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Elliotwaveanalysis

BAJAJ AUTOHello & welcome to this analysis The decline from September 2024 high till April 2025 low appears to be a 5 waves down impulse that I have marked as A of the corrective ABC wave. The rise from April 2025 low till September 2025 high appears to be corrective ABC in structure. If we consider the corrective as completion of B of ABC then the current decline would unfold into another 5 waves impulse down to complete C of ABC If we consider the corrective as completion of (A) of B of ABC then the decline would pause between 8400 - 8000 to attempt another leg up within the corrective. In either scenario a decline is likely coming as long as it stays below 9200 Conclusion Short term weakness, investors/buyers should wait for proper structure to unfold before attempting longs All the best
NSE:BAJAJ_AUTOShort
by Dinesh_C_Nagpal
[XAUUSD] New Week Scenario: Accumulation Awaiting Drop New Week Scenario: Accumulation Awaiting Drop - Watch for Selling at Liquidity Zone $4195 Hello traders community, The new week begins with XAUUSD (Gold) being "restrained" in a sideways structure. However, don't let this calm deceive you. Technically, this is an accumulation pattern with a clear bearish bias. The market is in "wait" mode, and patience will be the key to catching the next big wave. 📰 MACRO ANALYSIS: TUG OF WAR AHEAD OF FOMC The market is caught between two opposing streams of information: Bearish Pressure: Positive signs of a US-China trade deal are reducing the demand for safe-haven assets, putting pressure on Gold prices. Bullish Support: The weakening USD due to expectations that the Fed will continue to cut interest rates, inadvertently provides some short-term support for the precious metal. Decisive Factor: Traders are "lying low" waiting for this week's two-day monetary policy meeting (FOMC). This will be the main event, determining the medium-term trend of USD and Gold. 📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: CONTINUATION OF BEARISH STRUCTURE The H1 chart shows a very clear "Sell" scenario: Price Structure: After a strong drop from the peak, the price is moving sideways in an accumulation pattern of a bearish pennant. This is a continuation structure, indicating that the Sellers are "resting" before pushing the price further down. Ideal Sell Zone: The $4195 zone is an extremely strong resistance confluence, marked as "Liquidity strong" on the chart. This is the 0.5 Fibonacci level, the "golden" retracement point of the entire previous decline. This is the old support zone now turned into new resistance. Optimal Scenario: We will wait for the price to pull back to test the $4195 liquidity zone. This is an opportunity for Sellers to enter the market with low risk and high profit potential. 🎯 TRADING PLAN (SELL SETUP) Absolute priority is to Watch for Selling (Sell) in line with the main trend. ENTRY (Sell): $4195 STOP LOSS: $4205 TAKE PROFIT: TP1: $4168-TP2: $4145-TP3: $4122-TP4: $4102 SUMMARY In the context of the market awaiting FOMC news, Gold is likely to make a final "pullback" to the $4195 zone before continuing its downtrend. Be patient and wait for signals at this ideal sell zone. Wishing traders a successful and disciplined new trading week!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD Analysis for the New WeekXAUUSD Analysis for the New Week: Sideways Accumulation Awaiting Big Waves - Detailed Trading Strategy Hello trading community! Last week, XAUUSD (Gold) moved as predicted within a narrow range, indicating a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. However, the main trend on larger time frames remains bullish. At the start of the new week, Gold is likely to continue accumulating before making stronger breakthroughs. This article will provide a detailed analysis of technical and fundamental factors, along with specific trading strategies. 📊 Technical Analysis Based on the H1 chart, we can clearly see the following important price structures: Ascending Channel: Gold is still moving steadily within an ascending channel, indicating that the buying trend remains dominant in the medium term. The lower support line of the channel will be a crucial support area for buyers. Key Support: The price range of $3970 - $3974 is acting as a solid support zone. This is the confluence area of the lower channel line and a dense volume profile zone, showing strong buyer interest here. The "Buy test support" scenario as shown in the image is entirely feasible. Resistance Zone: The $4060 area and further the old peak around $4080 (corresponding to the Fibonacci Extension 1.618 area) are significant barriers. Sellers might be active in these areas. Volume Profile Indicator (VPVR): The Point of Control is around $3982, further reinforcing the importance of the nearest support zone. Any break below this area could trigger a short-term sell-off towards the $3946 area. 📰 Fundamental Analysis The market is influenced by mixed information streams, creating uncertainty and reinforcing Gold's sideways scenario: ⚠️ Hawkish Stance from the FED: Recent statements by Mr. Musallem (FED) indicate concerns about inflation potentially rising further. He emphasised the need to control inflation expectations, even at the cost of short-term labour market fluctuations. This implies that the FED might continue to maintain tight monetary policy, putting pressure on Gold prices (due to a stronger USD). 