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Elliott Wave

#Nifty directions and levels for July 15th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for July 15th: The global markets are showing a slightly bearish sentiment (based on the Dow Jones). Our local market is maintaining a moderately bullish trend. Today, the market may open neutral or with a gap-up start, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows an increase of 50 points at 8:00 am. Nifty and Bank Nifty have different structures: Nifty indicates a two-way move, while Bank Nifty indicates a range-bound market. Let's look at each one. Nifty has closed above the all-time high after seven consecutive consolidation sessions. This suggests a solid rally ahead on a normal trading day. However, with the upcoming budget event, even if the market breaks the all-time high again, it is unlikely to go much higher due to current sentiment rather than technical factors. > Based on this sentiment, if the gap-up sustains, we can expect a minimum of 24608 to 24644. After that, if the market rejects around the supply zone, we can expect a reversal of 38 to 78% in the Fibonacci sequence. This is our first variation. On the other hand, if the market doesn't reject there and consolidates, the rally will likely continue further. > Alternatively, if the gap-up doesn't sustain, it may range between the previous day's high and the 4th wave demand zone. In this sentiment, there is no big correction. The correction will continue only if it breaks 24420.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
2
#Banknifty directions and levels for July 15th.> Bank Nifty has a range-bound sentiment. If the initial market takes a pullback, we can expect a range between the previous day's low and 52666. In this case, the rally will continue only if it breaks the level of 52666. > Alternatively, if the gap-up doesn't sustain, the same range-bound market may occur. If the initial market declines, it may continue the range between the previous day's high and 52090 or 78%. Here, the correction will continue only if it breaks the 78% Fibonacci level.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by Manickamtraders
ULTRACEMCO - ELLIOT WAVE 5 IN MAKINGHi All, This idea is about Ultratech Cement Mkt Cap - 3L Cr ROE - 12% ROCE 15.3% P/BV - 5.56 MktCap/Sales - 4.7 FCF - 2k Cr Technicals Price action being published is on a 1 hour TF. As can be seen by the pattern, Elliot waves are in motion. Wave 1 was an impulsive wave followed by Correction wave (Wave 2). Ideally Wave 2 should correct to 50-60% as per Elliot theory & that is what happened during Wave 2 formation. Wave 4 corrected again by 30% and point 4 above point 1 which all points to the validation of Elliot theory. Wave 5 is about to commence which is as per the theory strongest impulse wave. Cement Sector as a whole is doing well due to boost in infra sector. Happy Trading, Thanks, Stock-n-Shine
NSE:ULTRACEMCOLong
by Stock-n-Shine
Nifty Reaches 24,500 Target: Elliott Wave Analysis Disclaimer: ------------------------ Trading in financial markets involves substantial risks. Consult your financial advisor before making decisions. This commentary is not a solicitation to buy or sell. WaveTalks - Market Whispers: Can you hear them? ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- General Election 2024: Impact on Nifty The 2024 General Election resulted in a clear victory for the existing NDA government, with Prime Minister Narendra Modi securing a third term. This political stability had a positive impact on the Indian market index, Nifty. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pre-Exit Poll Movement Before the election results were declared, we proposed an outlook for Nifty to reach 24,500 as a pre-exit poll objective. This prediction was published on TradingView as "Pre-Exit Poll Outlook - Bulls above 22,400 " on 31st May 2024. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Achievement of Target Following the election results, Nifty saw a significant rise from the lows of 21,281 on June 4, 2024, and successfully reached our proposed target of 24,500 on July 12, 2024. However, there was a knee-jerk reaction as the index failed to surpass the 400-seat mark announced during the election campaigns, leading to some volatility when the actual results were declared on June 4, 2024. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Unfolding Structure: The Leading Diagonal Since early March 2024, we have been discussing the potential for an explosive upside based on a leading diagonal pattern, also known as a Rising Wedge in traditional analysis. This Elliott wave pattern typically indicates a bullish trend, especially in the context of the 2024 General Election. We believed in the bullish scenario and termed it the "Leading Diagonal," expecting significant market movement. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Why I Believe in Wave Analysis As a Wave Analyst, my journey began with a curiosity about the market's patterns and behaviors. Eight years ago, in 2016, I started writing for TradingView and was given an opportunity to look into India Business for the brand during its early expansion years in India. On a personal front, I progressed to learn the nuances of wave analysis and started applying them to publicly traded liquid financial instruments. The results were astounding, providing 90-100% accuracy in the analysis. The science behind wave analysis is robust, but it does come with the limitation of alternate views if the price breaches the cardinal rules. More details on this will be discussed in my upcoming book on wave analysis (no ETA available at the moment). ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pattern Analysis Rising Wedge: Often seen as bearish or bullish from a traditional technical analysis point of view, Elliott Wave analysis goes one step further by identifying the pattern's nature as bullish or bearish and can complement the unfolding events. General Election 2024: The election acted as a catalyst for the bullish trend. Patience Rewarded: Participants who held their positions since October 2023 are now reaping the benefits. