NIFTY MAY HAVE OTHER IDEASThe bull run we are witnessing may be wave 4 of the downward rally in Nifty.
In that case, we may expect a collapse from here. Currently nifty is trading close to 18100 which corresponds to 0.618 levels of the downward Elliot wave.
This level should be a stiff resistance for nifty. Next week market may open with a gap up and can get sold into.
Day closing above 18100 will nullify this view.
Based on Fibonacci extensions wave 5 can take nifty to 16500 levels by June end.
Elliotwaveanalysis
BankNifty's Short-term Wave AnalysisAs analyzed before in my previous post, 3rd wave of BN was briefly stopped at around 261.8% of 1st wave length and corrected slightly. It looks like the fire of 3rd wave has yet not put off and we may another move higher. But for this, BN must trade above 43475 and if it fails to break above that level, we may see a bigger downmove in coming days.
Larsen chart study.Larsen spot cmp 2355
Weekly time frame
Elliot wave study
Motive phase on verge to mature.
Ascending wedge pattern formation
Counter is trading in overbought zone as per swing indicator and structure formation.
Bearish divergence on RSI with respect to price.
Time for bulls to sit on cash.
Chennai Petro Expanding flat correctionStock near ATH, it has completed Expanding flat correction on Monthly scale.
Following third wave rally should be huge.
Had checked basic fundamentals looks attractive.
Invalidation level given is based on weekly close which is 20% lower and is quite big SL and risky.
Target 3x-6x based on fib extension 2.618-4.618
DISCLAIMER:
There is no guarantee of profits or no exceptions from losses.
The stock and its levels discussed are solely the personal views of my research.
You are advised to rely on your judgement while investing/Trading decisions.
Seek help of your financial advisor before investing/trading.
Investment Warnings:
We would like to draw your attention to the following important investment warnings.
-Investment is subject to market risks.
-The value of shares and investments and the income derived from them can go down as well as up.
-Investors may not get back the amount they invested - losing one's shirt is a real risk.
-Past performance is not a guide to future performance.
-I may or may not trade this analysis
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NIFTY possible Elliot wave countsHere we had shared possible Elliott wave counts on hourly time frame of Nifty chart.
Whereas if we are unfolding part of correction phase then currently we are in A-B-C of ((2)) or ((B)) heading towards north directions, which we can see or say in bullish way, where we can fail this rally near 18567 levels which is nothing but equality level of A and C inside wave ((2)) or ((B)), we can resume correction downwards again post this rally, which can be a subdivision part of wave ((3)) or ((C)) towards south directions. Well, sometimes C may be truncated too.
What if scenario
We are in Bull market at current stage or we can say what if we are in impulse right now ? Then also we have to unfold current rally not as a A-B-C but as a 1-2-3-4-5, so up to C or 3 levels should not violated because road map is same for both scenarios. Buy on dips with strict stop loss is only mantra, always try to trade at lowest risk with good enough reward probabilities.
My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Nifty 50- Elliot Wave Count SHORT!Attached: Nifty 50 Hourly Chart as of 25th April 2023 EOD
A Leading Diagonal in form of ABCDE in Wave 1/ A and then a Pullback in Wave 2/ B
And Now the 3rd Wave/ C Wave has started
Targets for this Wave Down are anywhere from:
17600 to 17340
Note: Alternatively the Leading Diagonal could also be Wave 4 and 5th Wave is complete and so Wave 2 can Dip down to Previous 4th Wave Low which also comes to approx 17575 as our 1st Target
HGS final impulse or correction If it is an impulse it is a perfect place to accumulate and sit tight to see the impulse get over.
With strict stop of 845 we can go for buy @ current level. For impulse wave.
If it is a correction then we need to wait for the wave formation .
I’m not a sebi advisor
Before taking trade refer ur financial advisor.
This is for education purposes only.
