Adani Power for 70% gainsDate: 01 Nov’24
Symbol: ADANIPOWER
Timeframe: Daily
The Big Question is - if Wave IV in Adani Power is now over? A higher high after a close above 675 will make it official. Is 570 a strong enough support? Looks like it. As seen in the chart, a circle has been marked as an accumulation zone. Wave V is likely to head to 1050 levels (70% from current price of 600); more clarity on target will emerge as it moves above 750.
Sept quarter results at operational levels were descent but because of lower other income and higher tax; Sept quarter of last FY looks stronger.
This is not a trade recommendation. Please do your own analysis.
HINGLISH VERSION
Bada savaal yah hai ki kya Adani Power mein Wave IV ab khatm ho gaya hai? 675 se upar band hone ke baad ek uchchatar oonchaee ise aadhikaarik bana degi. Kya 570 paryaapt majaboot support level hai? Aisa lagta hai. Jaisa ki chart mein dekha gaya hai, ek sarkal ko accumulation zone ke roop mein chihnit kiya gaya hai. Wave V ke 1050 ke star (600 kee maujooda keemat se 70%) tak pahunchane kee sambhaavana hai, jaise hi yah 750 se upar jaega, target par adhik spashtata saamane aaegee.
Operational star par September quarter ke nateeje achhe the. Lekin other income kam hone aur adhik tax ke kaaran; pichhale financial year ka September timaahee majaboot dikh raha hai.
Yah koi trade lene ki salah nahi hai. Kripya apana vishleshan svayan karein.
Elliottwavesanalysis
Amara Raja Energy for 60% gainsDate: 30 Oct’24
Symbol: ARE_M
Timeframe: Daily
Amara Raja Energy & Mobility seems to have begun Wave V of 3 which is heading towards 2150 (60% from current price of 1350) as seen in the chart. Once it has crossed 1450, its five waves can be established. Both volume pop out and RSI strength support this view.
This is not a trade recommendation. Please do your own analysis.
HINGLISH VERSION
Aisa prateet hota hai ki Amara Raja Energy & Mobility ne 3 ki Wave V shuroo kar di hai jo 2150 (vartamaan price se 1350 se 60%) ki taraf badh rahi hai, jaisa ki chart mein dekha gaya hai. Ek baar jab yah 1450 ko paar kar jae, to iski 5 Wave sthaapit ki ja sakti hain. Volume pop out aur RSI ki majbooti donon is drshtikon ka samarthan karte hain.
Yah koi trade lene ki salah nahin hai. Kripya apna vishleshan khud karen.
Chennai Petroleum for 85%+ gainsDate: 23 Oct’24
Symbol: CHENNPETRO
Timeframe: Daily
The 14th Oct post is not visible somehow so posting the same chart.
Chennai Petroleum Corp Ltd currently seems to be in Wave 4 which may end around 780-820, marked as demand zone in the chart. September quarter results are not good so consolidation in Wave 4 can be longer. Wave 5 could then head to around 1500+ levels (85%+ from end of Wave 4). We can review this for more clarity on the target when it moves past 1000.
This is not a trade recommendation. Please do your own analysis.
Chennai Petroleum Corp Ltd vartamaan mein Wave 4 mein dikh raha hai jo 780-820 ke aaspaas samaapt ho sakta hai, jise chart mein Demand zone ke roop mein dikhaya gaya hai. September quarter ke result acche nahi aaye hain to Wave 4 thoda lamba chal sakta hai. Wave 5 tab lagbhag 1500+ star (Wave 4 ke ant se 85%+) tak pahunch sakta hai. Target par adhik spashtata ke lie ham iski sameeksha tab kar sakate hain jab yah 1000 ke paar chala jae.
Yah koi trade lene ki salah nahi hai. Kripya apna vishleshan khud karein.
Cosmo First for 35% gainsDate: 30 Sept’24
Stock: Cosmo First
Timeframe: Daily chart
Cosmo First seems to have begun a fresh five wave impulse in March’24 and currently in Wave V of 1 which is heading towards 1050+ (~35% from current price of 790) as seen in the chart. Wave 1 target could even extend to around 1150-1200 levels (50% higher from current price) which can be reviewed once it moves beyond 950.
This is not a trade recommendation. Please do your own analysis. I am not a SEBI registered RA.
#Nifty directions and levels for August 12th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the directions and levels for August 12.
Market Overview
Both global and local markets have been trading within a minor range. Today, the market may open with a neutral start because the SGX Nifty is indicating a positive 5-point move.
Nifty and Bank Nifty share the same range-bound market sentiment. Let's take a closer look:
In the previous session, both Nifty and Bank Nifty closed with consolidation after a significant gap-up. If the market breaks the previous high, then we can expect a minor rally, but not a big one. A big rally is expected only if the breakout occurs with a solid green candle and some consolidation around the immediate resistance level. However, if this doesn't happen, the market may reject at that level and continue in its current range, which is our first scenario.