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Future Outlook Key Psychological Level: 24,500 Nifty holding above the 24,500 level is crucial. If the index continues to bounce above this level, we anticipate the bull run to persist. Target: 27,620 Our next target is 27,620, where the current rising wedge in Wave-1 should travel 162% of the minimum distance if this is to be Wave-3. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Additional Insights Reliance Long Term: Nifty Explosive Series Episodes Starting Comex Copper: These episodes as published on TradingView earlier, hinted at an explosive Nifty to unfold and how Dr. Copper’s move supported the outlook. This should be discussed as a different branch of technical analysis called Intermarket relations in my book, suggesting a strong bullish sentiment. In conclusion, the political stability from the 2024 General Election has propelled Nifty into a strong bullish trend, with a key psychological level at 24,500 and a future target of 27,620. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Regards From WaveTalks Abhishek
NSE:NIFTYLong
by WaveTalks
3
#Banknifty directions and levels for July 12th.Yesterday, there was significant movement in Banknifty. What about next? As per the pullback, the market may go further up with minor consolidation. GiftNifty also indicates that. If the market opens with a gap-up, we can expect minor rejection around the immediate resistance level. If this happens, it may retrace up to 23 to 38%. After that, if the market finds support at the 38% level, it may continue the rally with minor consolidation. This is our basic structure. In this case, we have to discuss something simple and not too complicated: > 1st one, There is no need to reject around the immediate resistance level. If it happens, we can expect a minor retracement. that menas If the market consolidates or breaks it with a solid candle structure, the rally will likely continue further(around the immediate resistance). > 2nd one, Is there any correction possible? Yes, correction is also possible. If the retracement breaks the 38% Fib level, it may continue to range. > This sentiment is also applicable for an initial market decline. This means that if the gap-up doesn't sustain or if the market declines sharply initially, we can follow the same sentiment.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by Manickamtraders
#Nifty directions and levels for July 12th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for July 12th: There are no significant changes in the global markets, which are still showing a moderately bullish trend. Our local market is also showing a moderately bullish trend. Today, the market may open with a gap-up start, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows an increase of 60 points. Yesterday, there was significant movement in Nifty. What about next? As per the pullback, the market may go further up with minor consolidation. GiftNifty also indicates that. If the market opens with a gap-up, we can expect minor rejection around the immediate resistance level. If this happens, it may retrace up to 23 to 38%. After that, if the market finds support at the 38% level, it may continue the rally with minor consolidation. This is our basic structure. In this case, we have to discuss something simple and not too complicated: > 1st one, There is no need to reject around the immediate resistance level. If it happens, we can expect a minor retracement. that menas If the market consolidates or breaks it with a solid candle structure, the rally will likely continue further(around the immediate resistance). > 2nd one, Is there any correction possible? Yes, correction is also possible. If the retracement breaks the 38% Fib level, it may continue to range. > This sentiment is also applicable for an initial market decline. This means that if the gap-up doesn't sustain or if the market declines sharply initially, we can follow the same sentiment.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
4
#Banknifty directions and levels for July 11th.BankNifty had a solid correction in the previous session with not much of a pullback compared to Nifty. The structure indicates that if the market breaks the previous day low, then the correction will likely continue because the previous day's minor consolidation indicates that. This is our first variation, meaning if the gap-up doesn't sustain or the market takes a decline initially, then we can expect the correction to continue if it breaks the previous day's low. The alternate variation is similar to Nifty: if the gap-up sustains and consolidates around the 23% or 38% fib level or breaks the 23% or 38% fib level with a solid candle, then the rally will likely continue.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by Manickamtraders
#Nifty directions and levels for July 11th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for July 11th: There are no significant changes in the global markets, which are still showing a moderately bullish trend. However, our local market is showing a moderately bearish trend. Today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-up start, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows an increase of 40 points (as of 8:00 AM). Nifty and BankNifty structures differ from one another. Let's look at them one by one. Nifty had a huge swing in the previous session. However, the structure is obviously a range market. Today, GiftNifty indicates a slightly positive start. If it rejects around the immediate resistance, then we can expect a correction, meaning the range market will likely continue. For this correction to happen, it should break the 38% fib level in the current swing. If it doesn't break the 38% fib level, it may go a little bit further up. This sentiment also applies to the initial market decline.that means If the gap-up doesn't sustain or the initial market takes a decline, then use the same sentiment. The alternate variation suggests that if the gap-up sustains and consolidates around the 78% fib level or breaks the 78% fib level with a solid candle, then the rally will likely continue.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