HCLTECH- Bears in Control!Attached: HCLTECH Daily Price Chart Live Market as of 20th April 2023
Pay attention to the following:
1) Formation of a Double Top/ Distribution Pattern
2) A Leading Diagonal Structure marked as ABCDE , so a 3rd Wave Down can play out
3) The Elliot Wave marking signaling end of (B) Wave and (C) Wave Down pending
IT Sector is the Weakest already and there are clear Headwinds from a Fundamental standpoint for IT Stocks
HCL Technologies has Earnings today so you can expect some Big Move on the Short Side
AMBUJACEM- Relative Strength says SELL!Attached: Ambuja Cements/ Nifty 50 Daily Chart as of 19th April 2023
A Classic Triangle Setup is visible in the above Ratio Chart
The Breakdown of this Triangle would result in the Ratio Selling Off (AMBUJACEM accelerating its Underperformance vs. Index Nifty 50)
Hence this makes the Stock a Sell Candidate based on Weakness
Well if you also look at the Price Chart which I have not shared here but it also has a Classic Triangle Setup with a Bearish Bias just like its Ratio Chart
Elliot wave counts of copper looks bullish post dips (if any)Hello Friends, here we had shared possible Elliot wave counts of copper on hourly time frame chart, in which it is showing that after impulse move as a wave 1 we are unfolding now correction waves as a (w) - (x) and (y), in which we had already finished and completed wave (w) and (x) now possibly we are in wave (y) of one bigger degree wave 2, so wave (y) may give some areas of dips too, which can be an opportunity to go Long at good levels, and an invalidation level is also mentioned on chart. My studies are for educational purpose only, Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
TITAN- Relative Strength says SELL!Attached: Titan/ Nifty 50 Daily Chart Live Market Hours as of 18th April 2023
The Ratio Chart signals that TITAN has completed Wave A/ 1 and done a retracement in Wave 2/ B and now the 3rd Wave/ C Wave Down is to Start
This implies that on a Relative Basis, TITAN is likely to MASSIVELY Underperform Nifty 50 Index
Today Titan is also One of the Top Losers from the Nifty 50 Index Top 20 Heavyweights
So as they Sell Weakness and Buy Strength
Hence, Look for Short Opportunities in Titan
Nifty IT= THE SECTOR TO AVOID FOR INVESTORS!⚠️FIRST THE TECHNICAL VIEW
Attached: Nifty IT Index Weekly Chart as of 13th April 2023
In the Chart above, I have mapped out the Potential Elliot Wave Count to play out over the coming Months:
- Price has fallen in 3 Waves which is our Larger A Wave
- Then Price did a Corrective bounce in an ABCDE structure making up our Larger B Wave
- And now the Larger C Wave Down in the form of an Impulse is about to start/ has already started!
I have 2 Downside Targets🎯 based on the Elliot Wave Count:
T1= 23400 to 22700 (which is C = 0.618 of A)
T2= 18350 to 17750 (which is C = A)
This implies an approx. 19% decline📉 for Target 1 and a 36% decline📉 for Target 2, from Current Market Price😨
NOW, THE FUNDAMENTAL VIEW
Regarding IT Stocks from an Investor's Stand Point, it is going to be the DIRTY FISH💩🐟 of the Pond and can potentially Spoil the Whole Pond as well
Irrespective of whether it is a Bull Market or a Bear Market for Broad Market Stocks.
IT Index is set for New Lows and Infosys is Leading it on the Downside
As an Analogy for the Indian Market:
Remember how Auto Sector was in 2018? TOP out
how Pharma was in 2015? TOP out
IT is the same now in a Bear Market🐻🩸. Fundamental Reasons:
- US Recession
- Wage Inflation (IT Co. main cost is Employees), Lay Offs, Etc.