Alternatively, if the market initially declines, the 38% Fibonacci level will act as a key support. If the market finds support there, the range-bound movement may continue. On the other hand, if it breaks below the 38% level, we can expect the correction to continue.
#Banknifty directions and levels for August 12th. In the previous session, Bank Nifty closed with consolidation after a significant gap-up. If the market breaks the previous high, then we can expect a minor rally, but not a big one. A big rally is expected only if the breakout occurs with a solid green candle and some consolidation around the immediate resistance level. However, if this doesn't happen, the market may reject at that level and continue in its current range, which is our first scenario.
Alternatively, if the market initially declines, the 38% Fibonacci level will act as a key support. If the market finds support there, the range-bound movement may continue. On the other hand, if it breaks below the 38% level, we can expect the correction to continue.
#Banknifty directions and levels for the 3rd week of August.
As per the chart Bank Nifty has a range-bound structure. However, the market closed at the top of this range by the end of the week. So, if the market starts with a bullish bias, it may reach the swing high once again. This is because, as we mentioned in the previous post, if the market breaks the 50% level in the minor swing, it will lose the strength of the current trend. If this happens, it may reach the Fibonacci levels of 61% to 78% on the upside. However, there are two variations for the bullish sentiment.
1. First Variation: If the initial day's candle closes with a solid bar, then the market may continue the pullback with minor consolidation around the Fibonacci level of 61% in the upcoming sessions.
2. Second Variation: If the market faces rejection around the minor supply zone or if the week starts with a negative candle, then the range-bound market may continue further.
The Bearish Variation:
The bearish variation suggests that if the market potentially breaks the channel, then it may continue the correction. There are some minor levels to watch, which is typical. If the market breaks the 38% level in the minor swing, we can expect the next target to be 78%.
#Nifty directions and levels for the 3rd week of August.Good evening, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the market directions for the 3rd week of August:
Global Market Overview
In the previous week, global markets experienced a consolidation after a sharp decline, which indicates that the market is structurally bearish. So, what about this week? My expectation is that the bearish sentiment might continue because the US market will release PPI and inflation data, which could be a key factor in determining the next direction.
Nifty and Bank Nifty
Last week, Nifty and Bank Nifty saw significant ups and downs, but this movement happened within a range. So, what about this week? Let's break it down.
As per the chart, both Nifty and Bank Nifty have a similar range-bound structure. However, the market closed at the top of this range by the end of the week. So, if the market starts with a bullish bias, it may reach the swing high once again. This is because, as we mentioned in the previous post, if the market breaks the 50% level in the minor swing, it will lose the strength of the current trend. If this happens, it may reach the Fibonacci levels of 61% to 78% on the upside. However, there are two variations for the bullish sentiment.
For Nifty:
1. First Variation: If the initial day's candle closes with a solid bar, then the market may continue the pullback with minor consolidation around the Fibonacci level of 61% in the upcoming sessions.
2. Second Variation: If the market faces rejection around the top of the channel or if the week starts with a negative candle, then the range-bound market may continue further.
Why did I mention the diagonal pattern? (Second Variation:)
because the previous structure also looks like an expanding diagonal, and the pullback also broke the 38% level. So, both conditions suggest a minor reversal. However, don't expect a major move because a diagonal is an accumulation pattern when it forms at the bottom of a trend, so it could take some time for the next movement.
The Bearish Variation:
The bearish variation suggests that if the market potentially breaks the channel, then it may continue the correction. There are some minor levels to watch, which is typical. If the market breaks the 38% level in the minor swing, we can expect the next target to be 78%. It may resemble a diagonal pattern, but there is a key difference:
> that, if the correction follows this variation, the decline could be sharp and fast.
> However, a diagonal typically doesn’t have much volume and usually faces rejection before the channel breakout.
#Nifty directions and levels for August 9th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the directions and levels for August 9th.
Market Overview
Both global and local markets have been trading within a minor range. Today, the market may open with a gap-up, as indicated by a 250-point positive start in GIFT NIFTY.
Nifty and Bank Nifty share the same range-bound market sentiment. Let's take a closer look:
Nifty:
In the previous session, Nifty experienced some minor oscillation due to the monetary policy. However, it closed within Tuesday's range. Structurally, it remains a range-bound market.
> According to Elliott Wave theory, we expect three swings in this range-bound market. With two swings already completed, we are anticipating a third one.
> In today’s market, after the gap-up, if it encounters resistance around the immediate resistance level, it may lead to a correction. if it happens, The corrections are expected to range between 38% to 78% of the minor swing—this is our first scenario.
>In this case, if it consolidates or breaks solidly (at the 61% Fibonacci level on the upside), then the rally will likely continue.
