GBP/AUD: Corrective Rally, Downtrend IntactGBP/AUD is trading in a clear bearish Elliott Wave structure on the 4H timeframe. The market has already completed a strong impulsive decline and is currently moving in a Wave 4 corrective pullback, which is happening inside a downward channel and near key Fibonacci retracement levels. This correction looks weak and corrective, suggesting sellers are still in control. As long as price remains below the invalidation level around 2.0050 , the bearish bias stays valid. The expectation is for the correction to finish soon, followed by Wave 5 to the downside, targeting the lower channel area and the 1.96–1.95 zone. Overall, the trend remains bearish, and any short-term bounce is likely a selling opportunity before the next leg lower.
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Elliotwaveanalysis
USD/CHF Approaching Breakdown from RangeUSD/CHF is moving in a sideways corrective pattern, not a strong trend. The price is forming an A-B-C-D-E structure, which usually happens before the market makes a bigger move. Right now, price is in the last part of this pattern (wave E) and is sitting near a resistance area, where it has failed to move higher and has started to turn down. This behavior often means sellers are becoming stronger. As long as the price stays below 0.795–0.798 , the outlook remains bearish, and the market is expected to move lower toward the 0.782–0.775 support area. If this move happens, it would complete the corrective pattern after a short pause, and then the market can decide its next big direction.
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USD/CAD: Elliott Wave Bearish BiasUSD/CAD is showing a bearish Elliott Wave structure on the 4H chart. Price appears to have completed a corrective Wave 2 near the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone, which is a common area for corrections to end. From there, the market has started to turn lower, suggesting the beginning of a new impulsive Wave 3 to the downside, which is usually the strongest bearish wave. As long as price stays below the recent swing high near the retracement zone, the bias remains bearish, with downside targets toward the 1.365–1.360 area. A move above the Wave 2 high would invalidate this count and delay the bearish scenario.
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Gold Trapped in Liquidity Range – Expansion PendingGold is currently trading in a post-impulse environment after completing a clear Elliott Wave advance. With the higher-timeframe impulse exhausted, price action has transitioned into a controlled consolidation driven by liquidity, rather than trend continuation.
At this stage, the market is not trending — it is preparing.
Market Structure & Liquidity Context
Price is now boxed between a well-defined Equal High and Equal Low, forming a classic liquidity range. This structure suggests that Smart Money is engineering both sides of liquidity before committing to the next directional move.
The upper range aligns with premium pricing, where buy-side liquidity is resting.
The lower range sits in discount territory, overlapping with higher-timeframe demand.
This environment favors rotation and stop-hunt behavior, not impulsive expansion.
Key Trading Scenarios
🔴 Sell reaction at the highs
If price pushes above the Equal High and taps into the 4688–4690 premium zone , this area is expected to attract sell-side interest. A clear rejection or hesitation here would signal that buy-side liquidity has been taken, opening the door for a rotation back into the range.
🟢 Buy reaction at the lows
If price drops and reaches the 4388–4390 discount zone , this level becomes a key area to watch for support. Strong rejection or stabilization would suggest Smart Money defense, favoring a bounce back toward equilibrium.
Expectation & Bias
This is a rotation market, not a trend market.
Directional continuation should only be expected after a clear break and acceptance outside the range.
Until then:
Patience > prediction
Liquidity > indicators
Reaction > anticipation
Let price show its hand.
💬 Do you expect expansion to come from the highs or the lows first?
Your perspective matters — share your view.
NIFTY Forms Ending Diagonal (EDT): 25,133–25,000 final Target.✅ STRUCTURE CONFIRMATION
1️⃣ Impulse completed
✔ NIFTY has completed a 5-wave impulse as per the chart
✔ Wave (v) showed:
Overlap
Momentum divergence
Channel resistance
➡️ This strongly suggests an Ending Diagonal–type Wave (v), which often leads to sharp ABC corrections
2️⃣ Current phase: ABC correction in progress
Your ABC expectation is correct.
🔹 Wave A
Sharp decline from the top
Impulsive nature ✔
🔹 Wave B (ongoing / upcoming)
Counter-trend bounce
Overlapping, corrective
Lower volume
📌 Important:
👉 Any Wave-B bounce is a shorting opportunity, not a trend resumption
Ideal Wave-B retracement zone:
25,800 – 26,000
Near broken channel / prior resistance
3️⃣ Wave C termination zone (KEY POINT)
Your final buy zone is well identified.
🎯 High-probability Wave-C completion:
25,133 – 25,000
Why this zone matters:
✔ 200-EMA (~25,133)
✔ Ending Diagonal trendline (EDT) support
✔ 50–61.8% Fibonacci retracement
✔ Prior demand + institutional reference level
📌 This is a confluence zone, which is exactly where Elliott Wave corrections typically end.
4️⃣ Trading logic (very clear)
❌ Do NOT buy during Wave B
✅ Use Wave-B rallies to sell / hedge
✅ Final buy should be planned near 25,133 ± 150 pts
Expect volatility and false breakdowns near the bottom
5️⃣ Invalidation (must know)
❌ Weekly close below 24,600
Would imply a deeper, higher-degree correction
Until then → bullish structure intact
Kalyan Jewellers – Elliott Wave analysis for breakout.Kalyan Jewellers – Elliott Wave Validation (Daily Chart, IST)
Big Picture Structure
• Primary trend: Bullish
• Current degree: Wave (5) in progress
• Wave (4): Completed near ₹440–445
• Market is now transitioning from early Wave (5) into impulsive expansion
________________________________________
Role of the Inverted Head & Shoulders (IH&S)
• IH&S has formed after Wave (4) → classic trend-resumption pattern
• This pattern is acting as:
o A reversal from correction
o A launchpad for Wave (5)
Key Pattern Levels
• Head: ~₹440–445 (Wave 4 low)
• Left Shoulder: ~₹495–505
• Right Shoulder: ~₹485–495
• Neckline: ~₹520–525
________________________________________
Breakout Condition (Critical Point)
If today’s candle closes 515 , it confirms breakout
More precisely:
• Daily close above ₹515 with volume
= Confirmed IH&S breakout
= Start of impulse inside Wave (5)
Projected Targets – Elliott-Compliant
Targets are valid Fibonacci expansions from Wave (4) low.