📈 Risk Asset Frenzy: Bitcoin reaching the $111,000 mark is raising concerns about an asset "bubble" and potential crisis risks. In this scenario, Gold could benefit as a safe haven asset, attracting funds when market risks are high. The contradiction between FED policy and market risk sentiment is the reason for Gold's sideways accumulation. 🎯 Trading Strategy Based on the above analysis, we can build two trading scenarios for the upcoming week. The main priority remains to buy along the trend. Scenario 1: Buy at Support (BUY) 📈 Entry: Look to buy when the price adjusts to the $3974 - $3971 area. Stop Loss (SL): $3965 (Below the safe support zone). Take Profit (TP): $3985 - $3999 - $4020 - $4050 - $4080. Scenario 2: Sell at Resistance (SELL) 📉 Entry: Look to sell when the price approaches the strong resistance area of $4077 - $4080. Stop Loss (SL): $4086 (False breakout above the peak). Take Profit (TP): $4055 - $4020 - $4000 - $3970. Summary The main trend of Gold remains bullish, but in the short term, the price may continue to move sideways within the $3970 - $4080 range to accumulate. The optimal strategy is to look for buying opportunities at key support areas and consider short-term sell orders at strong resistance zones. Always remember to manage your capital strictly as the market always holds unexpected fluctuations. Wishing traders a successful new week! Note: This article is for reference only and is not investment advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steven-GoldTrading
LiamTrading – GOLD: Risk of ABC Correction Wave..LiamTrading – GOLD: Risk of ABC Correction Wave, Short-term Sell at 4028 Hello traders, Gold has had an impressive growth week, but as prices hit new highs, the risk of correction always increases. Let's examine this week's Gold scenario based on wave analysis and market liquidity. 📊 Technical Analysis (Chart H4 – XAUUSD) Based on the H4 chart, Gold (GOLD) seems to have completed the Push Wave 5 (Elliott Wave 5) in the current uptrend cycle, reaching strong resistance around 4050–4060. Current Structure: The price is within a sustainable Uptrend Channel. The 4050–4060 range is a significant resistance where selling pressure may emerge. An ABC correction wave scenario appears after completing Wave 5. Key Liquidity Zones: Potential Resistance Zone (Sell Wave C): Around 4028–4033 (Price area to watch for the reaction of the final Wave C). Confirmed Drop Support Zone: 3972 (Critical price area confirming if selling pressure is strong enough). Attractive Buy Zone: 3976 (Temporary liquidity if price corrects, waiting for Breakout confirmation). Long-term Buy Zone (POC Buy): ~3850 (Price area with a huge Volume Profile, ideal for long-term buy orders). 🎯 New Week Trading Scenario 📉 Short-term Sell This scenario is based on the expectation of an ABC correction wave starting from the resistance zone. 📍 Entry: 4033 🛑 SL: 4040 (Very tight SL, suitable for short-term Sell strategy at the wave peak) 🎯 TP: 3976 → 3943 → POC (~3850) 📈 Long-term Buy This setup waits for a correction to lower liquidity zones to enter Buy orders with optimal R:R ratio. 📍 Entry: 3976 (Temporary liquidity buy zone) 🛑 SL: 3970 🎯 TP: 4040 → 4090 → 4150 🛑 Failure Scenario (Wait for Breakout Confirmation) If the price breaks the 4060 peak and creates a new ATH (All-Time High), the ABC wave scenario will fail. Action: Continue to prioritize Buying. The best entry is to wait for the price to retest the broken liquidity zone (Breakout Retest) around 3976. 🧭 Fundamental & Long-term Analysis Macroeconomic Sentiment: The Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) forecasts Gold to rise to $4,500 in the next two years, bolstered by long-term inflation concerns. This confirms the long-term uptrend of Gold remains intact. US Dollar Impact (USD): The traditional view is that USD rises as investors seek liquidity during market stress. However, Gold's rise alongside USD shows the market prioritizes gold as an inflation hedge rather than just a safe haven. Long-term Strategy: The buy zone at POC (~3850) according to Volume Profile is extremely suitable. Large liquidity here will help traders enter optimal orders and hold long-term, leveraging the pressure from the Seller's Liquidity to push prices up. 📌 Conclusion Gold is at a critical crossroads. Although the long-term trend is up, the short-term correction risk (ABC Wave) at the 4028–4033 zone is very high. Priority: Watch for short-term sells at the resistance zone with a tight SL. Safe strategy: Wait to Buy at liquidity support zones like 3976 or POC (~3850) to optimize risk/reward (R:R). I will continue to update Gold scenarios daily with insights from 8 years of trading experience. 👉 Follow me to not miss important updates!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
CHF/JPY Builds Momentum for Next Wave HigherThe CHF/JPY 1-hour chart shows a completed wave (1) near the 191.17 level, confirming a strong bullish impulse after a previous decline. The pair is now entering a wave (2) corrective phase, which is likely to retrace toward the 188.7–189.0 support zone before resuming the next upward move. This pullback appears to be a healthy correction within the broader uptrend. Once the correction is complete, wave (3) is expected to begin, targeting levels above 193.0 . The overall market structure remains bullish, suggesting that any short-term dips could offer potential buying opportunities for traders waiting for the next impulsive rally Stay tuned @Money_Dictators Thank you.
