#Nifty Direction's and levels for July 30th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the market directions for July 30th:
Even though both global and local markets have experienced a correction structurally, it is a moderately bullish market. Today, the market may open with a gap-down start, as indicated by the GIFT Nifty, showing -80 points at 8:00 am.
Structurally, Nifty and Bank Nifty differ. Let's examine each one:
Nifty:
In the previous session, Nifty opened with a gap-up, but there was no continued rally, and it fell drastically mid-market. What's next?
> As per the weekly analysis, it could be in the 4th wave and has already reached the 23% Fibonacci level. If the market finds support around the 38% Fibonacci level today, we can initially expect it to range between the previous high and the 38% Fibonacci level. If it then breaks the previous high, the 5th wave may continue,
> with pullback targets expected to be a minimum of 61% to 78%, which is the usual range market target.
> The alternate view suggests that if the gap-down sustains and breaks the 38% Fibonacci level, it may turn into a correction. If this happens, we can expect a minimum target level of 50%. After that, if the market breaks this level with minor consolidation, the correction will likely continue. However, if it is sharply rejected, we may also expect a range market, but the probability is lower.
Elliotwaveanalysis
#Banknifty Direction's and levels for July 30th.Bank Nifty:
> As per the weekly analysis, we expect the rally to sustain at the 78% Fibonacci level, and if it does, the rally could continue further. However, yesterday the market sharply rejected the 78% level, indicating an alternate view.
> According to this alternate view, we can initially expect a range market if today's market finds support around the immediate support level. If this happens, we can expect a minor pullback of 38% to 50%. This is our first variation.
> The alternate variation indicates that if the correction shows aggression, we can expect the correction to continue with some minor consolidations.
#Banknifty directions and levels for July 29th.Bank Nifty:
Bank Nifty also saw a strong pullback in the last trading session. If the gap-up sustains, then the pullback will likely continue. My expectation is that, as per the structure, we can't expect much of a retrace even if it rejects either of the resistance levels. This means that if the gap-up sustains, it will continue the rally with some little consolidation. This is our first variation.
Alternatively, if the gap-up doesn't sustain or if it rejects either of the resistances sharply, we can expect a 61 to 78% correction in the minor swing, but it should break the 38% Fibonacci level. If it doesn't break it, then it will maintain the bullish bias.
#Nifty directions and levels for July 29th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the market directions for July 29th:
The global market has a moderately bullish sentiment based on the Dow Jones, and our local market mirrors this sentiment. Today, the market may open with a gap-up, as indicated by the GIFT Nifty, showing +130 points at 8:00 am.
Structurally, Nifty and Bank Nifty differ but may both continue their pullbacks today. Let's examine each one:
Nifty:
Nifty experienced a strong rally in the previous session, which could be identified as sub-wave 3. If the market opens with a gap-up, this 3rd wave may continue towards the 24956 to 25067 range. If the market hits one of these resistance levels and then reverses, we can expect a minor correction forming the 4th wave. Typically, the 4th wave is a consolidation phase, potentially leading to a 23 to 38% retracement in the minor swing. This is our primary scenario.
Alternatively, if the gap-up doesn't sustain, we could complete the 3rd wave immediately, and the decline could be considered the 4th wave. There are no significant changes in the 4th wave levels; it could take a maximum of 23 to 38%. However, if the decline has a solid structure and breaks the 38% Fibonacci level, it could turn into a correction.
#Nifty August 1st week directions and levels.Good Evening, friends! 🌺🍬
Here are the market directions for the first week of August:
Global and Local Market Overview
Both global and local markets have a moderately bullish sentiment. This trend may continue this week. Last Friday, the global market closed up by 1.5%, so we might start this week on a positive note. Let's look at the details.
Nifty
* Last week, Nifty had big swings and closed around its previous high. On Monday, the market may open with a gap-up, according to Gifty Nifty. If this happens, we can expect the bullish sentiment to continue. Nifty is currently in the 3rd wave, which is a long upward trend. After this wave completes, there may be a small correction of about 23 to 38%. If the rally continues, it will enter the 5th wave, which is usually not as sharp. This is our basic structure.
* Means the 3rd wave might complete around 24,956 or 25,067. If it hits resistance at these levels, the 4th wave may begin, characterized by a small correction. After retracing, if it finds support around the 38% level, the rally may continue into the 5th wave, with targets ranging from 25,143 to 25,377. This is our current view.
* The alternate view is a flat correctional variation. I labelled it based on theory, but I will explain it simply. We said earlier that the 4th wave is a consolidation wave, so it can take a maximum of 38% correction. However, if the 4th wave falls sharply and breaks the 38% Fibonacci level, it may turn into a deeper correction. If that happens, we can expect a correction of 61 to 78% in the minor swing. This is our alternate view.