- De Dollarization (aka USD Crash hurts Dollar Revenue of these IT Companies)
I suggest if you have any Investments in IT Stocks Sell Them Off✅
You will get better Value in Other Sectors✅
This is a SECTOR SPECIFIC View for INVESTORS!⚠️
Possible Elliot wave counts of GBPJPY (now down then up)Hello Friends, here we had shared possible Elliot wave counts of GBPJPY on hourly time frame chart, in which wave structure says that currently we are in wave (c) of wave 2 of wave (C) of some complex correction heading towards north, on bigger scale post (C) again we may start journey towards south directions, Right now on hourly chart we can assume that we may witness fall as a wave iii, iv & v of (c) of 2 of (C), (c) can be an equal of (a) so it may show us 164.858 levels as an equality. Now down then up, Overall it's suggesting buy on dips only. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
RK's mass psychological cloud is also suggesting good support at same buying zone area
Bigger picture
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Tata Motors - Mid Term (Now down then UP)Hi Friends,
Tata Motors is in up move from a couple of weeks.
The move is expected to continue after a brief retracement. Retracement levels are marked with Fib retracement.
A zone around 452 can be a potential reversal zone.
2 daily closings below 61.8% fib marking will confirm the trend change.
Infosys in Trouble along with All Tech stocksInfosys is in Zig zag correction after making top near 1955. The Rally from covid low ends in 5 waves near 1955.
Currently in Wave C which can head up to 1073 and worst case 700 which is 1.618 extension.
Analysis invalidation level will be 1620.
The LAST Time we analyzed it, moved as per chart
DISCLAIMER:
There is no guarantee of profits or no exceptions from losses.
The stock and its levels discussed are solely the personal views of my research.
You are advised to rely on your judgement while investing/Trading decisions.
Seek help of your financial advisor before investing/trading.
Investment Warnings:
We would like to draw your attention to the following important investment warnings.
-Investment is subject to market risks.
-The value of shares and investments and the income derived from them can go down as well as up.
-Investors may not get back the amount they invested - losing one's shirt is a real risk.
-Past performance is not a guide to future performance.
-I may or may not trade this analysis
--------------------------(((((LIKE)))))-------------------------------
Elliott wave counts of USOIL and Fibonacci levels (up, down, up)Hello Friends, here we had shared possible Elliott wave counts of USOIL CRUDEOIL chart on hourly time frame, which is suggesting we are currently in impulse wave of some degree, in which we had completed (i)-(ii)-(iii)-(iv) and now possibly we are unfolding wave (v) of bigger degree wave 1, in this scenario we had seen that wave (iii) has been extended and clearly showing subdivisions inside it and also shown gap up as its nature, so we can assume that wave (v) can go up to equality of wave (i) which is showing price level of near $ 86.75, post completion of it, we can start retracement as a wave 2 in a-b-c pattern, that correction could get support at that same gap which we got gap up in wave (iii) so it can provide good support and as per Fibonacci measurements 50% retracement of entire rally also meets that same level of gap support which is pegged at $ 75.50, which can make that support more stronger. I am not sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Overall crude oil is looking bullish right now then little down to unfold wave 2 and then again up to unfold wave 3.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
USOIL CRUDE OIL possible Elliot wave countsHello Friends, here we had shared possible Elliot wave counts with our view on US OIL - CRUDE OIL, in which we are waiting for further confirmation to confirm the TREND as per Elliot wave structure, we are possibly at the ending of wave ((2)) corrections or may have started wave ((3)), let's wait to confirm by chart itself, so possibilities of wave counts have been discussed in details in this video study, one can observe it in live market as per study discussed in this video study, I am not sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Thanks
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
DOGECOIN possible elliot wave counts on hourly chartHere we had shared possible Elliot wave counts of Dogecoin on daily time frame aligned with hourly time frame.
Which is indicating that possibly we are unfolding fresh leg of impulse as a wave 1 of bigger degree wave (1) of one more bigger degree ((3)), and inside wave 1 we had unfolded subdivisions as wave 1-2-3-4 and possibly we have started 5th of wave 1 it may become leading diagonal. post wave 1 we should get retracement as a wave 2 of (1) and then wave 3 of (1), overall if invalidation is safe then journey is towards north.
My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not sebi registered analyst.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Possible elliot wave counts on daily time frame
macd positive crossover in hourly
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.