Alternatively, if the gap-up doesn’t sustain or if it rejects around the previous high, the range-bound market will likely continue. Structurally, it could form a triangle pattern. However, trading in range-bound market movements can be somewhat challenging, and premiums may also be affected.
#Banknifty directions and levels for August 9th.Bank Nifty:
Bank Nifty is also maintaining its consolidation. If the gap-up sustains and breaks the level of 50,468, then we can expect the next targets to be 50,688 and 50,823.
> Here, we have the same sentiment as in Nifty: after the pullback, if it sharply rejects around the level of 50,823, the market may enter a correction phase. Targets are expected to range between 38% to 78% of the minor swing.
> On the other hand, if it consolidates or breaks solidly above the level of 50,823 on the upside, then the rally will likely continue.
The alternative scenario is if the gap-up doesn't sustain or if the market initially declines, then the range-bound market will likely continue.
#Nifty levels for August 8th.Good morning, friends. Today, our market has a major event, that, the RBI monetary policy announcement. So, the market will mostly move based on this event. however, I’m sharing my Fibonacci levels. The directions are as we expected in the weekly analysis because some sub-waves are bending. but, we should follow what the market is saying, not just our analysis. Have a nice day!🤝🍬
#Banknifty levels for August 8th.Good morning, friends. Today, our market has a major event, that, the RBI monetary policy announcement. So, the market will mostly move based on this event. however, I’m sharing my Fibonacci levels. The directions are as we expected in the weekly analysis because some sub-waves are bending. but, we should follow what the market is saying, not just our analysis. Have a nice day!🤝🍬
#Nifty directions and levels for August 7th.Good morning, friends 🌞 Here are the directions and levels for August 7th.
Market Overview
The global market has been in a minor range, and our local market has a moderate bearish sentiment. Today, the market may open with a gap-up, indicated by a 200-point positive start in GIFTNIFTY.
Both Nifty and BankNifty share the same range market sentiment. Let's take a closer look:
Even though the previous session opened with a gap-up, it didn’t sustain, and both Nifty and BankNifty maintained their bearish bias. Today also the market may open with a minimum of 150 points positive. What about today?
If this happens structurally, it could turn into a range market. Range market movements are usually difficult to predict. However, my expectation is that if the market opens with a gap-up, the 24,292 level will act as immediate resistance. If the market consolidates around there, we can expect a pullback continuation if it breaks this level, with targets expected at 24,364 up to the Fibonacci level of 61%. This is our first variation.
Alternatively, if the gap-up doesn’t sustain, it may consolidate within the previous day's range. In this variation, a correction is anticipated only if it falls below the previous low.
#Banknifty directions and levels for August 7th.
Even though the previous session opened with a gap-up, it didn’t sustain,BankNifty maintained their bearish bias. Today also the market may open with a minimum of 200 points positive. What about today?
If this happens structurally, it could turn into a range market. Range market movements are usually difficult to predict. However, my expectation is that if the market opens with a gap-up and breaks the 38% level solidly, we can expect the next target at 50,468. After that, if it consolidates, the pullback will continue. On the other hand, if it rejects this level, the range market will likely continue.
Alternatively, if the gap-up doesn’t sustain, it may consolidate within the previous day's range. In this variation, a correction is anticipated only if it falls below the previous low.
#Nifty directions and levels for August 6th.Good morning, friends 🌞
Here are the directions and levels for August 6th.
Market Overview
The global market experienced a pullback, but sentiment remains bearish, and our local market also has the bearish sentiment. Today, the market may open with a gap-up, indicated by a 150-point positive start in GIFTNIFTY.
Both Nifty and BankNifty are reflecting the same sentiment. Let's take a closer look:
1.Basic Structure:
Nifty and BankNifty both fell drastically in the previous session. Whenever the market takes a sharp movement, it will take some consolidation afterward. How will it work in today's session? We can look at that.
> As per the structure, there is no more pullback in this minor swing. So if the gap-up doesn’t sustain or if the initial market declines, we can expect minor consolidation between the previous low to 38% Fibonacci level to the upside. After that, if it breaks yesterday's low, then the correction will likely continue to the level of 23801. This is our basic structure.
2.Alternate View:
The alternate view is similar to the consolidation, but this time we wouldn't expect a correction. Instead, we can expect pullback continuation if it breaks the 38% Fibonacci level to the upside again. If it happens, we can expect the pullback target to the level of 50%. Once if it rejects there, then we can expect correction. Simply, it's also a range market variation.
3.Price Action Scenario:
The third scenario is taken from the price action. If the initial market takes a solid pullback and closes above the 38% Fibonacci level, then it may continue further to the level of 61% with minor consolidation. Do you want to realize if it is progressing in this variation? Just observe if it consolidates around the immediate resistance level or if it forms an inside bar, then it may continue the rally.