Long
by Money_Dictators
LiamTrading – Gold: Wave 5 isn't over yet...Gold: Wave 5 isn't over yet, awaiting ABC corrective wave According to Elliott Wave perspective, gold is currently in wave 5 and no clear reversal signals have appeared. Once wave 5 is completed, a reasonable scenario would be entering the ABC corrective phase. Technical Analysis The current price range remains in an uptrend, supported by the medium-term trendline. Key resistance – support zones are identified based on Fibonacci, Volume Profile, and strong psychological levels. RSI indicates gold is approaching the overbought region, hence short-term Sell orders (scalping) around the peak area might offer an advantage. Trading Plan Reference Sell: 3840 – 3842, SL 3846. This is a strong resistance zone, prioritise scalping if the downward reaction lacks strength. Buy: 3783 – 3785, SL 3779, TP 3800 – 3818 – 3838. Large liquidity Buy: 3740, SL 3733, expecting a strong reaction from this area due to previous accumulation volume. Important Note Early in the week, there are often numerous political – economic news causing noise, which might unexpectedly push gold up. The resistance zones 3840–3850 are strong psychological levels, observe reactions before making decisions. For short-term trading, adhere closely to the plan, while flexibly adjusting when price paths change to maintain an advantage. In summary, wave 5 is still developing and trading opportunities mainly focus on key resistance – support zones. Traders need to manage risks well, patiently wait for confirmation, and remain flexible to adapt to fluctuations. The DXY index fell around 97.95 on Monday, extending the decline into the second session as the risk of a US government shutdown weakens market sentiment and investors await a series of important economic data to be released this week. Wishing you successful trading, follow me and the trading community!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – Range 3735–3755 now serves as trend confirmation zoneXAUUSD – Range 3735–3755 now serves as trend confirmation zone Technical Analysis Gold (XAUUSD) is moving within a narrow range of 3735–3755, and this price zone currently acts as a “pivot point” to confirm the next direction. Short-term resistance: 3755–3772, price has reacted strongly multiple times. If not decisively broken, selling pressure may continue. Key support: 3735, this is the decisive zone – breaking it will confirm a downward trend, targeting lower levels. Stronger resistance: 3790–3793, confluence of several previous peaks, where strong selling pressure may form. EMA200 H1 (3723) still supports the major uptrend, but the price has moved far and is now in the phase of retesting supply – demand zones. RSI (14) around 45–48, not yet in oversold territory but leaning towards the sellers. From a technical perspective, this is a market phase that requires confirmation: breaking above 3755 will reopen the upward momentum, while losing 3735 will reinforce short-term downward pressure. Trading Scenarios Sell Scenario (preferred if resistance holds): Sell 3769–3772, SL 3775, TP: 3755 – 3746 – 3737 Sell 3791–3793, SL 3798, TP: 3783 – 3772 – 3760 – 3745 Sell when price confirms below 3735, SL 3742, TP: 3726 – 3715 – 3702 – 3690 Buy Scenario (trend-following on breakout): Buy when price confirms above 3755, SL 3747, TP: 3766 – 3778 – 3790 Buy 3705–3702, SL 3697, TP: 3717 – 3726 – 3744 – 3763 – 3780 – 3790 Price Zones to Watch 3735–3755: trend confirmation range, most important in the short term. 3769–3772 and 3791–3793: strong resistance zones, potential Sell zone. 3702–3705: deep Buy zone, combined with strong support and EMA200. 3790: key resistance level, breaking it will reinforce the major uptrend. Outlook The gold market is in a decisive phase at the 3735–3755 range. Sellers have a short-term advantage, but if the price exceeds 3755, the uptrend may soon return. The best strategy is to trade based on price confirmation at key zones, combining profit-taking at each successive TP level to optimise gains. This is a reference scenario based on technical analysis, not an investment recommendation. Stay tuned for earlier analyses in upcoming sessions.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steven-GoldTrading
