#Banknifty directions and levels for January 21st, Tuesday:Current View:
The current view, based on Elliott Wave analysis, suggests that if the gap-up doesn't sustain or if the market faces rejection around the immediate resistance, we can expect a minimum correction of 23% to 38% in the minor swing. This is a major support level, so until the 38% mark is broken, the trend remains bullish. Conversely, if it breaks the 38%, we can consider that a trend reversal.
Alternate View:
The alternate view suggests that if the gap-up sustains and consolidates or breaks the immediate resistance level, then the rally will likely continue. In this case, we can consider that a flag pattern or the third wave of the new impulse.
Elliott Wave
FAZE3Q LONGThe Elliott Wave analysis shows that the stock has completed waves (i), (ii), (iii), (iv), and (v), as represented by blue numbers on the daily chart.
Stock is in correction now.
Wave correction will go in waves (a), (b), and (c) in blue color on the chart.
Wave (a) is completed, and wave (b) is in progress.
Wave (b) will go in three sub-waves (a, b, and c in red color).
Wave a and b is completed and wave c is in progress.
wave c will unfold in five sub-waves (black circle) shown in the chart above.
Wave 1, 2, 3, and 4 in a black circle is finished, and wave 5 will start.
Wave levels are shown on the chart.
Level of Invalidation
Wave (a) has been identified as the invalidation level, which is 366.05. Because According to the wave rules, Wave (b) cannot cross the pricing territory of Wave (a). If the price falls below this level, it may signal that the projected Elliott Wave pattern is not what it appears.
I am not a registered Sebi analyst. My research is strictly for scholarly interests.
Before you trade or invest, please consult with your financial advisor. I am not responsible for your earnings or losses.
Regards,
Dr Vineet
MCX Gold: Elliott Wave Insights on Ascending ChannelTimeframe: Daily
MCX Gold has been trading within an ascending parallel channel for over 65 weeks . The value area highlights zones of supply and demand, with the control line exerting a gravitational pull on the current price. Within this structure, there are four zones of no trading activity and two neutral zones.
A triangle pattern is forming around the control price, indicating a potential price movement. If the price closes above the control line, it could potentially reach the following targets: 77660 – 78560 – 79600+ . On the other hand, if the price breaks and closes below the strong support level, we may witness a short decline, possibly reaching the lower band of the parallel channel.
We will update further information soon.
HAL 5000 Plus by end of March 2025Are we late to catch the HAL move, May be little bit, however after checking the recent correction we still can Join the upward movement, need to keep patience till March end if you want good returns.
Disclaimer : I am not SEBI registered member, this is just for educational purpose only.
Cipla correction will be over by 31st of JanCipla is in last leg of correction of expanding triangle, where it will complete wave e and so thus the Wave C of the Zig-zag at 1372-1371
Possibilities:
1) Cipla's correction will be over by 31st Jan if it completes leg e (1372-1371)
2) Chances are there might be wave e truncation and we will start seeing the trend change, which will be uptrend
3)wave e might slightly overthrow beyond the lower support of the triangle. (around 1365-1368 max to max)
All in all its a wait and watch situation for few more days how the wave e unfolds.
Disclaimer. I am not the SEBI registered member. This idea is only for educational purposes, if you want to take a trade do your own analysis and decide.
#Nifty directions and levels for January 20th, Tuesday:Good Morning, friends! 🌞
Here are the market directions and levels for January 20th, Tuesday:
Market Overview:
The global market is showing moderately bullish sentiment (based on the Dow Jones), while our local market reflects a bearish sentiment. Today, the market is likely to open with a neutral to slightly gap-up start, as the Gift Nifty indicates a +50-point positive opening.
In the previous session, our markets closed negatively, while the US market performed very well. Everyone is closely watching Donald Trump’s inauguration. Some expect the market to maintain its bearish sentiment for another one or two days. However, if there is any positive trigger, a bounce-back can be anticipated. Otherwise, the correction is likely to continue.