#Banknifty August 1st week directions and levels.Bank Nifty
Bank Nifty's structure is a bit different from Nifty. It hasn’t pulled back as much, but the trend is still positive. Bank Nifty is currently in the 5th wave, indicating a bullish move. However, since the 5th wave is usually slower, we expect a less aggressive rally, possibly at a 40 to 50-degree angle. We’re targeting 52,674 for this rally. This is our main view.
Alternatively, if the market faces resistance at the 50 or 61% levels, it may correct further. Initially, the market might move within a range, and a break of this range could lead to more correction.
JAY SHREE TEA IND Stock is forming head and shoulder, We can see breakout of this stock in upcoming days and stock will try to complete its wave pattern as per corrective ABC pattern we might see 200 and 270 levels in upcoming days. I have make a route of this chart it will try to complete in this form like this
Thanks
#BankNifty directions and levels for July 26th.**Bank Nifty:**
>Bank Nifty has a bearish sentiment, but RSI doesn't support that much due to the huge pullbacks. So, if the gap-up doesn't sustain, we can expect a range market between 23% and the previous low. After that, if it breaks down, we can expect correction continuation.
>Alternatively, if the gap-up sustains above the level of 23%, then we can expect a move to the 38% level.
>But Even if it takes a pullback, structurally it could be the 4th wave. So, after that pullback, if it rejects around the 38% Fibonacci level, then we can expect a correction.
#Nifty directions and level for July 26th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the market directions for July 26th:
The global market has a bearish sentiment (based on the Dow Jones). Our local market has a structurally moderately bearish sentiment. Today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-up start, as indicated by the GIFT Nifty, which shows +40 points at 8.00 am.
**Nifty:**
In the previous session, Nifty closed with a pullback, and today it may continue this trend because GIFT Nifty indicates that. However, if you look at the wave count, every swing has a three-wave count. There are many variations with three-wave structures, but here we can take these two variations for simplicity:
1. **Diagonal Variation:**
- In this variation, it shouldn't close the candle above the level of 24,473. If it happens, we can expect a correction.
- This means if the market initially declines sharply or, after the gap-up, if it rejects around the level of 24,473, then it may turn into a correction.
- However, confirmation is expected from the 38% Fibonacci level breakout in the minor swing. If this happens, we can expect a minimum of 50%, 78%, and 24,175.
- If it doesn't break this level, it will continue the moderately bullish sentiment. This is our current variation.
2. **Pullback Continuation:**
- In this variation, we could complete the correction to the first three swings from the start of the correction. So, if the gap-up sustains above the level of 24,473, then we can expect pullback continuation with some consolidations. The targets are a minimum of 24,588 to 24,635. This is our alternate variation.
Bank Nifty View in 15 mins TF - July 8thWave Analysis:
Bank Nifty is trading in a range with a bearish bias. It has completed waves A and B and now appears to have entered wave C, suggesting we might see a sharp one-sided (wave 3 of wave C) move in the coming days.
Based on wave analysis and Fibonacci extension, Bank Nifty can reach the mentioned demand zones. This view will become inactive if it breaches the mentioned levels.
Ichimoku Cloud:
Bank Nifty is trading below the Tenkan-Sen (TS) and Kijun-Sen (KS) in the 1-hour time frame and is standing at the cloud bottom support. If it moves below the cloud, it will turn completely bearish. If the mentioned inactive level breaks, the price will come out of TS and KS, resuming its uptrend.
Disclaimer:
We are not SEBI registered. The content presented here is based on personal opinions and for education purpose only. Conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Fin Nifty Budget Day Expiry - Wave Counting Fin Nifty spent the last few days moving sideways after a significant fall from 161.8% (24,000). The corrective wave has completed waves A and B, and today, the price almost touched 61.8% (minimum C wave Fibonacci level). However, the C wave often extends further in a flat correction, making it highly likely to hit 100% or more.
Resistance Levels: 23,719, 23,815, 24,000
Support Levels: 23,433, 23,183, 23,005, 22,777
Fin Nifty might reach these mentioned support zones if it continues to trade below 23,719.
Disclaimer: We are not SEBI registered. The content presented here is based on our personal opinions. Please conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Bank Nifty Short Trade with small SLWhy Shorting Bank Nifty?
Initially we expected Bank Nifty to touch 53500 but wave 5th failed by 150 points. High made 53357.
Bank Nifty is entered downtrend by breaking IChimoku TS KS in 1hour and price action levels.
CMP: 52641
Entry: 52600
Stop Loss: 52985
Target: 51675
Disclaimer: We are not SEBI registered. The content presented here is based on our personal opinions. Please conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
#Nifty directions and levels for July 24th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the market directions for July 24th:
The global market has a bearish sentiment (based on the Dow Jones). Our local market, however, maintains a structurally moderately bullish sentiment. Today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-down start, as indicated by the Gift Nifty, which shows -60 points at 8 am.