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1: Adjustment structure formed, awaiting confirmation below 3685 After the surge to 375x, gold is entering a correction phase in line with the structural pattern. On H1, the price clings to the upper edge of the rising wedge, with RSI cooling off from overbought levels, indicating that supply pressure is starting to dominate. Today's plan focuses on the adjustment structure, prioritising selling upon confirmation signals. Key price zones (as per the attached chart) Sell strong resistance 3775–3785: confluence of channel top + 2.618 extension. Look for weakening reactions to initiate short/medium-term sell orders. Buy zone volume 3726–3720: a thin support area providing momentum for a rebound. Holding this zone could push the price to retest 3750–3775; conversely, losing 3720 may lead to a deeper decline. Resistance + FVG 3715–3698: as the price drops, this area turns into supply; a failed retest here is an early signal for further decline. Confirm sell 3688–3685: closing H1 below this zone confirms a short-term downtrend, targeting a lower buy zone. BuyZone 3652–3646: confluence of channel bottom + old liquidity, expecting a strong bullish reaction if revisited. Reference trading scenarios (adhering to risk management) Sell reaction at peak: 3778–3783, SL 3792, TP 3755 → 3738 → 3722. Sell on confirmation: wait for H1 to close below 3685, enter sell 3684–3682, SL 3696, TP 3673 → 3656 → 3648. Buy scalp by volume: 3726–3720, SL 3715, TP 3738 → 3750 (only short-term if the larger structure remains corrective). Buy swing at strong zone: 3652–3646, SL 3639, TP 3673 → 3698 → 3712 → 3740. Operational notes Prioritise waiting for rejection/closing signals at the mentioned zones; avoid chasing orders in between. Order volume should be allocated according to confirmation levels (confirmation zone < breakdown < failed retest). Avoid excessive leverage; adjust SL according to structure when in profit. This is a personal perspective, not an investment recommendation. If you want the quickest updates on the next XAUUSD scenarios, follow me and join my community for discussions.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
LiamTrading – Long-Term Trend for XAUUSD is Taking ShapeGold continues its robust upward momentum, currently trading around 3,680 – 3,685. After a series of consecutive bullish candles, the price is showing signs of consolidation and slight adjustment, paving the way for crucial scenarios in the upcoming phase. Technical Analysis On the Daily chart, the RSI has surpassed the 70 mark, indicating an overbought condition. This is often an early warning sign for a potential correction. The price structure suggests that the FVG zone of 3,630 – 3,600 will be the first observation point if a short-term correction occurs. A stronger support zone lies at 3,510 – 3,475, coinciding with Fibonacci levels 0.5 – 0.382, and also the previous resistance area that has been broken. This is considered a potential long-term 'Buy zone'. If the correction completes, gold has the potential to return to its upward trend with a further target around 3,800 (Fibonacci extension levels 2.618 – 3.618). Trading Scenarios Short-term: Monitor the reaction at 3,630 – 3,600. If it holds, there might be a short recovery. The price area around 3552-3562 should be watched for reactions. Medium-term: Wait for the price to test the 3,500 – 3,475 zone to find more sustainable buying opportunities. Long-term: The major trend still leans towards an increase, with an expected target towards 3,800. This is my personal view on XAUUSD, and you can consider it to build your own plan. If you find it useful, follow me for the latest updates on gold's upcoming scenarios.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – Medium-Term Outlook After Fed Rate CutXAUUSD – Medium-Term Outlook After Fed Rate Cut Hello fellow traders, The most anticipated event of September is now clear: the Federal Reserve has cut interest rates by 25 basis points, the first reduction this year. Market expectations also indicate the possibility of another 50 basis points cut in the upcoming meeting. In his speech, Chairman Powell highlighted the “dual risk” – inflation could rise further while employment shows signs of weakness. Technical View Gold has formed an H1 candle closing below the rising price channel, signalling a possible violation of the medium-term uptrend. The buying side failed to maintain momentum after the rate cut news, showing caution in entering at elevated price levels. Medium-term investors may consider waiting for a lower price to enter fresh longs. However, the downside is not fully confirmed, as price is still hovering around the ascending trendline → selling directly at current levels still carries certain risks. Trading Scenarios Sell Strategy Scalping: 3676 – 3678 | SL: 3683 | TP: 3666 – 3650 – 3635 – 3628 (Stop loss can be moved to breakeven if price reacts well, to hold positions longer). Sell Zone: 3697 – 3700 | SL: 3705 | TP: 3680 – 3666 – 3650 – 3635 – 3628 Buy Strategy Scalping: 3634 – 3636 | SL: 3629 | TP: 3645 – 3660 – 3672 Buy Zone: 3600 – 3598 | SL: 3590 | TP: 3633 – 3645 – 3660 – 3675 (extended) Conclusion Gold is currently in a sensitive phase after the Fed’s decision to cut rates. Traders must watch price action carefully around major support and resistance levels to confirm a clearer direction. Stay tuned to this outlook — I will continue to provide updates as the market structure evolves. Follow along to receive the fastest scenario changes as price action develops.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