8
#Banknifty directions and levels for July 10th.BankNifty has a different structure. There hasn't been as much of a pullback compared to Nifty, so we can follow the same sentiment as the previous day. If the market pulls back and breaks the previous high, we can expect further continuation. Here also, structure is important. If the pullback has a solid structure, we can expect pullback continuation with minor consolidations around the supply zone. If it has less volume, then the supply zone will act as a solid resistance, and if it rejects there, it may fall by a minimum of 38 to 61%. The alternate variation suggests that if the initial market declines, we can expect the level of swing low to be 52146. After that, if it finds support there, we can expect a range market. On the other hand, if it breaks the demand zone, then the correction may continue further.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by Manickamtraders
#Nifty directions and levels for July 10th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for July 10th: There are no significant changes in the global and local markets, both of which are showing a moderately bullish trend. However, today the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-down start, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows a decrease of 10 points (as of 8:00 AM). Nifty has broken its all-time high once again in the previous session. Structurally, if the market breaks the previous high, then the rally will likely continue. However, breakout structures are important. In the last session, the market moved in a grinding manner, so if the market continues with that same grinding momentum, we can't expect much of a rally. If the market rejects at either 24464 or 24495, it may fall by a minimum of 38 to 61%. On the other hand, if it breaks the previous high with a solid candle structure or consolidates around the immediate resistance level, we can expect a solid rally further. This is our first variation. The alternate variation suggests that if the initial market declines, we can expect a 38 to 61% minor retracement. After that, if it finds support there, we can expect a range market. If it breaks the 61% Fibonacci level, then the correction may continue further.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
3
Nifty Short Swing Trade 1:3.5 Risk-Reward RatioIchimoku TS KS broke in 15 mins and once it breaks the cloud and price structure, we will get the confirmation. We have shared our higher time frame view earlier today - please check: Entry : 24280 (in case of gap down opening below this level, wait for a small pullback near TS in 5 mins) Stop Loss : 24417 Target : 23770 Disclaimer: We are not SEBI registered. The content presented here is based on our personal opinions. Please conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by WaveMoku
6
#Banknifty directions and levels for July 9th.Banknifty's structure is slightly different from Nifty, but it also indicates a range-bound market. If the market initially corrects, it may reach a minimum of 52233 to the demand zone. After that, if it finds support there, we can expect a minimum of a 38% bounce back in the minor swing. On the other hand, if it breaks the demand zone, the correction may likely continue. Alternatively, if the market initially pulls back, we can expect it to reach 52629 to 52796 with minor consolidation. Structurally, it could be an expanding flat. So, if it rejects around the supply zone, we can expect a correction.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by Manickamtraders
#Nifty directions and levels for July 9th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for July 9th: There are no significant changes in the global and local markets, both of which are showing a moderately bullish trend. However, today the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-up start, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows an increase of 10 points (as of 8:00 AM). Nifty and Banknifty both have a range-bound structure, so today may continue in this manner. Let's check them one by one. For Nifty, there were no big changes in the previous session, and it is still within the range. Today, GiftNifty is showing a neutral start, so if the market declines initially, we can expect it to reach a minimum of 24243 to 24210, both minor support levels. If the market finds support there, we can expect the range to continue. On the other hand, if it breaks below these levels, it may fall further to 24168, which is a 78% retracement. This is our first variation. Alternatively, if the market initially pulls back, we can expect it to reach 24401, 24431, and 24464 with minor consolidation.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
#Nifty directions and levels for July 8thGood morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for July 8th: The global market has a moderately bullish sentiment on the Dow Jones. Our local markets are showing a moderately bullish sentiment as well. However, today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-down start, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows a decrease of 30 points (as of 8:00 AM). Nifty had a solid pullback even though it opened with a gap-down. If you look at the structure, it is showing a range market, and GiftNifty also indicates that. So, the first scenario is if the market opens with a gap-down and sustains, we can expect a minimum of 24,266 to the demand zone. Structurally, it may consolidate over there, but by the end of the day, it might fall further. Alternatively, if the initial market takes a pullback, then it may reach a minimum of the swing high at 24,431 and 24,464 with minor consolidations. Here is one more thing, and this is my personal opinion: I think the market might take a range-bound structure until the budget, similar to how the market behaves before election results. This means one day it might take a bullish bias, then another one or two days it may go bearish, and then again it may take a bullish bias. Experts are expecting this pattern.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
