the range between the previous bottom and the recent high, and it may undergo correction. On the other hand, if it breaks or sustains (around fib 23%), then we can expect further continuation, and we can fix our next target at 38%.
If we want to simplify it, this is a range market, so we can try range breakout entries."