LiamTrading – XAUUSD OutlookSharing my personal view on the possible next move for gold. Based on the current chart structure, the wave formation suggests that XAUUSD is most likely in Wave 4. The correction started yesterday after price touched the 3,700 mark – a round resistance level which also coincides with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. This area often attracts heavy liquidity, and the subsequent pullback further supports the view that Wave 4 has been activated. At present, the key support to watch is 3,675. If this level breaks, the corrective structure could complete around 3,656. On the H1 timeframe, the RSI has moved below the 30 level, indicating oversold conditions. In my view, while the market remains in this phase, it is still preferable to look for selling opportunities, though patience is needed until clearer confluence signals appear. Trading plan (short-term focus): Sell entry 3685–3687, SL 3693, TP 3670 – 3656 Buy entry 3656–3654, SL 3648, TP 3675 – 3690 – 3702 – 3721 – 3740 I will continue to share further updates if there are significant moves in price. Wishing everyone successful and effective trading.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
Elliott Wave Analysis & Technical Cross-VerificationsHello Friends, Welcome to RK_Chaarts, Today, we're going to learn how to validate our Elliott Wave analysis by identifying additional factors that support our directional bias. Once we've plotted our Elliott Wave counts and identified a direction, we want to confirm whether other technical indicators and patterns align with our analysis. This helps strengthen our conviction in our directional bias and provides additional confidence in our trading decisions. Today, we'll explore some key points, including Elliott Wave theory, Exponential moving averages, Trend line breakouts, and Invalidation levels, as well as projected targets. And please note that this post is shared solely for educational purposes. It is not a trading idea, tip, or advisory. This is purely an Educational post. Elliott Wave Theory structure & wave Counts Here chart we are using Nifty India Defence sector, which is an index chart. We are analyzing it using Elliott Wave theory. It's very clear that from the March 2025 bottom, we've identified a clear Wave (1) Wave (2) Wave (3) and Wave (4) and now we've started Wave (5) of Intermediate degree in Blue. Projections of wave (5) According to the theory, the projected target for Wave (5) is typically between 123% to 161.8% of the length of Wave (4). So, we can at least assume that the price will reach 123% of Wave (4)’s length, and the price will move higher from here. Trendline Breakout The trend line breakout also confirms this. Since Wave (4) moved downwards, Wave (5) should move upwards, indicating a potential upward movement in price. This is a positive signal and a possibility. Dow Theory confirmation of Trend changed Additionally, we can see that in the daily time frame, the price has recently completed Wave (4) and formed a higher high, followed by a higher low, and then another higher high, along with a trend line breakout, which we've marked with a rounded ellipse on candle on the chart. According to Dow theory, this formation of higher highs and higher lows, along with the trend line breakout, indicates that the index has the strength to break through resistance. These two factors strongly support our Elliott Wave projection, which suggests that the price will move upwards. The chart is looking bullish, indicating that a swing has been activated upwards from here. Exponential Moving Averages Furthermore, we can see that the price is trading above the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) in the daily time frame, as well as above the 100-day EMA and the 200-day EMA. These three EMAs are major indicators, and the price is sustaining above all of them. This is also a very good positive sign that supports our view and this scenario. Supporting Indicators MACD RSI Some Hurdles to cross yet Finally, we can see that the Zero B trend line, which is coming down from the top, has not been crossed by the price yet, and there has been no breakout. Additionally, we have drawn a trend line connecting the high of the third wave and the low of the fourth wave, which initially acted as resistance and later as support. This trend line is also approaching the same level as the Zero B trend line. So, we have two resistances converging at the same point, which the price has yet to break out of. This could potentially be a hurdle, and it's possible that according to the Elliott Wave count, Wave (5) will arrive with five sub-divisions, which could lead to a retest of the previous trend line or a Retracement before moving further upwards. Invalidation Level According to Elliott Wave theory, the nearest invalidation level is the low of Wave (4), which is currently at 7368, and this level should not be breached. If it is, it will lead to a lower low, which would be an invalidation of the Elliott Wave count. Overall, the chart of this index looks very promising and bullish. As we all know, the market can be unpredictable, but if this invalidation level is not triggered and the price doesn't break down, then the chart may move upwards with strength. This entire analysis that we discussed is for the Nifty India Defense index chart. Please note that this is not a trading tip or advice, but rather an educational perspective that we shared. Also, keep in mind that the Nifty Defense index is not tradable, but it does provide insight into the market's direction. This post is shared purely for educational purpose & it’s Not a trading advice. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Chaarts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Chaarts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
NSE:NIFTY_IND_DEFENCEEducation
by RK_Chaarts
4
Bitcoin – Trend Update Ahead of PPIBitcoin – Trend Update Ahead of PPI Hello Traders, The current scenario for Bitcoin is unfolding in line with expectations, with the uptrend continuing to develop strongly. Price waves are moving with solid volume, and the overall structure is progressing exactly as anticipated. Key Levels Price has broken through the 113k zone, confirming that the bullish trend is intact. This move increases the likelihood of completing the final wave of the inverse head-and-shoulders pattern. The next level to watch is around 116k, where a mild reaction or pullback may occur before the trend resumes higher towards the 121k region. Special attention should be given to the 117k level, as this marks the potential completion of the inverse head-and-shoulders structure. At this point, price may consolidate before establishing a new primary trend. Trading View For now, it remains important to follow the prevailing uptrend. Any shift in price structure will require re-evaluation, and updated strategies should be applied only after clear confirmation. This is my latest outlook on Bitcoin ahead of the PPI release. I hope this perspective proves useful in shaping your trading approach.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
XAUUSD – Latest Trend UpdateXAUUSD – Latest Trend Update Hello Traders, Gold is moving in line with yesterday’s outlook: after a corrective pullback towards 3660, price resumed its decline and is currently trending lower. If this bearish structure is confirmed on the higher timeframes such as H1 and H4, it may signal that a larger corrective phase on the D1 chart has already begun. Key Levels to Watch 3620: Marked as an important support zone from yesterday, now considered the key level to confirm continued downside. 3630: Aligned with the lower boundary of the ascending channel, where a reaction could occur before the trend direction becomes clearer. Medium-Term Scenarios Gold could decline towards 3550, before bouncing higher again – this is the preferred medium-term scenario. A deeper move towards 3510 is also possible, where liquidity from previous candle wicks may be retested, before the broader uptrend resumes on the daily timeframe. The reason for favouring this medium-term downside: price has already completed the Fibonacci Extension 2.618, which often signals the potential for a corrective pullback. Trading Strategy Observe reactions around 3630 – 3620 – 3610 for potential buy opportunities aligned with the broader bullish structure. Sell setups should only be considered if price closes firmly below 3620, confirming further downside momentum. This is my trading plan for gold today. Use it as a reference and feel free to share your own perspective in the comments.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
XAUUSD – Trend Outlook Ahead of PPIXAUUSD – Trend Outlook Ahead of PPI Hello Traders, Gold has moved close to the Fibonacci 2.618 extension and immediately reacted at this level. Price has already broken through the most recent minor low of the previous uptrend, which in my view indicates a violation of the bullish structure. For a confirmed shift in trend, another leg would be needed to form a more sustainable structure. Still, the basis for a sell bias is already present. Fundamental Factor The US PPI data is due today, with forecasts at 0.3% compared to 0.9% previously. If this projection turns out correct, gold could see another strong upward push. However, my view is that the data may not be as weak as expected, so traders should carefully observe the market reaction to the release before making entries. Key Levels to Watch 3660: This level could be tested again and provide another reaction before a potential downward move begins. It remains the most attractive zone for initiating sell positions. 3318: Should gold confirm a Dow-style lower structure and break past old support, the deeper downside target may lie around this region. Trading Strategy The main strategy for today is to look for sell opportunities: Best entry area: around 3660, if price retests and reacts. Strong confirmation: once a candle closes below previous support, short positions can be taken with targets further down. For intraday traders, scalping opportunities may be considered within the corrective range left from the US session yesterday, as the market redistributes price action. This is my outlook on gold for today – use it as a reference and align it with your own strategy.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