These are my expectations for today. In my personal opinion, if the market enters consolidation, trading will become more challenging. If you choose to enter, reduce your position size. However, if you have a clear direction, you can trade more effectively.
#Banknifty directions and levels for August 6th.1.Basic Structure:
As per the structure, there is no more pullback in this minor swing. So if the gap-up doesn’t sustain or if the initial market declines, we can expect minor consolidation between the previous low to 38% Fibonacci level to the upside. After that, if it breaks yesterday's low, then the correction will likely continue to the level of 49439. This is our basic structure.
2.Alternate View:
The alternate view is similar to the consolidation, but this time we wouldn't expect a correction. Instead, we can expect pullback continuation if it breaks the 38% Fibonacci level to the upside again. If it happens, we can expect the pullback target to the level of 50%. Once if it rejects there, then we can expect correction. Simply, it's also a range market variation.
3.Price Action Scenario:
The third scenario is taken from the price action. If the initial market takes a solid pullback and closes above the 38% Fibonacci level, then it may continue further to the level of 61% with minor consolidation. Do you want to realize if it is progressing in this variation? Just observe if it consolidates around the immediate resistance level or if it forms an inside bar, then it may continue the rally.
These are my expectations for today. In my personal opinion, if the market enters consolidation, trading will become more challenging. If you choose to enter, reduce your position size. However, if you have a clear direction, you can trade more effectively.
NSE Britannia – The Last Move of CorrectionTimeframe: 4h
As per the chart, Britannia has accomplished the sub-wave B of wave (4) and started forming wave C.
If the price breaks down the low of wave c at 4314 , Traders can sell for the following targets: 4266 – 4236 – 4214 . A trade should only be initiated after a breakdown has occurred.
There are two price clusters where prices can reverse:
Wave C can be accomplished at 0.382 Fibonacci retracements of wave 3 at 4214.65 . Wave A=C at 4187 . As shown in the chart, it forms a cluster range.
Wave C can occur at 0.5 Fibonacci retracements of wave 3 at 4114 . Additionally, a correction occurs near the previous wave.
BankNifty - Navigating The Complex Correction in 39695-39275It was all amazing last few days as we have discussing how bulls could be trapped on the top close to 39695- which is one the key levels in the unfolding triangular correction
Have been student of astrology for last few years, it happened fortunately that I came across my bible book -American Ephemeris 2020-2030 on last Friday 24th March 2023 &
Realised that Moon will be passing through Gemini on 27th March 2023, I quickly updated on Saturday, 25th March about bulls short term trap
Wow!!! I was amazed how this structure unfolded
It is a triangular correction ---------------till the time 39695 -------key level is intact on upside
Trading Strategy
Holding Above 39400 - minor support we look for 39630-39650 touching the falling trendline
Once final leg upside is done & strictly holds below 39695 highs which should not be breached on upside, Index can drop to below targets
39275
Breaking 39275 - we look for 38925/39000
Thanks
Abhishek H. Singh, CMT
HDFC: Welcome the Third Wave RallyFrom the bottom of Mar'20 of 1473 stock has rallied to 3000 odd levels in an impulsive manner which can be counted as clean impulse pattern of five distinct waves. This impulsive rise can be designated as our primary wave-1. After placing a high of 3021 in Nov'21 stock has undergone into a complex correction WXY in the primary wave-2 which was concluded in Jun'22 at the price level of 2026. Subsequently prices have bounced back and started rallying again in an impulsive manner. This rise can be assumed that stock is continuing its trend in a third wave rally. Maintaining the key level at 2026 one should remain bullish for long term investment and look for the usual third wave target of 4045 which is the Fibonacci 161.8% extension level.
Investment Strategy:
Buy in the zone of 2580-2630 and maintaining SL of 2026, look for the target of 4045 and later 5140.
BEL Has Started Wave CBEL has completed impulsive wave 5 at 258 and started declining for corrective formation.
BEL has completed corrective wave 5 of C of B at 250 . Now, BEL is forming lower degree's waves of wave C. If it sustains below 245 , BEL can fall for following support levels: 235 - 224 - 215.
Wave C can complete near 100 of wave A at 215 . It is called A=B .
I will share more information soon.
Thank you
@Money_Dictators
WTI: Bears Are Outnumbering BullsWTI has been forming a flat A-B-C correction.
According to Elliott's wave projection, the oil future looks bearish.
Oil Future has accomplished wave A at 193.17 , and sub-wave (c) of wave ((B)) is creating an ending diagonal.
The ending diagonal is a formation of five waves. WTI is to occur in wave 5 of an ending diagonal.
If you are a safe trader, you can trade after the breakdown of wave 4 at 110 . Your target will be 105-99-93 .
Aggressive traders can sell when the price falls below 119 .
If it goes above the parallel channel, wait for levels to appear.
Thank you
@Money_Dictators