Structurally, both Nifty and Bank Nifty are range-bound, so they might continue in this manner today.
In the previous session, both Nifty and Bank Nifty experienced significant movements due to the budget announcement but closed with a solid pullback at the end of the day. Structurally, this indicates potential for further continuation.
It's important to note that The budget announcement of the previous session may affect the market today, so we should trade cautiously. However, I have analyzed my sentiments for Nifty and Bank Nifty, so let's examine them one by one.
Today's sentiments:
Nifty:
If the gap-down sustains and breaks the 38% Fibonacci level, it may again enter the range market. This is difficult to trade, but my expectation is if it breaks the 38% Fibonacci level, it may reach the 78% with some consolidation. This is our first variation. In this variation, after that correction if it also breaks 78%, the correction may continue further.
Alternatively, if the decline finds support around the 38% Fibonacci level, it’s a sign of a bullish bias. We can expect a pullback continuation if it breaks the minor swing high. Until then, it may consolidate between the minor swing high and the 38% Fibonacci level.
Note:
If the market opens with a gap-up and breaks the minor swing high, the rally will continue. The upside levels remain the same.
#Banknifty directions and levels for July 24th.Bank Nifty:
Bank Nifty also has a range-bound structure, so the next movement is expected only if it breaks out of the range. Until then, it may continue within the current range.
Due to the market closing within the range, precise levels are difficult to determine. However, if it breaks 52,502, it may continue the correction to a minimum of 51,325 to 51,186.
Alternatively, if the gap-down doesn’t sustain and finds support around 51,502, then structurally it may continue within the range, with an expected upside to a minimum of 52,086 and up to the 61% Fibonacci level.
Note:
If the market opens with a gap-up and breaks the minor swing high, the rally will continue. The upside levels remain the same
Strong Wave 5th is happening! -Nifty Wave Analysis in DTFWhere are we standing according to Elliott Wave in Nifty?
Wave Counting:
The impulse that started after the COVID crash is almost near it's completion.
Currently, we are in Wave 5th of the bigger Wave 5th.
Wave 3rd completed in October 2021.
Wave 4 (truncated) completed in March 2023.
The Wave 5th started in March 2023 , and we are in the sub-waves of this final wave. This wave can extend since Wave 3 of Wave 5 was truncated (failed to reach 161.8%).
The targets for Wave 5 of Wave 5 can be:
23897 (127% - minimum)
24608 (161.8%)
25394 (200%)
261.8% (maximum) - rare case
Disclaimer: We are not SEBI registered. The content presented here is based on our personal opinions. Conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
#Banknifty directions and levels for July 19th.Banknifty:
Bank Nifty is still maintaining its range, so it might continue today as well. However, if it breaks the range, we can expect a move of a minimum of 50% to 78% to the upside. On the downside, if the market breaks the 50% Fibonacci level, we can expect a downside move to 78% to the swing low.
#Nifty directions and levels for July 19th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for July 19th:
In the last session, the Dow Jones fell drastically, indicating a negative bias. Our local market has a mixed bullish sentiment. Today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-up start, as indicated by the Gift Nifty, which shows a +10 points.
Nifty and Bank Nifty are showing different structures. Nifty has a solid bullish structure, while Bank Nifty is in consolidation. Let's look at this one by one.
Nifty:
In the previous session, Nifty had a huge movement at the end of the day, making a new high with a solid handle. What’s next? I will explain step by step to help you easily understand.
Point 1: If you roughly look at the chart, it shows a solid bullish structure. You can expect the rally to continue if it breaks the previous high. This is the basic structure.
Point 2: But even if made a new high with solid candle The RSI did not break the previous high in 4H, 1H, or even 15min. At the same time, the Dow Jones also fell drastically.
Point 3: And if u look at the Bank Nifty it did not participate in this rally. but it has a consolidation. If it breaks the consolidation, it may help continue the rally. The probability is uncertain.
Considering these three points, it’s complicated to conclude the direction. Here’s my opinion: if the market breaks the previous high and Bank Nifty supports it, we can enter a long position, which may yield better results. Alternatively, if there is a solid breakout candle, you can enter, but the decision is yours. This is our bullish variation.
Bearish view:
Alternatively, if the market declines initially, we could wait for the 38% Fibonacci level breakout. If it breaks, we can expect a correction of a minimum of 50% to 78%. On the other hand, if it doesn’t break 38%, then it will maintain the bullish bias.