#Banknifty directions and levels for July 8thThe Bank Nifty structure differs from Nifty, but the sentiment is the same. So, if the market opens with a gap-down and sustains, we can expect a minimum of 52,511 to 52,385. After that, if it consolidates or breaks, then the correction will likely continue, and we can expect the next target to be the swing low to the minor demand zone. On the other hand, if it rejects around 52,385, then we can expect a range market, meaning the market may reach the previous high again. Alternatively, if the initial market takes a pullback, then it may reach a minimum of 52,765 to 61% with minor consolidations.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by Manickamtraders
Globus Spirits Wave Counting and Next Targets 1700 and 2350!Here is why we are super bullish on Globus Spirits: 1. This stock has corrected deeply from the top (61.8% Fib). 2. Falling wedge pattern (proper buying angle). 3. Hidden bullish divergence. 4. Wave analysis: The stock has completed Waves A and B, and is now ready for Wave C. 5. Ichimoku turning positive. We see great risk-to-reward in this stock. It has the potential to hit our targets and could rally even further. Disclaimer: We are not SEBI registered. The content presented here is based on our personal opinions. Conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NSE:GLOBUSSPRLong
by WaveMoku
#Nifty levels and direction for July 5th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for July 5th: The global market had an oscillation but continues to range based on the Dow Jones. Our local markets are showing a moderately bullish sentiment. However, today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-down start, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows a decrease of 60 points (as of 8:00 AM). Nifty and Bank Nifty both have the same sentiment. They have been moving in consolidation. Let's look at this. Yesterday, Nifty reached a new high but did not sustain it. Structurally, there hasn't been a significant correction, as indicated by the global market trends. Therefore, if the market opens with a gap-down today, it may find support at the immediate support level. If this occurs, the consolidation range is likely to continue. This is our first scenario. On the other hand, if it doesn't find support there or if it consolidates a little around the support, then we can expect the correction to continue.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
Bull Run Over? Will Nifty Return to 19K? | Nifty50 Wave AnalysisWave has already shared the Nifty wave counting (2020-24) earlier. Please refer to the following links: Nifty Elliott Wave Analysis 2020-24 With Subordinates Counting Strong Wave 5th is Happening: Nifty Wave Analysis in DTF The big wave 5th of the impulse, which started from the 2020 COVID bottom, has hit 261.8%, and we have to go for a degree correction. Three possibilities: 1. Rally Continues : Wave 5th can go in extension further if Nifty can sustain weekly candles above 24,127. It can hit 26,000, but the possibilities are very low due to many factors like divergences, Ichimoku gaps, Yearly CPR etc. 2. Time-wise Correction: Nifty can stay in a big range (4,000-5,000 points) for one or two years. Who can benefit from this? Option sellers, for sure. 3. Price-wise Correction: Nifty can see a sharp fall to the demand zones we mentioned. Who can benefit from this? Option buyers, directional options and future sellers. Note: Edge is compulsory for any trades to avoid unexpected events since it's going to be a positional trade. Entry Points: Current Market Price is 24,302, and a 1-hour candle close below 24,170 is our short entry. Stop Loss: The safest SL is 24,610, but if this SL is too big for swing/intraday traders, they can keep the stop loss above 24,450. Targets: We have mentioned three demand zones in the chart based on Fibonacci retracement: First Demand Zone: 22,000-22,500 Second Demand Zone: 20,030-20,960 Third Demand Zone: 18,000-18,500
NSE:NIFTYShort
by WaveMoku
2
#Nifty directions and levels for July 4th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for July 4th: The global market continues to range based on the Dow Jones. Our local markets are showing bullish sentiment. However, today, the market may open with a gap-up start, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows an increase of 70 points (as of 8:00 AM). Nifty and Bank Nifty both have the same sentiment. Let's look at this. Once again, Nifty broke its all-time high yesterday, but the market couldn't move that much and moved into consolidation in the previous session. As usual, the consolidation may continue the trend. GiftNifty also indicates that, but the structure suggests that today the market may also take consolidation even if it opens with a gap-up. This is our first variation: That's if the market rejects around the immediate resistance or if the gap-up doesn't sustain, then we can expect a 23% to 38% retracement in the minor swing. After that, if it finds support at either the 23% or 38% levels, then we can expect consolidation followed by a rally continuation. A correction will occur only if it breaks the 38% Fibonacci level. If it breaks, we can expect the next targets to be 50% and 78%.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
3
#Banknifty directions and levels for July 4th.Bank Nifty has the bullish sentiment and made a new high in the previous session. If you look at the structure, you can see many patterns there, such as the flag pattern, cup & handle pattern, and cypher pattern. But here also, the market suggests that if it rejects around the immediate resistance or if the gap-up doesn't sustain, then we can expect a 23% to 38% retracement in the minor swing. After that, if it finds support at either the 23% or 38% levels, then we can expect consolidation followed by a rally continuation. A correction will occur only if it breaks the 38% Fibonacci level. If it breaks, we can expect the next targets to be 50% and 78%. Alternatively, if the gap-up sustains or if it consolidates around the immediate resistance level, then the rally will continue further.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by Manickamtraders