Structurally, my expectation is that if the market takes a pullback, we can expect a range-bound market with a bullish bias. If the pullback sustains, the market could break out and move higher. On the other hand, if the gap-up doesn’t sustain, we can expect the correction to continue. This forms the basic structure for today.
Both Nifty and Bank Nifty exhibit similar structural sentiments.
Nifty Current View:
The current view suggests we are in a range market. If the pullback sustains, we can expect a minimum target of 23330 to 23360. After that, if it breaks with some consolidation, it could continue to reach 23387 to 23431. However, after this rally, the market may experience some rejection around that range; this is the basic structure.
In this scenario, if the rally sustains without any rejection, it may form a long bullish candle at the market’s opening.
Alternate View:
The alternate view suggests that if the gap-up doesn’t sustain, we can initially expect a minor correction that could reach 23121 to 23087. This is also a range market target. After that, if it finds support there, the range market may continue. On the other hand, if it breaks below, the correction will likely continue.
Note: A notable point is that we are in a range-bound market, so approach the charts with this context in mind.
#Banknifty directions and levels for January 20th, Tuesday:Bank Nifty Current View:
The structure seems similar to Nifty. If the market sustains the gap-up, we can expect a minimum pullback of 50% to 61% initially. After that, if it consolidates, the rally will likely continue. Structurally, we can expect the continuation of the rally; however, we should approach this properly, as we can expect the rally only if it breaks the 61% mark.
Alternate View:
The alternate view suggests that if the gap-up doesn’t sustain, we can expect a correction of 78% to the minor pullback zone. This is a major support level, so if it finds support there, we can expect a minimum pullback of 23% to 38% in the minor swing. On the other hand, if it breaks the minor pullback zone, we can expect the continuation of the correction, targeting a minimum of 47873 to 47708.
Reliance Industries ltd - Finally sign of reversal!The current price action suggests that the market has reached a potential bottom, characterized by a reversal from a previous downtrend. This shift is confirmed as the price breaks upwards, moving decisively past a phase of consolidation or uncertainty.
The Diamond Bottom pattern , a notable reversal formation, typically emerges after a sustained downtrend. Initially, the price action expands, forming higher highs and lower lows, creating a broad, widening shape. This phase indicates increased volatility and uncertainty in the market. As the pattern progresses, the trading range begins to contract, signifying a shift in market sentiment. The highs cease to climb, peaking out, while the lows start to rise, indicating a potential buildup of bullish momentum.
The critical point in this pattern is the breakout above the narrowing boundary lines of the diamond. This upward breakout serves as a strong signal of a trend reversal, marking the transition from a downtrend to a new upward trajectory. Such a breakout often leads to a sustained bullish trend, supported by renewed buying interest and positive market sentiment. This reversal can be a significant opportunity for traders to capitalize on the shift in market direction.
Other Positive Things
[ b]ABC pattern seems to be complete as there is divergence in MACD , after which price to move at-least min 38.2% to 61.8% of Fibo levels
DMI in verge of moving positive direction
PLEASE NOTE THAT:
This chart analysis is only for reference purpose.
This is not buying or selling recommendations.
I am not SEBI registered.
Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
Trent!! Zudio, bas ab kitne dukan khologe?Trent Ltd is engaged in retailing a wide range of products including apparels, footwear, accessories, toys, games, food, grocery, and non-food items through various retail formats and concepts.
Technical Analysis: A bearish pattern has been identified in Trent Ltd's stock. The trend has shifted from Higher Highs and Higher Lows (HH-HL) to Lower Lows (LL) and Higher Lows (HL) on the weekly time frame, indicating a potential change in trend. This suggests a possible significant decline from the current levels.
Entry : 6935
Target : Mentioned
Stop Loss : 7576
Let me know your thoughts on my analysis and follow for more chart insights.
Can NIFTY Regain Its Balance or Will It Plummet Further?Timeframe: 4h
After reaching a peak of 26,277 , the NSE NIFTY has begun to decline within a downward parallel channel. The Elliott wave structure can be identified as (W) – (X) – (Y) , where wave (X) peaked at 24,867 , followed by a downward movement for the final wave (Y). The price has fallen below the 20 , 50 , 100 , and 200 EMA levels, with an ATR of 166.36 .