Nifty Trade Setup: Wave 4th Selling Opportunity, 1:7 RR Nifty Wave Analysis: July 18th 2024
Nifty is going up in extension after the June 4th crash. It clearly looks like Wave 3, and Wave 4 is about to begin.
Short Entry : 24587
Stop Loss : 24680
Expected Destinations:
23862 (23.6%)
23370 (38.2%)
And max 50%
Wave 4 could be a sharp correction, but we can't ignore the possibility of a time-wise correction. Therefore, selling monthly CE with a hedge is safer or Short Nifty Future.
Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only and not for trading. Please do your own analysis before making any decisions.
#Nifty directions and level for July 18th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for July 18th:
The global market has a bullish sentiment (based on Dow Jones). Our local market has a moderately bullish sentiment. Today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-down start because the Gift Nifty indicates a 20-point decrease.
Nifty:
In the previous trading session, Nifty opened with a gap-up but did not rise much higher. Structurally, it is showing consolidation, which is likely to continue in the same direction. However, this will only happen if it breaks the previous high.
Given that Gift Nifty suggests a gap-down opening today, the scenario changes slightly.
So, If the market declines initially, we can expect a 23% to 38% level of correction. After that, if it finds support at these levels, the consolidation may continue. For a continuation, it must break the 38% Fibonacci level solidly.
Alternatively, if the gap-down doesn't sustain and the market pulls back, we can expect consolidation until it breaks the previous high. If it breaks the previous high with a solid candlestick structure, a rally continuation is expected, with some consolidations around the resistance levels. On the other hand, if it doesn't break with a solid candlestick structure, the market may continue in a diagonal pattern, meaning it won't generate much premium today. (I have plotted a bow and tie pattern).
Note: You can follow the same sentiment if it opens with a gap-up movement.
#Banknifty directions and level for July 18th.Bank Nifty:
For the second consecutive trading day, Bank Nifty has consolidated. This pattern may continue today, meaning even if the market opens with a gap-down or gap-up, it may consolidate between the levels of 52722 to 52263.
A rally may occur only if it breaks the level of 52722, and the downside correction will continue only if it breaks the level of 52263.
#Banknifty directions and levels for July 16th.Bank Nifty:
Bank Nifty maintained a range market in the previous session and may continue that today. We can try a range breakout trade: that's if the market breaks the previous day's high, we can expect a swing high to 52,878. On the other hand, if it declines, we should wait for a breakout below 52,263. If that happens, it may fall further to a swing low of 52,088.
Even if it breaks either upside or downside, the premium might not increase much. So please take your positions based on your knowledge.
#Nifty directions and levels for July 16th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for July 16th:
Global markets are maintaining their range (based on the Dow Jones). Our local market has a moderately bullish trend. Today, the market may open neutral to slightly gap-down, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows a decrease of 13 points at 8:00 am.
Nifty and Bank Nifty have different structures: Nifty indicates a moderately bullish bias, while Bank Nifty indicates a range-bound market. Let's look at each one.
Nifty:
In the previous session, Nifty maintained a gap-up sentiment, but there was no big movement. Based on the wave structure, it could be a 5th wave, meaning a distribution wave. So, today we might see an initial correction. This is our first variation.
Alternatively, if the market pulls back and consolidates or breaks the supply zone, we can expect the rally to continue. in this case, If the market doesn't break the supply zone, it may consolidate between the supply zone and the 38% Fibonacci level in the minor swing.
> Without breaking this 38% level, it may maintain a bullish bias. A correction is expected only if it breaks the 38% level in the minor swing.
> that means, If it sharply rejects around the supply zone and breaks the 38% Fibonacci level in the minor swing, it may turn into a correction.
#Nifty directions and levels for July 15th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for July 15th:
The global markets are showing a slightly bearish sentiment (based on the Dow Jones). Our local market is maintaining a moderately bullish trend. Today, the market may open neutral or with a gap-up start, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows an increase of 50 points at 8:00 am.
Nifty and Bank Nifty have different structures: Nifty indicates a two-way move, while Bank Nifty indicates a range-bound market. Let's look at each one.
Nifty has closed above the all-time high after seven consecutive consolidation sessions. This suggests a solid rally ahead on a normal trading day. However, with the upcoming budget event, even if the market breaks the all-time high again, it is unlikely to go much higher due to current sentiment rather than technical factors.
> Based on this sentiment, if the gap-up sustains, we can expect a minimum of 24608 to 24644. After that, if the market rejects around the supply zone, we can expect a reversal of 38 to 78% in the Fibonacci sequence. This is our first variation. On the other hand, if the market doesn't reject there and consolidates, the rally will likely continue further.
> Alternatively, if the gap-up doesn't sustain, it may range between the previous day's high and the 4th wave demand zone. In this sentiment, there is no big correction. The correction will continue only if it breaks 24420.