Reference Points
• Wave (4) low: ~₹445
• Breakout zone: ~₹525
🎯 Targets Explained
Target Basis
₹610 0.618 extension of Wave (5)
₹699 Equality with prior Wave (1) / mid expansion
₹799 1.618 extension → typical Wave (5) extreme
✔ All three targets are Elliott-legal and realistic
✔ ₹799 also aligns with previous Wave (3) high, which is common in Wave (5)
Bank of Maharashtra trade for 18-20% upside.**Bank of Maharashtra (Weekly Chart – NSE)**
The stock has **completed its Wave-4 corrective phase** and subsequently formed a **clear Inverse Head & Shoulders (iH&S) pattern**, signalling the start of a **fresh impulsive move (Wave-5)**.
**Technical Observations**
* Wave-4 correction has ended near ₹45–46, respecting Elliott Wave rules
* iH&S neckline breakout confirms trend reversal
* Momentum indicators (RSI & MACD) support bullish continuation
* Price is holding above the breakout zone with healthy structure
**Strategy**
* **Accumulation Zone:** ₹60 – ₹65
* **Upside Target:** ₹75 – ₹80
* **Potential Upside:** ~18–20% from current levels
As long as the price sustains above the accumulation range, the structure remains constructive for further upside in the ongoing **Wave-5**.
This setup favours **accumulate-on-dips** rather than chasing extended candles.
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Bank Nifty Swing Trading Setup - RRR 1:4Bank Nifty forming ending diagonal wave 3 is running (C- c2) so go long at around 59000 and target is 60200-60500 risk around 300 points ( swing low) reward 1200 points RRR is around 1:4 it's good strategy follow risk management strictly happy trading journey ...
Gold in Final Bullish Wave – Last Push Higher ExpectedGold (XAU/USD 4H) is in a strong bullish trend and is currently moving in the last part of Wave (5). The clear breakout above the previous resistance shows that buyers are in control, and the bullish structure is still valid. As long as the price stays above the main support area, the outlook remains positive, with the next target around 4,580–4,650 , where this upward move is likely to finish. For short-term trades, a sensible stop-loss can be placed below 4,420 , while the bullish view becomes invalid if the price falls below 4,360 . If everything goes as expected, Gold should make one final move higher and then take a normal corrective pullback (A-B-C) after the strong rally.
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DXY Breakdown After Major Top – Wave v in ProgressThe DXY chart shows that the U.S. Dollar has completed a larger corrective structure and is now moving inside a new impulsive bearish phase. After forming a major top near the 110 area, the index started a clear five-wave decline, indicating strong downside momentum. The recent sideways movement looks like a corrective pause (wave iv / Y) rather than a trend reversal. As long as the price stays below the key resistance zone around 100–101, the overall structure remains bearish. This suggests the dollar is preparing for the final wave lower (wave v / 3), which could push the index toward deeper support levels. Overall, the Elliott Wave structure favours continued weakness in the U.S. Dollar in the coming months.
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GER40 Holds Key Fibonacci Support – Upside Continuation LikelyThe GER40 chart indicates that a larger A-B-C corrective structure has been completed at the recent low, marked as (C), after which the index began a fresh impulsive upward move. From that bottom, price has formed a clean five-wave advance, confirming the start of a new bullish cycle. The recent pullback appears to be a typical Wave 2 correction, which has respected the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci support zone, a common area where corrections typically end. This suggests the correction is likely complete and the market is preparing for Wave 3, which is usually the strongest and fastest upward wave. As long as price holds above the Wave 2 low, the bullish Elliott Wave structure remains valid. Overall, the setup favours continued upside, with potential for higher highs in the coming sessions.
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GBP/USD Signals Trend Shift – Impulsive Upside ExpectedThe chart shows that GBP/USD has completed a full W–X–Y corrective pattern, with the final wave (y) and its C wave forming a clean bottom near the long-term support line. From that low, price has started a strong upward move, which looks like the beginning of a new impulsive Wave 1. The current pullback toward the 0.382–0.618 Fibonacci zone is typical behavior for a Wave 2 retracement before the next strong rally. As long as the price stays above the invalidation level at 1.30094 (the wave (y) bottom), the bullish scenario remains valid. This suggests that GBP/USD is preparing for a larger Wave 3 push to the upside.
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NAS100 Preparing for Wave 3 Rally After Healthy PullbackThe NAS100 chart shows that a larger corrective move has likely finished at the (Y) / C low, after which price started a new upward impulsive structure. The recent decline looks like a normal Wave 2 pullback, which has already reacted from the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci support zone, a common area for corrections to end. This suggests buyers are stepping back in and the market is preparing for Wave 3, which is usually the strongest upward move. As long as price stays above the invalidation level near 23,836, the bullish Elliott Wave setup remains valid. Overall, the structure favors further upside toward new highs once Wave 3 gains momentum.
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Dow Jones Crash - 2026 Analysis (Elliott Wave)DJI Indices crash possible up to minimum 50 to 61.8% starts on Feb - mar 2026 forming leading diagonal pattern 5th wave completed soon last up move around 1000 points only then stars correction so traders and investors go short don't try long at this time






