The correction has several key levels to consider:
At 100% retracement of wave (W) at 21,962
At 100% retracement of wave (a) at 22,827
At the lower boundary of the corrective channel
Bearish sentiment is currently stronger than buyer demand. A reversal may occur either after a breakout from the parallel channel or at the lower boundary of the channel. This is possible as long as the swing low of 21,283 remains intact.
We will update further information soon.
Bank Nifty - Is this A Rising Wedge from 47898 As discussed early morning .... 49000 was our key & psychological level ... Index dropped & came close to 48500-48600 zone
Falling From 49000 Level
Support Zone 48500-48600
Makar Sankranti marks the Sun's transition into Capricorn and the beginning of an auspicious period. Historically, equity markets turn optimistic post-Makar Sankranti, driven by cultural sentiment and Budget expectations. Will Budget 2025 keep the trend alive? 🌞
This comes after a 26-day fall in major benchmark indices, which started on 5th Dec 2024.
In the last two days, the index surged from 47,898 to 49,000. However, during the first half of today's session (15th Jan 2025), it fell below 49,000, hitting a low of 48,522 as shown in the snapshots
#Nifty directions and levels for January 14th, Tuesday:Good Morning, friends! 🌞
Here are the market directions and levels for January 14th, Tuesday:
Market Overview:
The global market is showing bearish sentiment (based on the Dow Jones), and our local market is reflecting a similar outlook. Today, the market is likely to open with a gap-up start, as the Gift Nifty indicates a +130 point positive opening.
> In the previous session, the market moved violently, but the evening session in the US market saw a solid pullback. Structurally, this happened in a bearish market, so it still seems to be in a bearish trend. However, this pullback may reduce the momentum. So, my opinion is:
> If the gap-up sustains, we can expect a 50% to 61% pullback in the minor swing.
On the other hand, if it doesn’t sustain, then it could consolidate between the previous low and today’s opening price.
This is the basic structure. Let’s look at the chart.
Both Nifty and Bank Nifty have the same structural sentiment.
Current View:
The current view, based on the structure, is that as per the long correction, this kind of gap-up might not sustain.
> If the initial market declines, it could consolidate between the previous low and today’s opening price, or to the 38% resistance level.
> After that, if it breaks the previous low, then the correction will likely continue.
Alternate View:
The alternate view says:
> If the gap-up sustains or if it breaks the major resistance at 38% with a solid candle, then it could reach a minimum of 50% to 61% in the minor swing.
#Banknifty directions and levels for January 14th, Tuesday:Current View:
The current view, based on the structure, is that as per the long correction, this kind of gap-up might not sustain.
> If the initial market declines, it could consolidate between the previous low and today’s opening price, or to the 38% resistance level.
> After that, if it breaks the previous low, then the correction will likely continue.
Alternate View:
The alternate view says:
> If the gap-up sustains or if it breaks the major resistance at 38% with a solid candle, then it could reach a minimum of 50% to 61% in the minor swing.
Birlasoft Ltd : Ready for a BreakoutBirlasoft Ltd is a company engaged in computer programming, consultancy, and related activities. It provides software development and IT consulting services.
Pro:
Almost debt-free
Good profit growth of 18.2% CAGR over the last 5 years
Healthy dividend payout of 28.3%
Technical Analysis: \
The stock is forming a Descending triangle pattern , indicating a potential breakout.
Volume is also building up from the last swing low.
Expecting a good profit for the upcoming quarters
Stop Loss of 25 points with a target of 350 ++ points.
One can consider this stock for a shorter period with a target of 600 to 605.
Triple Top Chart Pattern IN BANK NIFTY ? Triple Top in Bank Nifty? Please observe carefully.
Upon broadly looking at Bank Nifty and its components, such as HDFC, ICICI Bank, SBI, IndusInd Bank, Axis Bank, and Other PSUs etc.. it is evident that many have begun forming lower lows or transitioning from an uptrend to downtrend. This indicates a bearish structure.