1
Bitcoin – Current Trend UpdateBitcoin – Current Trend Update Hello Traders, Bitcoin continues to follow the structure of an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern, which has not yet been invalidated. After testing the 113.5k zone, price once again reacted lower – this marks the third rejection at this level, confirming it as a key resistance area. For BTC to sustain its bullish momentum and complete the final wave of the formation, this zone will be crucial. Scenarios to Watch Bullish Case: The uptrend remains intact as long as price holds above 109k. In this case, buying opportunities are still valid. Bearish Case: A sustained close below 109k would invalidate the bullish outlook and activate a bearish scenario. Traders should wait for confirmation before committing to shorts. Short-Term View On the lower timeframes, BTC is moving within a sideways range. For intraday traders, range strategies such as buying near support and selling near resistance can still be applied until a clear breakout occurs. Market Sentiment At the moment, most of the market’s attention is shifting towards gold, leaving Bitcoin with relatively lower momentum. This may keep BTC trading in a tighter range, so traders should lower expectations for strong volatility in the immediate term. This is my trading outlook for today. Use it as a reference and feel free to share your own perspectives in the comments.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
6
XAUUSD – Early Week Trading ScenarioXAUUSD – Early Week Trading Scenario Hello Traders, The Asian session opened the new week with mild fluctuations in gold, followed by a pullback into the major liquidity zone created during last week’s bullish wave. At present, price is showing signs of breaking below the 3585 support. If a strong M15 candle closes under this level, it can be considered a short-term correction signal. In that case, a light sell position may be initiated, targeting the 3560 zone. The 3560 level stands out as a reliable support, aligning with the ascending trendline. This makes it a key area for buying in line with the prevailing uptrend, with the potential for price to extend higher and even revisit its all-time highs. However, if price climbs back to retest the trendline, any short positions from that area should be approached cautiously and only with clear confirmation. Another potential buy zone lies near 3516, where the market previously cleared the liquidity from the closest FVG. Overall, gold is likely to require some corrective moves before continuing its broader trend. In particular, short trades should only be considered when the reversal structure is clearly validated. This is my trading perspective for gold today. Please take it as a reference for your own strategies.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
XAUUSD – Week 08/09 to 12/09, Focus on CPI & PPIXAUUSD – Week 08/09 to 12/09, Focus on CPI & PPI Hello Traders, Gold delivered a strong rally last week, consistently printing new highs on a daily basis. While this is not unusual, it has introduced caution in the market. Investor sentiment continues to lean heavily towards buying gold, underlining its importance as a safe-haven asset. Fundamental Outlook In the coming week, the release of US CPI and PPI data will be a key focus. These indicators will provide important insight into the financial health of the US economy and could directly influence the Fed’s decision on a potential rate cut in September. Technical Perspective Gold has already broken through the Fibonacci 1.618 level, with the next target aligning around the 2.618 extension near 3687. Before reaching this zone, a mild correction at FVG (Fair Value Gap) areas cannot be ruled out. For the long term, the zone around 3467 – 3475 is considered a strong buying region, supported by the confluence of FVG, Dibo, and Volume Profile. Trading Strategies Bullish Priority: Long positions remain favored. The 3467–3475 zone offers an attractive entry for longer-term buyers. Bearish Condition: Short opportunities should only be considered if there is a confirmed reversal structure, with price breaking below 3510 or showing rejection signals near the 2.618 Fibonacci level. Conclusion For the upcoming week, gold remains a buy-on-dip market. Traders should closely monitor reactions at key levels, while staying flexible with short-term strategies as intraday updates unfold. Proper risk management remains crucial given the upcoming macroeconomic data releases.
TVC:XAXLong
by BrianLionCapital