By observing Bank Nifty closely and considering the mentioned points and levels, an early Entry for shorting @ 50900 level. If the price rebounds to 51275, it presents an opportunity to add more quantity.
Most of the levels are mentioned in the chart. Please refer to it and share your feedback in the comments. If you disagree, please feel free to ignore.
KALYAN JEWELLERS! SHORT!! TRENDLINE BREAKOUT NSE:KALYANKJIL !! It's a good time to short around its all-time high, considering the current market conditions.
Entry: 715 (Buy PE: 700)
Target: Open/Mentioned
Stop Loss: @ 740
Let me know your thoughts on my analysis. Follow for more stock recommendations.
DLF mine favorite stock, its time againDLF was in sideways moves for quite a long, however it was trying to finish the contracting triangle. What more we are at the right time.
Possibilites:
1) we can have another small contracting triangle in which leg e will be the leg a and so on.
2) we will see a sharp move towards 944-945 considering the triangle is completed.
Its a little wait and watch situation for few more days before we see any conclusive move.
Disclaimer: This is for educational purpose only. I am not authorised to give buy/sell recommendation. please do your own analysis and then take a decision.
Gold Short Idea: Triangle Pattern BreakoutGold is forming a triangle pattern, indicating consolidation and a potential breakout. A break below ₹2662 suggests bearish momentum, targeting ₹2626. Use a stop-loss at ₹2680 to manage risk. Watch for a volume spike and RSI below 50 to confirm the breakout. This setup offers a favorable risk-reward for short-sellers
Navinfluorine Looks Good!NSE:NAVINFLUOR
The price appears to have found a bottom, signaling a potential reversal as it breaks upward following a phase of consolidation or indecision.
The Diamond Bottom pattern typically forms during a downtrend, where prices initially create higher highs and lower lows, forming a broadening structure.
Over time, the trading range narrows as the highs peak and the lows begin trending upward. A decisive upward breakout from the diamond's boundary confirms the reversal, marking the transition to a new uptrend.
PLEASE NOTE THAT:
This chart analysis is only for reference purpose.
This is not buying or selling recommendations.
I am not SEBI registered.
Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
Buying in ITC for small targetThe ITC 75-minute chart forms a Terminal Impulse.
There is a good buying opportunity near the 440 and 445 price zone.
Strict stoploss below wave 2 which is below 432 level.
The target for wave 5 will be 470.
This analysis is based on Elliott Wave theory and Fibonacci.
Please always do your research before you take any action.
For educational purposes only.
Fall will continue in LIC in coming weeks expect below 800 rsFall will continue in LIC in coming and will go below 800 (798-795), we are in the last phase of correction which is wave C of ABC, once this correction is over, LIC will resume uptrend, till then Just watch and wait for the right opportunity .
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI registered member and this Idea is only meant for educational purposes.
#Nifty directions and levels for January 9th, Thursday:Good Morning, friends! 🌞
Here are the market directions and levels for January 9th, Thursday:
Market Overview:
The global market continues to maintain a moderately bearish sentiment (based on the Dow Jones), and our local market is reflecting a similar outlook. Today, the market is likely to open with a neutral to slightly gap-down start, as the Gift Nifty indicates a -40 point negative opening.
In the previous session, both Nifty and Bank Nifty first half fell drastically, and the second half took a solid pullback. This structure and sentiment suggest an unclear direction for the current market, so we should approach this a little bit conservatively. Let’s look at the charts.
Bullish View:
The bullish view indicates that even if the market opens with a gap-down, it could take a minor pullback. If this happens, the immediate resistance could be the pullback target. However, until it breaks the immediate resistance 23761, the market could consolidate between 23761 and 23546. If it breaks the immediate resistance, we can expect pullback continuation.
Bearish View:
This is similar to the first one, meaning initially we can expect a range-bound market. If it breaks the bottom of the range, we can expect a continuation of the correction. This is today's basic structure.